BUSINESS CASE FOR THE SIMPLIFICATION OF THE GROUP STRUCTURE 1 Table of Contents 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... 3 2. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................ 5 3. STRATEGIC RATIONALE .................................................................................................................. 6 3.1. Benefits Overview ........................................................................................................................... 6 3.2. Protecting Customer Services ........................................................................................................ 6 3.3. Local Representation ...................................................................................................................... 7 4. STRUCTURE ...................................................................................................................................... 8 4.1. Current Structure ............................................................................................................................ 8 4.2. Proposed Structure ......................................................................................................................... 8 4.3. Consolidation of the RPs within the Group ..................................................................................... 9 4.4. Rationalising the commercial subsidiaries:..................................................................................... 9 5. FINANCIAL OUTPUTS ..................................................................................................................... 12 5.1. Business Case for Consolidation - Financial ................................................................................ 12 5.2. Financial Covenants after Consolidation ...................................................................................... 13 5.3. Financial Capacity after Consolidation ......................................................................................... 14 5.4. Stress Testing ............................................................................................................................... 16 6. RISK MITIGATION ........................................................................................................................... 17 7. GOVERNANCE ................................................................................................................................ 18 8. REGULATORY COMPLIANCE ........................................................................................................ 19 9. TIMETABLE ...................................................................................................................................... 20 10. CONSENTS .................................................................................................................................. 21 10.1. Tenants: .................................................................................................................................... 21 10.2. Staff: .......................................................................................................................................... 21 10.3. The HCA:................................................................................................................................... 21 10.4. The Charity Commission:.......................................................................................................... 21 10.5. Existing funders to the Group: .................................................................................................. 22 10.6. Other stakeholders, such as Local Authorities, partners, contractors etc: ............................... 22 10.7. Pensions.................................................................................................................................... 22 2 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1. This business case is being developed during a period of significant change in the housing sector. Changing demographics and a shortage of supply mean that there continues to be un-met housing demand in the North East. Despite record low interest rates, economic activity is still slowly recovering from the 2008 economic crisis. Political change from the 2015 general election and the 2016 referendum has created uncertainty and upheaval to housing providers across the UK. This has been amplified by changes to regulation by the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA), stricter performance monitoring and a focus on efficiencies. 1.2. Having previously agreed on a 10 year rent settlement; the July 2015 Budget announcement to reduce social housing rents over a four year period, and the introduction of voluntary right to buy, has prompted a shocking wake up call to the housing sector. Merger is now actively encouraged. The combination of the new rent regime resulting in significantly less resources for social housing, and a political focus that has switched to owner occupation and private sector solutions, has encouraged housing providers to look for ways to adapt to the new environment. 1.3. With over 33,600 homes under management, the Thirteen Group is one of the largest Registered Providers (RPs) in the North East and has the potential to make a significant contribution to meeting Government housing targets. The 2015 summer budget has encouraged the Group to think strategically in order to offset the £55m of lost rental income in its financial plan. 1.4. The Group has already submitted plans to the HCA to mitigate the lost income. It recognises that even more needs to be done and a key driver of the proposed simplification is to achieve even greater efficiencies, which fits with the requirements of the HCA’s Value for Money Standard. The Group has developed challenging targets for growth, whilst at the same time saving costs and continuously seeking benefits for tenants and other stakeholders. Proactive solutions are required, in particular, to deliver maximum benefits to Thirteen Group’s tenants and stakeholders. 