Consumptionbased accounting in
climate negotiations
Annela Anger-Kraavi
Cambridge Econometrics
Carbon-CAP Side Event
UNFCCC SB42, Bonn, Germany
Wednesday, 10 June 2015
ORNL CDIAK, 2011
• assessment of the effectiveness, efficiency
and equity of consumption-based climatechange-reduction policies (including related
transformations in the international flows of
trade, investments, technology transfer, and
diffusion of innovation)
• assessment of the uncertainties related to
different modelling methodologies
Interactive modelling (WP7)
Consumption based emission reduction policies
and measures (portfolio)/technologies/economic
development/policies and politics/and so on
>scenarios>model runs>outputs>…..
• E3ME (Cambridge Econometrics, UK)
macroeconometric energy-environmenteconomy (E3) model
• EXIOMOD (TNO, Netherlands) a Global
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model
based on detailed EXIOBASE MREEIO
• FIDELIO (IPTS, Spain) a dynamic econometric
input-output model based on Eurostat's
supply and use tables and the WIOD
Scenarios 2020- 2050:
• Reference scenario – IEA WEO 2014 current
policies and IEA WEO 2014 + Paris COP21 pledges
(INDCs)
• Policy scenarios - addressing indirect (supply
chain) and indirect + direct emissions (end use
related emissions)
• Outputs - changes in GDP, employment, trade,
investment, recourse use, GHG and non-GHG
emissions
Expected outcome: a policy portfolio of
consumption based policies that shifts the burden
back to developed countries and also results in
reduction of production and consumption based
emissions in developing countries
Problems: no accounting standards, reporting and
verification, current methods give a range of
results (differences <30%)
Thank You!
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