January 2016 Update National Comparisons Quality Counts Rankings Chance for Success School Finance 2013 36th 41st 2014 40th 41st 2015 39th 45th 2016 42nd 45th K-12 Achievement 17th 21st 21st 24th Quality Counts: Texas Report Card Letter Grade Score C 73.3 Early foundations C 74.8 School years C- 71.1 Adult outcomes C 75.9 C- 70.9 Status D 64.3 Change D+ 69.3 Equity B 85.4 D 64.8 Equity B 83.0 Spending F 46.6 Category Chance for Success K-12 Achievement School Finance Quality Counts: Texas Report Card Letter Grade Score C 73.3 Early foundations C 74.8 School years C- 71.1 Adult outcomes C 75.9 C- 70.9 Status D 64.3 Change D+ 69.3 Equity B 85.4 D 64.8 Equity B 83.0 Spending F 46.6 Category Chance for Success K-12 Achievement School Finance Quality Counts Finance Rankings Ranking Equity Wealth-Neutrality McLoone Index (spending toward the median) Spending Per-Pupil Expenditures (adjusted for regional differences) % State Spending on Education 23rd 18th 49th 38th Quality Counts Finance Rankings Ranking Equity Wealth-Neutrality McLoone Index (spending toward the median) Spending Per-Pupil Expenditures (adjusted for regional differences) % State Spending on Education 23rd 18th 49th 38th School Finance Litigation Update What’s Changed since WOC II? Total Enrollment % Economically Disadvantaged Inflation Adjusted Total Per-Student Funding % Meeting Final Standard Exit-Level Math Exam % Meeting Final Standard Exit-Level English Exam WOC II (2003-04) 4,328,028 Now (2014-15) 5,232,065 53% 60% $7,128 $6,816 67% 47% 83% 51% Amicus Brief - Governor of Texas Overall funding Formula funding State programmatic funding Annual, per student 2012-13 funding $91.2 billion $80.4 billion 2016-17 funding $106.7 billion $94.5 billion % increase 17% 18% $1.0 billion $1.8 billion 77% $9,771 $10,672 9% Plaintiff response to Governor Abbott Instructional Formula Funding per student State Programmatic Funding 2010-11 Funding 2016-17 Funding % Change $8,366 $8,213 -2% $2.4 billion $1.8 billion -25% These numbers have not been adjusted to account for inflation. The Texas Comptroller has predicted 1.9% inflation per year for the next two years. School Finance Litigation Timeline Final Judgment issued, declaring system unconstitutional Calhoun County ISD Plaintiffs file claims against State, along with 3 other school district plaintiff groups 8/28/2014 Texas Supreme Court takes the case 12/11/2011 2011 2011 2012 5/25/2011 Texas Legislature cuts education funding 83rd Legislative Session 84th Legislative Session 1/23/2015 Judge Dietz announces ruling declaring system unconstitutional Texas Primary Election (assuming ruling to be issued after this date) 2/4/2013 3/1/2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10/22/2012 9/26/2014 9/1/2015 1/10/2017 School Finance Trial begins Appeal of Judgment is filed Oral Arguments before the Texas Supreme Court 85th Legislative Session begins 1/21/2014 Supplemental Hearing begins to address changes made by 83rd Legislature 1/8/2013 - 5/27/2013 1/13/2015 - 6/1/2015 85th Legislative Session 1/10/2017 - 5/29/2017 2017 Texas State Supreme Court - 2015 Nathan L. Hecht Jeffrey S. Boyd © 2015 Haynes and Boone, LLP John Devine Paul W. Green Phil Johnson Debra H. Lehrmann Jeffrey V. Brown Don R. Willett Eva Guzman 13 What’s next? Ruling expected after March 1 Primary Election What if remanded back to District Court? If favorable ruling, when will the Legislature respond? Election Update Texas Senate 2 incumbents not returning: SD 1 (Eltife) SD 24 (Fraser) 3 incumbents with primary opponents: SD 19 (Uresti) SD 26 (Menendez) SD 27 (Lucio) No seats expected to change party hands Texas House of Representatives 150 seats up for election 60 incumbents with no major party opposition 16 incumbents not returning (open seats) 28 incumbents with only primary opponent 33 incumbents with only general opponent 13 incumbents face opponents in both Key Dates Relating to 2016 Elections February 1 Last day to register to vote February 16 First day of early voting February 26 Last day of early voting March 1 Primary Election Day May 24 Primary Election Run-off Election November 8 General Election Day Chapter 41 & Recapture 2006-2016 400 $2,000,000,000 $1,800,000,000 350 $1,600,000,000 300 $1,400,000,000 250 $1,200,000,000 200 $1,000,000,000 $800,000,000 150 $600,000,000 100 $400,000,000 50 $200,000,000 0 $0 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 Chapter 41 Districts Ch 41 Districts Paying Recapture Total Recapture Paid The Real Jackpot for Texas Expected Annual Revenue Revenue Source 2015-16 Texas Lottery $1.2 billion Robin Hood Recapture $1.8 billion Robin Hood over Time 1st year of Robin Hood: 34 Chapter 41 districts 2013-2014: 395 Chapter 41 districts Additional State Aid for Tax Reduction (ASATR) 218 districts to receive ASATR in 2015-16 For a total of $321 million Average of $765 per WADA (11.4% of M&O Revenue) for qualifying districts For some districts, ASATR makes up 30-40% of M&O Revenue ASATR September 1, 2017 Issues at play in 2017 Budget deficit due to drop in oil prices? Legislature School hesitant to spend finance ruling? Ongoing shortfall from Medicaid needs Transportation and water needs Calls for further property tax relief Calls for school choice/private school vouchers Advocacy is important o 181 Legislators o 140 days o 6,000 plus bills o 10-15% relate to public education o 1,500 bills will pass (5-10% related to public education) Seven Times 1. Meet legislator at ESC meeting 2. Follow-up with data responsive to their remarks 3. Call to offer assistance with school finance questions 4. Meeting in their district office 5. Send a thank-you note with follow-up from meeting 6. Invite legislator to visit your district/specific campus 7. You still have one more to go! Thank you!
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