STRATEGIESTO MAXIMIZEASSET UTILIZATIONINTHE CALIFORNIAFREIGHT SYSTEM:PARTI– BACKGROUNDAND GENERAL RECOMMENDATIONS March2016 AWhitePaperfromtheFreightEfficiency StrategiesDevelopmentGroup LeadAuthor:MiguelJaller,UniversityofCalifornia,Davis WorkingGroupMembers:JamesJack,CoalitionforResponsible Transportation;CynthiaCory,CaliforniaAirResourcesBoard;Chris Shimoda,CaliforniaTruckingAssociation;MikeJacob,Pacific MerchantShippingAssociation;andKerryCartwright,PortofLos Angeles AbouttheFreightEfficiencyStrategiesDevelopmentGroup InJuly2015,GovernorJerryBrownissuedExecutiveOrderB-32-15,directingseveralstate agenciestoworktogetherindevelopinganintegratedactionplanthatwill“establishclear targetstoimprovefreightefficiency,transitiontozero-emissiontechnologies,andincrease competitivenessofCalifornia’sfreightsystem”andthattheplanshould“identifystatepolicies, programs,andinvestmentstoachievethesetargets”.Inresponse,aninteragencygroupwas formedtooverseethedevelopmentoftheCaliforniaSustainableFreightActionPlan(CSFAP). MembersoftheinteragencygroupincludetheCaliforniaAirResourcesBoard,theCalifornia DepartmentofTransportation(Caltrans),theCaliforniaEnergyCommission(CEC),andthe Governor'sOfficeofBusinessandEconomicDevelopment(GO-Biz).Aspartofdevelopingthe plan,theinteragencygrouphassolicitedfeedbackfromabroadrangeofstakeholdersthrough avarietyofengagementactivitiesandoutreachefforts.Acomponentofthisengagementwas thedevelopmentoftheFreightEfficiencyStrategiesDevelopmentGroup(FESDG)madeupof freightexpertsfromacademia,industry,andgovernment.Thepurposeandmaintaskofthis groupwastoproduceaseriesofwhitepapersthatidentifypromisingstrategiesforincreasing theefficiencyofthefreightsystem.Aseriesofsixpapersweredevelopedoverthecourseofsix months.Eachpaperfocusesonaspecificthemeforincreasingfreightefficiencywithinthe largerfreightsystem. AbouttheNationalCenterforSustainableTransportation TheNationalCenterforSustainableTransportationisaconsortiumofleadinguniversities committedtoadvancinganenvironmentallysustainabletransportationsystemthroughcuttingedgeresearch,directpolicyengagement,andeducationofourfutureleaders.Consortium membersinclude:UniversityofCalifornia,Davis;UniversityofCalifornia,Riverside;University ofSouthernCalifornia;CaliforniaStateUniversity,LongBeach;GeorgiaInstituteofTechnology; andUniversityofVermont.Moreinformationcanbefoundat:ncst.ucdavis.edu. Disclaimer Thecontentofthewhitepapersproducedbythegrouprepresentsdiscussionsamongmany individualsrepresentingvariousfreightindustrystakeholders.Itmaynotreflectconsensuson thepartofalloftheparticipants,nordothesepapersnecessarilyrepresenttheofficialopinion orpolicyoftherepresentedorganizations,butratherarangeofthinkingthatmightbeusedto informandbuildconsensusforthedevelopmentoftheCaliforniaSustainableFreightAction Plan.Giventheperspectiveofthevariousfreightstakeholders,paperauthorshaveattempted toincludedissentingopinionsandareasofconcurrencewheretheymayexist.Thisdocumentis disseminatedunderthesponsorshipoftheUnitedStatesDepartmentofTransportation’s UniversityTransportationCentersprogram,intheinterestofinformationexchange.TheU.S. GovernmentandtheStateofCaliforniaassumesnoliabilityforthecontentsorusethereof.Nor doesthecontentnecessarilyreflecttheofficialviewsorpoliciesoftheU.S.Governmentand theStateofCalifornia.Thisreportdoesnotconstituteastandard,specification,orregulation. Acknowledgments ThisstudywasfundedbyagrantfromtheNationalCenterforSustainableTransportation (NCST),supportedbyUSDOTandCaltransthroughtheUniversityTransportationCenters program.TheauthorswouldliketothanktheNCST,USDOT,andCaltransfortheirsupportof university-basedresearchintransportation,andespeciallyforthefundingprovidedinsupport ofthisproject. [pageleftintentionallyblank] 1 TABLEOFCONTENTS EXECUTIVESUMMARY...................................................................................................................3 Abstract..........................................................................................................................................6 IntroductionandBackground........................................................................................................6 OverviewoftheFreightSystem.....................................................................................................7 Keystakeholders,theirrolesandinteractions...........................................................................7 CargoandVehicleMovements..................................................................................................8 InefficienciesintheFreightSystem.............................................................................................10 InefficienciesintheOn-roadTruckingSector..........................................................................10 InefficienciesintheMaritimeSector.......................................................................................15 SummaryandGeneralRecommendations..................................................................................17 2 FundingforFreightInfrastructure&CleanEquipment EXECUTIVESUMMARY Thefreightsystemisoneofthekeycontributorstoahealthyeconomy.However,thevehicles, equipment,andfacilitiesusedbythedifferenteconomicagentsthatconductfreightoperations producesignificantexternalities:congestion,environmentalemissions,andsafetyissues, amongotherimpacts.Therefore,publicandprivateinitiatives,measures,orstrategiesto mitigatethesenegativeexternalities,andmovethesystemontoamoresustainablepath,area priority. Inresponsetothisneed,theFreightEfficiencyStrategyDevelopmentGroup(FESDG),a collaborativeeffortbetweenacademia,publicandprivatestakeholders,andgovernment,was convenedinAugust2015withtheultimategoalofidentifyingfreightsysteminefficienciesin