1 A Multi-Mechanism Model of Learning-By-Exporting: Analysis of Export Induced Productivity Gains in Chinese Firms Caleb H. Tse Linhui Yu JianJun (John) Zhu Caleb H. Tse is a PhD candidate in marketing at the University of Hong Kong, School of Business, Hong Kong ([email protected]). Dr. Linhui Yu is a research assistant professor in strategy and international business at the University of Hong Kong, School of Business, Hong Kong ([email protected]). Dr. JianJun (John) Zhu is an assistant professor in marketing University of Hong Kong, School of Business, Hong Kong ([email protected]). 2 A Multi-Mechanism Model of Learning-By-Exporting: Analysis of Export Induced Productivity Gains in Chinese Firms ABSTRACT This paper “opens the black box” in examining how and under what conditions do firms achieve productivity gains through exporting, known as the learning-by-exporting (LBE) effect. We posit that these firms leverage their learning, as the current LBE paradigm postulates, through improvement in innovativeness, production capabilities and management emphasis. We test our hypotheses with panelized data gathered from over 240,000 Chinese firms over a 7-year period (2001-2007).The results strongly confirm a multi-mechanism LBE model. All three mechanisms show a parallel and significant mediation between firm exports and productivity. We also show that the salience of these mechanisms is contingent upon industry characteristics: firms in R&D-intensive industries as well as those in moderate levels of export intensity demonstrate the most learning through all three channels. Hence, the multiple mechanism model LBE offers useful implications for managers and policy-makers. Key words: learning-by-exporting, innovativeness, organizational learning 3 INTRODUCTION International business studies have shown that firms, which expand abroad in order to source new knowledge, can improve upon their capabilities (Almeida, 1996; Knight & Cavusgil, 2004). Through exporting, the most prevalent form of internationalization, firms can acquire first-hand knowledge in overseas markets as they serve diverse customers and compete with foreign firms. Labeled as “learningby-exporting” (LBE), this knowledge leveraging effect postulates that firms learn through conducting exporting activities, leading to productivity gains (Aw, Chung, & Roberts, 2000). Although some studies in developed economies have not found sufficient empirical support for this effect (Bernard & Jensen, 1999; Clerides, Lach, & Tybout, 1998), others have provided ample evidence using developing and emerging economy contexts (Aw et al., 2000; Blalock & Gertler, 2004). Recently, this issue has emerged as an important topic in international business (Lages, Jap, & Griffith, 2008; Salomon & Jin, 2008), economics (Blalock & Gertler, 2004; Castellani, 2002 ) and firm strategy (Salomon & Jin, 2010). In the highly competitive global market, the promise of productivity gains through enhanced knowledge has strong implications for international business managers and policy makers. Despite the importance of the topic, extant research has predominantly emphasized the direct relationship between exporting and productivity, and few have made attempts to uncover the profound mechanism of ‘learning’ (Castellani, 2002). This lack of comprehension is problematic and can seriously affect subsequent managerial implications derived from this relationship. It will be misleading to build our conventional wisdom simply on the direct causality between exporting and productivity gain. The rationale for the LBE effect is rooted in organizational learning and international knowledge transfer literature (Fiol & Lyles, 1985; Salomon, 2006), which suggests that it should not be the exporting behavior in itself that is critical to productivity improvements, but instead should be the subsequent knowledge acquired and experience accumulated from exporting. Motivated by the emergence of this issue, our study ‘opens the black-box’ and extends from previous efforts by postulating a multi-mechanism LBE model. Our objective is to go beyond the 4 anecdotal evidences regarding the LBE effect and take a step further in probing the underlying mechanisms that lead to a firm’s productivity increases, which are stimulated by exporting. While a firm’s knowledge processing and exploitation is in itself unobservable to us, it does influence and is manifested in more readily observable business practices (Schein, 1985). Drawing on organizational learning literature, we propose that the LBE effect (i.e. exporting to productivity gains) is achieved, at least partly, through the mediating roles of firm innovativeness, production capability improvements, and managerial emphasis. A number of premises support the need for this expanded multi-mechanism view of LBE. First, a multi-mechanism model better fits the multi-dimensionality of knowledge (Huber, 1991) that can be acquired and exploited by exporting firms. When firms serve customers and compete with firms in overseas markets, they are exposed to a broad array of new and diversified knowledge (Griffith, Huergo, & Mairesse, 2006), as well as to new challenges in quality standards and management efficiency (Slater & Narver, 1995). This knowledge, whether experiential or vicarious, tacit or explicit, is not restricted to just technological advancement. Learning and commercialization can occur within multiple domains when firms are exposed to various types of new knowledge (Dierkes, Berthoin-Antal, Child, & Nonaka, 2003). Improvements in product innovation (Liu & Buck 2007), production capabilities (Serti & Tomasi, 2008) and managerial skills (Djankov & Hoekman, 2000) are among the most crucial areas and objectives to fulfill in facilitating knowledge acquisition and exploitation. For firms internationalizing their operations, multiple strategic intents and areas of improvement are common (Luo, Zhao, Wang, & Xi, 2011); thus a multi-mechanism LBE model better captures the multi-faceted nature of firms’ learning from exporting. Second, the multi-mechanism model differentiates between the effectiveness of learning through different conduits. The extent of learning is likely determined by the firm’s business activities and resource allocations, which influence its learning capacity across various learning domains (such as product innovation, production capabilities and management skills) of the firm (Dierkes et al. 2003). To effectively learn in a specific domain, particular sets of resources of varying costs are essential. This issue 5 is especially salient for emerging market firms, our study context, where the availability of resources and associated costs differ across firms (Luo & Tung, 2007). A multi-mechanism LBE model would better reflect the varying effectiveness of learning through different mechanisms and would provide insights into the subsequent choices managers face in selecting which domain to improve upon. Lastly, a multi-mechanism model of LBE is useful to policy makers. By now, the strong appeals of LBE (i.e. engaging in exporting can lead to increases in productivity) have prompted growing numbers of national (e.g., Brazil, Nigeria) and international bodies (e.g., United Nations, The World Bank) to study the effects of LBE (Fernandes & Isgut, 2007). Based on their analyses, policy makers— especially from emerging economies—are designing ways to stimulate their industries and firms for growth (Luo, Xue, & Han 2010). Their strategic intents are wide, covering a broad spectrum of options. To help guide these policy decisions, a broadened and thorough exploration of the LBE model is needed. Hence, a multi-mechanism LBE model provides a better reflection of the required global strategy for emerging market firms. We use Chinese firms as our study context because, relatively speaking, these firms were known to lag behind global firms in various technological and managerial domains. However, through internationalization, these firms have addressed some of their competitive disadvantages in management expertise and technological capabilities (Child and Rodrigues, 2005), and have compensated for their “latecomer” status in the global economy (Luo & Tung, 2007). In so doing, they eagerly acquire foreign technologies, methods and practices. In sum, how Chinese firms achieve productivity gains through LBE is an appropriate context to study this multi-mechanism model. Challenged by their limited resources, business managers and public policy makers further find it crucial to understand how firms of different industries learn, and how this learning can be effectively stimulated. A related question is: Does industry heterogeneity moderate the effectiveness of learning mechanisms so that firms in some industries learn more effectively and efficiently? To fill this gap, our study investigates the effectiveness of the proposed learning mechanisms across industries varying in export and R&D intensity. 