Chapter 3: Principles of Option Pricing Well, it helps to look at derivatives like atoms. Split them one way and you have heat and energy - useful stuff. Split them another way and you have a bomb. You have to understand the subtleties. Kate Jennings Moral Hazard, Fourth Estate, 2002, p. 8 Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 1 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Important Concepts in Chapter 3 Role of arbitrage in pricing options Minimum value, maximum value, value at expiration and lower bound of an option price Effect of exercise price, time to expiration, risk-free rate and volatility on an option price Difference between prices of European and American options Put-call parity Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 2 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Basic Notation and Terminology Symbols S0 (stock price) X (exercise price) T (time to expiration = (days until expiration)/365) r (see below) ST (stock price at expiration) C(S0,T,X), P(S0,T,X) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 3 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Basic Notation and Terminology (continued) Computation of risk-free rate (r) Date: May 14. Option expiration: May 21 T-bill bid discount = 4.45, ask discount = 4.37 Average T-bill discount = (4.45+4.37)/2 = 4.41 T-bill price = 100 - 4.41(7/360) = 99.91425 T-bill yield = (100/99.91425)(365/7) - 1 = 0.0457 So 4.57 % is risk-free rate for options expiring May 21 Other risk-free rates: 4.56 (June 18), 4.63 (July 16) See Table 3.1 for prices of DCRB options Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 4 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing Minimum Value of a Call C(S0,T,X) 0 (for any call) For American calls: Ca(S0,T,X) Max(0,S0 - X) Concept of intrinsic value: Max(0,S0 - X) Proof of intrinsic value rule for DCRB calls Concept of time value See Table 3.2 for time values of DCRB calls See Figure 3.1 for minimum values of calls Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 5 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Maximum Value of a Call C(S0,T,X) S0 Intuition See Figure 3.2, which adds this to Figure 3.1 Value of a Call at Expiration C(ST,0,X) = Max(0,ST - X) Proof/intuition For American and European options See Figure 3.3 Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 6 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Time to Expiration Two American calls differing only by time to expiration, T1 and T2 where T1 < T2. Ca(S0,T2,X) Ca(S0,T1,X) Proof/intuition Deep in- and out-of-the-money Time value maximized when at-the-money Concept of time value decay See Figure 3.4 and Table 3.2 Cannot be proven (yet) for European calls Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 7 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Exercise Price Effect on Option Value Two European calls differing only by strikes of X1 and X2. Which is greater, Ce(S0,T,X1) or Ce(S0,T,X2)? Construct portfolios A and B. See Table 3.3. Portfolio A has non-negative payoff; therefore, • Ce(S0,T,X1) Ce(S0,T,X2) • Intuition: show what happens if not true Prices of DCRB options conform Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 8 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Exercise Price (continued) Limits on the Difference in Premiums Again, note Table 3.3. We must have • (X2 - X1)(1+r)-T Ce(S0,T,X1) - Ce(S0,T,X2) • X2 - X1 Ce(S0,T,X1) - Ce(S0,T,X2) • X2 - X1 Ca(S0,T,X1) - Ca(S0,T,X2) • Implications See Table 3.4. Prices of DCRB options conform Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 9 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Lower Bound of a European Call Construct portfolios A and B. See Table 3.5. B dominates A. This implies that (after rearranging) Ce(S0,T,X) Max[0,S0 - X(1+r)-T] This is the lower bound for a European call See Figure 3.5 for the price curve for European calls Dividend adjustment: subtract present value of dividends from S0; adjusted stock price is S0´ For foreign currency calls, Ce(S0,T,X) Max[0,S0(1+)-T - X(1+r)-T] Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 10 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) American Call Versus European Call Ca(S0,T,X) Ce(S0,T,X) But S0 - X(1+r)-T > S0 - X prior to expiration so Ca(S0,T,X) Max(0,S0 - X(1+r)-T) Look at Table 3.6 for lower bounds of DCRB calls If there are no dividends on the stock, an American call will never be exercised early. It will always be better to sell the call in the market. Intuition Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 11 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Call Option Pricing (continued) Early Exercise of American Calls on Dividend-Paying Stocks If a stock pays a dividend, it is possible that an American call will be exercised as close as possible to the ex-dividend date. (For a currency, the foreign interest can induce early exercise.) Intuition Effect of Interest Rates Effect of Stock Volatility Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 12 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing Minimum Value of a Put P(S0,T,X) 0 (for any put) For American puts: Pa(S0,T,X) Max(0,X - S0) Concept of intrinsic value: Max(0,X - S0) Proof of intrinsic value rule for DCRB puts See Figure 3.6 for minimum values of puts Concept of time value See Table 3.7 for time values of DCRB puts Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 