1.5. The existing structure, the product of the 2014 merger of the Fabrick and Vela Groups, has already delivered significant improvements and lower costs. The Group recognises that it can do more to fulfil the original promises of the 2014 merger. The historic LSVT covenants and requirements for financial plan consent within funding agreements and other restraints on resources in the ‘wrong’ part of the Group are examples of factors that contribute to less than optimum efficiency. The Group sees the need to combine its resources to release the maximum capacity for selective investment in new housing supply, business opportunities, joint ventures etc. 1.6. Simplification of the Group structure would overcome the issue where assets sit in one part of the Group but are needed in another. The several bullet repayment loans falling due in 2019 provide an early opportunity after simplification to restructure the loan book to save future funding costs, increase capacity and release the current constraints on investment. 1.7. The Group is delivering the financial savings required as a result of the changes to the rent regime, and has identified tangible measurable benefits from consolidating the Group. 3 1.8. This business case demonstrates these benefits, which include the simplification and strengthening of governance; maximising resources and services across the Group; consistent financial covenants; increased investment capacity and the ability to release and make best use of funding capacity; limited need for recharges between companies; and helping to ensure the Group is ‘collaborative ready’ for any future opportunities. 1.9. The proposal to create a single RP in the Group is subject to incurring realistic costs of change. The Group has developed a fall-back solution if the cost of consent proves to be a barrier to completing the simplification. 1.10. Extensive consultation has been carried out with tenants, leaseholders and stakeholders and the feedback received has been taken into account by the Parent and Subsidiary Boards when considering the case for consolidation. 1.11. The Boards have also considered the outcomes of negotiations with local authorities, funders and pension providers, as well as due diligence activity carried out by the Group’s legal, treasury, tax and pension advisors. 1.12. The simplification proposal has subsequently been agreed unanimously by the Parent and Subsidiary Boards, subject to reasonable protections for customer service and local representation. 1.13. The timetable aims for consolidation on 1 April 2017 with an appropriate new funding structure in place by June 2017. 1.14. Overall a successful simplification of the Group appears to present a compelling business case. 4 2. INTRODUCTION 2.1. The Thirteen Group was established in 2014 from the component subsidiaries of the Fabrick and Vela Groups. The formation of the Group was predicated on delivering efficiencies and maximising capacity and so from the outset there has been a focus on saving money and making the most efficient use of resources. 2.2. In December 2015, the Thirteen Group Board debated a report from the Group’s legal advisors, Anthony Collins Solicitors LLP (ACS), which outlined options for simplifying the Group. The Board agreed to explore the option of consolidating the Group to become one RP, and consultation with all Partner Boards commenced following a Board Development event on 5 February 2016. The Boards agreed with this proposal in principle, with the following caveats: 2.3. 2.4. Appropriate arrangements to ensure continued local focus and representation; A business case should be developed, to outline the benefits and opportunities that a Group restructure would bring; and Reassurance that customers’ and service users’ needs are reflected in whatever governance structure is agreed. These issues were addressed in a report to the Boards that outlined the likely structure, process and high level timetable. It also covered those key issues that need to be addressed to bring this project to a successful conclusion: Lenders’ consents; HCA consent; Charity law and the need for Charity Commission consent; Consultation with / consent from other key stakeholders; Pensions; and Other structural issues such as future-proofing. Based on the work undertaken by ACS, the Group believes that the greatest benefits from simplification will be achieved by bringing all the RPs together into an assetowning charitable parent. This has led to further investigation and due diligence, which has enabled the creation of this business case. 5 3. STRATEGIC RATIONALE The proposed change to the Group structure will streamline the operations and borrowing of the Group and enable it to invest more efficiently in the provision and development of social housing in the areas in which it operates. 3.1. Benefits Overview 3.1.1. There are a number of benefits associated with implementing the revised Group structure: the ability to release and make best use of funding capacity, maximising resources and services across the Group, limiting the need for recharges between companies and ensuring the Group is ready for any future opportunities. 3.1.2. The Group needs to position itself in the best way possible to take advantage of any opportunities that arise from the devolution agenda and establishment of a combined authority. There are potential opportunities for Thirteen to have a strategic leadership role in Tees Valley. Talks have been initiated with other RPs and organisations in the region to discuss the potential for sharing services and more collaborative working. 