6 In sum, our study aims to contribute to the literature on LBE in three ways. First, it conceptually delineates and empirically verifies a multi-mechanism LBE model, paying attention to the mediating effects of three particular domains: innovativeness, production improvement and managerial emphasis. By verifying the significance of these mediating mechanisms, the study helps establish them as learning mechanisms for productivity gains as a result of exporting. Second, we examine the specific industry conditions under which these learning mechanisms are significant. We do so by contrasting industries with varying levels of export intensity and R&D intensity. This allows us to examine the issues related to heterogeneity in learning and absorptive capacity at the industry level. Third, using a large panel dataset of Chinese firms from 2001 to 2007, the study provides insights into the growth of these emerging market firms and their global proliferation, a topic of significance in our world economy. Literature on LBE A plethora of studies have documented the existence of firms’ productivity gains from engaging in exporting activities. Recent studies utilizing pre- and post- exporting data have documented the LBE effect of firms experiencing an improvement in productivity as a result of exporting (Arnold & Hussinger, 2005). They attribute this trend to the acquisition of new technologies, product ideas, production methods, etc., from foreign agents and through competition (Alvarez & Lopez, 2005; Serti & Tomasi, 2008). While most studies are conducted in economics (Arnold & Hussinger, 2005; Serti & Tomasi, 2008) and some in international business study literature (Salomon & Jin 2008; 2010), the basic tenet of this explanation has roots in organizational learning literature, which purports that firms can learn and adapt in the face of new customer demands (Clerides et al., 1998), technological advancement (Cassiman & Golovko, 2011) and an external economic environment (Salomon and Shaver, 2005b), resulting in an improvement in productivity. One point in common for all these studies is that they are all phenomenon-oriented and have yet to examine the underlying learning mechanism for the exporters (Lages et al., 2008; Salomon & Jin, 2008). To solve this puzzle, our study attempts to unveil the learning mechanisms leading to productivity 7 gains. It posits that the LBE effect is multi-faceted and concurrent, involving a number of core organizational processes for exporters to convert their acquired foreign knowledge to productivity gains. Figure 1 summarizes our conceptual model. We discuss the mediating mechanisms one by one. ________________________________ Insert Figure 1 about here ________________________________ Productivity gain through firm innovativeness Our first proposed mediating mechanism is firm innovativeness, which is defined as a firm’s capacity and willingness to introduce novel and useful products or services through innovation processes (idea generation, experimentation and commercialization) (Roger, 2003). Exporting firms expand and diversify internationally, hence they benefit from acquiring new product ideas, designs, technologies from knowledgeable buyers who can share and transfer product designs and production techniques (Djankov & Hoekman, 2000; Zahra, Ireland, & Hitt, 2000). When these firms are exposed to new overseas markets as well as to new technologies, products and/or process designs from foreign competitors, they are encouraged to adapt and innovate accordingly (Zahra et al. 2000). Meanwhile, exporting firms need to respond instantaneously to the changing demands from overseas customers and must either improve their existing products or create new ones for them (Clerides et al., 1998; Salomon & Shaver, 2005a).Therefore, the technological knowledge and marketing competence gained through exporting will lead to a higher level of output in innovation including increased patent applications (Salomon & Jin, 2008; 2010; Salomon & Shaver, 2005a) and to the development of new and better products (Sun & Hong, 2011). As innovativeness is enhanced, firms not only incorporate new technologies, product designs, and production methods into their operations due to foreign exposure, but they also creatively use resources (capital and labor) to generate higher value outputs. Being innovative enables firms to disseminate the technological and market knowledge throughout different divisions within themselves, potentially spurring productivity gains via increasing operational efficiency, reducing production costs, 8 renovating current goods and services, and capturing an increased demand for new products (Hall, 2011). Subsequently, the current literature highlights the link between firm innovativeness and increased productivity (Cassiman & Golovko, 2011; Griffith et al., 2006; Hall, 2011). Thus, exporting exposes firms to more advanced technologies, increases their innovativeness, and subsequently facilitates productivity gains within firms’ operations. We propose: H1: Firm innovativeness will mediate the relationship between exporting and firm productivity. Productivity gain through production capability improvement Production capability improvement involves the process through which a firm upgrades its capability in managing quality, capacity, process, logistics and its relevant workforce during the process of transforming inputs into goods and service through effective investment and resource allocation (David, 2005). Exporting firms are likely to improve their production capabilities as a response to foreign market demands and characteristics, and to increase their capital investment after they enter into export markets for two reasons (Serti & Tomasi, 2008). First, when firms export, they may face diverse customer groups who demand higher standards in product quality and consistency. Whether or not quality is a concern, they will often experience fiercer pricing competition pressuring them to explore better economies of scope and scale. In response, exporting firms will increase their capital investments, expand existing assets (e.g. equipment, property, buildings, and technology) and construct new production facilities. Second, when engaging in exporting activities, firms are often challenged by the divergence between their existing production capability and new business requirements. In response, they need to improve on their production facilities and upgrade their physical assets (e.g., acquire new machinery as well as build new factories) in order to meet potentially higher technical quality and safety standards, stringent logistics requirements and delivery deadlines (Castellani, 2002). At the same time, physical capital is a core input for a firm’s productivity. The improvements to a firm’s production facilities and upgrades to its physical assets (e.g. equipment, building, and technologies) can foster a higher level of firm productivity (Prescott, 1997). The upgrading of production 9 integrates the firm’s industrial experience and its professional knowledge with its value chain. As exporting firms increase their capital investments (i.e. upgrading production facilities, incorporating new production processes and methods), they are more likely to achieve better economies of scope and scale, higher capacity utilization, and higher levels of productivity (Castellani, 2002). The self-initiated improvement of production capability, which comes in response to the higher demands of exporting, consequently allows firms to experience productivity gains. Therefore, as the knowledge collected from exporting filters to the firm, improved production capability helps the firm to incorporate that knowledge into its production function, and to leverage it for corporate growth. We hypothesize: H2: Production capability improvement will mediate the relationship between exporting and firm productivity. Productivity gain through managerial emphasis Managerial emphasis refers to a firm’s intensive investment in enhancing the management functions of organizing, staffing, motivating, planning and controlling (David, 2005). Exporting firms need to learn managerial best-practices (e.g. capital budgeting, strategic planning, government lobbying) and develop management structures to deal with the challenges that arise in international trade (Djankov & Hoekman, 2000). New market demands, which arise due to exports (higher quality standards, stringent logistics requirements, and distribution channel issues), lead to heavier workloads that require new management practices to facilitate learning (Slater & Narver, 1995). It becomes crucial for exporting firms to