Advanced Microeconomic Theory II Johan Stennek Spring 2016 14 March 2016 PS C - Dynamic Games with Applications 1 Divide & Choose .............................................................................................. 2 2 Centipede ....................................................................................................... 2 3 Take it or leave it............................................................................................. 3 4 Two-Period Bargaining .................................................................................... 3 5 Strategic investment (not to be discussed in class) ........................................... 4 1 1 Divide & Choose Two children are to split a cake. The first kid gets to split the cake in two pieces and the second kid gets to choose which piece he wants. Both children want as much cake as possible for themselves. This is understood by both. For simplicity, you may assume that the first child cuts the cake into a left and a right piece and that the left piece must be 25%, 50% or 75% of the cake. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Write down the extensive form game tree! Does this game have perfect information? Does this game have complete information? What is the appropriate solution concept? Find all such equilibria! If you have the time, you may also do the following exercises (not to be discussed in class): 6. Write down the normal form! 7. Find the Nash equilibria! 2 Centipede Arne and Bertil sit at a table. Arne has two piles of money in front of him, one with €10 and the other with €5. Arne has two choices. Either he takes the larger pile of money (€10) and gives the smaller to Bertil (€5). Or he pushes both piles to Bertil, in which case the money doubles. Bertil has then the same choice. This goes on for (say) 4 times. If no one has taken the money, both piles double again and Arne gets €160 and Bertil gets €80. 1. Write this up as an extensive form game. 2. Solve it 3. What would you have done if you where Arne? 2 3 Take it or leave it A buyer and a seller meet to negotiate the price of a unique good. The buyer’s valuation of the good is vB and the seller’s valuation of the good if he keeps it is vS > vB . These valuations are common knowledge. The two parties are in a hurry so they will have no time for haggling. 1. Assume that the seller gets to offer a price and that the buyer only can accept or reject it. Will there be trade? If so, what will the price be? 2. Assume that the buyer gets to offer a price and that the seller only can accept or reject it. Will there be trade? If so, what will the price be? 4 Two-Period Bargaining Consider the same situation as above and assume that they have time for two periods of negotiations. The buyer’s discount factor is d B and the seller’s is d S. 1. Assume that the buyer gets to offer a price in period 1 and that the seller can make a counter offer in period 2. Will there be trade? If so, what will the price be? When will they come to an agreement? Compare with the outcome of “take-it-or-leave-it-bargaining”. 2. Assume that the seller gets to offer a price in period 1 and that the buyer can make a counter offer in period 2. What will the price be? Compare with the outcome of “take-it-or-leave-it-bargaining”. If you have the time, try also to solve the game for three periods (not to be discussed in class). 3 5 Strategic investment (not to be discussed in class) Consider a monopoly firm with linear demand p = a - b × q and constant marginal cost c. Recall that the monopolist will produce quantity qm ( c) = 2×1b × ( a- c) . It will thus make profit p m ( c) = (a - b ×qm ( c) - c) × qm ( c) - I ( c) , where I ( c) is the firm’s cost of investments. In particular, before production starts, the firm can invest in modern machinery and reduce marginal cost. A lower marginal cost requires a higher investment, i.e. I ' ( c) < 0 . (Notice that we think of the investment decision as a choice of marginal cost.) 1. Derive the monopolist’s first-order condition for the optimal investment. Make explicit use of the Envelope Theorem. 2. Explain what the monopolist’s gain from investment is. Consider now the same market, but assume that there are 2 firms competing a la Cournot. Let qi be firm i’s quantity. The price is given by the inverse demand function, which is linear and given by p = a - b × ( q1 + q2 ) . Firm i’s marginal cost is constant and denoted ci . Notice that firm 1’s equilibrium profit can be written as: p1* ( c1,c2 ) = × ( 1* ( c1,c2 ) + q2* ( c1,c2 )) - c1 ×××q1* ( c1,c2 ) - I ( c1 ) ×a - b ×q where I ( c1 ) is the firm’s cost of investments. In particular, before production starts, firm 1 can invest in modern machinery and reduce marginal cost. A lower marginal cost requires a higher investment, i.e. I ' ( c) < 0 . 3. Derive the duopolist’s first-order condition for the optimal investment. Make explicit use of the Envelope Theorem. 4. Explain what the duopolist’s gain from investment is. 4
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