3.1.3. Having four separate subsidiary RP Partner Companies within the Group (plus the Parent) by nature increases bureaucracy and duplication, and is not an effective use of money and resources. Consolidating the Group will enable us to reduce duplication, eliminate waste and make best use of resources. The HCA is increasingly keen to see that groups operate streamlined, less complicated and less risky structures to drive efficiencies and value for money, and enable more effective risk management. 3.1.4. Savings can easily be realised by reducing the number of Boards and Board Directors across the Group. This includes a reduction in staffing and resource efficiencies in areas such as the Resources Team, as well as savings in Board Director remuneration and expenses. It is estimated that these savings could be in the region of £500k per annum. 3.1.5. By far the greatest benefit of consolidating the structure will be the ability to release capacity across the Group. The Group currently has four RP subsidiaries with four sets of assets and four sets of loan covenants, with capacity in one and not the others. By refinancing away from the current structure, Thirteen would save on borrowing costs and release capacity by consolidating the assets into one RP; and potentially unlocking resources to do more across the Group. 3.1.6. From a practical perspective, all Thirteen Group employees, with the exception of Thirteen Care and Support (TCS) staff, have recently been moved onto joint contracts of employment. TCS is already on the same terms and conditions and so we anticipate there will be few changes even though TUPE does apply. Staff will be consulted with as required but it is envisaged there will be minimal impact on remuneration and terms and conditions. Services are operated across the Group by Thirteen staff on behalf of the Partner Companies. The proposed governance structure would, therefore, reflect the existing organisational structure and ‘Team Thirteen’ culture. 3.2. Protecting Customer Services 3.2.1. At the Board Development event, Board Directors agreed that most customers are not interested in the landlord’s name or position in a Group structure; what matters is that they receive consistently good services, regardless of their property type or where they live. 6 3.2.2. The way in which services are delivered will not be affected by the revised structure. The Group operates a single customer contact centre, with one telephone number. The implementation of an integrated ICT housing management system will enhance the Group’s ability to operate consistent processes and deliver consistent levels of service. The Group’s van fleet already prominently displays the Thirteen logo, along with the logos of the individual Partner Companies. 3.3. Local Representation 3.3.1. One of the key issues for the Partner Boards was the concern that local relationships, partnerships, knowledge and focus would be lost should the Partner Companies be removed. 3.3.2. There are two aspects to consider here: first of all, the strategic and operational relationships that exist between the Partner RPs and their respective Local Authorities, and, secondly, the arrangements that would exist to ensure local representation is maintained and the customer voice is heard at Thirteen Board level. 3.3.3. Relationships with Local Authorities, both from a strategic and operational perspective, would continue through the links already established with the Group’s Leadership Team. The new Group Chair and Chief Executive have met with, and written to, all relevant Local Authorities and further meetings have been scheduled. 3.3.4. The new Group Chair and Chief Executive will be involved in establishing and developing links with the new Combined Authority, with initial meetings having taken place over the summer months. 3.3.5. The Thirteen Board will need to be appropriately skilled to effectively manage the affairs of the Group. An external Board recruitment consultant has been appointed to oversee recruitment to the Board. Expressions of interest will be requested from existing Board members within the Group initially, based on relevant skills, knowledge and experience, and any vacancies which cannot be filled through internal recruitment will then be advertised externally. The remuneration levels for the Thirteen Board and Committees will not change. 3.3.6. Following extensive consultation with the Thirteen Customer Council on ensuring customer insight at the Thirteen Board level, it has been agreed that the Chair, or another representative of the Customer Council, will be invited to attend each formal meeting of the Thirteen Board and take part in all debates. 3.3.7. Scrutiny of Group performance and services will continue through the Group’s Customer Scrutiny Panel. 3.3.8. Customer involvement will continue through the Group’s established involvement framework. 7 4. STRUCTURE 4.1. Current Structure 4.1.1. A diagram of the current structure of the Group is set out below: 4.1.2. The Group has grown over time, most recently through the merger of the Fabrick and Vela Groups in 2014. It now wishes to move to a simpler, more streamlined structure in order to achieve the strategic benefits set out in section 3 of this business case. 4.2. Proposed Structure 4.2.1. A diagram of the proposed new Group structure is set out below: 4.2.2. In their report, ACS recommended that consolidating the five current RP members - Thirteen Housing Group (THG), Erimus Housing Limited (EH), Housing Hartlepool (HH), Tees Valley Housing Limited (TVH) and Tristar Homes Limited (TH) - to form one charitable RP would achieve the greatest level of efficiencies. In this model, the newly consolidated RP would be the Parent company, with subsidiaries as appropriate to deliver development, support and diversified commercial activities. This is the least complicated and least bureaucratic option, and the most cost (and resource) effective. 