A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 AEREC 536 Applied Industrial Organization and Food Marketing The goal of the course is to expose PhD students to the modeling of non-competitive markets and to familiarize themselves with state of the art methods used in the analysis of conduct and market performance in such markets. The theoretical models covered will include homogeneous and heterogeneous product oligopoly and oligopsony models, both static and dynamic, including horizontal and vertical games to analyze the market conduct of food manufacturers and retailers. The empirical methods covered will include simultaneous equations, IV methods, discrete choice, and semiparametric methods. Published research articles that use advanced methods will serve as the course readings, combined with “textbook” material from different sources (such as: Handbook of Industrial Organization; Handbook of Econometrics; J. Tyrole “The Theory of Industrial Organization”; Perloff-Karp-Golan “Estimating Market Power and Strategies” etc..). Students will be provided with scanner data to practice the concepts learnt in class, via a series of applied assignments. Your grade will be based on assignments, one exam and a term paper. In the term paper you will be asked to 1) identify an economic problem coherent with the topics discussed in class; 2) choose an appropriate framework (both theoretical and empirical) to analyze the problem identified; 3) develop an empirical model and 4) present an econometric application of the proposed model (depending upon data availability). Grading Assignments (30%) [6 of them; 5% each] Exam (30%) Research Paper (40%) [30% paper – 10% presentation] What follows is a comprehensive reading list. Note that NOT all the papers listed will be covered in class. Also, consider this list as flexible. If, during the semester, there is enough demand for going in depth on one particular topic or for covering a specific paper/topic, the list will be adjusted accordingly. Textbooks / Chapters J. M. Perloff, Larry S. Karp, A. Golan. Estimating Market Power and Strategies (Paperback) Cambridge University Press (June 18, 2007) - 352 pages Reiss P., and F. A. Wolak. 2007. “Structural Econometric Modeling: Rationales and Examples from Industrial Organization”. Handbook of Econometrics, Volume 6A. North-Holland Publisher. 4280-4415. Blair R. D. and J. Harrison. 1993 “Monopsony Power and Antitrust” Princeton University Press. Ackerberg D., C. L. Benkard, S. Berry and A. Pakes. 2007. “Econometric Tools for Analyzing Market Outcomes.” Handbook of Econometrics, Volume 6A. North-Holland Publisher. 4171-4276. Bresnahan, T. 1989. “Empirical Studies of Industries with Market Power” in R. Schmalensee and R. Willig, eds., Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 2. Amsterdam: North-Holland. Kenneth Train, Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation, Cambridge University Press, 2003, e-book available at http://elsa.berkeley.edu/books/choice2.html. 1 A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Scherer, F. M. and D. Ross 1990. Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance, 3rd edition, Houghton Mifflin. Tirole, J. The Theory of Industrial Organization (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1988). Suggested topics and comprehensive reading list I. Introduction - Empirical Analysis of Market Power: From IO to NEIO (Week 1 – Jan 12 and 14) Bain, J. S. 1941. “The Profit Rate as Measure of Monopoly Power”, 1941 Quarterly Journal of Economics Bain J. S. 1943. “Measurements of the Degree of Monopoly: A Note” Economica Vol (37) (Feb): pp. 66-68 Miller J. P. 1955. “Measures of Monopoly Power and Concentration: Their Economic Significance” in Business Concentration and Price Policy; National Bureau of Economic Research Princeton University