Californiaanddevelopingasetofefficiencyimprovementstrategies. Thispaper(PartIofatwo-partseries)discusseskeyfindingsfromtheeffort.Itprovidesan overviewofthefreightsystemintermsofthemainstakeholders,theirrolesandinteractions; theimpactsfromthetypeofvehiclesusedtomovecargoin,outandthroughouttheState;and variouspressinginefficiencies. Wheninvestigatingthedynamicamongthestakeholders,severalkeypointsareidentified: • • • • • • The industry objectives, business models, and regulatory compliance requirements associatedwitheachofthelargenumberofstakeholdersaresomeofthefactorsthat evidencethesystem’scomplexity. Although there is multiplicity of stakeholders, the performance of the system may be drivenbythedecisionsofalimitednumberofplayerswhohavewithgreaterdecisionmakingpowers(e.g.,shippers,receivers). Designingpoliciesorstrategiestofosterbehavioralshiftsandefficiencyimprovements requiresidentifyingtheappropriatedecisionmakercapableofinfluencingsuchchange. The freight system is comprised of a number of supply chains, each with different operationalpatterns(e.g.,distributivenetworks,spokeandwheelpatterns,corridors). Freight activity manifests itself in different forms, depending on the layer of the economy:1)internationaltradeeconomyfreightgateways(i.e.,seaports,airports,land portsofentry);2)domesticmanufacturing/agriculturaleconomy;and3)thedistribution andurbaneconomy. Although usually overlooked, the freight traffic generated by the domestic manufacturing/agriculturalanddistributioneconomiesisamagnitudelargerthantraffic generatedbytheinternationaltradelayers. Therearemyriadtypesofefficienciesandinefficienciesworthdiscussion: • Thefreightsystemexperienceshighlevelsofpressurefrombothexternalandinternal factors. Government, market, and environmental conditions require the system’s 3 • • • • • • • • • • • • • playerstosqueezeprofitmargins,insomecases,creatinginefficienciesattheexpense ofotherplayersandevenattheexpenseoftheirownsub-systems. Due to the silo nature of the freight system components, efficiency gains at the subsystemleveldonottendtoequatetonetgainsintermsofasystemoptimum. Congestion, highway capacity, safety, geometrics, surface conditions, and intermodal connectionsarekeyconcernsofthetruckingindustry. Thereareseveralcorridorsandfreightbottlenecksaffectingtheefficiencyofgoodsand passengermovementsindifferentregionsoftheState. Congestion (in its various forms) is an important factor contributing to the system’s inefficiencies. The share of accidents caused by trucks is small; however, accidents involving heavydutyvehiclesaremorelikelytoresultinfatalities. Thereareissueswithtruckroutesandfreightplanning. Inefficienciesassociatedwiththebulkoffreightvehiclemovements,andwiththelast mileanddistributioneconomy,aretheresultofalackofplanningandconsiderationfor thefreightindustryingeneralplanningprocesses;theimportanceofthelastmileand distributioneconomyhasbeenneglectedinparticular. The general public and some public officials, usually associate the major freight issues with on-road motor carriers. However, these carriers are only the conduit between points of origin and destination; because of how the system works, shippers and receivers tend to be the ultimate decision makers that determine how, when, and wherefreightoperationsoccur. HoursofServiceRules,especiallytheHoursofServiceofDriversFinalRuleof2011,if implemented,couldintroduceadditionalinefficienciesinthefreightsystem. There are concerns in the trucking industry about the predicted shortage of qualified truckdrivers. Within the seaports, congestion and inefficiency can be seen at the intersections of multiple portions of the supply chain and multi-modal transactions across multiple businesslines,allinoneconcentratednode. Port labor disruptions during contract negotiations, and/or lack of new terminal infrastructure,canimpactCalifornia’seconomiccompetitiveness. International cargo movement patterns that translate into congestion at seaports can alsoresultinsignificantdelaysfortruckslookingtopickupanddropoffcargo.However, inefficiencies do not only affect the land side of marine terminals. Vessel loading and dischargeisalsosusceptibletocongestion,atagreatexpensetovesseloperators. InlightoftheGovernor’sExecutiveOrder,itisimperativethatCalifornia’svariouspublic agenciesinitiate,continue,orreinforceeffortstoaddressfreightefficiencyissuessuchasthose outlinedabove.Theseeffortsshould,ingeneral,concentrateon: • • Conductingsoundfreightplanningatalllevels;withemphasisonurbanfreight. Identifying behaviors that need to be fostered, or mitigated, among the various stakeholders. 4 • • • • Developingparticipatorystakeholderengagement. Fosteringinformationsharing. Developing plans, agreements and platforms for active conversation to address labor issues;andinvestinworkforcedevelopment. Investinginresearchandcontinuedimprovementefforts. Ingeneral,tryingtoachievethegoalofimprovingfreightefficiencywillrequirecoordinated effortsbetweenthepublicandprivatesectors,academia,communities,andanyotherrelevant stakeholders.Astherearenumerousdifferenttypesofissuesidentifiedwithinthefreight system,itisnotlikelythatasinglestrategywillresultinsignificantimprovements.Thisisa complexsystemrequiringmulti-partcomplexsolutions. 