8 4.2.3. The following describes how the Group proposes to deliver the consolidation: 4.3. Consolidation of the RPs within the Group 4.3.1. There are currently five RPs within the Group. It is proposed that within the new structure they will be consolidated into one, which will hold all social housing assets within the Group. In order to consolidate the five RPs within the Group, it is proposed that: 4.3.1.1. THG, EH, HH and TH will convert (using the statutory procedure under section 115 of the Co-operative and Community Benefit Societies Act 2014 (CCBSA)) to become community benefit societies, rather than companies. Section 117 CCBSA confirms that conversion of a company to a community benefit society has no effect on any liabilities of the company existing at the time of conversion. 4.3.1.2. TVH, EH, HH and TSH will then transfer all of their assets and liabilities to THG using the transfer of engagements procedure under s110 CCBSA. Section 110 CCBSA operates to vest (under statute) all assets and liabilities of the transferring societies into the recipient entity and confirms that a transfer of engagements shall not prejudice the rights of creditors of the societies. The transfer of engagements process has been used many times in similar consolidation arrangements. 4.3.1.3. The resulting RP entity (“Thirteen”) will be the Parent of the Group and will be a community benefit society and exempt charity. It will hold all social housing assets of the Group. 4.3.1.4. Through the creation of a charitable RP Parent it will allow its commercial subsidiaries to Gift Aid surpluses up to it and take advantage of the nine month Gift Aid rule, so that they have longer to shed potentially taxable surpluses. 4.4. Rationalising the commercial subsidiaries: Optimus Homes Limited (Optimus) 4.4.1. Optimus will be used as the Group’s design and build subsidiary, for the purposes of achieving VAT efficiencies (“Devco”). The purpose of establishing Optimus as a Devco is to enable the Group to maximise VAT recovery in relation to professional fees. Essentially, Optimus will enter into all contracts and appointments on Thirteen’s behalf and will then contract with Thirteen to deliver all of these services ‘up’ to it. However, this is unlikely to be implemented until 2017/18, as the Group is already party to arrangements with the Spirit Partnership in relation to achieving VAT efficiencies. It is expected that the Spirit Partnership will be wound up or dissolved in due course. 4.4.2. Although Optimus will be a wholly-owned subsidiary of Thirteen, it will sit outside of the VAT group. It will, therefore, be able to claim back the VAT incurred on the development costs it incurs. These savings can then be passed on to the Group through a reduced price for design and build services, or through gift aiding profits back up to Thirteen. This is a well-established VAT planning device utilised by many RPs. 9 Portico Homes Limited (Portico) 4.4.3. Portico will continue to act as the Group’s ‘JV hub’, designed to allow the Group to easily undertake joint ventures for the purpose (primarily) of achieving development objectives. It is proposed that a JV hub be established to allow the Group to more easily enter into joint ventures with commercial organisations to develop for outright sale. This has been suggested as a preferred model by the HCA. It should also assist with tax recovery (in that Portico should be able to Gift Aid profits to Thirteen). 4.4.4. It is also proposed that Portico will undertake development of outright sale and affordable housing (either within Portico itself or through its joint ventures). Development for outright sale will not usually be undertaken within Thirteen itself, both because of the inherent risks associated with such activities (and therefore the risk to social housing assets if such activities are not ring fenced in a separate entity) and because of the tax treatment of income from such activities (which are not usually treated as charitable activities). Partnering Plus Limited (Partnering Plus) 4.4.5. It is proposed that the current external partners of Partnering Plus be ‘bought out’ so that Partnering Plus can become a wholly owned subsidiary of Thirteen and be used to house external-facing commercial activity which may not be deemed to be charitable, such as the provision of repairs services and some education, employment and support activities. The buy-out will be for a nominal value. If a buyout cannot be agreed with the external partners, it is proposed that Thirteen will cease its involvement in Partnering Plus and that a new subsidiary should be established for these purposes. 4.4.6. It is also proposed that Partnering Plus may be used to process the sale of some outright sale developments. 4.4.7. Housing these activities in a separate commercial subsidiary (rather than within Portico, for example) will help to ring-fence liabilities and assist in more preferential tax treatment of the income. It allows there to be a focus on the growth of commercial activities within Partnering Plus and also allows a separate brand and recognition to be built. Vela Housing Limited (Vela) 4.4.8. The Group may wish to utilise Vela as either a social enterprise, charity or a costsharing group vehicle in the future. Whilst there does not appear to be a clear driver to do so at present, Vela will be retained as a separate inactive subsidiary available for use in future if required. Future Proofing 4.4.9. The Group may wish to create a future subsidiary, a company limited by shares, either to be used as a cost sharing group vehicle or for solely undertaking development for outright sale (although the Group would first explore utilising its existing subsidiaries). This is not currently shown on the diagram above. 