Press. (p. 117 - 138) available at http://www.nber.org/chapters/c0957 Fama, E. F. and A. B. Laffer, 1972. “The Number of Firms and Competition.” American Economic Review September, 670-74. Demsetz, H. 1973. “Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy,” Journal of Law and Economics, 16, 19. Peltzman, S. 1977. “The Gains and Losses from Industrial Concentration,” Journal of Law and Economics, 20, 229–263. Clark R. S. , D. Davies and M. Waterson 1984. “The Profitability-Concentration Relation: Market Power or Eficciecy?” Journal of Industrial Economics 4, 435-450. Bain J. 1986. “Structure versus Conduct as Indicators of Market Performance,” Antitrust Law and Econ Revew II. Why Studying Market Power? Principles of Antitrust Economics (Week 2 – Jan 19 and 21) Federal Trade Commission “1992 Horizontal Merger Guidelines.” www.ftc.gov/bc/docs/horizmer.html. National Association of Attorneys General, 1993 Horizontal Merger Guidelines. No. 256, March 30, 1993. Commerce Clearing House, Inc., Chicago Illinois. Blair R. D. and Harrison J. 1993 “Monopsony Power and Antitrust” Princeton University Press. Ch 1 and 2. Gregory W. 1998. “Demand Elasticities in Antitrust Analysis.” Antitrust Law Journal, Vol. 66, p. 413. Ivaldi, M., B. Jullien, P. Rey, P. Seabright, and J.Tirole. “The Economics of Unilateral Effects.” Interim Report for DG Competition, European Commission, IDEI, Toulouse, November 2003. http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/studies_reports/the_economics_of_unilateral_effects_en.pdf European Union, Commission Notice. “Guidelines on the Assessment of Horizontal Mergers under the Council Regulation on the Control of Concentrations between Undertakings” January 30, 2004. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:C:2004:031:0005:0018:EN:PDF FTC/DOJ Joint Workshop on Merger Enforcement, February 17-19, 2004. http://www.ftc.gov/bc/mergerenforce/presentations/index 2 A. Bonanno III. AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Structural Modeling of Homogenous Products Markets (Week 3 – Jan 26 and 28) Appelbaum, E. 1982. “The Estimation of the Degree of Oligopoly Power” Journal of Econometrics, 19, 287–299. Bresnahan, T. 1989 “Empirical Studies of Industries with Market Power” in R. Schmalensee and R. Willig, eds., Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 2. Amsterdam: North-Holland. Durham, C. and R. J. Sexton. 1992. Oligopsony Potential in Agriculture: Residual Supply Estimation in California’s Processing Tomato Market. American J. of Ag Economics. 74:962-972. Azzam, A. M. 1997. “Measuring Market Power and Cost-Efficiency Effects of Industrial Concentration,” Journal of Industrial Economics, 45, 377–386. Schroeter J. R., A. M. Azzam, and M. Zhang. 2000. “Measuring Market Power in Bilateral Oligopoly: The Wholesale Market for Beef” Southern Economic Journal, vol. 66(3), pages 526-547, January. Lopez, R.; A. Azzam and C. Liron Espana. 2002. “Market Power and/or Efficiency: A Structural Approach” Review of Industrial Organization 20: 115–126. Bonanno, A. and R. Lopez. 2008. “Wal-Mart’s Monopsony in Local Labor Markets.” Working Paper, Food Market Policy Center, Research Report n. 98. The University of Connecticut. Shi, G. J.P. Chavas, K. Stiegert. 2008. “An Analysis of Bundle Pricing: The Case of the Corn Seed Market.” Food System Research Group Working Paper 2008-01. University of Wisconsin-Madison www.aae.wisc.edu/fsrg IV. Oligopoly with differentiated Products (Week 4 – Feb 2 and 4) Deneckere, R. and C. Davidson. 1985. “Incentives to Form Coalitions with Bertrand Competition,” Rand Journal of Economics, Vol. 16, No. 4, winter 1985, p. 473-486. Bresnahan T. F. 1987. “Competition and collusion in the American automobile industry: the 1955 price war.” Journal of Industrial Economics, 35(4):457-82. Klemperer, P. 1987. “The Competitiveness of Markets with Switching Costs” RAND Journal of Economics, 18(1): 138-150 Genovese and W. P. Mullin .1998. “Testing Static Oligopoly Models: Conduct and Cost in the Sugar Industry, 1890-1914” The RAND Journal of Economics. 