invest more heavily in management, to adopt better management procedures, and to hire more experienced management talents. As firms become more involved in exporting, hiring additional management talents facilitates the integration of their own experience with the international best practices. They become more skilled-labor intensive, and have on average a higher percentage of management staff (Serti & Tomasi, 2008). The enhancement of management talents by means of international and industry experience, better communication skills, and leadership training is often both desired and necessary to bring firms in 10 line with the stricter demands of embracing knowledge gained from an external environment. Managerial emphasis is thus important for exporting firms who wish to maintain a strategic focus among competitive and market forces, align resources, and manage outputs in dealing with the complexities of international activities. These firms benefit from investing in management talents (e.g. managers with more international exposure, and industry experience as well as higher levels of strategic thinking, and leadership skills) to ensure that internal processes such as stricter quality controls and external communication with agents are carried out efficiently. Consequently, better managerial emphasis resulting from exporting experience improves productivity for the firm (Gomez-Mejia, 1988). Thus, a strong managerial emphasis, gained from exporting, can further enhance a firm’s capability in applying and integrating newly-acquired knowledge and increased productivity. We hypothesize: H3: Managerial emphasis will mediate the relationship between exporting and firm productivity. Industry heterogeneity in LBE mechanisms LBE represents an attractive developmental strategy to strengthen the productivity of firms across different industries. Firms in the same industry share some similarities in their investment endowment, technology adoption, knowledge acquisition, and production factors, etc., all of which contribute to forming relatively stable comparative advantages over time (Porter, 1990). Hence, it is important to understand the LBE effect at the industry level in order to guide and assist firms with their productivity improvements. Regarding this, previous literature has only documented industry level differences in the relationship between exporting and productivity (Aw et al., 2000; Salomon & Jin, 2008). In this study, we extend our knowledge by investigating industry level heterogeneity in the functionality of underlying learning mechanisms. Our study examines this question in two dimensions, by comparing industries with different export and R&D intensities. Learning in industries of different export intensities In providing evidence of the LBE effects among Italian manufacturers, Castellani (2002) uncovered a threshold effect of exporting. That is, firms need to engage in at least a moderate level of 11 exporting activities in order to capture knowledge spillovers that improve productivity. Thus, learning outcomes among industries which export little, may be minimal, as such exporting firms have a relatively limited exposure to outside technologies and practices. It is documented that such firms experience less pronounced productivity gains i.e. firms, which are new to exporting, readily exit or switch export practices (Yasar, Nelson, & Rejesus, 2006). On the other hand, there may also be a diminishing return effect of learning. Industries that have gained much international experience from exporting and have established industry norms with standardized international operations may have plateaued in their capacity for learning and productivity gains. Thus, there may be a ceiling effect, in which firms exporting above a certain level may not achieve significant productivity gains. These industries may be labor intensive (instead of technology oriented, e.g., clothing, toys, furniture in China) in which firms specialize in Original Equipment Manufacturing (OEM) business to secure overseas orders. These exporting firms tend to focus on selling and price competition, paying little attention to what can be gained from abroad. Taken together, we postulate that there is an “optimal” level of exporting intensity, which allows for the greatest productivity gains from the related learning. Below a certain level of exporting, industries may not have adequate exposure to sources of learning, whereas above this threshold, industries may have already incorporated and exhausted the benefits of most of the learning effects or have too narrow a focus on exporting. Thus, exporting intensity will display a curvilinear (an inverse U-shape) industry heterogeneity effect. We propose that: H4: Industries of a moderate level of export intensity demonstrate the most significant LBE effect through the learning mechanisms. Learning in industries of different R&D intensities The ability to absorb technological advances differs across individual firms (Lages et al., 2008; Salomon & Jin 2010), industries (Hill, 2003) and nations (Nelson & Rosenberg, 1993). Cohen and Levinthal (1990) argue that a firm’s absorptive capacity lies in its ability “to recognize the value of new, external knowledge, assimilate it, and apply it to commercial ends” (Levinthal, 1990: 128). This ability 12 depends on prior knowledge and experience as well as the availability of trained technical staff. Aggregately, this capacity also applies to the industry and national level. R&D intensity has been used as a proxy for firms’ absorptive capacities (Mowery, Oxley, & Silverman, 1996). In contrast to industries of lower R&D intensity (e.g. textiles and clothing), firms within industries of higher R&D intensity (e.g., medicine manufacturing, transportation, electronics) generally have larger capacities for absorbing technological knowledge, more technologically experienced personnel, and greater resources to engage in knowledge exchanges. Learning can also occur vicariously, as firms benefit from the accumulated knowledge and experience of their industry counterparts (Argote, Beckman & Epple, 1990). With their greater emphasis on R&D investments, R&Dintensive industries reward talent more. Thus, they generate larger talent pools over time through absorbing and assimilating the new knowledge gained from internationalization activities such as exporting. Moreover, industry R&D intensity levels can also signify an industry’s emphasis on or motivation toward learning. Firms within relatively high R&D-intensive industries, exhibit a tendency toward continuous innovation, improving on products and processes, and generating new knowledge to keep up with developments in the industry (Aw, Roberts & Xu, 2008; Salomon & Jin, 2008).Whereas, firms in low R&D-intensive industries, devote less attention to improvements and innovation and consequently place less an emphasis on learning. Thus, when exposed to new technologies as well as to improved production and managerial practices in export markets, firms in industries of varying R&D levels will exhibit differential learning based on the emphasis they place on learning. We propose that: H5: Industries of medium and high levels of R&D intensity demonstrate a significant LBE effect through their learning mechanisms, while those with a low R&D intensity demonstrate a weak LBE effect through their learning mechanisms. DATA AND METHODS 13 Our data is from the Annual Industrial Survey conducted by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS). This dataset provides a comprehensive set of operational and financial information of all state owned enterprises (SOEs) and the “above scale” non-state owned enterprises in China, which have annual sales above RMB 5,000,000 (or USD 620,000). This source has been proven to be reasonably accurate and reliable in its data collection (Cai & Liu, 2009), and is widely used for research in international business (e.g., Buckley, Clegg, & Wang, 2007), economics (e.g., Cai & Liu, 2009) as well as in strategy studies (e.g. Zhang, Li, Li, & Zhou, 2010). Our sample is an unbalanced panel of 249,326 domestic private firms, which spans a 7-year period (2001 to 2007), and covers 29 two-digit SIC manufacturing industries (or 171 narrowly defined three-digit manufacturing industries) and China’s 31 provinces and municipalities. We focus only on domestic private firms for several reasons. First, domestic private firms participate most actively in exporting, and their contribution to the total value of exporting increased from 7.3% in 2001 to above 30% in 2007 (Trade statistics from China Custom Administration). Second, compared to SOEs and foreign owned enterprises, domestic private firms engage in relatively little processing trade (<7% of their total exports) (Wang & Wei, 2010). Third, domestic