4.4.10. The Group may also wish to create a funding vehicle, to cater for any capital markets issues. This is also not shown on the diagram above. 10 Thirteen Care & Support (TCS) 4.4.11. Specified activities currently carried out by TCS will be transferred to Thirteen, whilst others outside of the Tees Valley area are being transferred outside of the Group. It is proposed that TCS will be dissolved (and struck off the register as a charity) in due course. 11 5. FINANCIAL OUTPUTS 5.1. Business Case for Consolidation - Financial 5.1.1. The Diagram below compares the base position in the 2016 financial plan to the position that would apply immediately after consolidation. The base financial plan used in this analysis is the FFR plan submitted to the HCA in June, which has four ring fenced borrowing subsidiaries. In the current arrangement each borrower is treated as a separate entity, with its own cash and debt. 5.1.2. Scenario 1 is the FFR financial plan immediately after consolidation. The only changes between the base plan and Scenario 1 are: the repayment of the Darlington loan and the £10m RBS / Erimus loans as proposed in the 2016 Annual Treasury Strategy (which creates a saving in the region of £185k in the first year); and in the collapsed group, the single borrower is able to offset cash against loans to reduce the net borrowing. Millions 400 BASE FFR Loans 350 Scenario 1 Loans 300 BASE FFR Cash 250 Scenario 1 Cash 200 150 100 50 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 0 5.1.3. A considerable saving is created by consolidating the Group’s loan facilities and cash resources. It can be seen from this chart that after consolidation the Group’s borrowing requirement is significantly lower and it is this which creates the most significant savings. In this Scenario, by year 30, the cash balances are forecast to be £30m higher. 5.1.4. Two of the existing lenders (RBC Syndicate £105m loan and Santander £13.2m loan) have proposed to uplift to their loan margins in consideration for giving consent to the Consolidation. The proposal from RBS, the largest lender to the Group with loan facilities of £242.7m, involves a restructuring fee but is otherwise financially neutral; it also improves the borrowing liquidity of the Group going forward with a large Revolving Credit Facility. 5.1.5. The following diagram compares the FFR plan to the plan assuming the lender’s proposals are accepted. Note – this is the position BEFORE any proposed additional investment activities. 12 Millions 400 Cash - Scenario 2 350 BASE FFR Cash 300 Loans - Scenario 2 BASE FFR Loans 250 200 150 100 50 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 0 5.1.6. This shows that even after taking into consideration the lenders proposals for increased margins that a strong business case exists for the Consolidation. In Scenario 2, by year 30, the cash balances are forecast to be over £28m higher. 5.2. Financial Covenants after Consolidation 5.2.1. The introduction of FRS102 for the financial statements means that financial covenant definitions will need to be amended across all the loans. Given the timing of the change, the Group has sought, where possible, for the covenants to be simplified and made consistent throughout. 5.2.2. Following negotiations with lenders the Group is confident that in relation to FRS102 the result will be a financially neutral position, i.e. the covenants will be set at a level post-consolidation that is no better or worse than before FRS102. 5.2.3. In relation to HH and TH, where the existing RBS financial covenants are based on the cashflows arising from an annually approved financial plan, RBS has proposed interest cover and gearing on the same basis that already applies to the Erimus and TV RBS loans at levels that match the existing TV and Erimus loans. This means that following consolidation the Group would no longer be restricted by tightly drawn covenants that were originally deigned to quickly repay the loans. 5.2.4. The following table shows the new financial covenants before and after consolidation (note: this is a theoretical exercise showing the tightest covenant because currently the covenants apply to each Borrower). Financial Covenants Target 2017 Forecast 2017 Target 2022 Forecast 2022 Interest Cover existing 110% 285% 110% 265% Interest Cover after consolidation 110% 313% 110% 285% Gearing existing 60% 31.76% 60% 22.92% Gearing new after consolidation 60% 29.08% 60% 20.30% 13 5.3. Financial Capacity after Consolidation 5.3.1. The combination of the financial savings and changing the financial covenants to conventional tests means that post-consolidation the Group will have access to the financial capacity of the Group as a whole. 5.3.2. This means that the overall borrowing capacity, which before consolidation is limited by the financial plan consent requirements of the HH and TH loan facilities, has increased. The switch to conventional financial covenants maximises the financial capacity of the Group. 5.3.3. The HH and TH loans are heavily over-secured and within their proposal for consent RBS has agreed to the release of excess security from charge. This concession will provide maximum loan security asset cover to use on new loan facilities, which will be in the region of £300m in asset value to support additional investment in new development and regeneration within the Tees Valley. 5.3.4. None of the lenders has sought to increase their minimum-security requirement or impose unreasonable conditions in return for consent that would affect the financial capacity of the Group. 