Economic Analysis of Road Transport

Comparison of EMME Transit
Assignment Methods
Optimal Strategies
vs
Strategies with Variants (path assignment)
Karen Tsang
Bureau of Transport Statistics
Department of Transport
May 2011
Overview
A series of transit assignment experiments
◦ Compare standard and new methods
◦ To understand how flows are distributed
◦ Using simplified network (2 transit services)
◦ Variables : in-veh time, wait time, headway
choice between centroid connectors
Sydney Strategic Travel Model (STM) Network
◦ Rail Assignment Example
Standard vs New
Current
New Release
Module
5.31
5.32
Assignment
Preparation
5.11
5.32
Option
One option:
Two options:
1 = Optimal Strategies
1 = Optimal Strategies
* no path file
* path file saved
* assignment results same as current
if additional gc and variants inputs
not specified
2 = Strategies with Variants
* path file saved
* distribute flows based on frequency
and transit time (optional)
* multiple paths at centroid connectors
(optional)
Standard vs New
Current
New Release
Module
5.31
5.32
Assignment
Preparation
5.11
5.32
Option
One option:
Two options:
1 = Optimal Strategies
1 = Optimal Strategies
* no path file
* path file saved
* assignment results same as current
if additional gc and variants inputs
not specified
STANDARD
2 = Strategies with Variants
NEW
* path file saved
* distribute flows based on frequency
and transit time (optional)
* multiple paths at centroid connectors
(optional)
Experiment 1:
• Demand from origin to destination = 100 passengers
• No auxiliary (walk) link choice
• New service variables
Headway: 5, 10, 15 and 20 minutes
Travel time: 1 to 40 minutes in 1 min interval
Percentage of passengers using New service?
Experiment 1:
Assignment attributes and weighting factors:
In-vehicle time factor = 1.0
Auxiliary (walk) travel time factor = 2.0
Wait time factor = 2.0
Wait time = Headway/ 2
Boarding time = 5 min
Boarding time factor =1.0
Experiment 1:
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
100
100
New
Headway
= =5=5min
New
New
Headway
Headway
5min
min
New
Headway
= =10
min
New
New
Headway
Headway
=10
10
min
min
New Headway = 15 min
New
NewHeadway
Headway==15
15min
min
New Headway = 20 min
New
New
Headway
Headway
=
=
20
20
min
min
Base Headway = 10 min
Demand % on New Line
80
70
New Headway = 5 min
90
New Headway = 10 min
New
New Headway
Headway =
= 15
15 min
min
80
Demand % on New Line
90
60
50
40
30
New
New Headway
Headway =
= 20
20 min
min
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
STANDARD
Distribution of flows
based on frequency
30
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
35
40
NEW
Distribution of flows
based on frequency and transit time
Experiment 2: Reduced wait time weight
Wait time weight = 2.0 (Experiment 1)
Wait time weight = 1.0 (Experiment 2)
Experiment 2: Reduced wait time weight
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 1.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
100
100
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
Demand % on New Line
80
70
90
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
80
Demand % on New Line
90
60
50
40
30
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
New Headway = 20 min
70
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
STANDARD
Wait time weight = 1.0
30
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
Wait time weight = 2.0
Results from Experiment 1
35
40
Experiment 2: Reduced wait time weight
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 1.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 1.0
100
100
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
Demand % on New Line
80
70
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
90
80
Demand % on New Line
90
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
Wait time weight = 1.0
Flow distribution based on
frequency
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
NEW
Wait time weight = 1.0
Flow distribution based on
frequency and transit time
35
40
Experiment 3: Choice between connectors
• Demand from origin to destination = 100 passengers
• Choice between 2 centroid connectors
• New service variables
Headway: 5, 10, 15 and 20 minutes
Travel time: 1 to 40 minutes in 1 min interval
Percentage of passengers using New service?
Experiment 3: Choice between connectors
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
100
100
90
New Headway = 10 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 15 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
90
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 20 min
70
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
One service route is chosen
All or nothing
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Travel time on New Line
NEW
Two centroid connector choices
Option 2 (logit)
Scale parameter = 0.2 (default)
where exp(-scale * transit time to destination)
Experiment 3: Choice between connectors
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
100
100
90
New Headway = 10 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 15 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
90
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 20 min
70
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
One service route is chosen
All or nothing
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Travel time on New Line
NEW
Two centroid connector choices
Option 2 (logit)
Scale parameter = 0.5
where exp(-scale * transit time to destination)
Experiment 3: Choice between connectors
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
100
100
90
New Headway = 10 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 15 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
90
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 20 min
70
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
One service route is chosen
All or nothing
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Travel time on New Line
NEW
Two centroid connector choices
Option 2 (logit)
Scale parameter = 0.8
where exp(-scale * transit time to destination)
Experiment 3: Choice between connectors
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
Waiting time weight = 2.0
Percentage of Demand taking the New Line
(Base line: Hwy=10, Time = 20)
100
100
90
New Headway = 10 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 15 min
80
Demand % on New Line
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 10 min
New Headway = 15 min
New Headway = 20 min
90
New Headway = 5 min
New Headway = 20 min
70
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
Travel time on New Line
30
STANDARD
One service route is chosen
All or nothing
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Travel time on New Line
NEW
Two centroid connector choices
Option 2 (logit)
Scale parameter = 1.0
where exp(-scale * transit time to destination)
Key Differences
1. Distribution of flows to attractive lines
Standard: based on frequency
New:
based on frequency and transit time (optional)
2. Distribution of flows between connectors at centroids
Standard: one path with best generalised time (AON)
New:
multiple paths at centroid connectors (optional)
Experiment Results
Flow Distribution on attractive lines
• Standard = Step function
• New = Step with transition logit curve
Flow Distribution between multiple centroid connectors
• Standard = AON
• New = AON or multiple preferred paths
Sydney Strategic Travel Model (STM)
Rail Network
Rail Stations:
Over 340
Rail Transit Lines:
80 (approx)
Rail Link Length:
Approx 2400 km
Sydney Strategic Travel Model (STM)
Rail Line Example
Sydney Strategic Travel Model (STM)
Rail Lines (Entire Network)
STM Network - Rail Assignments
Fixed Demand: 3.5-hr rail AM demand
Network: Rail Network with walk and bus access/egress
Assignment Methods:
Travel zone to Travel zone assignments
(1) Standard Assignment – Optimal Strategies
(2) Strategies with Variants
– Path Saved
– Distribution of flows based on frequency and transit time
– Scale Parameter = 0.5
Rail Assigned Volumes
Method 1: Optimal strategies (standard)
Rail Assigned Volumes
Method 2: Strategies with variants (new)
Rail Assigned Volume Differences
-6 %
+4 %
+1 %
+4 %
Green =
Less volumes in
new method
Red =
More volumes in
new method
Conclusions: Rail Assignment
• Rail assignment differences up to +/– 6%
• Minimise back-tracking
• Retain fast assignment run time
Standard = 1 minute, New = 2 minutes
• Increase attractiveness of express services