Lesson 1.6 Probability • Probability measures how likely it is for an event to occur. • You can express probabilities as percents (0% through 100%) or as real numbers (0 through 1) • 50% or ½ 75% or ¾ • When you gather data from observations you can calculate an experimental probability. • Each observation is a trial • Experimental probability = P(event)= number of times the event occurs number of trials • When actual trials are difficult to conduct, you can find experimental probabilities by using a simulation. • Simulation – a model of one or more events • Sample Space – set of all possible outcomes. • What is the sample space when you roll a cube. • Theoretical Probability = favorable outcomes Total outcomes • What is theoretical probability of rolling a two on a six sided dice. • Quick check examples 1,2 and 4 • Assignment:
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