5.4. Costs and Benefits 5.4.1. As would be expected there are fairly significant costs associated with gaining consent from the Groups Funders, in addition to the costs for the support from a range of advisors in carrying out the consolidation, as provided in the table below; Analysis Pension: SHPS 30.0 Growth Plan 20.0 LGPS 30.0 Funders: Consent Legal costs Other Legal advice 1,125.3 90.0 125.0 Recruitment 4.0 Tenant Consultation 30.0 Treasury Advice 27.5 Tax Advice 25.0 Total 5.4.2. £000’s Cost item 1,506.8 Many of these costs will be incurred on, or around the time of, the consolidation, in particular the fees for consent from the Funders, and are more than offset by the savings and capacity generated as a result as can be shown in the table below, with a payback on costs being delivered in just over one year. 14 5.4.3. Given that a significant amount of savings and all of the additional capacity comes from the consolidated loan book, we did consider whether the adoption of a Treasury Vehicle could also deliver the same degree of savings and capacity, but this proved not to be the case, as it does not overcome the restrictions on disposals / on-lending that the consolidation would achieve. 5.4.4. Group Consolidation Interest and Finance costs Savings Summary 2016/17 £000 2017/18 £000 2018/19 £000 2019/20 £000 2020/21 £000 FFR 2016 13,148.5 13,313.6 13,361.6 14,343.1 15,544.2 30 year Total £000 196,857.6 Post Consolidation 12,034.3 13,334.2 12,120.4 12,253.9 12,860.5 167,621.4 1,114.2 (20.6) 1,241.2 2,089.2 2,683.7 29,236.5 (Costs)/Savings Achieved 5.4.6 It should be noted that the savings shown in 2016/17 are in relation to the repayment of a £15m RBS loan facility which was agreed after the FFR was submitted, in addition to the £10m proposed repayment as mentioned in paragraph 5.1.2. Both of these have been agreed as a result of achieving the savings targets we had set in response to the 1% rent cut. 5.4.7 In 2017/18 it can be seen that the costs for consent, as mentioned above, are largely offset by the interest payment savings as a result. 5.4.8 Interest rates over the life of the plan are still assumed to increase from an average of 3.89% to 6.5% in 2023/24 and will increase further to over 8.0% in 2035/36. Well ahead of this time the Group will have been able to look at various re-financing options, including a Private Placement, in order to keep these costs to a minimum wherever possible. Having said that, simply by having all assets and loans in one company it will enable the Group to borrow less and manage borrowing more efficiently (as shown in 5.1.5 above) because it eliminates the barriers to interest cost savings that the Group currently cannot avoid. 5.4.9 The other significant saving to the Group (which is not included in the table above) will be delivered following a review of the support services, in Governance and Finance in particular, as there will be a direct impact (reduction) on the amount of work required to support the consolidated structure current, in addition to the reduction in direct costs associated with Board Directors. These have been estimated to be in the region of £500k per annum (£15m in total) and are included in the Management Costs line of the 30 year financial plan attached at Appendix B. 15 5.5. Stress Testing 5.5.1. A full suite of stress testing has been undertaken and the financial plan shows that the consolidation has the effect of improving both the level of gearing and interest cover compared to the position that currently applies. 5.5.2. A summary of the stress testing that has been undertaken on the post-consolidation financial plan is included at Appendix B. The focus of this exercise has been to look, not only at the additionality the consolidation will bring but also how we will better withstand a potential future rent cut, the impact of the Local Housing Allowance (LHA) cap on rents and service charges, voluntary Right to Buy, a significant contract failure and pension cost increases, and combinations thereof. 5.5.3. There are scenarios that will break the plan, not least a further 1% rent reduction coupled with the LHA cap. The scenarios that ‘break plan; and where they break it are highlighted within Appendix B and the results of this exercise have been shared with a number of Board Directors from across the Group at a Board development event held in October 2016, in order for us to collate a series of responses and actions ahead of such scenarios occurring. 5.5.4. At this event we also considered the implications of not gaining consent from any of the Local Authority partners, in addition to looking at how best to use the £300m additional capacity in the delivery of affordable and outright sales units. These scenarios did help to underpin the reason for the consolidation, the benefits to be gained and also why it was important that we gained consent from all parties. 16 6. RISK MITIGATION 6.1. Thirteen has a robust assurance and risk management framework, and strategic risks are reviewed and monitored on a quarterly basis. A comprehensive risk register has been developed to underpin this project and ensure the mitigation of potential risks and this is attached as Appendix C. 6.2. The two key risks with the highest scoring (red) risk factor in relation to the delivery of the project have been identified as follows: Risk 1 Risk 6 Lenders not supporting the proposal Meetings have taken place with lenders and negotiations are ongoing. We have in principle confirmation from the relevant lenders that consent will be forthcoming. Stakeholder Support (Local Authorities) 6.3. The Group Chief Executive and Chair have had meetings with all the Local Authorities with the objective of securing inprincipal consent before a formal request for consent is made. The majority of the risks, as expected, fall into the amber category. Risk reduction activity has been identified for each risk; the project team meet fortnightly, monitor the risk register and address the risks as they emerge. 