3.2.1. Static Games of complete information: Dominant Strategies and Nash Equilibrium in pure and mixed strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Outline 3.1. What is a Game ? 3.1.1. The elements of a Game 3.1.2 The Rules of the Game: Example 3.1.3. Examples of Game Situations 3.1.4 Types of Games 3.2. Solution Concepts 3.2.1. Static Games of complete information: Dominant Strategies and Nash Equilibrium in pure and mixed strategies 3.2.2. Dynamic Games of complete information: Backward Induction and Subgame perfection Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Reminder There are, basically, four different types of games S t at ic Dyn amic Co mplet e In f o r mat io n In co mplet e In f o r mat io n Player s have all r elevan t N o t all player s have all t he in f o r mat io n , an d mo ve simulat en o usly r elevan t in f o r mat io n , an d mo ve simulat en o usly Player s have all r elevan t N o t all player s have all t he in f o r mat io n , an d mo ve r elevan t in f o r mat io n , an d seq uen t ially mo ve seq uen t ially All games in a given category are represented and solved alike Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Reminder Solution Concepts Co mplet e In f o r mat io n In co mplet e In f o r mat io n E q uilibr ium in Do min an t S t r at eg ies, S t at ic E limin at io n o f Do min at ed S t r at s. Bayesian N ash E q uilibr ium N ash E q uilibr ium N ash E q uilibr ium, Dyn amic Backw ar d In duct io n , S ubg ame Per f ect E q uilibr ium Bayesian Per f ect N ash E q uilibr ium, S eq uen t ial E q ulibr ium A solution of a game is called an Equilibrium of the game Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Reminder Static Games of Complete Information All the players choose their strategies simultaneously. This does not mean “at the same time” but “without knowing the choice of others” Because of this simultaneity they can be represented by means of a table (payoff matrix) They are “one-shot games”, that is, they are played only once All the players have all the information regarding who are the other players, what are the own strategies and the strategies of the others, what are the own payoffs and the payoffs of the others, and what are the rules of the game Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Solution concepts for this type of games • Equilibrium in Dominant Strategies When there is an “always winning” strategy • Equilibrium by elimination of Dominated Strategies When there are “worse than” strategies • Nash Equilibrium Works in any case In pure strategies (players do not randomize) In mixed strategies (players do randomize) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Reminder An equilibrium of the game is a choice of strategies by all the players that is stable, in the sense that Given what the other players are doing, nobody has any reason to change his or her own strategy Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: Game with “always winning” strategy (Dominant Strategy) Prediction of Game Theory: Both have a clear best strategy Philip Morris (player 2) Not advertise Advertise Advertise no matter what Not advertise 50, 50 20, 60 60, 20 30, 30 Reynolds (player 1) Advertise Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: Game with “worse than” strategies (Dominated Strategies) Prediction of Game Theory: There is no “always winning” strategy Bar 2 Bar 1 $2 $4 $5 $2 $4 $5 10 , 10 12 , 14 15 , 14 14 , 12 20, 20 15 , 28 14 , 15 28 , 15 25, 25 (in thousands of dollars) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Prediction of Game Theory: But there is a clearly bad strategy: $2 is always worse than $4 Bar 1 $2 $4 $5 Bar 2 $2 $4 $5 10 , 10 12 , 14 15 , 14 14 , 12 20, 20 15 , 28 14 , 15 28 , 15 25, 25 (in thousands of dollars) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Prediction of Game Theory: If $2 is removed from the game (it will never be used) then the game is more clear Bar 1 $2 $4 $5 Bar 2 $2 $4 $5 10 , 10 12 , 14 15 , 14 14 , 12 20, 20 15 , 28 14 , 15 28 , 15 25, 25 (in thousands of dollars) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Prediction of Game Theory: Now $4 is clearly the best strategy no matter what my competitor does Bar 1 $4 $5 Bar 2 $4 $5 20, 20 15 , 28 28 , 15 25, 25 (in thousands of dollars) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Prediction of Game Theory: NOTICE: The “coincidence” of red circles is (again) the stable outcome Bar 1 $4 $5 Bar 2 $4 $5 20, 20 15 , 28 28 , 15 25, 25 (in thousands of dollars) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: Game with no “always winning strategy with no “worse than” strategies (Nash Equilibrium) Prediction of Game Theory: There is no “always winning” nor “worse than” strategies Paul Mary Right Left Right 0, 0 -50 , -50 Left -50 , -50 0,0 There are 2 equilibrium: (coincidence of red circles) Both players driving on the right Both players driving on the left (but players do not randomize!) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: Game with no “always winning strategy with no “worse than” strategies (Nash Equilibrium) Prediction of Game Theory: There is no “always winning” nor “worse than” strategies Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Example: Game with no “always winning strategy with no “worse than” strategies (Nash Equilibrium) Prediction of Game Theory: There is no “coincidence” of red circles Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Players do randomize to play this game Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Equilibrium in Dominant Strategies A player has a Dominant Strategy if, regardless the strategy chosen by the other players, that strategy is always a best response (it has all red circles) If every player has a Dominant Strategy, then the predicted outcome of the game is the one that corresponds to the players choosing that strategy If some players have a Dominant Strategy and others don't, the predicted outcome is that players with dominant strategies will use them whereas players with no dominant strategies will choose a best response to them Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Philip Morris (player 2) Example: Not advertise Reynolds (player 1) Not advertise Advertise Advertise 50, 50 20, 60 60, 20 30, 30 Philip Morris (player 2) Example: Not advertise Reynolds (player 1) Not advertise Advertise Advertise 50, 80 20, 60 60, 20 30, 30 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Equilibrium by elimination of Dominated Strategies A player has a Dominated Strategy if, regardless the strategy chosen by the other players, that strategy is always worse than some other strategy (it has NO red circles) If a player has a Dominated Strategy, the corresponding row or column can be removed from the table After the removal of one dominated strategy it might happen that other strategies are also dominated. The process of elimination of dominated strategies continues until there are no more dominated strategies for any player Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Player 2 Player 1 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 Notice that (B,Z) is the only outcome with coincidence of red circles V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 There are no strategies with “all red circles” That is, there are no Dominant Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 But there are strategies with NO red circles That is, there are Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 But there are strategies with NO red circles That is, there are Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 D 1,6 -3,0 -1,4 1,1 -1,4 E 0,0 1,4 -3,1 -2,3 -1,-1 We can eliminate the dominated strategies ! Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 We can eliminate the dominated strategies ! Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 Now there are strategies with NO red circles for Player 2 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 Now there are strategies with NO red circles for Player 2 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 V W X Y Z A 4,-1 3,0 -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B -1,1 2,2 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 2,1 -1,-1 0,4 4,-1 0,2 We can eliminate, again, the Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Y Z A -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 0,4 4,-1 0,2 We can eliminate, again, the Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Y Z A -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 0,4 4,-1 0,2 Now we find new Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Y Z A -3,1 -1,4 -2,0 B 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 0,4 4,-1 0,2 Now we find new Dominated Strategies Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Y Z B 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 0,4 4,-1 0,2 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Y Z B 2,3 -1,0 2,5 C 0,4 4,-1 0,2 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Z B 2,3 2,5 C 0,4 0,2 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 1 Player 2 X Z B 2,3 2,5 C 0,4 0,2 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 2 B X Z 2,3 2,5 Player 1 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 2 B X Z 2,3 2,5 Player 1 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 2 Z B 2,5 Player 1 The process of elimination of Dominated Strategies continues Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example Look for the best replies Player 2 Z B 2,5 Player 1 The final (predicted) outcome of the game is Player 1 chooses B and gets a payoff of 2 Player 2 choose Z and gets a payoff of 5 (Notice that this was the only outcome with “coincidence” of red circles) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The order of elimination of Dominated Strategies does not affect the final outcome of the process Sometimes the process of elimination continues until a unique outcome survives, sometimes it stops earlier If some outcome of the game has a “coincidence of red circles”, then it will survive the process of elimination Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Nash Equilibrium after John F. Nash Jr. (1928-) There are (many) games in which the two previous solution concepts can not be used. That is, there (many) games with no Dominant Strategies nor Dominated Strategies. The ideal would be to have a solution concept that can be used in any game and that always works. That is the “Nash Equilibrium” Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Nash Equilibrium A Nash Equilibrium is a combination of strategies by the players with the special feature that: All players are playing a best reply to what the other players are doing Notice that, since all the players are playing a “best reply”, nobody will want to change his choice of an strategy !!! Is in this sense that a Nash Equilibrium is stable Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Nash Equilibrium In practical terms A Nash Equilibrium is where the best replies of the players coincide That is, a Nash Equilibrium is where the red circles coincide (in the Table representation of the game) Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: The Battle of the Sexes Pat and Chris want to go out together after work They work on different places and before going to work they couldn't find any agreement on where to go The options were go to the Opera of go to the Football They both would like to go to a place together, but Pat prefers the Opera whereas Chris likes the Football better Thus, the situation is that after work (5 pm) each must decide where to go without knowing the choice of the other Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The environment of the game Players: Strategies: Payoffs: Pat and Chris Opera or Football In this case we must “define” the payoffs in such a way that represent the game described (see the Table in the next slide) The Rules of the Game Timing of moves Nature of conflict and interaction Information conditions Simultaneous Coordination Symmetric Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Chris Look for the best replies Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Chris Look for the best replies Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Chris There are two Nash Equlibria Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Pat and Chris going both to the Opera is stable Chris Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Pat and Chris going both to the Football is stable Chris Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented Any other outcome is unstable Chris Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ The game represented This game calls for coordination Chris Opera Opera Football 3,1 0,0 -1 , -1 1,3 Pat Football Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Example: The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Example: The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game Look for the best replies Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Example: The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game There are not “always good” nor “always bad” strategies. Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Example: The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game And there is no coincidence of red circles. !! There is no stable outcome ! Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Example: The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game In this games, players choose their strategy “at random” This will be the equilibrium Player 2 Rock Player 1 Rock Paper Scissors 0, 0 +1, -1 -1, +1 Paper -1, +1 0, 0 +1, -1 Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Scissors +1, -1 -1, +1 0, 0 Nash Equilibria are stable outcomes of the game The concept of Nash Equilibrium does not tell how that outcome is reached In case of more than one Nash Equilibria, we do not know which one will be the one chosen by the players (Advanced Game Theory has more solution concepts to “select” among several Nash Equilibria) An Equilibrium in Dominant Strategies is also a Nash Equilibrium A Nash Equilibrium survives the process of elimination of Dominated Strategies A Nash Equilibrium is a one-for-all solution A Nash Equilibrium always exists, in any game Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ Summary If you have a Dominant Strategy use it, and expect your opponent to use it as well If you have Dominated Strategies do not use any of them, and expect you opponent not to use them as well (eliminate them from the analysis of the game) If there are neither Dominant Strategies nor Dominated Strategies, look for Nash Equilibria and play accordingly. Expect your opponent to play according to the Nash Equilibrium as well If there are multiple Nash Equilibria, further analysis is required Strategic Behavior in Business and Econ
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz