NS4960 Spring Term 2017 Fuels Paradise, Chapter 3 Potential Policy Responses to Energy Insecurity Overview • Chapter interested in the various policy responses during periods of heightened concern about energy security • Need to have explicit framework for categorizing and measuring these responses • With this framework can see clearly which actions each country has taken or not taken and then compare them. • For this purpose asks: • What are possible policy responses to concerns about energy insecurity? • What measures can governments take to increase their energy security? • Wants to make a distinction between internal and externally directed policies 2 Responses to Energy Insecurity I • Examines state responses along three major dimensions: • Depth, • Form, and • Breath • With regard to depth, often distinguish between • The objectives and ends of policy on one hand, and • The instruments or means of policy on the other • A more sophisticated approach might look at • Changes in the levels of existing policy instruments • Change in the basic instruments or techniques used to achieve policy goals • Changes in the goals that guide policy 3 Responses to Energy Insecurity II • With regard to functional forms, at least four broad sets of policy instruments, each of which includes a number of more specific tools • Economic and fiscal policies – taxes, fees, tax exemptions subsidies and direct grants • Credit instruments such a s loans, loan guarantees, and interest rate subsidies • Regulation and deregulation including general market regulation, price and volume controls and technical and environmental standards. • Direct government action, including state-owned or controlled research, production or transmission, and government services such as information provision, and diplomacy and military activities. 4 Responses to Energy Insecurity III • Each of these four sets of policy instruments can be applied to a wide variety of potentially energy policy goals. • As for the third dimension – breath or range of issues covered by possible policy responses – need to have a logical framework to organize them • A number of possibilities have been developed over the years: • Mason Willrich approach (1975) • Measures to decrease damage from possible supply interruptions • Measures to strengthen guarantees of foreign supply and • Measures to increase energy self-sufficiency 5 Responses to Energy Insecurity IV • Paul Kemezis and Ernst Wilson (1984) more comprehensive – three broad categories: • Securing energy imports • Enhancing domestic energy supplies and • Managing energy demand • Walter Carlsnaes (1988) less comprehensive approach for Sweden included: • Maintaining emergency stockpiles • Promoting internaonal energy allocation programs among importing countries • Reducing energy imports through conservation and substitution 6 Responses to Energy Insecurity V • Several clarifications • Relationship between state responses to energy insecurity and other policies a state may pursue. • No clear boundaries between traditional goals of energy policy: • Security • Economic efficiency, • Competitiveness, and • Increasingly environmental sustainability • Also may be hard to distinguish between policies about energy security and those that are not • Some measures taken to promote energy security may also serve to further other (economic and environmental) goals of energy policy– and vice versa. h7 Responses to Energy Insecurity VI • Internal policy responses • Potential domestic policy responses to energy insecurity fall into two brad categories: • Contingency or emergency measures designed to minimize the short term costs imposed by possible external supply disruptions and • Measures intended to reduce the state’s vulnerability to disruptions of foreign energy supplies over the longer term. • Emergency Preparations • (1) Short term • Easiest to devise • Mainly rationing and allocating physical supplies during emergency • Can mean higher prices on a temporary basis • Always constrained somewhat by political factors 8 Responses to Energy Insecurity VII • (2) Because of political constraints to many short-term actions, states also often pursue another approach to reducing short term impacts – stockpiles • (3) Promote the acquisition of fuel-switching capacity by energy users • Tries to ensure energy users have at least short-term alternatives in emergency situations • Example switching inputs to electric power when possible • May involve requiring private sector to make the necessary investments. 9 Responses to Energy Insecurity VIII • Longer-Term • Reducing vulnerability to potential disruptions in foreign energy supplies – three basic ways • Increasing (where possible domestic production) of the energy resource • Reducing directly the consumption of the resource and • Substituting on a long-term basis other forms of energy for the resource in question • The three not necessarily mutually exclusive • Increasing domestic production • Number of incentives – taxes subsidies, direct state action 10 Responses to Energy Insecurity IX • Reducing consumption • Need to reduce overall consumption not just imports – that way impact of a sudden price increase reduced • Two basic options • Reduce directly the level of domestic consumption • Place a cap on consumption or imports and allow market to set the price • More commonly governments impose taxes and other incentives to • Discourage consumption and purchase of inefficient equipment and • Encourage private sector to buy more efficient alternatives • Stimulate research and development in alternative energies 11 Responses to Energy Insecurity X External Policy Responses • Here policies can be divided into policies that • Are directed at actual and potential foreign suppliers and transit routes and • Are aimed at other import dependent consumer countries • Policies toward Energy Producers and Transit countries • Approaches • Try to reduce the risk that existing supplies will be disrupted • Seek to diversify potential sources of foreign energy supplies 12 Responses to Energy Insecurity XI • If there is a threat of embargo good to try fostering closer relationships with other producing countries • Political alliance ties • Provision of investment opportunities and access to importer’s domestic market • Economic and technical assistance • Cooperation with other consumer/importer countries • Preparing and coordinating of emergency responses to disruptions • Developing means of reducing existing levels of energy consumption and imports or • Producing alternative energy sources 13 Conclusions Summing up • Looked at principal ways in which states can respond to energy insecurity • Distinguished between internal and external policy responses • Within each area a broad array of options • How do states choose among these many ways to promote energy security • What are the most important determinants of state responses • Next chapter develops some of the more promising explanatory factors. 14
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