5 Abstract Thispaper(thefirstofatwo-partseries)discusseskeyfindingsfromacollaborativeeffort betweenacademia,publicandprivatestakeholders,andgovernmenttoidentifystrategiesto improvetheefficiencyofCalifornia’sfreightsystem.Indoingso,thepaperprovidesabrief overviewofthesystem,withanemphasisonkeystakeholders,theirrolesandinteractions,and implicationsassociatedwiththetypesoffreightmovementsandlayersoftheeconomy. Moreover,theworkdiscussesmajorinefficienciesintheon-roadtruckingandmaritimesectors, wherecongestionoftenimpedesmaximizingassetutilization.PartIpresentsanumberof generalrecommendationstoimprovefreightefficiency;Specificstrategiesarediscussedinthe secondpartofthisseries.Inaddition,thispaperacknowledgesthefactthatitisnotlikelythat anysinglestrategywillresultinsignificant-enoughimprovementsonitsown;theinherently complexnatureofthesystemwillrequireanequallycomplexsetofsolutions. IntroductionandBackground Thefreightsystemisoneofthekeycontributorstoahealthyeconomy.However,thevehicles, equipment,andfacilitiesusedbythedifferenteconomicagentsthatconductfreightoperations producesignificantexternalitiesincludingcongestion,environmentalemissions,andsafety issues,amongotherimpacts.Therefore,publicandprivateinitiatives,measures,orstrategies tomitigatenegativeimpactsandmovethesystemtowardsamoresustainablepatharea priority.Ingeneral,thetypeofstrategiesthatcouldbeimplementedrangefrominfrastructure improvementsandtechnologicaladvancementstofreighttransportationdemandmanagement strategies(whichfocusonbehavioralchanges).Althoughinfrastructureandtechnology enhancementsareessentialcomponentsofacomprehensiveimprovementstrategy,these alonecannotaddressunderlyingbehavioralaspectsthattranslateintosysteminefficiencies. ThisconceptisevenmoreacuteinageographiclocationsuchasCalifornia,whereimportant largetrafficgeneratorssuchasthemaritimeports,internationalborder,extensiveagriculture andproductionlands,andhugeconsumptiondemandinitslargemetropolitanareasinteract andexhibitdiversefreightpatterns,operations,andissues.Thefreightsystemexperienceshigh levelsofpressurefrombothexternalandinternalfactors.Government,themarket,and environmentalconditionsrequirethesystem’splayerstosqueezeprofitmargins,insome cases,creatinginefficienciesattheexpenseofotherplayersandevensub-systems.Moreover, efficiencygainsatthevarioussub-systemsdonotequatetoasystemoptimum.Therefore, puttingforwardaplantoimprovetheefficiencyoftheCaliforniafreightsystemasawhole requiresanunderstandingofitsmultiplestakeholders,industryrelations,andthecurrent opportunitiesandconstraintsfacedbythesystem. Inthissense,PartIdiscussessomeofthefindingsfromtheFreightEfficiencyStrategy DevelopmentGroup(FESDG).TheFESDGisacollaborativeeffortbetweenacademia,publicand privatestakeholders,andgovernment,sponsoredbytheCaliforniaDepartmentof Transportation(CALTRANS)andtheAirResourcesBoard(ARB).Anumberofstakeholdershave beenconveningsinceAugust2015,withtheultimategoalofidentifyinginefficienciesfacedby thefreightsystemandputtingforwardasetofstrategiestoachieveamoreefficientfreight 6 system.Indoingso,akeyfirststepwastoprovideinsightastothepossiblerootcause(s)of majorinefficienciesaffectingthesystem. Inadditiontoassessinginefficiencies,thispaperdescribessomeoftheaspectsandnecessary conditionsthatneedtobeconsideredwhendefiningoridentifyingremediatingstrategies. Specificstrategiesarethendiscussedinacompanionpaper. Thispaperisorganizedasfollows.SectionIIprovidesabriefoverviewoftheCaliforniafreight system,emphasizingkeystakeholders,theirrolesandinteractions.SectionIIIdiscussesmajor inefficienciesaffectingthesystem.SectionIVprovidesasummaryanddiscussescrucialpoints tobeconsideredinthedevelopmentofimprovementstrategies. OverviewoftheFreightSystem Keystakeholders,theirrolesandinteractions Atfirstglance,variousstakeholdersintheCaliforniafreightsystemcanbeclearlyidentified. Theseincludecarriercompanies(e.g.,rail,oceanvessel,truckers,etc.);shippers;receivers(e.g., beneficiarycargoowners,retailers,manufacturers,farms,businesses,households);public agencies;terminal,distribution,warehousingandancillaryfacilityoperators;intermediaries andlogisticsoperators;regulators;thegeneralpublic;tradeorganizations;unions;law enforcement;and,non-governmentalorganizations. AccordingtotheCaliforniaFreightMobilityPlan1,thecurrentcorefreightsystemincludes: • • • • • • • • • • Twelvedeepwaterseaports(11privateand1public), Numerousprivateportandterminalfacilities, Twelveairportswithmajorcargooperations, Two Class I railroads and twenty-six short-line railroads operating over approximately 6,000milesofrailroadtrack, Approximately 5,800 center-line miles of high-traffic-volume interstate and state highways, Three existing, and one future, commercial land border ports of entry (POE) with Mexico, Intermodaltransferfacilities, Approximately 19,370 miles of hazardous liquid (includes crude oil, refined petroleum products,andotherhighlyvolatileliquids)andnaturalgaspipelines, Avastwarehousinganddistributionsector,and Numerouslocalconnectorroadsthatcompletethe“lastmile.” Thesheernumberofstakeholders(eachwiththeirownobjectives,businessmodels,regulatory compliancerequirements,andareasofinfluence),makesdescribingtheirinteractions,and evenunderstandingtheimpactofefficiencyimprovementstrategies,adauntingtask.Within thesystem,therearenumerousmarketforcesthataffectthewayeachindividualplayer performsandtherolethatitplays;eachsubsetofeachsupplychainaimstoachievethesame endgoal:tomaximizeitsownutilityandefficiency,andtominimizeitsowncostofdoing 1 CaliforniaDepartmentofTransportation,CaliforniaFreightMobilityPlan(Final)Chapter2.1~2.3,2013. 