17 7. GOVERNANCE 7.1. Having an asset owning RP as the Group Parent is intended to demonstrate the Group’s commitment to being, at its heart, a social housing provider. The Board will need to be sufficiently skilled in order to oversee the regulatory requirements for the Group, alongside potentially diversified activities which, in any case, are proposed to be housing related. 7.2. The HCA Governance and Financial Viability Standard states that boards of RPs should manage their affairs with an appropriate degree of skill, independence, diligence, effectiveness, prudence and foresight. 7.3. A board that has been appointed on the basis of skills and expertise is likely to best fulfil this requirement. 7.4. After simplification, the Thirteen Board will comprise 11 members, including: Group Chair; Senior Independent Director (who is also the Chair of the Remuneration Committee (RemCo); The Chairs of the Treasury and Investment (T&I) Committee and Audit and Risk (A&R) Committee; The Chairs of Partnering Plus and Portico Homes; 1 Executive Board Director (Group Chief Executive); and 4 Independent Board Directors. 7.5. The composition and terms of reference for the Board and Committees have been agreed by the Thirteen Board, and skill requirements have been assessed with advice from an external independent consultant. Existing Board Directors from across the Thirteen Group will initially be invited to apply for positions on the new Thirteen Board and Committees, subject to having the required skills and knowledge, with external recruitment being sought for vacancies as a result of skills gaps and/or insufficient appropriate applicants. The independent consultant will support the recruitment process in accordance with the identified skills and competency framework. 7.6. The Thirteen Board will be supported by three Committees – RemCo, T&I Committee and A&R Committee. 7.7. In relation to the commercial subsidiaries, it is proposed that: Optimus will have a Board consisting of 2 Executives and 1-2 NonExecutives; Portico will have a Board of 4-5, comprising 2 Executives and 2-3 NonExecutives; Partnering Plus will have a Board of 5, comprising 2 Executives and 2-3 Non-Executives; and Vela will have a Board comprising only 2 Executives, while it remains inactive. 7.8. The governance arrangements for the proposed cost sharing group and funding vehicle have not been decided but are very likely to be broadly the same structure as Portico or Partnering Plus. 7.9. Following restructure the Group will continue to regularly review the skills matrix to ensure that the Board remains effective and to identify any future skills/knowledge gaps. 18 8. REGULATORY COMPLIANCE 8.1. The HCA has anecdotally commented that it expects to see greater consolidation within the sector, particularly as RPs readjust to the impact of the four year rent reduction and the introduction of the voluntary Right to Buy. These proposals fit well with this general expectation. 8.2. A key driver of the consolidation is to achieve greater efficiencies, which is aligned to the requirements of the Value for Money Standard. The proposed structure is known to be the HCA’s preferred option when assessing value for money. 8.3. The proposed governance arrangements for the Group will meet the requirements of the Governance and Financial Viability Standard. 8.4. In undertaking any non-social housing activity within the Group, appropriate stress testing will be undertaken and the potential risk to social housing assets minimised. 8.5. Tenant consultation has been undertaken in line with the requirements of the Tenant Empowerment and Involvement Standard. 19 9. TIMETABLE 9.1. In parallel with the simplification proposal, the Group has developed an outline Funding Plan to refinance a proportion of its existing loan facilities in order to maximise the benefits of the new structure. Interest rates are remarkably low and this potentially presents the Group with an opportunity to replace short and medium term loans with some long term fixed rate debt. 9.2. The Funding Plan is aimed to address the inefficiencies and risks associated with the existing arrangements: 9.3. Tristar and Housing Hartlepool have potential capacity to invest but are restricted by the terms of their existing funding arrangements which predate joining the Group back to their origins as large scale voluntary transfers, such as business plan consent, LSVT financial covenants and restrictions on borrowing elsewhere without consent; and All members of the Group are locked into historic arrangements that require the Group members to repay capital; for example Erimus, Tees Valley, Tristar and Housing Hartlepool all have bullet repayment loans that mature in March 2019. The key milestones plan is attached as Appendix E. summarises the key milestones: Key milestone 9.4. The following table Target date Obtain funders’ in principle consent Complete Obtain local authorities’ in principle consent November 2016 Undertake tenant consultation Complete Boards to sign off business case Complete Charity Commission consent to conversions December 2016 Shareholder approvals to conversions December 2016 Staff consultation completed December 2016 Boards to sign off funders’ consent letters January 2017 Formal local authorities’ consents January 2017 Funders’ consent letters agreed and entered into January 2017 HCA consent February 2017 FCA registration of conversions of HH. EH and TH February 2017 Shareholder approvals to transfer of engagements February 2017 FCA registration of conversion of THG 30 March 2017 FCA registration of transfers of engagements 1 April 2017 Asset transfers completed 1 April 2017 Updating Land Registry Post April 2017 Refinancing Post April 2017 Additional funding is not required before the consolidation. The timetable for new funding will start immediately after the Boards confirm their agreement to pursue the simplification of the Group structure and is likely to complete in June 2017. 