Public Issues Nº 882 - www.lyd.org- Email:[email protected] August 18, 2008 ISSN 0717-1528 Transportation Subsidy: Who Benefits? The Chamber of Deputies recently Lowering Fares in Regions? passed the legislative bill creating a Public The Government has requested a subsiTransportation Subsidy in Chile. The bill was dy of US$ 420 million annually to finance a refirst presented to replace the current student duction in student bus fares; half of this amount subsidy, which gives students reduced transit is earmarked for regions outside of Santiago. fares. However, ultimately this subsidy mixes the problem of the Transantiago operating defThe allocation of these reicit with a subsidy mechanism sources will not involve direct for some public transportation payment to those who use pubfares in Chile’s regions. The law establishing lic transportation but will be public transportation paid to operators with a certain The Government has said subsidies does not provide for level of service and, where this that this subsidy will prevent incentives for operators to is not possible, will be pumped public transportation fares in improve the system. Such into the budget of the FNDR Santiago from rising above improvements presently and other public funds to im$650, and will stop the rise in fares that is occurring in other depend solely on the Ministry prove local transport infrastrucof Transportation, whose ture and regional connectivity. regions due to rising fuel and teams designed a defective other public transport related system, and brought it online But operators will only receive costs. without first ensuring the funds under future service tenBut this new injection of basic conditions were in place der agreements and only in fiscal resources into the public for its proper operation. And municipalities with more than they have not been able to 50,000 inhabitants;1 in other transportation system holds no guarantees that fares will drop solve the problems that have words, it is not going to happen arisen. soon. in regions nor that the subsidy will benefit those who most Between now and then, need it. Neither does it ensure allocations of these funds is not automatic and that the quality of service of Transantiago will will depend on the success of negotiations beimprove and its deficit be controlled. tween the Ministry of Transportation and current operators. In practice, therefore, this subsidy seeks to keep alive an inefficient system and a Under the new bill, to receive the subsidy scheme of supposed compensations for those operators have to meet conditions such as living in regions, and may actually generate “fare levels, service quality, control and other more problems than it solves. mechanisms, in the proposals they submit for En esta edición: Subsidio al Transporte: ¿A Quién Beneficia? Semana Corrida, Mayores Costos para el País 1 Table 1: Benefits of Subsidy by Household Income Quintile Population Quintile Distrib. 1 2 3 4 5 24.20% 21.70% 20.60% 18.00% 15.60% Subsidy distribution Increase as % of income Supply Demand Supply Demand 21.30% 48.00% 5.00% 11.40% 22.80% 52.00% 3.10% 7.00% 24.00% 0.00% 2.20% 0.00% 20.70% 0.00% 1.30% 0.00% 11.20% 0.00% 0.30% 0.00% Income distribution Current Sup. Sub. Demand Sub. 5.40% 5,60% 5.90% 9.20% 9,40% 9.80% 13.50% 13,60% 13.30% 20.00% 20,00% 19.80% 51.90% 51,40% 51.30% Source: INE, Encuesta de Presupuesto Familiar 2006-2007 Percentage of total spending on on bus and subway: Encuesta de presupuesto Familiar 1996 -1997 through the establishment of operating conditions. The same thing occurred in Santiago, where services were tendered afterwards, and the risk exists that the results will be the same as with Transantiago, with an escalating round of deficits that will require ever higher subsidies and deliver every poorer service to public transit users. tender for specific routes, within set perimeters, and for cases where operating conditions are established for non-tendered services.” In other words, the fare reduction is not automatic or mandatory and funds transferred may be used to improve other aspects of service. In areas where the operator chooses not to negotiate or does not reach an agreement with the Ministry, as well as in all towns with less then 50,000 In municipalities with more inhabitants, the subsidy will be than 50,000 inhabitants, where unSimply throwing allocated to the FNDR to fund regulated services are present, more and more money at investments in infrastructure, there are also exclusion perimeters the system will only cover management and/or improvethat establish where the subsidy will the deficit without ments in transit systems, repavand will not be in force. correcting the system’s ing and minor works. Considerdefects. Once these terms are agreed ing that current forecasts indiupon, the Ministry must issue an cate that the Government is at invitation to tender or enter into dithe limit in regard to achieving rect negotiations with those firms presently opthe structural budget surplus rule, it follows that erating. This process will establish a series of the funds earmarked for the FNDR will be takconditions making operators provide service en from other pubic programs (ultimately the with certain features at an agreed upon fare FNDR itself). level, in exchange for the transfer of funds that In sum, the fare reduction announced by will compensate for that fare reduction or imthe Government for regions is not guaranteed proved service. and must be negotiated with current transit opThis could be the first step towards reguerators. It also includes exclusion zones where lating public transport across the country, the subsidy will not be in effect. Infecting the Regions with Transantiago? 2 It will be hard to make this scheme work Graph Nº1: Montly Subsidy per Household by 25000 21711 23200 20000 15000 10000 9504 10241 10764 Table 1 shows that this mechanism delivers one third of the subsidy amount Income Quintile to the wealthiest 40% of inhabitants of Greater Santiago, a segSupply Subsidy ment that concentrates 72% of Demand Subsidy total income, while the poorest 20% will receive only 21% of the resources earmarked for the subsidy. 