private firms are purely market oriented in their export behaviors, unlike SOEs whose major business decisions are known to be affected by government intervention or political motivations (Eckaus, 2006). Dependent variable Following previous IB, economics and strategy research, we use firm total factor productivity (TFP) as our dependent measure (e.g., Olley & Pakes, 1996; Siegel & Simons, 2010). TFP is defined as the portion of output not explained by the amount of inputs used in production. We adopt the Olley and Pakes’(1996) approach to estimate the firm-level TFP, which addresses the issue of simultaneity and selection bias. It is assessed as the deviation of the observed output from the predicted value from a CobbDouglas production function. ௧ = + ௧ + ௧ + ௧ + ௧ + ௧ , (1) 14 Where ௧ is the output (log transformed) of firm in year , ௧ , ௧ and ௧ are the input (log transformed) of labor, capital, and material, respectively. ௧ is the firm-level productivity shock that is observed by the firm. ௧ is an independently identical distributed (i.i.d.) unexpected productivity shock that is unobserved by both the firm and the econometrician. After estimating βs in equation (1), TFP can be calculated as follows: ௧ = ௧ − ௧ − ௧ − ௧ (2) Independent variables Export. Following Salomon and Jin (2008), we use export status to measure a firm’s export behavior. We obtained the export information from the reported value of exported products by each firm. For firms that do not export any of their products in a given year, export status appears as 0, or 1 otherwise. Firm Innovativeness. We measure firm innovativeness by using a firm’s new product sales (log transformed). The terms “innovation” and “new product development” have even been used interchangeably (Iyer, LaPlaca, & Sharma, 2006). In our research context of manufacturing industry, “innovation” refers primarily to the new product and the relevant business development. Specifically, a firm adopts a new technology and/or design to develop new products, which demonstrates a significant improvement in material quality, craftsmanship, and/or functionality. Existing research has validated the use of new product performance as a proxy for the outcome measure of innovativeness (Gatignon & Xuereb, 1997; Sengupta, 1998).1 Production Capability Improvement. We compute a firm’s capital investment (log transformed) as a surrogate for its improvement in production capability. A firm’s capital investment captures the extent to which a firm spends on their facility and equipment to improve production (Shaver, 2011), and has been used to explain firm productivity and performance (Serti & Tomasi, 2008). This investment on 15 facility and equipment enters into capital stock and depreciates according to accounting rules. The capital stock evolves according to the following equation ,௧ = ,௧ିଵ − ,௧ିଵ + ,௧ (3) Managerial Emphasis. We calculate a firm’s management expense (log transformed) as a measure of its expenses for the management team. Effective human resource management helps select and retain highly capable employees with unique managerial skill sets (Huselid, Jackson, & Schuler, 1997; Wright & McMahan, 1992). Following Koch and McGrath (1996), we use a firm’s investment in human resources to capture its input to the strategic management of its human capital. !"#௧ = !௧ − #, $, %"#௧ − &&"#௧ − "'"#௧ (4) Control variables Firm size. Literature has long recognized the influence of firm size on firm’s productivity (Schumpeter, 1950; Salomon & Jin, 2008). Firms of a larger size are generally more resourceful and dominant in their respective industries. We use log transformed firm’s capital stock as a proxy for firm size (Gulati, Lavie, and Singh, 2009). Firm age. Productivity and performance levels generally evolve as firms mature and become more experienced (Soh, 2010; Zahra & George, 2002). We control for this age effect on a firm’s overall productivity. Age is measured as the number of years since a firm’s registration date. Subsidies. For firms potentially engaged in an exporting business, special treatment such as government subsidies may have an impact on their export (Eckaus, 2006), and may increase the level of exports (Miyagiwa & Ohno, 1995). They help a firm improve its cost structure, daily operations, business strategies, and competitive advantages, which in turn contributes to its productivity output. We include the reported government subsidies in our analyses as a control variable. 16 Other Controls. We also include three types of dummy variables in all of our models: year, industry (defined with 3-digit SIC code), and region/province (Zhang et al., 2010). This step helps to capture the potential longitudinal, cross-sectional and geographical variations of productivity. Industry characteristics Export intensity. We define the export intensity of an industry as the average export intensity (i.e. the ratio of its total export value to its total sales) of all firms in the industry. We calculate the industry level (defined by 3-digit SIC) export intensity for the study period of 2001-2007. We then rank all 171 manufacturing industries in ascending order according to their export intensity. We define industries in the first quartile (0-25%) as those of low export intensity, in the second and third quartiles (25%-75%) as those of medium export intensity, and in the fourth quartile (75%-100%) as those of high export intensity. R&D intensity. We define the R&D intensity of an industry as the average R&D intensity (i.e. the ratio of an industry’s R&D expenses to its total sales) of all firms in the industry. Likewise, we define industries in the first quartile (or, 0-25%) in R&D intensity as those of low R&D intensity, in the second and third quartiles (25%-75%) as those of medium R&D intensity, and in the fourth quartile (75%-100%) as those of high R&D intensity.2 Statistical method We develop a series of equations to test the proposed hypotheses. First of all, we examine direct effect of exporting on productivity free of mediators using '௧ = ଵ + ଵଵ × ',௧ିଵ + ଵଶ × "#,௧ିଵ + ∑ୀଵ )ଵ × ௧ + -ଵ௧௦ ≠ . *ଵ௧ ; *ଵ ~MVN(0, +); E(*ଵ௧ ) = 0; and cov(*ଵ௧ , *ଵ௦ ) = , ଶ -ଵ = (5) where controlijt includes control variables such as firm size, firm age, subsidies, and dummy variables for time, industry, and province. We take four steps to improve the model control and minimize possible 17 misspecifications. First, we form a fixed effect model to control for the potential variation of dependent variable across time, industries and provinces (Arellano, 2003). Second, we use the lag term of key variables (e.g. Exportt-1) to control for their lagging effects on the dependent measures (e.g. Productivityt) (e.g. Salomon & Jin, 2008; 2010). Third, we include the lag term of the dependent variable (e.g. Productivityt-1) to capture the potential path dependence of the dependent measure (e.g. Productivityt) (e.g. Salomon & Jin, 2008; 2010). Lastly, we adopt a within firm correlation matrix structure to capture other possible firm-specific factors that cause outcomes to be systematically correlated across time (Ballinger, 2004). Our rich dataset allows us to adopt an unstructured form for the correlation matrix, which is the least restrictive in revealing the true correlation structure (Ballinger, 2004). We use a similar model setup for Equation 6-10. We test the direct effects of three mediators on productivity free of the variable, Export, using '௧ = ଶ + ଶଵ × ',௧ିଵ + ଶଷ × $௧ + ଶସ × '/$௧ + ଶହ × !"ℎ௧ + ∑ୀଵ )ଶ × ௧ + *ଶ௧ (6) Next, we study exporting’s effect on three such proposed mediators as $௧ = ଷ + ଷଵ × $,௧ିଵ + ଷଶ × "#,௧ିଵ + ଷସ × '/$௧ + ଷହ × !"ℎ௧ + ∑ୀଵ )ଷ × ௧ + *ଷ௧ (7) To capture the possible correlation between innovativeness and the other two firm actions of production capability improvement and managerial emphasis, we include them in the model. The similar formulation is adopted for Equation 8-9. 18 '/$௧ = ସ + ସଵ × '/$,௧ିଵ + ସଶ × "#,௧ିଵ + ସଷ × $௧ + ସହ × !"ℎ௧ + ∑ୀଵ )ସ × ௧ + *ସ௧ (8) !"ℎ௧ = ହ + ହଵ × !"ℎ,௧ିଵ + ହଶ × "#,௧ିଵ + ହଷ × Innovativeness௧ + ହସ × '/$௧ + ∑ୀଵ )ହ × ௧ + *ହ௧ (9) Lastly, we model the mediators’ effect on productivity after controlling exporting as '௧ = + ଵ × ',௧ିଵ + ଶ × "#,௧ିଵ + ଷ × $௧ + ସ × '/$௧ + ହ × !"