Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply SLIDES PREPARED BY JUDITH SKUCE, GEORGIAN COLLEGE ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 1 In this chapter you will learn 8.1 What determines the shape of the aggregate demand curve and what factors shift the entire curve 8.2 What determines the shape of the aggregate supply curve, and what factors shift the entire curve 8.3 How the equilibrium price level and real GDP are determined 8.4 How the economy arrives at its long run equilibrium 8.5 Equilibrium vs. full-employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 2 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 3 Aggregate Demand (AD) • The amounts of real output that buyers collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 4 Aggregate Demand (AD) • Aggregate Quantity Demanded (Real GDP) and the Price Level are inversely related as follows: Price Level Figure 8 - 1 AD Real GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 5 Aggregate Demand (AD) • slopes downward because of the following effects of a change in price level: 1. Real-balances Effect 2. Interest-rate Effect 3. Foreign Trade Effect Remember: these effects are caused by price level changes ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 6 Changes in Aggregate Demand Figure 8 - 2 Price level AD Can Increase AD1 Real domestic output, GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 7 Changes in Aggregate Demand Figure 8 - 2 Price level AD Can Increase shift RIGHT AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 8 Changes in Aggregate Demand Figure 8 - 2 Price level AD Can Decrease AD1 Real domestic output, GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 9 Changes in Aggregate Demand Figure 8 - 2 Price level AD Can Decrease shift LEFT AD3 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 10 Determinants of Aggregate Demand • Consumer Spending – Consumer wealth – Consumer expectations – Taxes – Household indebtedness ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 11 Determinants of Aggregate Demand • Investment Spending – Real Interest Rates – Expected Returns • • • • Expectations about future business conditions Technology Degree of excess capacity Business taxes ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 12 Determinants of Aggregate Demand • Government Spending • Net Export Spending – National Income Abroad – Exchange Rates ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 13 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 14 Aggregate Supply • The level of real domestic output that will be produced at each price level • Production responses to price level changes differ in the long run & the short run ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 15 Aggregate Supply in the Long Run • in the long run, the aggregate supply curve is vertical at the economy’s fullemployment output (potential GDP) Price level ASLR GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Real domestic output, GDP Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 16 Aggregate Supply in the Long Run • in the long run, wages & other input prices rise or fall to match changes in the price level • changes in the price level do not change real profit & there is no change in real output ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 17 Aggregate Supply in the Short Run Price level • in reality, nominal wages adjust only slowly to changes in the price level • short-run aggregate supply curve is upwardsloping AS GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real domestic output, GDP 18 Aggregate Supply in the Short Run • as the economy expands in the short run, perunit production costs generally rise • the extent of the rise depends on where the economy isunless operating, relative to its capacity stated otherwise, – an economy “aggregate operating below its full-employment supply” output has idle capital & labourlittle upward refers to AS costs in the short pressure on production – when the economy is run operating beyond its fullemployment output, most available resources are already employedper-unit production costs increase as economy expands ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 19 Determinants of Aggregate Supply 1. Change in input prices a. Domestic resource price b. Price of imported resources c. Market power 2. Change in productivity 3. Change in legal-institutional environment a. Business taxes & subsidies b. Government regulation ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 20 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 21 Equilibrium GDP • Equilibrium occurs at the price level that equalizes the amount of real output demanded & supplied • A price level too low would mean AD>AS, putting upward pressure on prices across the economy ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 22 Price Level Too Low Figure 8-6 Price Level AS AD upward pressure PL1 AS1 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. AD1 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real GDP 23 Equilibrium GDP • similarly, a price level too high would mean AD<AS, putting downward pressure on prices across the economy ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 24 Price Level Too High Figure 8-6 Price Level AS AD PL2 downwar d pressure AD2 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. AS2 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real GDP 25 Changes in Equilibrium • Are caused by changes (shifts) in AD and/or AS ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 26 Increases in AD • for any initial increase in aggregate demand, the resulting increase in real output will be smaller the greater is the increase in the price level • demand-pull inflation… ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 27 Increases in AD Figure 8-7 Price level AS P2 output does not increase all the way to GDP1 because