29 (2):355-377 Baker J. and T. F. Bresnahan T. F. 1988. “Estimating the Residual Demand Curve Facing a Single Firm” International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 6, pp. 283-300. Gasmi, F., J. J. Laffont, and Q. H. Voung. 1990. “A structural approach to empirical analysis of collusive behavior.” European Economic Review. 34:513-523. Cotterill, R. W. and P. O. Samson. 2002. “Estimating a Brand Level Demand System for American Cheese Products to Evaluate Unilateral and Coordinated Market Power Strageties,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 84 (3): 817-823. 3 A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Dhar T. , J. P. Chavas, R. W. Cotterill and B. W. Gould 2005. “An Econometric Analysis of Brand-Level Strategic Pricing between Coca-Cola Company and PepsiCo.” Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, 14 (4): 905–931. Canan, Basak, and Ronald W. Cotterill. 2006. “Strategic Pricing in a Differentiated Product Oligopoly Model: Fluid Milk in Boston.” Agricultural Economics. 35(1):27-33, July 2006. V. Entry (Week 5 – Feb 9 and 11) Bain, J. “Conditions of Entry and the Emergence of Monopoly”, 1954, in Chamberlin, editor, Monopoly and Competition Nahata B. and D. O. Olson 1989. “On the Definition of Barriers to Entry” Source: Southern Economic Journal 56 (1) pp. 236-239 Bresnahan T. and P. C. Reiss 1990. “Entry in monopoly markets”. Review of Economic Studies, 57(4):531–553. Cotterill R. W. and L. E. Haller 1992. “Barrier and Queue Effects: A Study of Leading U.S. Supermarket Chain Entry Patterns" Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 40, No. 4, pp. 427-440. Berry, S. 1992. “Estimation of a model of entry in the airline industry.” Econometrica, 60(4):889–917. Mazzeo, M. J. 2002. “Product choice and oligopoly market structure.” RAND Journal of Economics, 33(2):221– 242. Seim, K. 2006. “An Empirical Model of Firm Entry with Endogenous Product –Type Choices.” The RAND Journal of Economics, 37, 619-640. Berry P. and S. Reiss 2007. “Empirical models of Entry and Market Structure” Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 3. Princeton University. Chapter 28 – pg 1845:1886. Jia, P. 2008. “What Happens When Wal-Mart Comes to Town: An Empirical Analysis of the Discount Retail Industry” Econometrica VI. Endogenous Cost Models and Market Structure (Week 6 – Feb 16 and 18) Shaked, A., and J. Sutton. 1987. “Product Differentiation and Industrial Structure.” Journal of Industrial Economics 36(2):131–46. Roller, L. H., and R.C. Sickles. 2000. “Capacity and Product Market Competition: Measuring Market Power in a “Puppy-Dog” Industry.” International Journal of Industrial Organization 18:845–65. Berry S. and J. Waldfogel 2006. “Product Quality and Market Size” Discussion paper No 1. Working Papers on Economic Applications and Policy Yale University Ellickson. P. 2007 “Quality Competition in Retailing: A Structural Analysis” International Journal of Industrial Organization, 24(3), pp. 521-540, 2006. Sutton J. 2007. “Market Structure: Theory and Evidence.” Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 3. Princeton University, 2007. Chapter 28 – pg 2301:2368. 4 A. Bonanno VII. AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Differentiated Products’ Demand Models and Market Structure 1. Representative consumer models (Week 7– Feb 23 and 25) Hausman, J. A., G. Leonard, J. D. Zona. 1994. “Competitive Analysis with Differentiated Products.” Annales d’Economía et. de Statiatique, vol. 34, 1994. Hausman, J. A. and G. K. Leonard. 