ADB BRIEFS NO. 46 NOVEMBER 2015 KEY POINTS • The right to social security for all is enshrined in the Constitution since 2002. However, the social security system has had limited coverage, especially of the poor and the informal sector. • In 2004, the SJSN Law mandated the extension of social security coverage to the entire population. In 2011, the BPJS Law stipulated two administrative bodies to implement social security programs. BPJS Health became effective in 2014, and BPJS Employment in July 2015. • Over the last decade, ADB has facilitated social security reform through support for developing laws and regulations, design of the health and pension, old-age savings, and death benefit programs, and analysis for improving fiscal sustainability of the reform. • Social security reform is a long-term and ongoing process. The government has made significant progress, but there are several challenges to be addressed—e.g., increasing informal sector participation; improved fiscal and financial management; and integrated M&E systems. SOCIAL PROTECTION BRIEF Social Security Reform and Economic Modeling Capacity Building in Indonesia Poverty and Vulnerability in Indonesia Since 1999, economic growth and the rise of the services sector in urban areas have contributed to reducing poverty in Indonesia.1 While official poverty is relatively low at 12% (30 million persons), an additional 27% of the population (65 million persons) live just above the poverty line and small shocks can drive them back into poverty.2 These poor and vulnerable people face high food price risks (especially for rice); are highly exposed to health shocks; and are either unemployed or employed in low-skilled, lowproductivity sectors.3 However, many individuals, mostly in the vulnerable category, have inadequate or no access to social protection services. Social Security Reform in Indonesia Since its amendment in 2002, the Indonesian Constitution has recognized the right to social security for all, and the responsibility of the state in the development of social security. However, the social security system has had limited coverage, covering only 12% of the total workforce. In particular, coverage for the poor and the informal sector has been limited. In the last decade, progress towards a more comprehensive provision of social security coverage has been taking place. An important milestone was the introduction of Law No. 40 on National Social Security System (SJSN Law) in 2004. The law mandated the extension of social security coverage to the entire population in the categories of health, work injury, old age, and death of the breadwinner. Building on the SJSN Law, Law No. 24 regarding Social Security Administrators (BPJS Law) was introduced in 2011. Law No. 24 is crucial as it provides a regulatory foundation for the establishment of two new national social security agencies on health and pension, whereby BPJS Health will administer health care benefits; BPJS Employment will administer employment benefits, including old-age, pension, workplace accident, and Between 1999 and 2012, poverty in Indonesia was halved from 24% to 12%. Over half of the poor each year are not poor the year before, and one-fourth of all Indonesians are in poverty at least once in a 3-year period. 3 The vulnerable are those individuals with consumption expenditure 1.0 to 1.5 times the poverty line. 1 2 ISBN 978-92-9257-216-7 (Print) ISBN 978-92-9257-217-4 (e-ISBN) ISSN 2071-7202 (Print) ISSN 2218-2675 (e-ISSN) Publication Stock No. ABF157744 ADB BRIEFS NO. 46 death benefits. The BPJS Law also improves the legal and financial structure of the social security system by legally separating the assets of the administrators from the assets of the social security funds that they manage. BPJS Health became effective in 2014, while BPJS Employment started in July 2015. The Project Since 2002, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has supported social security reform in Indonesia through technical assistance (TA) and program support.4 In December 2008, ADB approved a TA to enhance government’s implementation of social security reform and macroeconomic monitoring capacity.5 The key expected outputs are: (i) final design of the social security system, including contribution and benefit structure, and support for key implementation aspects of the system; (ii) capacity building support to the Risk Management Unit (RMU) to enhance capacity in analyzing fiscal implications and economy-wide effects of alternative social security reform options; and (iii) support for the government’s initiative to enhance its economic monitoring system to anticipate shocks that could have significant poverty, macroeconomic, and fiscal implications.6 The executing agency is the Fiscal Policy Office of the Ministry of Finance. The Directorate of Social Protection and Welfare of the Ministry of National Development Planning (BAPPENAS) was added as the implementing agency in 2013. All TA activities were completed by April 2014. Key Achievements The TA provided support in designing the universal basic coverage for health and pension, old age saving, and death benefit programs; as well as in developing the implementation plans. A white paper on social security reform was produced under the TA, which helped the government in developing the BPJS Law. A modified macrofiscal economic model was produced, which is being used by the Fiscal Policy Office in the national budget process and to produce macroeconomic