7 business.Itisimportanttonote,,asdiscussedbefore,thateachindividualplayeractingto maximizeitsownefficiencydoesnotguaranteeachievingagreatertotalsystemsefficiency. Atthispoint,itisimportanttomentionthatalthoughallplayersmaybeperforminginsidea supplychainwithmanystakeholders,theperformanceofthechainmaybedrivenbythe decisionofalimitednumberofthem(havingincreaseddecisionpower).Inmanycases,the shippersand/orthereceiversofthecargoaretheonesdefiningthefrequencyofdistribution, mode,routes,andeventransactionschedules;withtherestoftheplayersadjustingtothese requirements.Thishighlightstheneedtofullyidentifytheseinteractionswhendesigning policiesorstrategiesinordertoreachtheappropriatedecisionmaker.Ingeneral,the effectivenessofanystrategieswillnotonlybetheirabilitytoaddressthekeyproblembutalso toreachtheadequatestakeholder.Forexample,PierPasscongestionchargesaresuccessfulat shiftingcargofrompeakdemandperiodstooff-peakdemandperiodsmainlyduetothesystem designwherethefeeswerepaidbyreceiversandnotbythemotorcarrierdrayagecompanies. CargoandVehicleMovements Describingthefreightsystemrequiresdefiningthesupplychainsthatcomprisethesystem.The systemdoesnotdrivefreight;freightdemanddrivesthesystem.Eachsupplychainsystemis madeupofthousandsofinvestmentsincompanies,properties,publicinfrastructureprojects, vehiclesandpiecesofequipment.Thedifferentstakeholdersthatareapartofeachsupply chainreacttothedemandforfreight.Thisistheultimatemanifestationofthefreighteconomy, wheremonetarytransactionstranslateintothemovementsofgoods(andthevehiclesthat carrythem)frompointsofproductiontothoseof(intermediateorfinal)consumption.Toputit inperspective,thesemanifestationswhichoccuroverandoveragainwithinthefreightsystem contributetoone-thirdoftheeconomyanddirectandindirectjobsinCalifornia. Mostsupplychainsaredistributivenetworks;othersareformedinspokeandwheelpatternsor corridors.SomearedefinedwithintheboundariesoftheStatewhileothersspanstatelines.In somecases,productstobeconsumed,transformed,orexportedintheState,mayhavealready enteredandexitedtheboundariesseveraltimes.Someflowsofcargopassthroughurbanareas whileothershavetheurbanareasasthedestination.Thisisofgreatimportancesince efficiencyimprovementswillnotonlybeneededinsidetheStatebutupstreamintheirout-ofstatesupplychains.Inmanycases,lastmilechallengesandinefficiencieshindertheefficiency gainsinthelonghaulportionofthetransport.Theseimpactswillvaryacrossdifferenttypesof geographiesandurbanareas. Withoutlossofgenerality,onecanassumetheseareastobecomprisedofdifferentlevelsof threemainlayersoftheeconomywherefreightplaysarole:theinternationaltradeeconomy, domesticmanufacturing/agriculturaleconomy,andthedistributioneconomy: • • Internationaltradeeconomyfreightgatewaysincludeseaports,airports,andlandports of entry. Usually, these operations concentrate along specific freight corridors connecting the port or border facilities and import or export facilities such as warehousesanddistributioncentersormanufacturingplantsandfarms. Domestic manufacturing/agricultural economy include users who build, grow, transform,andstoregoods.Thisisanimportantlayerwhichdrivesasignificantportion 8 • of urban economies (the majority of the production centers are localized in or near urbanareas). Thedistributioneconomyisrelatedtothefinalconsumptionofthegoods.Traditionally, the final recipients of goods were almost always freight intensive businesses, such as retail,wholesale,andfoodandbeverage,butnowdirectresidentialdeliveriesconstitute agrowingandsignificantpercentageofurbanfreightmovements. Itisimportanttohighlightthat,althoughusuallyoverlooked,thefreighttrafficgeneratedby thedomesticmanufacturing/agriculturalanddistributioneconomiesareofamagnitudelarger thantheinternationaltradelayers.Table1showstheestimatedaveragedailytrucktripsin SouthernCalifornia,withtheinternal2trucktrafficrepresentingalmost85%ofthetraffic.This issimilartotheproportionofurbangoodsmovementscomparedtomajorfreightgeneratorsin othergeographiclocations. Table1:DailyRegionalTruckTripsbyCategorybyCounty3 Eachoftheseeconomiesbringsasetofstakeholdersandplanningneeds.Somearemultimodalinnature,whileothersaredominatedbyasinglemode.Freightoperationsandpatterns canalsoshowahighdegreeofvariability,dependingonthecomposition(percentageoftrade, manufacturinganddistribution),imposingadditionalplanningandmodelingchallenges. Whilethispaperwillsimplifythefreightsystemintermsofthesethreelayers,supplychainsare complexandanyfurtherdetailwouldrequireanalysisofadditionalechelonsorintermediary stepsofthechain.Eachoftheselayerswillalsoexhibitdistinctmodesoftransport,fromlarge oceanvesselcarrierstransportingthousandsofTEUstocargo-bikesorevenpersonalparcel deliveriesatresidentiallocations.Evenatthesedifferentscales,thetypesofinefficiencies couldbeverysimilar,yettheapproachestosolvethemratherdistinct. 2 InternalTruckTrips:ThesearetrucktripsthathavebothanoriginandadestinationwithintheSCAGregionand aregeneratedbylocalindustries,constructionsites,domesticwarehousesandtruckterminalsandresidences. 3 http://scagrtpscs.net/Documents/2016/draft/d2016RTPSCS_GoodsMovement.pdf 9 InefficienciesintheFreightSystem Ingeneral,inefficienciesinthefreightsystemtaketheformofcongestion,whichinturncan resultinhigherlevelsofenvironmentalpollution,additionalsafetyconditions,andnegative impactsoneconomicgrowthandinvestment. InefficienciesintheOn-roadTruckingSector Accordingtoa1998statesurveyoftruckingfirms,4congestion,alongwithhighwaycapacity, safety,geometrics,surfaceconditions,andintermodalconnections,wasaprincipalconcernof theindustry.Sincethattime,growthinfreighttraffic,overtheroadoratspecificfreight bottleneckshaveonlycausedmorerecurringandpredictablecongestioninselectedlocations; whilethetemporarylossofcapacity,ornonrecurringcongestionthatiscausedbyincidents, weather,workzonesandotherdisruptions,isstillnotablywidespreadeveniflesspredictable5. InCalifornia,themajorcongestedhighwaysinthepeakperiodareconcentratedinitstwo largesturbancores,intheSanFranciscoBayAreaandgreaterLosAngeles.Accordingtothe corridorreliabilitybufferindex,theleastreliablecorridorsin2010were6: • • • • • WestboundI–80,AlamedaCounty,BTI7:79percentintheAMpeak. WestboundSR–22,OrangeCounty,BTI:75percentintheAMpeak. EastboundSR–91,OrangeCounty,BTI:74percentinthePMpeak. NorthboundSR–57,OrangeCounty,BTI:70percentinthePMpeak. SouthboundSR–57,OrangeCounty,BTI:67percentinthePMpeak. AccordingtotheAmericanTransportationResearchInstitute(ATRI),theLosAngeles metropolitanareahadthehighestcosttothetruckingindustryduetocongestionwith$1.1 billionaddedoperationalcosts8.Specifically,thetop5bottlenecksidentifiedarelistedbelow9. • • • • • SR-60atSR-57inLosAngelesCounty I-710atI-105inLosAngelesCounty I-10atI-15inSanBernardinoCounty I-15atSR-91inRiversideCounty I-110atI-105inLosAngelesCounty. 