2005. “Competitive analysis using a flexible demand specification.” Journal of Competition Law and Economics 1(2): 297-301. Cotterill R. W., W. J. Putsis and R. Dhar 2000. “Assessing the Competitive Interaction between Private Labels and National Brands” Journal of Business, 73(1): 109-37. 2. Semi-parametric products’ space approach (Week 8 – March 2 and 4) Pinkse J., M. Slade and C. Brett. 2002. “Spatial Price Competition: A Semiparametric Approach” Econometrica, Vol. 70, No. 3, pp. 1111-1155. Pinkse J. and M. Slade. 2004. “Mergers, Brand Competition, and the Price of a Pint” European Economic Review, Vol. 48, pp. 617-643. Slade M. 2005. “The Role of Economic Space in Decision Making,” Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, Vol. 77, No. 1, pp. 1-21. Rojas, C. 2008. Price Competition in U.S. Brewing. 2008. Journal of Industrial Economics, 56, 1-31. Rojas, C. and E. Peterson. 2008. “Demand for Differentiated Products: Price and Advertising Evidence from the U.S. beer Market.” International Journal of Industrial Organization, 26, 288-307. Pofahl, G. M and T. Richards. 2009. “Valuation of New Products in Attribute Space". American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 91 Issue 2: 402-415. 3. Discrete choice models (Weeks 9 and 10 – March 16, 18, 23, and 25 ) Berry, S. 1994. “Estimating Discrete-Choice Models of Product Differentiation,” Rand Journal of Economics, 25, 242-262. Berry, S., Levinsohn, J., and A. Pakes. 1995. “Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium,” Econometrica, 63, 841889. Rasmusen E. 2007. “The BLP Method of Demand Curve Estimation in Industrial Organization.” Class notes - Kelley School of Business, Indiana University. Available at http://www.rasmusen.org/papers/blprasmusen.pdf. Nevo, A. 2000. A Practitioner’s Guide to Estimation of Random-Coefficients Logit Models of Demand, http://rasmusen.org/g604/readings/Nevo00.pdf. Nevo A. 2001. “Measuring Marketing Power in the Ready-To-Eat Cereal Industry.” Econometrica, 69, 307-342. Petrin, A. 2002. “Quantifying the benefits of new products; the case of the minivan”, Journal of Political Economy 110, 705–729. 5 A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Berry, S., Levinsohn, J., and A. Pakes 2004. “Differentiated Products Demand Systems from a Combination of Micro and Macro Data: The New Car Market” Journal of Political Economy McFadden, D. (1981). “Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice,” in C. Manski and D. McFadden, eds., Structural Analysis of Discrete Data, pp. 198-272, Cambridge” MIT press. Petrin A. and K. Train, (forthcoming) “A Control Function Approach to Endogeneity in Consumer Choice Models,” forthcoming, Journal of Marketing Research Di Giacomo M. 2008. “GMM Estimation of a Structural Demand Model for Yogurt and the Effects of the Introduction of New Brands” Empirical Economics, 34(3), p. 537-565. VIII. Vertical Relationships and Market Conduct (Week 11 – March 23 and 25) Draganska, M. and J.Dipak 2006. “Consumer Preferences and Product-line Pricing Strategies: An Empirical Analysis”, Marketing Science, vol. 25, No. 2, pp. 164-174 Villas-Boas S. B. 2007. “Vertical Relationships between Manufacturers and Retailers: Inference with Limited Data.” The Review of Economic Studies Vol. 74, 2, pp. 625-652. Draganska M., D. Klapper and S. B. Villas-Boas. 2007. “Determinants of Margins in the Distribution Channel: An Empirical Investigation” Stanford University Graduate School of Business Research Paper No. 1959. Hastings, J. 2004. “Vertical Relationships and Competition in Retail Gas Markets: Empirical Evidence from Contract Changes in Southern California.” American Economic Review, 94 (1): 317-328. Houde J. F. 2009. “Spatial differentiation and vertical contracts in retail markets for gasoline.” University of Wisconsin-Madison Economics Working Paper. June 3, 2009 Kadiyali V., P. Chintagunta, and N. Vilcassim. 