ACSA Conference Oct 2003

SIDE
PD Workshop
11 November 2004
Future Trends in Education
The Worlds of DotComs & Ferals
Annimac
Futurist
www.annimac.com.au
Rate of Change

every 10 seconds : new web site

every 10 minutes : new technology

every 10 days : new product / service
Amount of change we have in one day
our Grandparents had in one year
Younger
means
faster
Driving all Drivers of Change
Technology
70 %
by 2020
of types of jobs do not exist now
because
80%
of technology is not yet invented
Likely jobs in next 10 years :
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Creative Undertaker
Director of Emerging Thought
Chief Zookeeper of people
Thought Jockey
Chief Imagination Officer
Hacker Relations Manager
Valuer of Intangible Assets *
Human Interface Manager *
*
Exists 2003
Gap :
Haves
&
Have Nots
Was
-
wealth
$
Now
-
technology

21 C Nature of Work

Flexible

Project

One off alliances

Multi
tasked

Flat
decision

Skill
based
Responsive
based
Team
based
consortia
making
leadership
21 C Nature of Employment




New jobs created – 70%
Contract work
Part time
Self employment



Five Career changes in life
Multi skilled employees
Small businesses SOHO
 Increase low income jobs - service
 Increase in female jobs
 Work close to home / home based
Thrivers :
Then
&
Last 50 years :

Now
Next 50 years :
masculine paradigm
feminine paradigm

respond to change
envision, create change

wealth driven
values driven
Thrivers
Last 50 years

accept fate

control

do the thing right
Next 50 years
create destiny
facilitate
do the right thing

work in the organisation
work on the organisation
Thrivers
Last 50 years
Next 50 years
An example
To create change :
Last 50 years
Next 50 years
- by using fear
- by using hope
- use desperation
-
use inspiration
- go for win-lose
-
go for win-win

Worlds of DotComs & Ferals
age 15 - 30
•
Moving faster
•
Speedier communication
•
Global community
•
Virtual world preferred
•
Value driven
•
Innovating
age 0 – 15
Generations
Baby Boomers
b 1945 – 60
age 45 - 60
fewer females than males
Generation X
1960 – 75
30 - 45
largest number in population
15– 30
first wired generation
0 - 15
smallest number - ½ of GenX
DotComs
1975 – 90
Ferals
1990 – 05
Generations
Baby Boomers
45 - 60
The New Aged, confident they have the answers if only
someone would ask the right questions.
Generation X 30 - 45
Uncertain what to do with themselves or their ageing
parents. Old system not very appropriate; no apparent
new options. Boomers won’t hand over reins.
DotComs
15 - 30
Boomers’ grandkids, busy connecting globally with no
concerns about getting old. Assume innovations will
offer untold new options for everything they need.
Ferals 0 - 15
No boundaries, no limits in time, space or distance.
What they need they will create.
Trends
BABY BOOMERS
45 - 60
 Married or divorced
 Travellers, homebodies
 Empty nesters
 Medium term planners
 Retired or p-t work
 Identity from job
 Seek new IF safe
experiences
 Material status
 Security conscious
 Downsizing their lives
 Health conscious
 Set relationships
 Defer to authority
 Sense of community
 Love & hate change
Trends
GEN X ERS
30 - 45
 Single
 Mobile, nfa, renters
 Childless
 Varied lifestyles, wired
 I.d. ephemeral,
changing
 Multi careers, SOHO
 Global i.d., no
commitment
 Materialism assumed
 Short term planners
 Risk takers, fast
decisions
 Net Dating
 Environmental values
 Personal journey
 Defer to heroes
 Expect, accept change
Trends
DOTCOMS
15 - 30
 Parental home
 Immediacy
 Global I.d.
 No careers, own path
 Multi channeled, multi
actions
 I.d. from activity
 Non consumers
 Group socialising
 Planetary group
mission
 Temporary pairing
 Wired
 Net relationships
 Temporary deference
 Need & welcome
change
Trends
FERALS
0 - 15
 Parental home
 No patterns
 Very immediate & long t view
 Unlimited channels
 Future jobs
unimportant
 I.d. from self values
 Global limitless
relationships
 Momentary
relationships
 Global i.d. &
commitment
 Non consumers, global values
 Wired into global village
 No deference, respect per need
 Live change
 Ignore all barriers
Teaching in Technology Age
Michael Gurstein
Tech & Educ Futurist
Canada
" to add a set of complex / conceptual skills
to manage, construct, deconstruct information &
knowledge at a conceptual level
make sense of what we are doing with ITs
control ITs and how they structure our
relationships with others & with physical world.
young developing skills spontaneously &
intuitively.
need to catch up or get out of their way
or help them systematize
what they sense. "
Eight Multiple Intelligences
1. Linguistic : word smart
Howard Gardner
IQ Tests
2. Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart
3. Spatial : picture smart
New EQ
4. Bodily-Kinaesthetic : body smart
5. Musical : music smart
6. Interpersonal : people smart
Required now
7. Intrapersonal : self smart
Required now
8. Naturalist : nature smart
Required now
SUMMARY
Future Trends in Education

Exponential change

Technology is -

Younger means faster everything

Wired & multi - five? - channelled

Young creating own world – new paradigm

Young drive curricula

Teachers as social mentors

Teachers as resource guides

Ready for biotech life !
Thank you
drives all change
www.annimac.com.au
Thank you
www.annimac.com.au