MIDTERM EVALUATION REPORT OF THE TANZANIA COFFEE INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 2011-2021 PRESENTED AT THE NATIONAL STAKEHOLDERS COFFEE CONFERRENCE, MOROGORO, 18TH-19TH. MAY, 2017 BY DAVID GONGWE MHANDO NTENGUA S.Y. MDOE BACAS. SOKOINE UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURE Menu Introduction Approach and methodology of the Evaluation Findings of the Evaluation Conclusion Recommendation (way forward) Introduction Coffee is one of Tanzania’s primary agricultural export crop representing about 5% percent of total exports. More than 90% of coffee produced in Tanzania originates from smallholder farmers. Coffee industry provides direct income to more than 400,000 families and benefits 2.4 million Tanzanians. Average yearly production in Tanzania has stagnated at a level of about 50,000 metric tons over the past 35 year. Trend in Coffee production in Tanzania The trend of Coffee production has not been consistent. Please note 2015/16) is metric tons = 60, 188 and not (75,000) Trend in overall coffee production in Tanzania, 2011/12-2015/16 Introduction To address the coffee industry constraints the Tanzania Coffee Industry Development Strategy for the development of the coffee sector (2011-2021) was established to: i. Increase production volumes 50,000 tons to reach 100,000 tons by year 2021 ii. Increasing in quality from 35% premium to at least 70% of the total production. iii. Improving farmers’ share of net FOB price to at least 70% by 2021 Four strategic thrusts were planned to be carried ( i) increased productivity and production (ii) improved efficiency of the value chain (iii) improved quality and (iv) explore new markets including development of sustainable coffee Introduction: TOR To assess the progress made in the implementation of the planned activities mid-term evaluation was commissioned to the Bureau of Agricultural Consultancy and Advisory Services (BACAS) to: i. identify how strength and opportunities have been (under) utilized in the implementation of the strategy ii. design/develop and recommend appropriate intervention iii. propose ways national targets could be identified and translated into Zonal, Regional and District targets iv. propose Public Private Partnerships models in the implementation of the strategic thrusts at various levels in the coffee sector v. To identify where changes should take place in terms of goals, targets, funding, etc and vi. recommend the way forward Approach and Methodology of the Evaluation Study approach composed of three major phases namely desk review, stakeholder consultations and field survey. Survey was conducted in five coffee growing districts in Tanzania; Mbinga district in Ruvuma region, Mbozi district in Songwe Region, Tarime district in Mara region, Karagwe and Kyerwa districts in Kagera region Study Areas Study villages Findings: Status of implementation of planned activities Summary of status of implementation of the Tanzania Coffee Industry Development Strategy Some of the findings from the field (coffee farmers/producers) Land under coffee production Land under coffee production among the respondents averaged 2.16 acres with a minimum and max. of 0.25 and 54 acres respectively The sample households 35% reported that they expanded land under coffee in the past five years. Only 5% of the sampled farmers reported reduction of land under coffee the past five years (%) Despite shortage of land in the traditional coffee growing areas, new land for coffee has been opened. In 2015/16, for example, 67 and 18,666 hectares have been opened in Karagwe and Kyerwa districts respectively Coffee output and productivity Coffee output per household and yield per hectare varied significantly among household and across the districts. The yield for coffee across the three sample districts that grow Arabica coffee are far below the average yield of 2,500 kg (2.5 tons) per hectare in Brazil. Coffee yield per hectare in 2015/16 farming season District Average yield (kg/ha) Average output (kg/household) Tarime 405.78 kg/ha 150.34 Mbinga 554.98 kg/ha 436.64 Mbozi 422.25 kg/ha 437.46 Karagwe 539.68 Kg/ha 397.98 Kyerwa 731.80 kg/ha 440.35 Improving coffee productivity and production New disease resistant coffee varieties was developed and efforts have been made to multiply and distribute them to famers (38,319,177 seedlings) Findings shows about (>70%) of the farmers grow and prefer to grow the old coffee varieties. Proportion (%) of sample households that have grown old and new coffee varieties Coffee variety preferred by famers (% farmers preferring the variety) Reasons for preference of old coffee varieties Some of the reason for preference of old varieties includes: i. Seedlings of old varieties are readily available compared to new varieties ii. Old varieties are already established and not affected by climate change iii. Some of the farmers are Unaware of new varieties iv. No land for expansion/no capital to establish new farm v. Easy to manage (no need of irrigation) On the other hand, farmers who preferred growing new coffee varieties gave only two reasons that they are high yielding (80%) and that they are diseases tolerant (20%) Use of quality inputs, improved husbandry practices and extension services Agrochemicals (fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides) and manure were largely used in Mbozi and Mbinga Very few coffee farmers practiced simple but important husbandry practices like mulching and timely pruning None of the farmers in Kyerwa reported use of inorganic fertilizer. Farmers who reported to have an agricultural extension agent in their locality varied from 56.7% in Karagwe district to 82.6% in Mbozi district (Mostly NGOs) About 48.4% of the sample households reported to be visited at least twice a year Challenges Encountered During Implementation of the Strategy Critical Weaknesses and Challenges Encountered in the Implementation -Increase Production and Productivity Meager