2000. “Manufacturer-Retailer Channel Interactions and Implications for Channel Power: An Empirical Investigation of Pricing in a Local Market” Marketing Science 19 2: 127-148. IX. Dynamic models 1. Limitations and advances in dynamic empirical IO models (Week 12 – March 30, April 1) Richards, T. J., P. M. Patterson, and R. N. Acharya. 2001 “Price Behavior in a Dynamic Oligopsony: Washington Processing Potatoes” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 83, (2): 259 – 271. Doraszelski U. and A. Pakes. 2007. “A Framework For Applied Dynamic Analysis in IO.” Handbook of Industrial Organization, Volume 3. North-Holland Publisher. 1887-1966. Hendal, I. and A. Nevo 2006. “Measuring the Implications of Sales and Consumer Inventory Behavior.” Econometrica, 74(6), 1637-1673. 2. Dynamic models of advertising (Week 13 – April 6 and 8) Milgrom, P. R. and J. Roberts 1986. “Price and advertising signals of product quality.” Journal of Political Economy 94, 796-821. 6 A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Slade, M.E. 1995. “Product Rivalry with Multiple Strategic Weapon: An Analysis of Price and Advertising Competition.” Journal of Economics and Management Strategy 4:445– 76. Beck G. S. and K. M. Murphy 1993. “A Simple Theory of Advertising as a Good or Bad.” Quarterly Journal of Economics. 108 (4): 941-964. Dube J.P. , G. J.Hitsch and P. Manchanda 2005. “An Empirical Model of Advertising Dynamics.” Quantitative Marketing and Economics, 3, 107–144. Bagwell, K. 2007. “The Economic Analysis of Advertising.” Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 3, 2007. Princeton University, 2007. Chapter 28 – pg 1701:1844. Slade, M. and J. Pinkse 2007. “Semi-Structural Models of Advertising Competition,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 22 No. 7 December 2007, 1227—1224. Robert C., U. Doraszelski, and M. Draganska 2009. “The Effect of Advertising on Brand Awareness and Perceived Quality: An Empirical Investigation Using Panel Data“, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, vol. 7. No. 2, pp. 207-236 X. IO “Outside the Box” – Using IO to address Emerging Issues (Week 14 – April 13 and 15) Richards,T., P. Patterson, and A. Tegene. 2007 “Obesity and Nutrient Consumption: A Rational Addiction?” Contemporary Economic Policy Contemporary Economic Policy Vol. 25, (3):309–324. Bonanno A., and R. Huang (…) “Healthy Food for Healthy People; Consumers’ Health and Demand for Health–Enhancing Food Products” Dunne T., S. D. Klimek M. J. ,Roberts, and X., Yi 2007. “The Dynamics of Market Structure and Market Size in Two Health Services Industries” New York University. Rosenthal, M. B., B. E. Landon, and H. A. Huskamp. 2001. “Managed Care and Market Power: Physician Organizations n Four Markets” Health Affairs, 187-193. Ellison G. and S. F. Ellison 2004. - Industrial Organization: Lessons from the Internet. http://econwww.mit.edu/files/994 Savage S. J. and D. M. Waldman 2009. “Ability, location and household demand for Internet Bandwidth” International Journal of Industrial Organization 27 (2): 166-174 Ellison S. F. and C. M. Snyder 2008. “Countervailing Power in wholesale Pharamaceuticals” http: //econwww.mit.edu/files/992 Chen, Z. 2003. “Dominant Retailers and the Countervailing-Power Hypothesis” The RAND Journal of Economics, 34 (4): 612-625. Dobson P. W. and R. Inderst 2007 “Differential Buyer Power and the Waterbed Effect: Do Strong Buyers Benefit or Harm Consumers?” Working Paper Engle-Warnick J., B.J. Ruffle, 2002. “Buyer countervailing power versus monopoly power: evidence from experimental posted- Offer Markets” working paper - econ.bgu.ac.il 7 A. Bonanno AEREC 536 Spring 2010 Week 15 – April 20 and 22 – Exam Week 16 – April 27 and 29 – Papers and Presentations 8
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