4 Regan,A.C.,andGolob,T.F.(1999).Freightoperators'perceptionsofcongestionproblemsandtheapplication ofadvancedtechnologies:Resultsfroma1998surveyof1200companiesoperatinginCalifornia.Transportation Journal,57-67. 5 U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration, Freight Management and Operation, http://ops.fhwa.dot.gov/freight/freight_analysis/freight_story/congestion.htm. 6 CaliforniaDepartmentofTransportation,CaliforniaFreightMobilityPlan(Final)Chapter2.1~2.3,2013. 7 BufferTimeIndex(BTI)isareliabilitymeasureoftraveltime.BufferTimeisthedifferencebetweentheaverage travel time and the 95th percentile travel time as calculated from the annual average. The Index is estimated considering a number of roadway sections (using VMT to weight the various) sections and controlling for the averagetravelrateacrossallthesections.Ingeneral,themeasurecouldbeexplainedastheextraBTI%travel timethatatravelershouldallocateduetovariationsintheamountofcongestiondelayonatrip. 8 AmericanTransportationResearchInstitute(ATRI).CostofCongestiontotheTruckingIndustry.April2014. 9 American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI). Congestion Impact Analysis of Freight Significant Highway Locations.October2014. 10 Inaddition,thereaderisreferredtotheGoodsMovementAppendixinthe2016-2040Southern CaliforniaAssociationofGovernments’(SCAG)RegionalTransportationPlan10fordetailed analysisoffreightbottlenecksaffectingthefreightsystemintheregion. Intermsofsafety,theCaliforniaHighwayPatrol(CHP)StatewideIntegratedTrafficRecords System(SWITRS)reportedthatofthe2,758totalnumberoffataltrafficcollisionsin2010, 235involvedtrucks(1outof10)11.Truckdriverswereatfaultinonly75oftheincidents, indicatingthatinfatalcollisionsbetweencarsandtrucks,automobiledriversarefarmore likelytobeatfaultthantruckdrivers.Similarproportionscanbefoundwhenlookingatinjury collisionstatistics.However,thoughtheshareofaccidentscausedbytrucksissmall,accidents involvingheavy-dutyvehiclesaremorelikelytoresultinfatalities. Otherinefficienciescanbeassociatedwithlackofinformationsharing.Someoftheseproblems arisebecauseofthesilonatureofcurrentoperationalpatterns,andothersstemfromtechnical reasons.Stillothertransportationplanninginefficienciescouldtakemanyforms,examples includeissueswithtruckrouteplanning,wherethemainproblemsareassociatedwith: discontinuitiesbetweenjurisdictions;lackofdesignatedroutestodevelopingorplanned industryclusters;andwidedivergencesbetweendesignatedanddefactotruckroutes. Theinefficiencieswhichareassociatedwiththebulkoffreightvehiclemovements,thelastmile andthedistributioneconomy,aretheinherentresultofalackofplanningandconsideration forthefreightindustry,ingeneral,andneglectoftheimportanceofthelastmileandthe distributioneconomy,inparticular.Usually,thisistheresultoflackofvisibilitybyFederalor Regionalregulatoryormanagemententities;inothersbecausethe“atomization”ofthe operationsdoesnotfallwithinthetraditionaldefinitionoffreight.Thisisbothintermsofthe cargo(volumes)andthevehiclesormodesused.However,recentfederalinitiatives(STAA, ISTEA,SAFETEA-LU,MAP-21andFAST)haveincreasedtheattentionfortheroleoffreight movementsinurbanandmetropolitanareas. On-roadmotorcarriers,especiallyfor-hire,bothfulltruckload(FTL)orlessthantruckload(LTL) facechallengeswhichareaccentuatedbythefactthatthegeneralpublicandpublicofficials usuallyassociatethemajorfreightissuestotheiroperations.Itisperceivedthatthesearethe companiesusingthevehiclesthatgeneratecongestion,parkingproblems,adisproportionate amountofemissions,andaccidents(byseverityandlikelihoodofresultingincasualties). However,becauseofhowthesystemworks,thesecarriersareonlytheconduitbetweenpoints oforiginanddestination(explicitlyshippersandreceiversdecisions)whicharetheonesthat determinehow,when,andwherethoseoperationsoccur.Developingstrategiesthatsolely focusonthesestakeholders,whichhasbeenthetraditionalpractice,willnottakethesystem farenoughastheadditionalcostsandothersysteminefficienciesaremainlyabsorbedbythese companieswithoutaffectingotherlegsofthechain. Inadditiontothefactorsdiscussedbefore,twoaspectsrepresentathreatforefficiency improvements:hoursofservicerules,anddrivershortages.Thesearediscussednext. 10 http://scagrtpscs.net/Documents/2016/draft/d2016RTPSCS_GoodsMovement.pdf CaliforniaDepartmentofTransportation,CaliforniaFreightMobilityPlan(Final)Chapter2.1~2.3,2013. 11 11 HoursofServiceRules HoursofService(HOS)ruleshavetoppedthelistofleadingtruckingconcernsforthepastfew years(seeFigure1).In2004,a34-hourrestartwasfirstintroducedinhours-of-servicerules. HOShavebeen(andcontinuestobe)revisedovertheyears.Thelatestupdate(Hoursof ServiceofDriversFinalRule)waspublishedintheFederalRegisteronDecember27,2011,with aneffectivedateofFebruary27,2012andcompliancedateofremainingprovisionsonJuly1, 2013. Changestothe34-hourrestartandthe30-minutebreakwerethebiggestchangestobemade since2004.TheupdatesaddedthefollowingchangesandprovisionstotheexistingHOS rules:12 1)1a.m.to5a.m.RestartProvision:avalid34-houroff-dutyrestartperiodmust includetwoperiodsfrom1a.m.to5a.m. 2)OneRestartperWeekRestartProvision:useoftherestartislimitedtoonetimeper week(onceevery168hoursfromthebeginningofthepriorrestart). 3)RestBreakRequirement:adrivermaydriveonlyif8hoursorlesshaspassedsince theendofthedriver’slastoff-dutyorsleeper-berthperiodofatleast30minutes. 13 Figure1:Distributionofindustryissueprioritizationscores 12 Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration - See more at: https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/regulations/hours-ofservice#sthash.fMoFHwkP.dpuf 13 ATRI (2014). Critical Issues in the Trucking Industry. http://atri-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/ATRI2014-Top-Industry-Issues-Report-FINAL.pdf 12 TheFinalRule,however,wassuspendedinDecember2014.Congresssuspendedthechanges totherestartprovisionsaftertruckinggroupscomplainedregulatorsdidn’tcompleteastudy whendevelopingtherules.Changes,especiallythe2consecutive1-5ambreaks,werebroadly opposedbytruckinginterests.Regulatorsarguedthattherulesweremeanttoincreasesafety andreduceexcessiveworkhours.Thetruckingindustryclaimedthatshiftingworkhoursto hoursofgreatercongestionismoreriskyandthatregulatorsfailedtostudythisproperly. ItisimperativethattheStatecarefullyaddressesthepotentialnegativeimpactsthattheHours ofServicerulescanhaveforfreightefficiency,becausetheenforcementoftherestart provisionsoftheFinalRulewouldintroducesignificantinefficienciesintheCaliforniaFreight System.Forinstance,itwouldmakedifficultforsomeoftheoperatorsthatwanttoparticipate inextendedhoursoroff-hoursoperationsasitwilllimittheirearlytravelalmosttwiceper week.Consideringtheuncertaintyintruckingfreightoperations,therulecouldgreatlyreduce theefficiencyoftruckingcarriersandimpedetheachievementofthemandateofthe Governors’ExecutiveOrder.Figure2showsaclearexampleoftheinefficienciesthatcouldbe introducedbytherule.Dependingonthescheduling,therestartrulecouldtranslateina minimumof1hourlostandmaximumof17hoursforeveryrestart.Thisisamajorinefficiency asthe34hourrestartrulecouldbecome51hours.Insomecases,duetodifferencesintime zones,thiscouldmeanevenlongerdowntimes.Parkingavailabilityisanotherfactorthat shouldbeanalyzedwhenevaluatingtheHOSrule. Figure2:TheimpactofHoursofServiceRules14 14 http://www.joc.com/sites/default/files/u48502/InteractiveGraphics/HoursOfServiceRestartChart.pdf 13 Asaresultoftheconcerns,astudywasorderedandscheduledtobereviewedbytheU.S. FederalMotorCarrierSafetyAdministration(FMCSA)andCongress.Thisreportisstillpending asofFebruary2016.Recently,theFMCSAeasedconcernsthatthesuspensionwouldbelifted andruleswouldbereinstatedthisyear.Thishasbeenreferredtoasaregulatory"snapback", andisfearedandopposedbytruckingandshippinginterests.Thesuspensioncannotbelifted untilCongressreceivestheagency’sreport,butithasbeensomewhatunclearwhetherthe FMCSAcansimplyreinstatethesuspendedrulesafterthereportisdelivered,orifCongress mustactfirst. Concernsassociatedwithtruckinghoursofservicerulesincludelimitedproductivityand compensationissues.Congress’ssuspensionoftheprovisionsiscreditedwithfreeingupas muchas1to3percentoftruckloadcapacityin201515.“…Teamoperationswereprobablymost affected…,”saidBillMatheson,presidentofintermodalandlogisticsservicesattruckingfirm Schneider.“…Therollbackgavethemprobably2to3percentoftheirproductivityback...”Itis alsobelievedthatstudiesarelikelyunderestimatingthenegativeimpactsaswell,sincesome driversmayhavebeencheatingthesysteminordertoavoidproductivitylosses,thussoftening theimpactseeninreportednumbers.Intermsofcompensation,alltruckersaremajorly concernedwiththepossibilityoffewerworkedhoursduetohoursofservicerules. DriverShortages Inadditiontohoursofservicerules,anotherconcernrelatedtolaborinthetruckingindustryis thepredictedshortageinqualifiedtruckers.Hiringisn’tup,oratthesamerateasinpast,and retirementsmeanthelossofexperienceddrivers. Thekeyfindingsfromrecentreportsandnewsaboutthedrivershortageprobleminclude16,17: “…Overthepast15years,thetruckingindustryhasperiodicallystruggledwitha shortageoftruckdrivers In2014,thetruckingindustrywasshort38,000drivers.Theshortageisexpectedto reachnearly48,000bytheendof2015.Ifcurrenttrendsholditisexpectedtogrow to175,000by2024. Thereisalsoaconcernofquality,in2012,88%offleetssaidthatmostapplicants weresimplynotqualified. Overthenextdecade,thetruckingindustrywillneedtohireatotal890,000new drivers,oranaverageof89,000peryear.Replacingretiringtruckdriverswillbeby farthelargestfactor,accountingfornearlyhalfofnewdriverhires(45%).The secondlargestfactorwillbeindustrygrowth,accountingfor33%ofnewdriver hires. 15 http://www.joc.com/trucking-logistics/labor/hours-service-snapback-put-doubt_20150922.html AmericanTruckingAssociation(2015).TruckDriverShortageAnalysis. http://www.trucking.org/ATA%20Docs/News%20and%20Information/Reports%20Trends%20and%20Statistics/1 0%206%2015%20ATAs%20Driver%20Shortage%20Report%202015.pdf 17 http://www.joc.com/special-topics/driver-shortage 16 14 Ofthe7.1millionpeopleemployedthroughouttheeconomyinjobsrelatedto truckingactivity,3.4millionweretruckdriversin2014.Thereareover10million CDL(CommercialDriver’sLicense)holdersintheU.S.,butmostarenotcurrent driversandnotallaretruckdrivers.Therearebetween2.5millionand3million trucksontheroadtodaythatrequireadrivertohavesomesortofCDL.Ofthose trucks,1.6millionaretractor-trailers.Ofthosetractor-trailers,nomorethan 800,000areusedinOTR(i.e.,non-local)operations. Thebulkofthedrivershortageisforover-the-road(i.e.,non-local)driversoperating heavy-dutytractor-trailers(i.e.,Class8tractors),for-hiretruckloadsector. Itishighlyunlikelythatthedrivershortagecouldbereducedinanysignificant mannerthroughmodalshift Truckdriverhours-of-service,reduceindustryproductivity.Reductionsin productivityexacerbatethedrivershortageasitrequiresmoretrucks,andthus moredrivers,tomovethesameamountoffreight…” Inaddition,underfederallawitisillegaltoorganizeindependentdrivers.However,advocacy groupssuchastheteamstershavebeenorganizingdriversundersuitsclaiming “misclassification”asindependentcontractors.Overthepastseveralyears,teamstersand truckdrivershavewonsomelawsuitsinCAandsomedrivershaveevenbeenawardedsome backwages.Threegovernmentagencies(theCaliforniaLaborcommissioner,theregionaloffice oftheNationalLaborRelationsBoardandtheCaliforniaEmploymentDevelopment Department)haveissuedrulings.Unionscanlegallyattempttoorganizedirectemployees,so