resources received by TCB from the government -Little can be done to regulate and supervise effectively the activities Lack of budget for implementation of the strategy. Coffee industry suffers and fails to increase its production because it is one of the most taxable crop in Tanzania. Climate change has affected coffee farmers, failure to irrigate in most areas. There is a failure to complete farmer’s registration process, and that jeopardizes the strategy Lack of ownership of the strategy as some of the District Executive Director are newly appointed and have never heard of it Critical Weaknesses and Challenges Encountered in the Implementation -Increase production and Productivity The government has failed to fund the research on coffee. Lack of monitoring of the strategy The strategy was launched without data on production costs of the farmers and/or unaware of number of coffee trees in the country. High interest rates for loans (20%), with fluctuating prices, make farmers hesitate to take loans from the commercial banks Some of inputs stockiest sell fake agricultural inputs which increase costs of production and discourage farmers in their production endeavor. Climate change, increase water usage has resulted into water conflicts between investors who would like to use the same for irrigation and other users Critical Weaknesses and Challenges Encountered in the Implementation -Increase production and Productivity The government and its institutions have failed to play their crucial role of being the last resort buyers and rescue the farmers when the price falls below Investors have complained about the current policy framework which affects investment Farmers have continued producing coffee from the old coffee trees, some inherited from their parents. Failure of the cooperatives to support farmers during production by distributing agricultural inputs on loan basis and/or supporting farmers in purchasing inputs; this has created a gap for NGOs which support farmers Weaknesses and Challenges in the Implementation of Strategic thrust 2: improve efficiency in the coffee value chain Although Rules and regulations of Tanzania coffee industry prohibits ownership of more than one license, traders have opened sisters companies Middlemen take advantage of the farmers ‘problems and collect coffee from farmers at lower prices. Unsustainability of most of the farmers groups High costs associated with transporting coffee by road, instead of using railways network Farmers are not benefiting by selling cherries to private traders/cooperatives, unless they are paid into 3 installments Weaknesses and Challenges Encountered in the Implementation of Strategic thrust 3: Support Overall Coffee Quality Improvement Coffee trade as well as its price are highly determined by its quality, however, traders pay uniform (blanket) prices to farmers regardless of the quality Low use of CPU among small holders coffee farmers Shortage of water in some coffee producing areas, affect quality and possibility of irrigation Certification of coffee is done outside Tanzania which makes it expensive for small scale farmers Dependency on the foreign experts Coffee processing, drying, storage and quality assurance Major constrains in processing and quality assurance Weaknesses and Challenges Encountered in the Implementation of Strategic thrust 4: Exploring new market opportunities including development of sustainable coffee Some traders purchases coffee regardless of the quality (Blanket Prices) High costs of certification discourage farmers to join these programs Coffee marketing is dominated by multinational companies direct sale has been misused and has affected competition at the auction There is a failure to increase the number of participants at the auction Most of the local exporters fail to enter the auction because of failing to meet some of the conditionalities set by the Government Some efforts done by stakeholders to rescue the situation… Efforts made by coffee stakeholders to ensure production of quality coffee among coffee farmers in Tanzania Both public and private sectors have collaborated in training farmers on good agricultural practice In some incidences, coffee prices are determined by its quality. Farmers are supported to join various certifications such as RFA and café practice. Efforts made to improve efficiency in the coffee value chain Stakeholders have built the spirit of collaboration in implementation of value chain activities. Public and Private sector actors have teamed up in shared functions of the coffee sector i. extension services ii. agricultural inputs iii. seedlings Commercial banks offering training to farmers, cooperatives, councils, TCB TCB sets indicative prices to be paid to farmers in order to protect farmers from unfair practices. Initiating the process of tax harmonization at local government and national levels Efforts made by coffee stakeholders to increase domestic consumption and exploring new markets abroad Farmers groups have been licensed by Tanzania Coffee Board to collect coffee from their members and sell at the auction Availability of various certifications schemes ensures higher prices and sustainability. Participation on various exhibitions outside Tanzania TCB has explored internal market for coffee through street vendors in Tanga, Dar Es Salaam, Arusha regions Local traders have invested at building capacity of the local roasting industry Initiation of Local coffee shops; DAE in Mbinga; KNCU café in Moshi Summary of the findings of performance of each strategic thrust using KPI’s Strategic thrust 1: Increase production and productivity; Average Coffee yield at the national level increases to reach at least 45 kgs of clean coffee her hectares by 2012 (+100 increase This KIP has not been achieved. Records indicate that coffee yield remained 400 grams of parchment coffee per tree which is the lowest At least 10,000 hectares of new coffee farmers farms were planted by 2012 