SIDE PD Workshop 11 November 2004 Future Trends in Education The Worlds of DotComs & Ferals Annimac Futurist www.annimac.com.au Rate of Change every 10 seconds : new web site every 10 minutes : new technology every 10 days : new product / service Amount of change we have in one day our Grandparents had in one year Younger means faster Driving all Drivers of Change Technology 70 % by 2020 of types of jobs do not exist now because 80% of technology is not yet invented Likely jobs in next 10 years : • • • • • • • • Creative Undertaker Director of Emerging Thought Chief Zookeeper of people Thought Jockey Chief Imagination Officer Hacker Relations Manager Valuer of Intangible Assets * Human Interface Manager * * Exists 2003 Gap : Haves & Have Nots Was - wealth $ Now - technology 21 C Nature of Work Flexible Project One off alliances Multi tasked Flat decision Skill based Responsive based Team based consortia making leadership 21 C Nature of Employment New jobs created – 70% Contract work Part time Self employment Five Career changes in life Multi skilled employees Small businesses SOHO Increase low income jobs - service Increase in female jobs Work close to home / home based Thrivers : Then & Last 50 years : Now Next 50 years : masculine paradigm feminine paradigm respond to change envision, create change wealth driven values driven Thrivers Last 50 years accept fate control do the thing right Next 50 years create destiny facilitate do the right thing work in the organisation work on the organisation Thrivers Last 50 years Next 50 years An example To create change : Last 50 years Next 50 years - by using fear - by using hope - use desperation - use inspiration - go for win-lose - go for win-win Worlds of DotComs & Ferals age 15 - 30 • Moving faster • Speedier communication • Global community • Virtual world preferred • Value driven • Innovating age 0 – 15 Generations Baby Boomers b 1945 – 60 age 45 - 60 fewer females than males Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 largest number in population 15– 30 first wired generation 0 - 15 smallest number - ½ of GenX DotComs 1975 – 90 Ferals 1990 – 05 Generations Baby Boomers 45 - 60 The New Aged, confident they have the answers if only someone would ask the right questions. Generation X 30 - 45 Uncertain what to do with themselves or their ageing parents. Old system not very appropriate; no apparent new options. Boomers won’t hand over reins. DotComs 15 - 30 Boomers’ grandkids, busy connecting globally with no concerns about getting old. Assume innovations will offer untold new options for everything they need. Ferals 0 - 15 No boundaries, no limits in time, space or distance. What they need they will create. Trends BABY BOOMERS 45 - 60 Married or divorced Travellers, homebodies Empty nesters Medium term planners Retired or p-t work Identity from job Seek new IF safe experiences Material status Security conscious Downsizing their lives Health conscious Set relationships Defer to authority Sense of community Love & hate change Trends GEN X ERS 30 - 45 Single Mobile, nfa, renters Childless Varied lifestyles, wired I.d. ephemeral, changing Multi careers, SOHO Global i.d., no commitment Materialism assumed Short term planners Risk takers, fast decisions Net Dating Environmental values Personal journey Defer to heroes Expect, accept change Trends DOTCOMS 15 - 30 Parental home Immediacy Global I.d. No careers, own path Multi channeled, multi actions I.d. from activity Non consumers Group socialising Planetary group mission Temporary pairing Wired Net relationships Temporary deference Need & welcome change Trends FERALS 0 - 15 Parental home No patterns Very immediate & long t view Unlimited channels Future jobs unimportant I.d. from self values Global limitless relationships Momentary relationships Global i.d. & commitment Non consumers, global values Wired into global village No deference, respect per need Live change Ignore all barriers Teaching in Technology Age Michael Gurstein Tech & Educ Futurist Canada " to add a set of complex / conceptual skills to manage, construct, deconstruct information & knowledge at a conceptual level make sense of what we are doing with ITs control ITs and how they structure our relationships with others & with physical world. young developing skills spontaneously & intuitively. need to catch up or get out of their way or help them systematize what they sense. " Eight Multiple Intelligences 1. Linguistic : word smart Howard Gardner IQ Tests 2. Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart 3. Spatial : picture smart New EQ 4. Bodily-Kinaesthetic : body smart 5. Musical : music smart 6. Interpersonal : people smart Required now 7. Intrapersonal : self smart Required now 8. Naturalist : nature smart Required now SUMMARY Future Trends in Education Exponential change Technology is - Younger means faster everything Wired & multi - five? - channelled Young creating own world – new paradigm Young drive curricula Teachers as social mentors Teachers as resource guides Ready for biotech life ! Thank you drives all change www.annimac.com.au Thank you www.annimac.com.au
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