courtvictoriessuchasthosementionedabovecouldpotentiallyhaveagrowingimpactonthe drayageindustry.Onestrategy,inadditiontolegalaction,hasbeenpicketingandwithholding ofdriverservices,causingdelaysforallsectionsoftheportsystem. InefficienciesintheMaritimeSector Withintheseaports,congestionandinefficiencyarereflectedintheintersectionofmultiple portionsofthesupplychainandmulti-modaltransactionsacrossmultiplebusinesslines,allin oneconcentratednode.Toillustratethemanybusinessstakeholdersinvolved,Figure3showsa dynamicpyramid,witheveryone’sultimatecustomers–theshippersandreceivers–ontop. Thesecargoownersdetermine,inmostcases,shipmentsizes,frequencies,modesoftransport, deliveryandtransportschedulesandlocations,andmostimportantlythedemandandthe pricesthatwillbepaidforservicesacrosstheintermodalspectrum.Atthenextlayerthereare oceanvesselandrailcarriers.Theirimmediatecontractualprivitytotheshippersallowsthem tohaveamoredominantrolealongthechainsthanportterminalsanddrayagetrucking transportoperators.Marineterminaloperatorsandpublicportauthoritiesmaintainhighlyleveragedandintensivecapitalinvestments,whichlimitmarketentryconditions,andare dependentonthecargovolumesprovidedbyoceanandrailcarriers,whicharedemandedby shippers. 15 Shippers, Receivers PublicAgencies Regulations Labor PortAuthorities Communities … OceanVesseland RailCarriers PortTerminals,andTrucking (drayage,for-hire)Carriers International Economy Disruptions Markets Technology … AncillaryFacilityandLogistics Operators Figure3:KeyStakeholdersoftheFreightSystem However,therelationshipbetweenoceancarriersandportterminaloperatorsisfacing increasedchallenges,especiallyduetoexternalfactorsdrivingchangeswithinthesystemsuch aslabor,alliances,andcongestionatthefacilities.Forexample,recentlaborshortagesatthe main(WestCoast)portsduetocontractnegotiations(about20,000dockworkers)accounted for80%ofabottleneckthatimpacted36vesselsidlingatsea18. Morechallengesareposedinthedevelopmentofeverlargervessels,whichcanboostvessel operatingefficiencies,aswellastheincreaseduseofVessel-SharingAlliances(VSAs),withmost majoroceancarriersoperatinginVSAsoftwotosixmemberlines.Thedirectefficienciesfrom thevesselsarewelldocumented,i.e.,>18,000TEUvesselsprovide50%ofmoreenergy efficiency.19 Portlabordisruptionsduringcontractnegotiationsand/orlackofnewterminalinfrastructure canimpactCalifornia’seconomiccompetitiveness.Forinstance,theimpactsin2014/15during theprotractedcontractnegotiationresultedinshort-andlong-termimpactsaffectingthe systemwherebymanybeneficiarycargoownersadopteda“fourcornerlogisticsstrategy”to diversifytheirsupplychainsinorderreducefuturevulnerabilitytolabordisruptionsattheSan PedroBayports.The“fourcornerlogisticsstrategy”introducesredundancyinsupplychainsby notconcentratingonSouthernCalifornia,butratheronewhichreliesonseaportsinall“four corners”oftheU.S.(i.e.,southwest,northwest,northeast,andsoutheast). Congestionatseaportscanalsoresultinsignificantdelaysfortruckslookingtopickupanddrop offcargo20,21.Truckscanexperiencemajordelaysjustwaitingfordispatchtoaseaport,in 18 Bloombergbusiness(2015),“PortDealNearasOneIssueRemains,LongBeachChiefSays”,February11, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-11/port-deal-near-as-single-issue-remains-long-beachchief-says,accessedOctober2015 19 Kindberg,Lee(2015),“DeliveringSustainability:OceanShippingandSupplyChainEfficiency”,Universityof st California,Davis,webinar,October1 . 20 Giuliano,G.,Hayden,S.,Dell’aquila,P.,&O’Brien,T.(2008).Evaluationoftheterminalgateappointmentsystem atthelosAngeles/Longbeachports(No.METRANSProject04-06).METRANSTransportationCenter. 20 CaliforniaDepartmentofTransportation,CaliforniaFreightMobilityPlan(Final)Chapter2.1~2.3,2013. 16 additiontoqueueingoutsidetheterminalsandwaitingtimespentinsidetheterminalswhen conductingtheirtransactions.Overall,timespentwaitingisasignificantinefficiency.Thishasa directimpacttodrayageoperations,andrepresentsanopportunitytoachieveefficiency improvements.22Althoughtruckqueuesandcongestionatportterminalsgatesgenerate inefficienciesandotherexternalities,terminaloperatorsservetheirprimarycustomerswhich arethesteamshiplinesandmajorimport/exportcompaniesbymanagingtheirinternaldock operationsundertheirlongshoreworkrules,leasesandcontracts,andotherconstraints23. However,inefficienciesnotonlyaffectthelandsideoftheseterminals.Vesselloadingand dischargeisalsoaffectedatagreatexpensetovesseloperators. SummaryandGeneralRecommendations TheprevioussectionsdiscussedsomeofthekeycharacteristicsoftheCaliforniaFreightSystem. Specifically,thetypesofstakeholdersinvolved,theirdynamicrelations,andanumberof inefficienciesaffectingthesystem.InlightoftheGovernor’sExecutiveOrder,itisimperative thatthevariouspublicagenciesintheStateinitiate,continueorreinforceeffortstoaddress someoftheseissues.Ingeneral,theseeffortsshouldconcentrateon: Conductingsoundfreightplanningatalllevels Californiaisadiversegeographiclocationintermsoffreight,withvariousrequirementsand constraintsthroughouttheState.Toimprovetheefficiency,planningshouldbeconducted addressingtheneedsofthedifferentsectorsandlayersoftheeconomy.Although,the internationaltradeeconomygatewaysattractmuchoftheattentionandcandominatethe planningagenda,thedomesticmanufacturing/agriculturalandthedistributionurban economiesplayakeyroleinthefreightsystem.Consequently,planningresourcesarerequired atalllevels,fromthelargeMetropolitanPlanningOrganizationstothelocaljurisdictions.Itis importantalsotorecognizethatacrossallthesectorsandeconomies,congestion(initsvarious forms)isakeyfactorthathindersmaximizingassetutilization,andshouldbeapriorityfor planningorganizations.Urbanfreightisalsoplaguedwithmanyinefficienciessuchaslackof parkinginfrastructure,conflictingregulations,andhighercostsofconductingbusinessinmany largedenseareas. Planningeffortswillallowidentifyingthetypesoffreightbehaviorsthatneedtobe fosteredormitigatedamongthevariousstakeholders Thesebehavioralchanges,willrequireinmostcases,thedesignofeffectiveincentive programs.Theseprogramscouldincludeadequaterecognitionsprograms,financialornon 21 Barber, D., & Grobar, L. M. (2001). Implementing a statewide goods movement strategy and performance measurementofgoodsmovementinCalifornia.METRANSTransportationCenter. 