9310 5012 5000 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 If a subsidy based on demand was used and targeted the poorest 40% of transit users, then the poorest 20% would receive 48% of the subsidy. Moreover, as Graph I shows, the proposed subsidy scheme will increase the monthly income of the two poorest population quintiles by $ 9,584 and $ 10,241, respectively, while delivering these resources directly to the poorest users through a demand subsidy would raise the income of these segments by $21,700 and 28,200 respectively. in the short run, and therefore there will be pressure to expand the exclusion zones, while operators scramble to obtain the largest slice of the pie possible. And while any fare reduction should not affect operator revenue, neither will it necessarily translate into better service for users, especially students, the supposed beneficiaries of the subsidy. Operators will receive a subsidy equal to the difference between the adult and student fare, regardless of the number of students they transport, which will do little to change the currently poor treatment that students receive from transit operators. In Chile’s regions, the distribution of the subsidy should be similar, although the impact on the income level of poor users will be less, as long as the operators receiving the subsidy are not obligated to use it to reduce fares. Subsidy for the neediest? Contrary to what happens with a supply side subsidy, a demand subsidy enables resources to be focalized on the poorest users. In the case of Transantiago, this could be achieved by loading BIP cards for students and poor users from the lowest income segments. Since in the best case scenario the subsidy will be handed over to transit operators, the eventual fare reduction in regions or the upholding of the current fare in Santiago, will not benefit the poorest users. Improving Quality of Service? Based on data from the Presupuestos Familiares (Family Budgets) poll of 20062 and the percentage of total expenditure spent on mass transit in 1996,3 we calculated the average monthly amount that Santiago transit users would save on transit as a result of the fare reduction4. Although the number of buses in the Transantiago system has risen from 4,500 initially to 6,400 today, kilometers traveled have increased by 43% and there has been a drop in transit accidents and a slight reduction in waiting times, the system’s deficit has not been reduced (on the contrary, it has risen) and the quality of service has not improved as much as expected. Focalization of this subsidy is very weak, since a supply side subsidy causes a reduction in fares for all users. 3 From the users’ perspective, improving the quality of service is measured in terms of shorter trip times (time spent walking, waiting, and traveling on board), as well as the level of comfort and price of trips. According to the Ministry of Transportation, the equilibrium fare is $650 today, 71% higher than the current fare. For this reason it is necessary to correct the system’s inefficiencies (underutilization of fleets, dead kilometers, etc.) and distortions (paying operators per passenger, fare levels, etc.), in order to reach financial equilibrium and reduce the need for subsidies. This means establishing incentive schemes such as payment for real demand and giving operators power to decide how they will operate, making them responsible for the quality of service and its associated costs. This will use the know how of those who know the public transport system best to optimize the system, and will reduce costs and increase revenue by involving operators in inducing demand and controlling fare evasion. Simply throwing more and more money at the system will only cover the deficit without correcting the system’s defects. Conclusions The passing of the law establishing a public transportation subsidy for the entire country will not improve the quality of service of Transantiago. Neither will it guarantee a reduction in transit fares in regions, while one third of the entire subsidy will end up benefiting the wealthiest 40% of citizens. To overcome the need to continue subsidizing such inefficiency, the Ministry of Transportation must revamp its technical teams and seek out expert assistance that can assess the technical and economic feasibility of Transantiago and recommend changes that must be made to the public transport system to enable it to deliver decent service to the inhabitants of Santiago at a reasonable price. Operators must also be competent enough to guarantee that users have transportation at all times, and operators that do not provide good service should be at risk of losing their passengers, who today have no alternative. 1 To overcome the need to continue subsidizing such inefficiency, the Ministry of Transportation must revamp its technical teams and seek out expert assistance that can assess the technical and economic feasibility of Transantiago and recommend changes that must be made to the public transport system to enable it to deliver decent service to the inhabitants of Santiago at a reasonable price. Not including the Metropolitan Region, the country has 42 municipalities with more than 50,000 inhabitants, which account for 75% of the regional population. 2 www.ine.cl 3 The 1996 survey was used because this data is not available for 2006 and only bus and Subway costs were included as these are the two modes currently subsidized 4 Including a permanent subsidy of US$ 210 million annually and a US$135 million annual subsidy from 2009 to 2011. Without making these demands, the level of service users deserve will not be achieved. Unfortunately, the law establishing public transportation subsidies does not provide for incentives for operators to improve the system. Such improvements presently depend solely on the Ministry of Transportation, whose teams designed a defective system, and brought it online without first ensuring the basic conditions were in place for its proper operation. And they have not been able to solve the problems that have arisen. 4
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