ℎ௧ + ∑ୀଵ ) × ௧ + *௧ (10) This model formulation allows us to examine the direct and indirect LBE effects, and test for the existence of the three learning mechanisms (Mackinnon, Lockwood, Hoffman, West, & Sheets, 2002; Preacher & Hayes, 2008). We use a generalized estimating equation (GEE) with maximum likelihood estimation for our proposed model (Equation 5-10). GEE is used to estimate a generalized linear model for the crosssectional longitudinal data, which assumes and deals with within-subject error dependence (Hardin & Hilbe, 2003). GEE performs a more consistent, robust, and efficient parameter estimation when withinsubject error dependence is present (Burton, Gurrin, & Sly, 1998). RESULTS Table 1 shows the descriptive statistics and the correlation matrix among the key variables. The correlations among the key variables are in line with our expectations. ________________________________ Insert Table 1 about here ________________________________ Regression results: main effects 19 In Table 2a, we display estimation results of 6 models corresponding to equation 5-10. ________________________________ Insert Table 2a about here ________________________________ The results of Model 1 demonstrate the positive and significant effect of exporting on productivity, which strongly supports the LBE theory. The results of Models 3, 4 and 5 show that firms increase their inputs to innovativeness, production capability improvement, and managerial emphasis if involved in exporting. Meanwhile, the results of Models 2 and 6 show that the estimates of these three variables are all positive and significant, which means that a firm’s inputs to them eventually lead to enhanced firm productivity. Mediating effects We use two tests to examine the mediation effects. Baron and Kenny (1986) proposed three necessary conditions for the presence of a mediation effect. The mediation effect exists when we can establish: first, that the key variable (export) impacts on the dependent variable (productivity); second, that the key variable influences the mediators, and third, that the mediators affect the dependent variable after controlling for the influence of the key variable. The results shown in Table 2a satisfy all three conditions. Therefore H1, H2, and H3 are supported. There are other statistical methods to test for the mediation effects, using the difference in the coefficients or the product of coefficients, and most of these methods actually lead to similar conclusions (Mackinnon et al., 2002). Due to the fact that the product approach has a higher statistical power while maintaining acceptable control over the Type I error rate (Preacher & Hayes, 2008), we further adopted the Sobel (1982) test for the mediation effect (Ndofor, Sirmon, & He, 2011). The results of the mediating effect tests are shown in Table 2b. The mediation effects of the three mediators are all statistically significant. Hence, the results of the Sobel (1982) test provide further support for H1, H2, and H3. We also calculated the effect ratio for each of the three mediators. According to Jose (2008), it is a full 20 mediation when the effect ratio is no lower than 0.8; otherwise, it is a partial mediation. According to the results, all three mediators are partial mediation effects. ________________________________ Insert Table 2b about here ________________________________ Industry differences We performed two tests to examine differential learning mechanisms for industries with different levels of export and R&D intensity. The results are reported in Table 3a, and Table 3b, respectively. _________________________________________ Insert Table3a and Table 3b about here _________________________________________ Export intensity. Table 3a Columns 1-3 summarize the estimates of key variables in the above 6 models for firms with low, medium, and high export intensity. For firms with low export intensity, using the rules by Baron and Kenny (1986), we conclude that there is learning through production capability improvement and managerial emphasis, but not through innovativeness, since exporting does not have a significant and positive influence on innovativeness as shown in Model 3. For firms with a high level of export intensity, the results shown in Model 4 suggest that they learn through innovativeness and managerial emphasis, but not through production capability improvement. The overall learning effect is very trivial because the estimate of the export dummy in Model 1 is insignificant. In comparison, firms with a medium level of export intensity learn from all three sources. This supports H4. In the left panel of Table 3b we present the results of the Sobel (1982) test for mediation effects and find consistent results. R&D Intensity. Similarly, Table 3a Columns 4-6 summarize the estimates of key variables in the above 6 models for firms with low, medium, and high R&D intensity. For firms with a low R&D intensity, we conclude that there is learning through innovativeness and managerial emphasis, but not through production capability improvement. This is because the positive relationship between production capability improvement and productivity is not significant as shown in Model 2 and 6. In comparison, 21 firms with medium and high levels of R&D intensity learn from all of the proposed mechanisms. This is in support of H5. In the right section of Table 3b we also report the results of the Sobel (1982) test for mediation effects and find consistent results. Robustness checks To assess the robustness of our findings, we run several variants of our proposed model. First, our study consists of a system of equations (Equation 5 to 10). It could be argued that the dependent variables (e.g. innovativeness, production capability improvement, and managerial emphasis) are endogenously determined because some of them appear on both sides of the system of equations. To rule out this concern, we performed a 2-stage least square (2SLS) estimation on the simultaneous equation system (Greene, 2003). Second, we propose an unstructured variance-covariance option, but it is be possible that a firm’s productivity levels and decisions (e.g. new products sales, capital investment, and management expenses) are highly and systematically correlated across time. We therefore tested our model with a firstorder autoregressive (AR1) error correlation structure. Third, we adopted the most parsimonious variancecovariance structure and assumed an independently identical distributed –i.i.d. error term, i.e. ordinary least square (OLS) estimation for each of the equations. The results are consistent with our findings, and available for checking upon request. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Drawing from the literature and theories in international business and strategy, we postulated that the learning mechanisms underlying the LBE effect are multifaceted based on the tenets presented in the organizational learning literature (Huber, 1991; Dierkes et al., 2003). That is, firms that export, especially those from a developing or emerging economy like China, can acquire and exploit diverse knowledge within technological, production, and managerial domains, leading to productivity gains for the whole of organization. Through this study, we find significant and robust empirical evidence that innovativeness, production capability improvements, and managerial emphasis serve to mediate the relationship between 22 exporting and productivity, thus contributing to the literature by ‘opening the black box’ on the LBE effect. This expanded LBE learning perspective is consistent with existing organizational learning literature. Knowledge transfer can be achieved when firms export (Aw et al., 2000), acquire or merge with other firms (Bresman, Birkenshaw, & Nobel, 1999), form strategic alliances (Mowery et al., 1996), or establish subsidiaries in foreign markets (Minbaeva et al., 2003). However, knowledge acquisition, transformation and exploitation are integral steps in making a facility fully operational, and their role extends beyond the simple process of knowledge transfer. Our model highlights the importance of the later stages of absorbing and leveraging the acquired knowledge. Our study further demonstrates that there is industry heterogeneity in the underlying learning mechanism with respect to the different export and R&D intensities. Our results show that firms in industries of non-low R&D and medium export intensities benefit the most from the LBE effect. Our findings are in congruence with the absorptive capacity (Cohen & Levinthal, 1990; Zahra & George, 2002) and export threshold (Castellani, 2002) views, which postulate R&D-intensive industries have a greater capability and motivation to learn, and that learning would occur in accordance with an optimal level of exporting. Findings from our study offer a number of strategic insights to firm managers. First, we establish that it is not the exporting behavior in itself that drives productivity gain, but it is the underlying diverse experience and knowledge obtained through exporting. Firms that exhibit learning are those who are the most adept at their own organizational processes and who can fully integrate and exploit the benefits of their international experience (Zahra & George, 2002). Our multifaceted learning model suggests that productivity gains can be achieved in