22 HavemanJ.andK.Monaco(2009).Comprehensivetruckmanagementprogram:economicimpactanalysis. Availablefrom: http://www.portofoakland.com/pdf/maritime/ctmp/ctmp_Beacon_Final.pdf?utm_source=redirect&utm_mediu m=old_site_request 23 Giuliano,G.,&O’Brien,T.(2007).Reducingport-relatedtruckemissions:Theterminalgateappointmentsystem atthePortsofLosAngelesandLongBeach.TransportationResearchPartD:TransportandEnvironment,12(7), 460-473. 17 monetaryassistance,orpricingandtaxationtypeofschemes.Thereareanumberofprograms intheStatetryingtoachievehigherlevelsofsustainability.However,theseprogramsdonot fullyconsideroperationalorlogisticschanges,andforthemostpart,concentrateon technologicalimprovements. Participatorystakeholderengagement Eachindividualstakeholderisorhasinvestedgreateffortstoimprovehowtheyoperate.Every companyhasanincentivetoinvestintechnology,planning,andinfrastructureinorderto streamlinetheiroperationsandtobemoreefficientgiventhepressuresofthesupplychain.In ordertocontinuebeingcompetitiveinamarketwhereratesareattheirlowest,companiesare requiredtooperatewithhighlevelsofsophisticationandplanning.However,whileeach individualcompany,industry,ormodeisorganizingitselfinwayswhicharemosteffectiveand efficientforitself,thesupplychainasawholemaystillbenefitfromsomethird-partyincentives whichcreateevengreatersystemefficiency.Thisinturn,requiresthedevelopmentofsystem levelperformancemeasuresthatareconduciveofsystem-wideefficiencies. Currently,therearealreadyongoingeffortsforsupplychainoptimizationandportoptimization whichareresultinginsignificantimprovementsandefficiencygains.Forexample,thePortof LongBeach’sGreenPortGatewayproject,fundedbyfederalandlocalsources,wasfinalizedin 2015.Themainpurposewastoimprovetracks’infrastructuretoenhancerailefficiencyand expandondockcapacityinthePortofLongBeachtohaulcargocontainersdirectlytoandfrom marineterminals24.Asaresult,750trucktripswillbeavoidedbyeachtrain.ThePortofLong Beachhasestablishedagoalofmoving35%ofcontainersbyrailinthenext5yearswhile aimingtoachievealongtermtargetof50%25.ThePortofLosAngelespolicyissimilar:to provideasmuchrailinfrastructureasnecessary,andfacilitateintermodallogisticssuchthatthe movementofdirectintermodalcargo(approximately40-50%,dependinguponterminaland steamshipline)viaon-dockrailismaximizedtothegreatestextentpossible.Theresultsfrom effortssuchasthese,highlighttheimportanttorecognizetherolethatplanning,collaboration andcooperation,andincentivescanhavetofurtherproducemulti-modalandsupplychain efficiencies.Consideringhowdiverseeachstakeholder’soperationscanbe,withtheirown constraintsandopportunities,developingappropriatestrategiesrequiresinsightsanddetailed analysisofhoweachsupplychainoperates.Oftenthisisinformationthatonlyspecificindustry expertscanprovide. Fosteringinformationsharing Itisimportanttodevelopthemechanismstofosterinformationsharing.Whetheritisthrough StrategyDevelopmentGroups,TaskForcesoranyothercollaborativespaces,publicagencies shouldactivelyengagethevariousstakeholdersinthefreightandothersectorstofullyidentify 24 PortofLongBeach(POLB)(2015c),“GreenPortGatewayRailProject:FactSheet”, http://www.polb.com/civica/filebank/blobdload.asp?BlobID=10973,accessedOctober2015 25 Railwaytechnology(2015),“California'sPortofLongBeachcompletes$93mGreenPort Gatewayrailproject”,September18,http://www.railwaytechnology.com/news/newscalifornias-port-of-long-beach-completes-93m-green-portgateway-rail-project-4673539,accessedOctober2015 18 thekeyproblems,anddevelopsoundsolutions.Furthermore,informationsharingmaynotonly beincentivizeforplanningpurposes,butalsotorecognizethevalueofinformationasaninput andoutputtooperationalprocesses.AllstakeholdersparticipatinginthisFreightEfficiency StrategyDevelopmentGroup(FESDG)haveidentifiedtheneedtomanageinformationflows, thusdevelopinginformationtechnologiesandinfrastructureareamust.However,itisalso importanttounderstandthefullimplicationsoftheseefforts,becauseoftheveryvalueof information.Theresolutionofthedata,privacyconcerns,openorcontrolledaccess,the structureofthemanagingagency,andthevalidityofthesources,arejustafewamongthe numberoffactorsthatneedtobeaddressedwhendevelopingsuchinformationsystemsand sharingpractices. Other Whileacompanionpaperfocusesonspecificstrategiestoimproveassetutilization,itisalso importanttohighlighttheneedtodevelopplans,agreementsandengageinconversationsto addresslaborissuestooptimizesuchresources.Labordifficultiesimpactallfacetsoffreight, frommodestofacilities.Whilesomeoftheinefficienciesmaybedrivenbysafetyconcernsand theassociatedregulations,itisimportanttoconsiderthefullspectrumofimpactsthat regulationsanddecisionscanhaveacrossotheroperationalandtacticalfactors.Laborissues, suchasdrivershortages,couldalsobeaddressedbyinvestinginworkforcedevelopment. Investinginresearch Ingeneral,tryingtoachievethegoalofimprovingfreightefficiencywillrequirecoordinated effortsbetweenthepublicandprivatesectors,academia,communities,andanyother stakeholder.Itisnotlikelythatasinglestrategywillresultinsignificantimprovements.Thisisa complexsystemrequiringcomplexsolutions.Asaresult,itisimportantthatpublicandprivate agenciesandorganizationssupportresearcheffortsthatcanhelpshedlightintothevarious complexissuesaffectingthesystemandpotentialspecificsolutions. 19
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