13 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Maximum Value of a Put Pe(S0,T,X) X(1+r)-T Pa(S0,T,X) X Intuition See Figure 3.7, which adds this to Figure 3.6 Value of a Put at Expiration P(ST,0,X) = Max(0,X - ST) Proof/intuition For American and European options See Figure 3.8 Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 14 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Time to Expiration Two American puts differing only by time to expiration, T1 and T2 where T1 < T2. Pa(S0,T2,X) Pa(S0,T1,X) Proof/intuition See Figure 3.9 and Table 3.7 Cannot be proven for European puts Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 15 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Exercise Price Effect on Option Value Two European puts differing only by X1 and X2. Which is greater, Pe(S0,T,X1) or Pe(S0,T,X2)? Construct portfolios A and B. See Table 3.8. Portfolio A has non-negative payoff; therefore, • Pe(S0,T,X2) Pe(S0,T,X1) • Intuition: show what happens if not true Prices of DCRB options conform Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 16 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Effect of Exercise Price (continued) Limits on the Difference in Premiums Again, note Table 3.8. We must have • (X2 - X1)(1+r)-T Pe(S0,T,X2) - Pe(S0,T,X1) • X2 - X1 Pe(S0,T,X2) - Pe(S0,T,X1) • X2 - X1 Pa(S0,T,X2) - Pa(S0,T,X1) • Implications See Table 3.9. Prices of DCRB options conform Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 17 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Lower Bound of a European Put Construct portfolios A and B. See Table 3.10. A dominates B. This implies that (after rearranging) Pe(S0,T,X) Max(0,X(1+r)-T - S0) This is the lower bound for a European put See Figure 3.10 for the price curve for European puts Dividend adjustment: subtract present value of dividends from S to obtain S´ Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 18 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) American Put Versus European Put Pa(S0,T,X) Pe(S0,T,X) Early Exercise of American Puts There is always a sufficiently low stock price that will make it optimal to exercise an American put early. Dividends on the stock reduce the likelihood of early exercise. Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 19 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Put-Call Parity Form portfolios A and B where the options are European. See Table 3.11. The portfolios have the same outcomes at the options’ expiration. Thus, it must be true that S0 + Pe(S0,T,X) = Ce(S0,T,X) + X(1+r)-T This is called put-call parity. It is important to see the alternative ways the equation can be arranged and their interpretations. Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 20 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) Put-Call parity for American options can be stated only as inequalities: N C a (S'0 , T, X) X D j (1 r) t j j1 S0 Pa (S'0 , T, X) C a (S'0 , T, X) X(1 r) T See Table 3.12 for put-call parity for DCRB options See Figure 3.11 for linkages between underlying asset, risk-free bond, call, and put through put-call parity. Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 21 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Principles of Put Option Pricing (continued) The Effect of Interest Rates The Effect of Stock Volatility Summary See Table 3.13. Appendix 3: The Dynamics of Option Boundary Conditions: A Learning Exercise Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 22 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 23 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide 5) Chance/Brooks (Return to text slide 7) An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 24 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 25 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 26 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 27 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 28 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide 8) Chance/Brooks (Return to text slide 9) An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 29 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 30 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 31 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 32 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 33 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 34 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide 13) Chance/Brooks (Return to text slide 15) An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 35 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 36 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 37 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 38 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide 16) Chance/Brooks (Return to text slide 17) An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 39 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 40 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 41 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 42 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 43 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 44 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. Ch. 3: 45 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. (Return to text slide) Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 9th ed. 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