multiple ways and that learning capabilities are dynamic (Teece, Pisano, and Shuen, 1997). Second, the three mediating mechanisms are in themselves highly desirable organization outcomes. It is likely that each mechanism requires different resource sets and top management attention. Our findings underscore the benefits that exporting can bring to firms, especially those in emerging markets, e.g., diverse technological, production, and managerial knowledge that can increase firm productivity. Furthermore, our findings highlight the importance and benefits of 23 management’s learning capabilities and processes within the firm: acquiring new knowledge from abroad, transforming it and exploiting it within a firm’s operations. Depending on the effectiveness of each learning mechanism and the availability of resources, a firm’s top management needs to assess the potential trade-offs between these learning mechanisms, deciding which mechanism or combination would be most beneficial to the firm’s international activities or overall productivity. Our study also has implications for policy makers. Firstly, as we have shown, learning through exporting is multidimensional. Thus, it can be seen that encouraging exporting not only provides new technological knowledge, but it also can introduce new production and managerial knowledge to firms in different industries. Secondly, since we have found that R&D-intensive industries learn more from exporting, more should be done to encourage R&D investments in low R&D industries in order to increase their absorptive capacity at the industry level, which can further facilitate international knowledge transfer and learning. Government policies that subsidize and reward R&D spending (such as China’s recent indigenous innovation policy) may in fact be effective not only in boosting domestic innovation, but may also have the additional benefit of spurring learning by exporting effects at both the firm and industry levels. Thus, specific policies to encourage R&D investments in low R&D industries may be constructive. Thirdly, our findings with respect to export intensity show that policy makers should be aware of the optimal (moderate) level of exporting, and appreciate the fact that the learning by exporting effects are less salient in industries for which export levels are either too high or low. Thus, more emphasis should be put on encouraging exporting in low export industries. Eliminating trade barriers or promoting economic policies, which encourage trade in protected or low export industries, may encourage knowledge transfer, organizational learning and higher levels of productivity in these industries. This study has caveats that invite future research efforts. First, we have identified three learning mechanisms pertinent to the LBE effect. It is possible that other core processes (e.g. resource alignment) may also mediate a firm’s productivity gain. Second, we initially proposed that it is not the exporting behavior itself, but that instead it is the accumulated experience and knowledge obtained from exporting 24 that lead to productivity enhancement. By acquiring measures of the contents of experience and knowledge, the details of the learning process can be examined. Therefore, it would be useful to examine and validate the relevant explanations through executive surveys in a future study. Third, besides export level and R&D intensity, it is also likely that other industry characteristics (e.g. competition) can moderate the LBE effect. Future research would be well served to delve more deeply into this domain. Lastly, we empirically test our model with Chinese private firms from 2001 to 2007. While China may be an exemplary country among emerging market economies, the generalizability of our results is yet to be established through future studies of different contexts. Notes 1 We repeat our investigation by replacing new product sales with R&D expenses as the measure for firm’s level of innovativeness (e.g., Gulati et al., 2009; Soh, 2010). The results are consistent and available for checking upon request. 2 We repeat our test by using new product sales as the outcome measure for firm’s commitment to technology improvement and innovation (e.g. Gatingon and Xuereb, 1997; Sengupta, 1998). The results are consistent and available for checking upon request. 25 References Aitken, B., Hanson, G. H., & Harrison, A. 1997. Spillovers foreign investment, and export behavior. Journal of International Economics, 43(1-2): 103–132. Almeida, P. 1996. Knowledge sourcing by foreign multinationals: patent citation analysis in the U.S. semiconductor industry. Strategic Management Journal, Winter Special Issue 17: 155–165. Alvarez, R., & Lopez, R. A. 2005. Exporting and performance: evidence from Chilean plants. The Canadian Journal of Economics, 38(4): 1384-1400. Andersen, O. 1993. On the internationalization process of firms – a critical analysis. Journal of International Business Studies, 24: 209-231. Arellano, M. 2003. Panel data econometrics. Oxford University Press: New York, NY. Argote, L., Beckman, S. L., & Epple D. 1990. The persistence and transfer of learning in industrial settings. Management Science, 36(2) 140–154. Arnold, J. M., & Hussinger, K. 2005. Export behavior and firm productivity in German manufacturing: a firm-level analysis. Review of World Economics, 141(2): 219-243. Aw, B. Y., Chung, S., & Roberts, M. J. 2000. Productivity and turnover in the export market: Micro evidence from Taiwan and South Korea. World Bank Economic Review, 14(1): 65–90. Aw, B. Y., Roberts, M. J., & Xu, D. Y. 2008. R&D Investments, exporting, and the evolution of firm productivity. American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 98(2): 451–456. Ballinger, G. A. 2004. Using generalized estimating equations for longitudinal data analysis. Organizational Research Methods, 7: 127–150. Barkema, H. G., & Vermeulen, F. 1998. International expansion through start-up or acquisition: a learning perspective. Academy of Management Journal, 41: 7-26. Barney, J. B. 1991. Firm resources and sustained competitive advantage. Journal of Management, 17(1): 99–120. Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. 1986. The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality & Social Psychology, 51: 1173–1182. Bartlett, C. A., & Ghoshal, S.1987. Managing across borders: new strategic requirements. Sloan Management Review, 28(4): 7-17. Bernard, A. B., & Jensen, J. B. 1999. Exceptional exporter performance: cause, effect, or both? Journal of International Economics, 47(1): 1–25. Blalock, G., & Gertler, P. J. 2004. Learning from exporting revisited in a less developed setting. Journal of Developmental Economics, 75(2): 397-416. Bresman, H., & Birkenshaw, J., Nobel R. 1999. Knowledge transfer in international acquisitions. Journal of International Business Studies, 30(3): 439–462. Buckley, P. J., Clegg, J., & Wang, C. 2007. Is the relationship between inward FDI and spillover effects linear? An empirical examination of the case of China. Journal of International Business Studies, 38(3): 447–459. Burton, P., Gurrin, L., & Sly, P. 1998. Extending the simple linear regression model to account for correlated responses: an introduction to generalized estimating equations and multi-level mixed modeling. Statistics in Medicine, 17(11): 1261–1291. Cai, H., & Liu, Q. 2009. Competition and corporate tax avoidance: evidence from the Chinese industrial firms. The Economic Journal, 119: 764-795. Cantwell, J. 1989. Technological Innovation and Multinational Corporations. Basil Blackwell, Oxford. Cassiman, B., & Golovko, E. 2011. Innovation and internationalization through exports. Journal of International Business Studies, 42:56-75. Castellani, D. 2002. Export Behavior and Productivity Growth: evidence from Italian manufacturing firms. Review of World Economics, 138: 605–628. Cavusgil, S. T., & Nevin, J. R. 1981. Internal determinants of export marketing behavior-an empirical investigation. Journal of Marketing Research, 18(1): 114-119. 26 Child, J., & Rodrigues, S. B. 2005. The internationalization of Chinese firms: a case for theoretical extension?' Management and Organization Review, 1(3): 381-410. Clerides, S., Lach, S., & Tybout, J. 1998. Is Learning by Exporting Important: micro-dynamic evidence from Colombia, Mexico and Morocco. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113: 903-947. Cohen, W. M., & Levinthal, D. A. 1990. Absorptive capacity: a new perspective on learning and innovation. Administrative Science Quarterly, 35(1): 128–152. Crespi, G., Criscuolo, C., & Haskel, J. 2008. Productivity, exporting, and the learning-by-exporting hypothesis: direct evidence from UK firms. Canadian Journal of Economics, 41(2): 619-638. David, F. 2005. Strategic Management-Concepts and Cases, 10th Ed. Prentice-Hall. Upper Saddle River, NJ. Dierkes, M., Berthoin-Antal, A., Child, J., & Nonaka, I. (eds). 