forecasts. The TA also produced an actuarial model that helped the Ministry of Finance in calculating premium benefits for national health insurance (NHI) and produced an analysis on monitoring the sustainability of NHI’s finances. Other notable models included a regional economic model that is being used to examine the linkages between local economies to the national economy; and a microsimulation model on the impact of NHI on poverty, which is useful in assisting government in discussions with stakeholders. In addition to modeling and policy assistance, the TA financed nine capacity building workshops and trainings. Recommendations and Follow-on Actions Social security reform in Indonesia is a long-term and ongoing process. The government has made significant progress in implementing ambitious reforms, but there are several challenges to be addressed. First, transformation of PT Jamsostek and PT Askes into BPJS Employment and BPJS Health requires significant changes in legal, governance, organizational structure, human resources and skills, business processes, and information and technology systems. Second, fiscal sustainability of reforms requires setting appropriate benefit levels; sound fiscal risk analysis and management; as well as better collection mechanisms, especially from workers in the informal sector. Third, strong supervision and control of BPJS operations is needed to prevent corruption and fraud, ensure sound financial management, and control operational expenses. Fourth, integrated systems and operations for the two BPJS are also needed. For example, it will be very inefficient and costly if the two BPJS were to separately issue identification numbers and collect contributions from the same participants. ADB is responding to some of the aforementioned challenges through another ongoing TA that is helping government assess the financial viability of the two BPJS bodies, prepare actuarial projections, and improve the scope of coverage and fiscal sustainability of the reforms.7 The TA is also supporting the development of new business processes and procedures for the two BPJS. Given the scale of social security reforms, further technical assistance is needed, especially for fiscal and financial sustainability analysis of the National Pension Fund. Also, support is needed to develop an integrated and comprehensive national monitoring and evaluation system for NHI.8 ADB. 2005. Report and Recommendation of the President to the Board of Directors: Proposed Loans and Technical Assistance Grant to the Republic of Indonesia for Local Government Finance and Governance Reform Sector Development Program. Manila; ADB. 2008. Report and Recommendation of the President: Proposed Program Cluster and Loan for Subprogram I to the Republic of Indonesia for the Second Local Government Finance and Governance Reform Program. Manila. 5 ADB. 2008. Technical Assistance to Indonesia for Social Security Reform and Economic Modeling Capacity Building. Manila (TA 7204-INO). 6 A brief on the project was released in April 2011 (ADB. 2011. Reforming the Social Security System in Indonesia. http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/ publication/28596/ino-social-security-reform.pdf 7 ADB. 2012. Technical Assistance to Indonesia for Fiscal Aspect of Social Security Reform. Manila (TA 8202-INO). 8 The initial monitoring and evaluation workshop for NHI was conducted in March 2014 under TA 7204. 4 2 About the Asian Development Bank ADB’s vision is an Asia and Pacific region free of poverty. Its mission is to help its developing member countries reduce poverty and improve the quality of life of their people. Despite the region’s many successes, it remains home to the majority of the world’s poor. ADB is committed to reducing poverty through inclusive economic growth, environmentally sustainable growth, and regional integration. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of ADB or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB encourages printing or copying information exclusively for personal and noncommercial use with proper acknowledgment of ADB. Users are restricted from reselling, redistributing, or creating derivative works for commercial purposes without the express, written consent of ADB. Based in Manila, ADB is owned by 67 members, including 48 from the region. Its main instruments for helping its developing member countries are policy dialogue, loans, equity investments, guarantees, grants, and technical assistance. Asian Development Bank 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550 Metro Manila, Philippines Tel +63 2 632 4444 Fax +63 2 636 2444 ADB Briefs are based on papers or notes prepared by ADB staff and their resource persons. The series is designed to provide concise, nontechnical accounts of policy issues of topical interest, with a view to facilitating informed debate. The Department of External Relations administers the series. www.adb.org/publications/series/adb-briefs In this publication, “$” refers to US dollars. ADB Social Protection Briefs aim to highlight achievements of ADB projects that support social protection initiatives in developing member countries. Project Officer: Rabin Hattari and Rooswanti Soeharno Brief prepared by ADB Social Protection Team Andaleeb Alam Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) © 2015 ADB. The CC license does not apply to non-ADB copyright materials in this publication. 3
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