This KIP has not been achieved. There are limited data on the number of new coffee farmers Summary of the findings of performance of each strategic thrust using KPI’s Strategic thrust 2: improve efficiency of the value chain: By 2012 the average time needed to move the coffee from farm gate to FOB is reduced from current 3 months to less than 2 months The time needed to move coffee from farm gate to FOB has remained 3 months as before. By 2021 the average share of transaction costs from farm gate to FOB will be reduced from the current 35% to 25% Coffee is transported by roads which are affected by changes of oil prices as well as other logistic challenges Strategic Thrust 3 Support of the Overall Coffee Quality Improvement Strategic Thrust 3 Support of the Overall Coffee Quality Improvement: By 2021 a minimum of 70% of the coffee produced in Tanzania will be of classes 1-7 (according to Tanzania classification) In 2016/17, only 40% of coffee produced from Tanzania was classes 1-7. By 2021 a minimum of 75% of the Arabica coffee produced in Tanzania will be processed through CPU Currently, 45 % of Arabica coffee produced in Tanzania is processed through CPU. Strategic Thrust 4: Exploring New Market Opportunities including the Development of Sustainable Coffee By 2021 a minimum of 50% of the coffee produced in Tanzania will be “sustainable (e.g, UTS, 4C, FLO, Rainforest, organic This KPI might not be achieved because of the challenges associated with certification among the farmers: higher costs involved, higher requirements and demand of certification and time involved By 2021 domestic consumption increased in Tanzania and reaches at least 10,000 tons (equivalent of clean coffee) TCB indicated that domestic consumption has decreased from 7% to 4.8% in 2016/17 coffee season, and there is no indication that consumption will increase Conclusion Most of the intended activates were not fully implemented, partly, due to lack of finance. Coffee production and productivity has remained low because of low use of agricultural inputs and failure of the farmers to practice even simple coffee husbandry practices. Most of the farmers have not yet started to use improved varieties which would increase their production level and reduce costs of production. Coffee marketing environment (prices and practices) does not encourage farmers to work hard and improve quality and quantity Recommendations…. Recommendations:- Strategic thrust 1: Increase production and productivity The Government should take appropriate measures to revive the crop e.g extension officers The Government, using its councils which collect cess from coffee sales, should reinvest in coffee production. i. The government should start funding research on coffee To complete farmers ‘registration exercises this will help to establish their inputs requirements, ii. capacity for extension services and project the production Seedlings are to be available to farmers/producers at all time Stakeholders should reduce dependence on rain and use available water for irrigation as the case of Mbozi district. Recommendations Strategic production and productivity thrust 1: Increase TaCRI should deal with research while other activities (production and distribution) should be done by private companies/government agencies. The Government should think of establishing the coffee price stabilization funds to assist the producers when whenever the price falls and sustain farmers to continue with production. Councils should re-investing in coffee production infrastructure such as irrigation… Recommendations: Strategic thrust 2: improve efficiency of the value chain Local traders should be given incentives to participate at the auctions and thus, increase competition and prices The government should consult the stakeholders in all matters that affect the industry. The use of railways for transporting coffee will lower transaction costs The government should improving cooperative governance Government should subsidize agricultural inputs used by coffee farmers as the case of food crops The government and others stakeholders should collaborate to create the needed skilled personnel's (Diploma/degree in coffee at SUA, e.t.c) Recommendations: Strategic Thrust 3: Support on the Overall Coffee quality improvement Stakeholders should strengerning collaboration in implementation of shared functions. This could be done by collaboration: i. NGOs, ii. farmers groups, iii. cooperatives and district councils Coffee marketing should be based on the quality Trick traders should not be allowed to operate in all nodes/level of the chain (purchasing coffee from fame gate to the auction) Recommendations: Strategic Thrust 4: Explore New Opportunities including the Development of Sustainable Coffee Market Tanzania must strive to supply and maintain both quality and quantity of our coffee Campaigns should be conducted at universities and the public to encourage local coffee consumption. The government and stakeholders should rethink of increasing coffee prices through the auction by increasing the number of buyers at the auction Bringing certification experts in Tanzania to train local expert in certification of coffee. Improving market information and analysis for farmers The creation of a Kilimanjaro Brand will enable Tanzanian coffee to be consumed as single origin Translation of national Targets to Zonal…. Northern Zone: Gap filling using new coffee varieties support youth who are interested in coffee production Mobilise farmers groups to initiate nurseries as focal point for distribution of new varieties Southern Zone Utilise available water in the Matengo highlands for irrigating coffee when there is shortage of rainfall Distribution of new varieties for gap filling Western Zone There is potential for increasing coffee production by distribution of new varieties Control coffee smuggling along the Ugandan and Tanzanian borders End
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