of inflation P1 AD2 GDPf GDP2 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 AD1 Real GDP GDP1 28 Decreases in AD • Deflation is a rarity in the Canadian economy • Real output takes the full brunt of the decline in AD because product prices are “sticky” in the short run – – – – – wage contracts morale, effort, & productivity minimum wage menu costs fear of price wars ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 29 Decreases in AD Figure 8-8 Price level prices are sticky downwards AS P1 AD2 GDP1 GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 AD1 Real GDP 30 Decreases in AS: Cost-Push Inflation • effects of a leftward shift in AS are doubly bad – output decreases – price level increases ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 31 Decreases in AS Figure 8-9 AS2 Price level AS1 P2 P1 GDP2 GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 AD1 Real GDP 32 Increases in AS • increases in AD should normally lead to inflation • recently, productivity growth has shifted the long-run AS curve to the right ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 33 Increases in AS Figure 8-10 AS1 Price level AS2 P3 P2 P1 AD2 AD1 GDP1GDP2GDP3 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real GDP 34 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 35 From the Short Run to the Long Run • nominal wages & other input prices may remain constant in the short run, even though the price level has changed • once contracts have expired & nominal wage adjustments have been made, the economy enters the long run ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 36 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Price level Figure 8-11 a2 P2 P1 a1 GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. AS1 GDP2 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 an increase in price level increases profits & output, moving the economy from a1 to a2 Real domestic output 37 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Figure 8-11 Price level AS1 a1 P1 P3 a3 GDP3 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. GDPf Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 a decrease in price level decreases profits & output, moving the economy from a1 to a3 Real domestic output 38 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Figure 8-11 ASLR Price level b1 P2 P1 a1 GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. an increase in AS2 price level leads to AS1 increases in a2 nominal wages, shifting shortrun AS leftward new GDP2 Real domestic output equilibrium at b1 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 39 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Price level Figure 8-11 P1 P3 a3 GDP3 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. a decrease in price level ASLR leads to AS1 decreases in nominal AS3 wages, a1 shifting shortrun AS c1 rightward new GDPf GDP2 Real domestic output equilibrium at c1 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 40 Equilibrium in the Long-Run AD-AS Model Figure 8-12 ASLR Price level AS1 P1 a AD1 GDPf ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 41 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 42 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP • There is no guarantee, in the short run, that equilibrium GDP will be fullemployment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 43 Recessionary Gap • A recessionary gap occurs when AD is too low, and equilibrium GDP is below potential GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 44 Recessionary Gap Figure 8-13 Price level ASLR Potential GDP AS Recessionary Gap = 20 P0 AD0 P1 AD1 490 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 510 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real GDP 45 Inflationary Gap • An inflationary gap occurs when AD is too high, and equilibrium GDP is above potential GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 46 Inflationary Gap Figure 8-13 Price level ASLR Potential GDP AS Inflationary Gap = 20 P1 AD2 P0 AD0 510 ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 530 Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 Real GDP 47 Chapter 8 Topics 8.1 Aggregate Demand 8.2 Aggregate Supply 8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in Equilibrium 8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run 8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 48 Chapter 8 Appendix The Relationship of the Aggregate Expenditures Model to the AD-AS Model ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 49 Derivation of AD Curve • AD can be derived from the Aggregate Expenditures Model illustrated… ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 50 Aggregate expenditures (billions of dollars) Figure A8 - 1 AE 1 at P 1 1 0 Price level GDP1 P1 0 1' GDP1 What if prices go Real GDP up? Real GDP at price level 1 Real GDP Price level Aggregate expenditures (billions of dollars) Figure A8 - 1 AE1 at P 1 AE2 at P 2 1 2 0 P2 P1 0 GDP2 GDP1 What if prices go up Real GDP again? 2' 1' GDP2 GDP1 A Lower Real GDP at price level 2 Real GDP Aggregate expenditures (billions of dollars) Figure A8 - 1 AE1 at P 1 AE2 at P 2 1 AE3 at P 3 2 3 0 Real GDP Price level GDP3 GDP2 GDP1 P3 P2 P1 0 3' 2' 1' GDP3GDP2 GDP1 A Still Lower Real GDP Level at price Real GDP level 3 Aggregate expenditures (billions of dollars) Figure A8 - 1 AE1 at P 1 AE2 at P 2 1 AE3 at P 3 2 3 0 Real GDP Price level GDP3 GDP2 GDP1 P3 P2 P1 0 3' Aggregate Demand can be derived from AE 2' 1' GDP3GDP2 GDP1 Real GDP Shifts in AD • and shifts in Aggregate Expenditure illustrated… ©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 55 Price level Aggregate expenditures (billions of dollars) Figure A8 - 2 AE2 at P 1 AE1 at P 1 An Increase in Aggregate Expenditures 0 GDP1 GDP2 Real GDP An Increase in Aggregate Demand P1 AD2 AD1 0 GDP1 GDP2 Real GDP
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