20 10. CONSENTS Thirteen has developed a comprehensive Consultation and Communication Plan (Appendix F). The following summarises the key areas covered: 10.1. Tenants: Although there is no requirement to ballot tenants an extensive programme of consultation has been delivered to fulfil the HCA’s requirements, including the distribution of explanatory leaflets requesting feedback to every tenant and leaseholder; consultation with the Thirteen Customer Council throughout the process; and information and requests for feedback shared via social media. Full details can be found in the Consultation and Communication Plan attached as Appendix F. Details of the tenant consultation outcomes are included as Appendix G. The results of the consultation show that only 3 tenants expressed opposition to the proposed consolidation. Where the consultation created a query or request for service, each responder has been contacted to resolve the issue. 10.2. Staff: All staff within the Group will continue to be consulted with and kept appraised throughout, although all staff other than TCS staff are already on joint contracts of employment. TCS staff are already on identical contracts and therefore, although TUPE applies, there will be minimal impact from the change. 10.3. The HCA: Initial discussions have been undertaken with the HCA and we anticipate that approval will be forthcoming subject to approval of this business case and due diligence. In seeking the HCA’s consent, the following protocol has been used: 10.4. A detailed review of governance arrangements; Collecting evidence of due diligence into the effect of the consolidation, including confirmation of the ultimate liabilities of the “merged” Parent organisation; Ensuring confirmation that key stakeholders have been consulted and that, for example, Local Authorities and funders have not raised any objections; Demonstrating the value for money that will be achieved; and Reviewing the results of tenant consultation. The Charity Commission: Charity Commission consent will be required to convert Erimus, Housing Hartlepool and Tristar from registered to exempt charities. The Charity Commission was approached in November 2016 in relation to its consent. 21 10.5. Existing funders to the Group: The Group presently has 8 lenders: Santander, RBS, RBC Syndicate (Nationwide and Lloyds), Barclays, Orchardbrook and Darlington. The Darlington loan will be repaid prior to the consolidation. Consent is not required from all lenders and in particular; consent is not required from Barclays. The Group’s lenders have been contacted individually with tailored proposals in relation to the existing arrangements. This includes standardisation of financial covenants and changes to the existing loan agreements to enable the Group to take advantage of its increased capacity after simplification. All of the relevant lenders have indicated their agreement in principle to give consent for the consolidation and have made a written proposal which is the subject of further discussions. The existing lenders who are still actively lending have also been briefed on the need for future funding, including the possibility of a Private Placement in order to gauge their appetite for funding the consolidated group. The response has been universally positive. In all cases, consents will have to be documented before the proposed transaction can complete. 10.6. Other stakeholders, such as Local Authorities, partners, contractors etc: Each stakeholder has been approached individually for its consent where required. For example, Erimus, Housing Hartlepool and Tristar all have ‘golden share’ arrangements in place with their respective Local Authorities. This is one example of various transfer commitments / contractual arrangements that arose from the original housing transfers. In all cases, consents will have to be obtained before the proposed transaction can complete. It is envisaged that formal consent will be sought at special general meetings in December 2016 to February 2017. Reviews have been carried out to understand any implications for existing procurement and contract arrangements. The objective is to understand any liabilities that arise from the consolidation, including the effect of any key contracts which may have provisions allowing them to be terminated where there is a change of control. It is generally the case that contracts will automatically be “vested” in Thirteen as part of the transfer of engagements. 10.7. Pensions Advice has been sought from First Actuarial and ACS, and a note setting out how we will avoid any debt crystallisation is included in Appendix I. Due to the nature in which the schemes will be novated to Thirteen, we do not envisage there being any additional bond requirements. 22 Appendices: A. Executive Summary of Thirteen’s Strategic Plan - including pen portraits of the existing Thirteen Board (noting that the Board is under review) and Executive Team B. Proposed Financial Plan (extracts) and Sensitivities / Stress Testing C. Group Consolidation Risk Register D. Conversion Process Report E. Key Milestones Plan F. Consultation and Communication Plan G. Tenant Consultation Outcomes H. Tax Implications Report I. Pensions – Summary of Advice and Process J. Structuring Development Activity Report 23
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