Define what is meant by 1 (a)Decision support system Computer based information systems that help managers select one of many solutions Automate some of decision making process Sophisticated and fast analysis Used at all management levels 1(b)Decision support Tools Corresponds to the mathematical Tools and methods Or Mathematical Models used in the decision making & taking . Examples for that tools What-if analysis Sensitivity analysis Goal seeking Spreadsheets (c) Structured system Proven set of steps for solution like algorithms (d) Decision making and decision taking Decision making: is the obtaining of different alternatives satisfying the mathematical constraints the best optimum is the best decision from the alternatives set of decision Decision taking: one a best solution chosen according to higher authority views (e) i- One stage decision One stage decision depend on the finding of optimality by considering a decision at time well understood situations can be handled directly Ii- Multiple stage decision Multiple-stage decisions refer to decision tasks that consist of a series of interdependent stages leading towards a final resolution. The decision-maker must decide at each stage what action to take next in order to optimize performance Iii - Dynamic decision Dynamic decision: is that one taken step by step using previous decision and changes with situation and time (f) i- Database A database is an organized collection of data. The data is typically organized to model aspects of reality in a way that supports processes requiring information Ii- Database with fixed contents Referred to as permanent data, reference data, archival data, or fixed-content data) is data that is not, under normal circumstances, subject to change Iii- Database with variable contents Referred to the data that changes over time (g) i- Parallel system Parallel system is the simultaneous use of multiple compute resources to solve a Computational problem: A problem is broken into discrete parts that can be solved concurrently Each part is broken down to a series of instructions Instructions from each part execute simultaneously on different processors An overall control/coordination mechanism is employed Ii- Series system The system has been written for serial computation: A problem is broken into a discrete series of instructions Instructions are executed sequentially one after another Executed on a single processor Only one instruction may execute at any moment in time Iii- Mixed system Some tasks can be executed in parallel and other executed by series (h) i- Expert Group The Expert Group is group contains most of the elements of DSS plus software to provide effective support in group decision – making settings Ii-- The decision support S/W: collection of s/w that used in assisting of decision making process . Iii- Complete integrated IT System (I) i- Decision-Making Process: get all possible alternatives 2. Arrange the alternatives 3. Choose the best alternatives to get Three decision-making phases Intelligence Collect data from inside and outside organization And collect information of possible ways to solve the problem Design 1. Organize the data select a model to process the data 2. Produce reasonable, potential courses of action Choice Select course of action ii- Iii- Characteristic of DSS: 1- Performs different types of analysis:- What if analysis - Simulation - Goal seeking analysis 2- Support optimization 3- Performs complex 4- Provides report and presentation flexibility 5- Supports drill down analysis Iv - The job of the Expert Group in the integrated IT system for d-making and taking The expert group will support the decision makers of which the software will be used and choose the suitable solution and its database and makes data mining to support to take a decision Q (B) 1- Web-based DSS Web based of DSS: decision support system software provides business intelligence through web browser clients that access databases either through the internet or a corporate intranet 2- Model Base Provides decision makers with the access to variety of models and assist them in decision making 2- Models - Financial model - Statistical analysis model - Graphical models - Project management model Expert Group related for all the decision types and related to the database and the software while the Group D.S.S deal with one decision only 3 – 1- - i- Decision Room: For decision makers located in the same geographic area or building Use of computing devices, special software, networking, capabilities. Collect, coordinate, and feedback organized information to help group make a decision Combines face-to-face verbal interactions with technology-aided formalization Ii- Decision network Wide Area Decision Network: Characteristics : a- Location of group members is distant b- Decision frequency is high c- Virtual work groups Groups of workers located around THE world working on Common problems via a GDSS iii- Executive support system ESS A specialized DSS that includes all the hardware, software, data, procedures, and people used to assist senior-level executives within the organization. Characteristics of ESSs: - Tailored to individual executives - Easy to use - Drill down capabilities - Support the need for external data - Futures orientation - Linked with value-added business processes Capabilities of an ESS: Support for - Defining overall vision - Strategic planning - Strategic organization and staffing - Strategic control - Crisis management Q (C) 1- Give 2 examples describing math. Model Ex1 The first step we will formulate it to starting model and transform it to a standard model Ex2 2- Decision tree is a graphical representation of the decision process indicating decision alternatives ,state o nature , probabilities attached to the state of nature ex 3-The production in pharmaceutical company is a multi-stage fixed or a corrective multi stage mention why ? Corrective multi stage because the market follow up with a survey that is depend on it to take a decision Q (D) The first step we will formulate it to starting model and transform it to a standard model Page 3
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