Capote CM2008 - IAEA Nuclear Data Services

Covariances of prompt fission
neutron spectra
I. Kodeli1, R. Capote2, A. Trkov3
1 IAEA
representative at the NEA Data Bank, Paris, France
2 Nuclear Data Section, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria
3 Jožef Stefan Institute, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
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Prompt fission neutron spectrum models
Maxwell distribution
 (E) 
2 E
 T 3
e E T
Watt distribution
 (E) 
2
a b
3
sinh
 ab E 
bE exp  
 
a
 4
U-235
a=0.988 MeV±1.2%
b=2.249/MeV±5.9%
Kornilov spectrum
WL ( E , TL ,  L )  WH ( E , TH ,  H )
 (E, r, ) 
2
 2 E 
1
 E  
W ( E, T ,  ) 
sinh 
 exp 
T 
T

 T 
r
TL
 1.248  0.031
TH
  0.936  0.027
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
2
Prompt fission neutron spectrum properties
• Fission spectrum is normalised to 1
sum of bin probabilities equals 1:
 g 1
g
• Covariances are given as absolute covariances of
the bin probabilities (not average probability
distributions)
• To assure that the perturbed spectrum remains
normalised the covariance matrix should comply
with the «zero sum» rule: sum of absolute matrix
elements in each line and column must be zero:  g g '  0
g
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
3
Normalisation applied to the
sensitivity coefficients
• If the matrix does not sattisfy the “zero sum” rule, the
ENDF-6 manual suggests the correction formula:
~
Vi , j  Vi , j  i Vk , j   j Vk ,i  i  j Vk ,k '
k
k
k ,k '
~
T
V

S
or in matrix notation:
 V  S 
S g, g '   g , g '   g '
• Instead of “correcting” the matrices, we can apply the
«correction» to the sensitivities :


T ~
R   S R V  S R  S RT  S T V  S   S R
2

 S   SR

T


Normalised
sensitivities
T
V  S   S R  S RN
V  S RN
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
4
Covariance matrices of U-235
fission spectrum
Analytical-WATT
MC-WATT
MC-Kornilov
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
5
IRPhE-International Reactor Physics Experiments Database (OCDE/AEN)
KRITZ-2 –thermal benchmarks
6 critical configurations with UO2 and
MOX fuel.
SNEAK-7 – fast benchmarks
2 configurations MOX
Analysis based on déterministic transport (TWODANT, THREEDANT) and cross section
3 Juillet 2008
6
sensitivity and uncertainty
code (SUSD3D)
Normalised and non-normalised sensitivities
Non-normalised
Normalised
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
7
Differences in k-eff (pcm) due to different
fission spectra (relative to ENDF/B-VII)
keff [pcm]
KRITZ
SNEAK
2.1c
2.1h
2.13c
2.13h
2.19c
2.19h
7A
7B
Watt
14.9 a
31.7
8.2
10.5
-59.0
-77.8
861.7
614.0
Kornilov
20.8
42.3
4.5
11.8
-78.1
-64.1
59.0
171.6
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Uncertainty in k-eff (pcm) due to U-235
fission spectra uncertainty (KRITZ)
Covariance matrices
 Analytic-Watt
 MC-Watt
 MC-Kornilov
 JENDL3.3
Sensitivities
 Normalised
 Non-normalised
KRITZ (U-235)
Kritz-2
100
2.1c (3D)
80
2.1h (2D)
2.13c (3D)
60
2.13h (2D)
40
2.19c (3D)
20
EndfB7-Kornil
EndfB7_Watt
JENDL3.3
JENDL/NORM
MC-Kornilov
MC-Watt
0
2.19h (2D)
Analytic-Watt
Incertitudes (pcm)
120
Correctly normalised matrices;
Statistically probable
uncertainties ;
Validation of the MC method9
and the sensitivity method.
Uncertainty in k-eff (pcm) due to Pu-239 fission spectra
uncertainty (SNEAK-80g and KRITZ-18g)
Pu-239 (SNEAK/KRITZ)
820
620
520
420
SNEAK-7A
320
SNEAK-7B
220
KRITZ-2.19C
120
KRITZ-2.19H
ENDFB7-Kornil
ENDFB7-Watt
JENDL3.3
JENDL/NORM
-80
MC-Kornilov
20
MC-Watt
Incertitudes (pcm)
720
3 Juillet 2008
Mathematically correct matrices
Statistically plausible
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Conclusions
• MC method was used to produce covariances for 235U, 238U, 239Pu
fission spectra based on Watt and Kornilov models (E<7MeV).
•Spectra were validated against analytical approach (restricted to
linear approximation).
• New “normalised” sensitivity method (discussed during WPECSG26) was implemented in SUSD3D.
• “Normalised” sensitivity method and new covariance matrices were
tested on sets of thermal and fast critical experiments.
• Incorrectly normalised matrices give much higher uncertainties.
• Uncertainty in k-eff due to the fission spectra uncertainties are ~1030 pcm for thermal and ~200 – 300 pcm for fast systems.
• Differences due to different spectra are consistent with the
uncertainties.
Workshop on Neutron Cross Section Covariances, Port Jefferson, June 24-27, 2008
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