2003. Handbook of Organizational Learning and Knowledge, Oxford University Press. Djankov, S., & Hoekman, B. 2000. Foreign investment and productivity growth in Czech enterprises. The World Bank Review of Economics, 14(1): 49-64. Eckaus, R. S. 2006. China's exports, subsidies to state owned enterprises and the WTO. China Economic Review. 17(1): 1-13. Fernandes, A., & Isgut, A. 2007. Learning-by-exporting effects: are they for real? The World Bank mimeo. Fiol, C. M., & Lyles, M. A. 1985. Organizational learning. Academy of Management Review, 10(4): 803– 813. Gatignon, H., & Xuereb, J-M. 1997. Strategic orientation of the firm new product performance. Journal of Marketing Research, 34(1):77–90. Gomez-Mejia, L. R. 1988. The role of human resources strategy in export performance: a longitudinal study. Strategic Management Journal, 9(5):493-505. Grant, R. M. 1996. Prospering in dynamically-competitive environments: organizational capability as knowledge integration. Organization Science, 7(4): 375-387. Greene, W. H. 2003. Econometric analysis. 5th Ed. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall. Griffith, R., Huergo, E., & Mairesse, J., & Peters, B. 2006. Innovation and productivity across four European countries. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 22(4): 483-498. Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. 1991. Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth. European Economic Review, 35(3): 517–526. Grueber, M., & Studt T. 2010. 2011 Global R&D Funding Forecast. R&D Magazine, December. Gulati, R., Lavie, D., & Singh, H. 2009. The nature of partnering experience and the gains from alliances. Strategic Management Journal, 30: 1213-1233. Hall, B. H. 2011. Innovation and productivity. NBER Working Paper Series No. 17178. Hardin, G. W., & Hilbe, J. M. 2003. Generalized Estimating Equations. Chapman & Hall/CRC: Boca Raton: FL. Hill, C. W. L. 2003. International Business: Competing in the Global Marketplace. McGraw-Hill: Boston, MA. Huber, G. P. 1991. Organizational learning: The contributing processes and the literatures. Organization Science, 2(1): 88–115. Huselid, M. A., Jackson, S. E., & Schuler, R. S. 1997. Technical and strategic human resource management effectiveness as determinants of firm performance. The Academy of Management Journal, 40(1): 171-188. Iyer, G. R., LaPlaca, P. J., & Sharma, A.2006. Innovation and new product introductions in emerging markets: strategic recommendations for the Indian market. Strategic Management Journal, 35(3): 373-382. Jose, P. 2008. Workshop on statistical mediation and moderation: statistical mediation. SASP Conference, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, 27 March. Keller, W. 2004. International technology diffusion. Journal of Economic Literature, 42(3): 752-782. 27 Knight, G. A., & Cavusgil, S. T. 2004. Innovation, organizational capabilities and the born-global firm, Journal of International Business Studies, 35(2): 124-141. Koch, M. J., McGrath, R. G. 1996. Improving labor productivity: human resource management policies do matter. Strategic Management Journal, 17 (5): 335-354. Kogut, B., & Chang, S. J. 1991. Technological capabilities and Japanese foreign direct investment in the United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 73(3): 401-413. Lages, L. F., Jap, S. D., & Griffith, D. A. 2008. The role of past performance in export ventures: a shortterm reactive approach. Journal of International Business Studies, 39: 304-325. Levitt, B., & March, J. G. 1988. Organizational learning. Annual Review of Sociology, 14: 319–340. Li, T., & Calantone, R. J. 1998. The impact of market knowledge competence on new product advantage: conceptualization and empirical examination. Journal of Marketing, 62(4): 13-29. Liu, X., & Buck, T. 2007. Innovation performance and channels for international technology spillovers: evidence from Chinese high-tech industries. Research Policy, 36: 355-366. Luo, Y. D. 2003. Industrial dynamics and managerial networking in an emerging market: The case of China. Strategic Management Journal, 24: 1315‐1327. Luo, Y. D., & Tung, R.L. 2007. International expansion of emerging market enterprises: A springboard perspective. Journal of International Business Studies, 38(4): 481‐498. Luo, Y. D., Xue, Q. & Han, B. 2010. How emerging market governments promote outward FDI: Experience from China. Journal of World Business, 45(1): 68‐79. Luo, Y. D., Zhao, H. X., Wang, Y. H. & Xi, Y.M. 2011. Venturing abroad by emerging market enterprises: A test of dual strategic intents, Management International Review, 51(4): 433‐460. MacKinnon, D. P., Lockwood, C. M., Hoffman, J. M., West, S. G., & Sheets, V. 2002. A comparison of methods to test mediation and other intervening variable effects. Psychological Methods,7(1):83–104. Makino, S., Lau, C. M., & Yeh, R. S. 2002. Asset‐exploitation versus asset‐seeking: Implications for localization choice of foreign direct investment from newly industrialized economies. Journal of International Business Studies, 33: 403‐422. Minbaeva, D., Pederson, T., Bjorkman, I., Fey, C. F., & Park, H. J. 2003. MNC knowledge transfer, subsidiary absorptive capacity, and HRM. Journal of International Business Studies, 34(6): 586-599. Miyagiwa, K., Ohno, Y. 1995. Closing the technology gap under protection. American Economic Review, 85 (4): 755–770. Mowery, D. C., Oxley, J. E., & Silverman, B. S. 1996. Strategic alliances and interfirm knowledge transfer. Strategic Management Journal, 17(Special Issue): 77-91. Ndofor, H. A., Sirmon, D. G., He, X. 2011. Firm resources, competitive actions and performance: investigating a mediated model with evidence from the in-vitro diagnostics industry. Strategic Management Journal, 32: 640-657. Nelson, R., & Rosenberg, N. 1993. Technical innovation and national systems. In National Innovation Systems, Nelson R (eds.). Oxford University Press: Oxford. Nolan, P. 2001. China and the Global Economy: National Champions, Industrial Policy and the Big Business Revolution, Palgrave Macmillan. Olley, S. G., Pakes, A. 1996. The dynamics of productivity in the telecommunications equipment industry. Econometrica, 64 (6): 1263–1297. Penner-Hahn, J., & Shaver, J. M. 2005. Does international research and development increase patent output? An analysis of Japanese pharmaceutical firms. Strategic Management Journal, 26(2): 121– 140. Porter, M. E. 1990. The competitive advantage of nations. New York: The Free Press. Preacher, J. P., & Hayes, A. F. 2008. Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models. Behavior Research Methods, 40(3): 879-891. Prescott, E. C. 1997. Needed: a theory of total factor productivity. International Economic Review, 39(3): 525-551. Rogers, E. M. 2003. Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press, New York, NY. 28 Salomon, R. 2006. Spillovers to foreign market participants: assessing the impact of export strategies on innovative productivity. Strategic Organization, 4(2): 135-164. Salomon, R., & Jin, B. 2008. Does knowledge spill to leaders or laggards? Exploring industry heterogeneity in learning by exporting. Journal of International Business Studies, 39 (1): 132-150. Salomon, R., & Jin, B. 2010. Do leading or lagging firms learn more from exporting? Strategic Management Journal, 31 (10): 1088-1113. Salomon, R., & Shaver, J. M. 2005a. Export and Domestic Sales: Their Interrelationship and Determinants. Strategic Management Journal, 26: 855-871. Salomon, R., Shaver, J. M. 2005b. Learning by Exporting: New Insights from Examining Firm Innovation. Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 14 (2): 431-460. Schein, E. (1985). Organizational Culture and Leadership. Jossey Bass, San Francisco, CA. Schuler, R., Dowling, P., & De Cieri, H. 1993. An integrative framework of strategic international human resource management. International Journal of Human Resource Management, 1: 717-764. Schumpeter, J. 1950. Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy (3rd edn). Harper & Row: New York. Sengupta, S. 1998. Some approaches to complementary product strategy. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 15(4):352–67. Serti, F., & Tomasi, C. 2008. Self-selection and post-entry effects of exports: evidence from Italian manufacturing firms. Review of World Economics, 144 (4): 660–694. Shaver, J. M. 2011. The benefits of geographic sales diversification: how exporting facilitates capital investment. Strategic Management Journal, 32 (10): 1046-1060. Siegel, D. S, & Simons, K. L. 2010. Assessing the effects of mergers and acquisitions on firm performance, plant productivity, and workers: new evidence from matched employer-employee data. Strategic Management Journal, 31 (8): 903-916 Slater, S. F., & Narver, J. C. 1995. Market orientation and the learning organization. The Journal of Marketing, 59(3): 63-74. Sobel, M. E. 1982. Asymptotic confidence intervals for indirect effects in structural equation models. In Sociological Methodology, Leinhart, S. (eds.). Jossey-Bass: San Francisco, CA; 290–312. Soh, P-H. 2010. Network patterns and competitive advantage before the emergence of a dominant design, Strategic Management Journal, 31: 438-61. Sun, X., & Hong, J. 2011. Exports, ownership, and firm productivity: evidence from China. The World Economy, 34(7): 1199-1215. Taylor, S., Beechler, S., & Napier, N. 1996. Towards an integrative model of strategic international human resource management. Academy of Management Review, 21: 959-985. Teece, D., Pisano G., & Shuen, A. 1997. Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strategic Management Journal, 18: 509-533. Wang, Z., & Wei, S. J. 2010. What accounts for the rising sophistication of China's exports? In Feenstra, Robert & Shang-Jin Wei (eds.), China's growing role in world trade, University of Chicago Press. Wright, P. M., & McMahan, G. C. 1992. Theoretical perspective for strategic human resource management. Journal of Management, 18(2): 295-320. Yasar, M, Nelson, C. H., & Rejesus, R. 2006. Productivity and exporting status of manufacturing firms: evidence from quantile regressions. Review of World Economics, 142: 675-694. Yasar, M., Raciborski, R., & Poi, B. 2008. Production function estimation in Stata using the Olley and Pakes method. Stata Journal, 8(2): 221-231. Zahra, S. A., George, G. 2002. Absorptive capacity: a review, reconceptualization, and extension. Academy of Management Review, 27 (2):185-203. Zahra, S. A., Ireland, D. R., Hitt, M. A. 2000. International expansion by new venture firms: international diversity, mode of market entry, technological learning, and performance. The Academy of Management Journal, 43(5): 925-950. Zhang, Y., Li, H., Li, Y., Zhou, L. 2010. FDI spillovers in an emerging market: the role of foreign firms’ country origin diversity and domestic firms’ absorptive capacity. Strategic Management Journal, 31: 969-989. 29 Figure 1. Multi-mechanism learning-by-exporting exporting model 30 Table 1. Correlation and sample statistics N=249,326 Mean Std. Dev. Min Max 1 1. Productivity (t) 1.18 0.33 -7.38 11.49 1.00 2. Productivity (t-1) 1.17 0.33 -4.91 10.39 0.42 1.00 3. Export (t) 0.19 0.40 0.00 1.00 0.12 0.12 4. Export (t-1) 0.21 0.41 0.00 1.00 0.11 0.12 0.84 1.00 5. Innovativeness (t) 0.61 2.27 0.00 15.83 0.16 0.16 0.43 0.40 1.00 6. Innovativeness (t-1) 0.65 2.31 0.00 15.52 0.15 0.16 0.42 0.42 0.85 7. Production capability improvement (t) 6.12 2.31 0.00 15.30 0.18 0.17 0.31 0.30 0.33 0.33 1.00 8. Production capability improvement (t-1) 6.01 2.26 0.00 15.30 0.16 0.17 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.69 1.00 9. Managerial emphasis (t) 2.03 2.99 -0.69 12.66 0.17 0.18 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.35 0.51 0.52 10. Managerial emphasis (t-1) 1.24 2.45 0.00 11.73 0.18 0.19 0.34 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.58 0.60 0.72 1.00 11. Firm age 6.43 9.39 0.00 30 0.07 0.09 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.20 1.00 12. Firm size 8.03 1.44 0.00 15.53 0.18 0.18 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.78 0.74 0.61 0.69 0.28 1.00 13. Subsidies 0.46 1.56 0.00 14.21 0.08 0.08 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.30 0.09 0.32 1.00 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1.00 1.00 1.00 31 Table2a. Estimation results: GEE (unstructured) Model1 Productivity Lag export Productivity 0.010*** (0.001) Innovativeness Production cap. improvement Managerial emphasis Lag productivity Model 2 0.372*** (0.002) 0.005*** (0.000) 0.003*** (0.000) 0.003*** (0.000) 0.368*** (0.002) Lag innovativeness Lag production cap. improvement Lag managerial emphasis Firm size 0.010*** (0.000) Firm age 0.000** (0.000) Subsidy 0.002*** (0.000) Constant 0.645*** (0.007) Number of obs. 266,649 0.004*** (0.000) 0.000* (0.000) 0.001*** (0.000) 0.652*** (0.007) Model3 Model4 Model5 Model6 Production Managerial Innovativeness Capability Productivity Emphasis Improvement 0.080*** 0.049*** 0.204*** 0.005*** (0.010) (0.009) (0.011) (0.001) 0.007*** 0.021*** 0.005*** (0.001) (0.002) (0.000) 0.014*** 0.037*** 0.003*** (0.002) (0.002) (0.000) 0.024*** 0.029*** 0.003*** (0.002) (0.002) (0.000) 0.367*** (0.002) 0.621*** (0.002) 0.188*** (0.002) 0.102*** (0.002) 0.077*** 0.842*** 0.311*** 0.004*** (0.004) (0.003) (0.004) (0.000) 0.001** 0.001*** -0.000 0.000* (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) 0.060*** 0.028*** 0.083*** 0.001*** (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.000) -0.472*** -1.980*** 2.485*** 0.653*** (0.048) (0.044) (0.057) (0.007) 266,649 266,649 266,649 266,649 * p<0.10; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01; all two-tailed tests; Standard errors listed in (parentheses). Key estimates are in BOLD; estimates for industry, time, and provincial dummies are omitted. Table 2b. Sobel (1982) test of mediation effect c a Mediators Innovativeness 0.01 0.080 Production capability improvement 0.01 0.049 Managerial emphasis 0.01 0.204 σa 0.010 0.009 0.011 b 0.005 0.003 0.003 σb 0.000 0.000 0.000 Z 8.01*** 5.44*** 18.54*** 266,649 Effect ratio 0.040 0.015 0.061 Note: Z = a × b/aଶ σଶୠ + b ଶ σଶୟ ; Effectratio = a × b/c; * p<0.10; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01; all two-tailed tests. a is the effect of Export on each mediator; b is the effect of each mediator on Productivity; and c is the effect of Export on Productivity. 32 Table 3a. Estimation results for industries with different levels of export and R&D intensity Model Model 1 Dep. Var. Productivity Ind. Var. Lag export Model 2 Productivity Innovativeness Production cap. improvement Managerial emphasis Model 3 Innovativeness Lag export Model 4 Lag export Model 5 Production cap. improvement Managerial emphasis Lag export Model 6 Productivity Lag export Innovativeness Production cap. improvement Managerial emphasis Number of obs. Low 0.029*** (0.005) 0.008*** (0.001) 0.004*** (0.001) 0.003*** (0.001) -0.042 (0.028) 0.085*** (0.029) 0.204*** (0.035) 0.016*** (0.005) 0.008*** (0.001) 0.004*** (0.001) 0.003*** (0.000) 66,767 Export intensity Med High 0.016*** -0.001 (0.002) (0.002) 0.005*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.003*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.001) 0.003*** 0.004*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.102*** 0.076*** (0.015) (0.016) 0.058*** 0.019 (0.013) (0.013) 0.193*** 0.128*** (0.016) (0.017) 0.010*** -0.003 (0.002) (0.002) 0.005*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.002*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.001) 0.003*** 0.004*** (0.000) (0.001) 133,329 66,553 * p<0.10; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01; all two-tailed tests; standard errors listed in (parentheses). Estimates for control variables are omitted. Low 0.015*** (0.003) 0.009*** (0.001) 0.001 (0.001) 0.004*** (0.001) 0.143*** (0.019) 0.073*** (0.020) 0.279*** (0.024) 0.007** (0.003) 0.008*** (0.001) 0.001 (0.001) 0.004*** (0.001) 61,041 R&D Intensity Med High 0.008*** 0.008*** (0.002) (0.002) 0.005*** 0.004*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.004*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.001) 0.003*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.076*** 0.069*** (0.015) (0.018) 0.048*** 0.043*** (0.015) (0.013) 0.210*** 0.163*** (0.017) (0.017) 0.003 0.004* (0.002) (0.002) 0.005*** 0.004*** (0.000) (0.000) 0.004*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.001) 0.003*** 0.003*** (0.000) (0.000) 110,879 94,729 33 Table 3b. Sobel (1982) test of mediation effects for industries with different levels of export and R&D intensity Mediators Innovativeness Production capability improvement Managerial emphasis Low Z Effect ratio Z Effect ratio Z Effect ratio -1.47 N.S. 2.36** 0.012 2.67*** 0.021 Export intensity Med high 6.8*** 0.032 4.46*** 0.037 12.06*** 0.036 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. Low 5.48*** 0.076 0.96 N.S. 3.78*** 0.074 R&D intensity Med High 5.07*** 0.048 3.2*** 0.024 12.35*** 0.079 3.83*** 0.035 2.22** 0.016 9.59*** 0.061 Note: Z = a × b/aଶ σଶୠ + b ଶ σଶୟ ; Effectratio = a × b/c; * p<0.10; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01; all two-tailed tests. a is the effect of Export on each mediator; b is the effect of each mediator on Productivity; and c is the effect of Export on Productivity. ‘N.S.’ stands for ‘Not Significant’; ‘N.A.’ stands for ‘Not Applicable’, because there is no learning effect based on non-significant effect of Export on Productivity in Model 1.
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz