Popeye`s Canada Business Plan Prepared by Tim Andrews Nathan Ballantyne Jason Jeffrey 1.0 Introduction 1.2 Mission Statement 1.3 Goals and Objectives 1.4 Financing 1 1 2 2.0 Operations Plan 2.1 Location 2.2 Floor Plan 2.3 Organizational Structure 2.4 Supply Analysis 2.5 Business Cycles 2.6 Capacity Limits and Capital Budget 2.7 Working Capital 2.8 Cost of Sales 2.9 Cash Conversion Cycle 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 3.0 Human Resources 3.1 Job Descriptions 3.2 Training 7 8 4.0 Scheduling 4.1 Compensation 9 5.0 Marketing Plan 5.1 Industry Overview and Current Markets 5.2 Competition 5.2.1 Direct Competition 5.2.2 Indirect Competition 5.2.3 Customers and Target Markets 5.3 Product and Service Features 5.4 Product Quality 5.5 Pricing Strategy 5.6 Promotion Strategy 5.7 Distribution 5.8 Sales Objectives 5.8.1 Sales Projections 5.8.2 Marketing Expenses 5.8.3 SWOT Analysis 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 16 6.0 Financial Plan 6.1 Sales Revenue and Net Income 6.2 Total Operating Expenses 6.3 Working Capital 6.4 Cost of Capital 6.5 Debt Amortization 6.6 Risk Analysis 6.7 Financing Budget 6.8 Divided Policy 6.9 Ratio Analysis 6.10 Financial Analysis 6.11 Risk Analysis 17 17 17 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 7.0 Conclusion 20 8.0 Appendices 21 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements Executive Summary This document contains a comprehensive business plan for a Popeye’s Canada supplements franchise located at Preston Crossing in Saskatoon Saskatchewan. Popeye’s specializes in selling health supplements in the form of protein powders and weight gains, fat burners and energy boosters, vitamins minerals and Herbal Remedies and other complimentary fitness products. Financing Estimated total start up costs for this business is $360 000. Investors, Tim Andrews, Jason Jeffery and Nathan Ballantyne will contribute $150 000 towards the business. Another $210 000 is required to cover the rest of the start-up costs. Operations Investor Tim Andrews has been designated as General Manager for this business. Popeye’s will purchase its products from Supplements Canada which is run by Popeye’s corporate office which will ship its products from a warehouse in Edmonton. This investment in inventory and other capital costs are estimated to be $80 000. Popeye’s will lease its property in Preston Crossing were it will be located. Human Resources Tim Andrews (GM) will be in-charge of hiring three part-time employees to assist in day to day operations of running the store. Popeye’s strives to provide the highest quality of customer service in order to meet customer needs therefore; Mr. Andrews will develop a comprehensive training program to continually be training part time staff. The store will be open on weekdays from 9pm-9am, Saturdays and Sundays from 9am-5pm. The store manager will have an annual salary of $50 000/year while part time staff will be paid $10/hr. Marketing Plan Popeye’s will offer an array of variously priced products based on quality. Its pricing strategy is based on a cost plus structure. Popeye’s will be vigilant in monitoring competitors pricing so it may adapt if need be. In order to promote the Popeye’s brand the store will rely on both corporate and in house marketing. This will include T-Shirt handouts, Shaker cup handouts, Popeye’s Dollars, promotional appearances, email subscriptions, direct mailers and radio spots. Popeye’s has a 3% sales revenue growth projection and estimates to spend $9 325 annually. Finance Financial highlights include: Profitability after only the second year of operations. Profit Margin of 44% after the second year Dividends of $190 000 by 2014 NPV of $159 153 and IRR of 76% Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 1.0 Introduction This report presents a comprehensive business plan for a Popeye’s supplements Canada franchise to be located at Preston Crossing in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan. This is a relatively new high traffic area that is location is close to the University of Saskatchewan which harbours a population of young students to which Popeye’s supplements targets for sales. Popeye’s Supplements Canada was created in 1989 and is the first sports nutrition outlet in Canada. It has now grown to have over sixty locations across Canada. Popeye’s strives to provide excellent service by offering optimum results and solutions with real information and accurate knowledge of fitness supplements at the lowest prices possible. Popeye’s focuses on selling: Proteins Powders and Gainers Fat burners Energy boosters Vitamins Minerals and Herbal Remedies Complimentary products Popeye’s has positioned itself to effectively take advantage of recent trends throughout Canada of getting active and living a healthy lifestyle. 1.1 Industry Overview The health supplements industry has had consistent growth of around 8% for the past five years. Major players within the industry include Popeye’s and GNC however; major box stores such as Wal-Mart, Costco and many other major retail outlets have started selling health supplements within their stores. Additionally, the emergence of online distributors, such as bodybuilding.com has provided the customer with further choices in their nutritional supplement shopping. Competition has also further been increased with the opening of many herbal remedy stores specializing in health products which claim to be naturally based from plants and animals. 1.2 Mission Statement Our company's commitment is to help you achieve your ultimate goals, whether it may be for personal satisfaction or to gain that competitive edge. We make it our job to provide you results and solutions by helping you find the right products, the best products, all at the lowest prices GUARANTEED or simply return the product! 1.3 Goals and Objectives Break-even in the first year of operations. After the first year achieve a yearly rate of return no less than 15%. Effectively train employees so all are capable of providing in-depth knowledge to customers regarding all supplements sold within the store. 1 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 1.1 Financing Estimated total start-up costs are $360 000. Investors Tim Andrews, Jason Jeffery and Nathan Ballantyne will be contributing $150 000 towards the conception of this franchise. Therefore another $210 000 is required in financing in order to cover the start-up costs and basic inventory purchases, marketing and insurance which, is estimated to be $100 000. 2.0 Operations The Popeye’s franchise that we are proposing to operate will be a health store merchandiser, in that our main business function is the sale of our products to customers. The products that we will sell will range from herbal remedies to protein powders, with emphasis on the latter. As a franchise, we will act as part of the franchisers distribution system, by selling the product line to customers. We represent the front end of this system and will enjoy the benefit of having an established procurement system in place, which we can rely on. The franchiser is responsible for maintaining warehouses that will store all the products that we will sell. A major obstacle of competing in this industry is to maintain relationships with suppliers. This is one aspect of the business that we be secure, by virtue of the franchiser. Our staff will be trained to not only understand and sell our products, but educate customers on what our products can do for them. 2.1 Location Located in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Preston Crossing is a popular shopping destination for the people of Saskatoon. Conveniently located near the University of Saskatchewan, with easy access to Circle Drive, Preston Crossing is accessible to a wide array of shoppers. 2 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 2.2 Floor Plan The majority of our leased space will be for shelf space of our many products. Unlike most retailers we operate with our entire inventory on the store-front shelves. This limits our need to carry large quantities of inventory and gives the customers a view of all we have to offer. The space that we will lease will suffice in terms of our planned short-term and long-term needs. 2.3 Organizational Structure Our business will operate as a corporation with three shareholders, one of whom will act as the general manager, and the two other will be silent shareholders. The organizational structure will be quite simple, and will be structured as follows: Shareholders, General Manager, and Staff. 3 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements General Manager Staff Staff Staff The reason we chose to operate as a corporation is mainly because of the limited liability and ease of transfer of ownership. We are also obligated to incorporate under of franchise agreement. In terms of our organizational structure, we felt that simplicity was paramount. There is no need for assistant manager or specialized staff positions, which would only add extra costs and complexities to our business model. The board of directors is comprised of the three shareholders and their wives. These individuals are: Timothy Andrews, Jason Jeffery, Nathan Ballantyne, Carmen Electra, Rosie O’Donnell, and Meghan Fox. The board brings a wealth of experience, knowledge, and education to the table and will be a great asset to this organization. Of particular importance, is the General Manager’s experience as an amateur bodybuilder and part-time power-lifter. Mr Andrews has been immersed in this culture for many years and has intimate knowledge of the industry. Besides his wealth of knowledge of the industry, the GM also has an MBA from the esteemed Edwards School of Business. 2.4 Supply Analysis The franchiser has a supply chain in place and we, the franchisee will act as part of that supply chain by managing the retailing of the products. We will not directly deal with the suppliers of products, but rather with intermediary, which is the franchiser. This allows us to focus on the operation of our business. 2.5 An Average Business Day, Week, Month, Year Our store would typically open at 9:00am and close at 9:00pm from Monday to Friday. Our weekend hours will be Saturday and Sunday from 9:00am to 5:00pm. The General Manager would open the store from Monday to Friday and staff member would open on the weekends. Part-time workers would work the remaining hours of the weeknights and all hours on the weekends. The types of activities that would take place on a typical day include: inventory management, helping customers, general cleaning duties, explaining products to customers, etc. 4 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements The General Manger will be responsible for compiling year-end financial statements, filing income taxes, placing product orders, maintaining relationship with franchiser. 2.6 Capacity Limits and Planned Capital Budget The capital assets that are needed for this business are minimal. We are planning on leasing the space for our business site and do not need to invest in any major capital assets. The bulk of our start-up investments will come from the following: lease hold improvements, inventory, and franchise fees, and inventory management system. In terms of working capital, significant investment in inventory is required. This will require approximately $80,000 to start. The following is a table of estimated start-up costs: Building Costs - Lease hold improvements - $25,000 Equipment Costs - Inventory Management System - $5,000 Working Capital - Cash - $30,000 - Inventory - $80,000 - Accounts Payable – ($10,000) Capital Budget Summary Building - $25,000 Equipment - $5,000 Working Capital - $90,000 2.7 Working Capital Plan The following is a description of how working capital will be monitored and managed: 1. Liquidity Management – use of liquidity ratios and cash flow to manage liquidity. We will not require a great deal of cash on hand. 2. Inventory Management – we will need to carry a minimum amount of inventory as set out in out franchise agreement. A major part of our management will be adhering to these stipulations. 3. Accounts Receivable – We will not offer credit to our customers, but rather function as a cash only business. 4. Accounts Payable – This will also require little in terms of management. Our supplier is the franchiser, with whom we will work very closely and maintain good relationships. The timely payment to this party is of paramount importance to our success. 5. Retailing – Again, this aspect of our business will be dependant on our franchiser and the market price for our products. We do not have much control over either of these aspects of our business. We will, however, use industry standards as benchmarks against which to gauge our success. 5 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 2.8 Cost of Sales for Retailing The Gross Profit Margins for Popeye’s vary depending on product. The following is a description costs and sales for each product category. 1. Proteins, Powders and Gainers – average cost= $35 average selling price=$60 (average GPM=$25) 2. Fat burners, energy boosters – average cost=$22 average selling price=$45 (average GPM=$23) 3. Vitamins, minerals and herbal remedies–average cost=$15 average selling price=$25 (average GPM=$10) 4. Complimentary products – average cost=$4 average selling price=$6 (average GPM=$2) 2.9 Cash Conversion Cycle The CCC for Popeye’s represents the amount of days that cash is tied-up in the process of purchasing inventory from the franchiser, until cash is collected from the customer. Popeye’s does not manufacture its own product and does not offer credit to customers, so the CCC is greatly reduced. However, the amount of time that inventory sits on shelves does tie up a significant amount of cash. This is a reality of the business and cannot be reduced. The detail of Popeye’s Cash Conversion Cycle is as follows: Average Days of Inventory=38 Average Days Payables=10 Cash Conversion Cycle=28 Summary of Operations Plan The operations of Popeye’s Supplements is unique, in that it relies on an outside part for its supply chain, does not require a great deal of capital assets, leases the physical location, and does not offer credit to its customers. The challenge, in terms of managing operations, lies in customer service, relationship management with franchiser, and inventory management. 6 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 3.0 Human Resources Plan Human Resource Strategy The HR strategy for this franchise will be rooted in hiring people with a passion for physical activity, helping people, and the industry. There is a great deal of young people who are becoming more-andmore interested in physical activity. We will seek to hire individuals that fit these criteria. In terms of motivation, our staff will be given discounts on all purchases of products. We will also offer them the opportunity to move to a wage and commission form of compensation, once we become more established. Additionally, the human resources plan focuses on simplicity as there will only be one manager and several other staff members who will run the till and provide in-depth knowledge to customers who enter the store and require assistance. 3.1 Job Descriptions General Manager 9:00 – 5:00 (1 hr lunch) Monday – Friday The General Manager (Tim Andrews) will be in-charge of the hiring and firing aspects of the business. He will also have the duty of developing weekly shift schedules for employees, basic accounting activities, marketing, employee training and providing quarterly reports regarding financial and overall performance to angel investors Jason Jeffery and Nathan Ballantyne. Day -Oversee all operations -Manage Inventories -Help customers Month - Recruit new staff -Schedule staff hours -Analyze key financial ratios -Manage Inventories (place orders, etc.) Year -Compile Financials -Ensure taxes are completed and filed - Analyze past year and set strategy for upcoming year - Evaluate Staff - Firing of staff when needed Till and Floor Staff Till and Floor staff will be in-charge of assisting customers in finding supplements that meet the customers needs. They will also be in charge of cash transactions at the cash register and keeping the store neat and orderly. 7 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 3.2 Training Programs Popeye’s prides itself on the high quality of service and in-depth knowledge its employees have to offer customers who enter their stores. Therefore extensive and regular training will be a big part of being an employee within a Popeye’s franchise. The General Manager, Tim Andrews has extensive knowledge regarding supplement usage and living a healthy lifestyle and will undertake developing a training program for floor and till employees when they are hired. Mr. Andrews will provide employees with literature as well as recent research and studies regarding all types of supplements that are sold in Popeye’s stores. He will also train employees on how to identify customers supplement needs from their current workout goals and lifestyles. Mr. Andrews will focus on gathering literature regarding new supplements that are being sold within Popeye’s and will give quarterly information packages so employees can keep up to date with new information and products. 8 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 4.0 Scheduling Total Planned Hours of Work at Popeye’s Total Hours of Work Manager Part time 1 Part time 2 Part time 3 Daily Total Monday 8 7.5 7 22.5 Tuesday 8 7.5 7 22.5 Wednesday 8 7 15 Thursday 8 7 15 Friday 8 7 15 Saturday 2 7 9 Sunday 2 7 9 28 108 Total Hours Store Hours 44 Mon-Fri 9-9 Weekends 9-5 Total Part-Time Hours 64 Total Full-Time Hours 44 Total Hours 15 108 4.1 Compensation Table 2.2.1 Employee Salary FT/PT General Manager $50 000/year Full- Time Staff Member #1 $10/hour Part-Time Staff Member #2 $10/hour Part-Time Staff Member #3 $10/hour Part-Time 9 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 21 Five Year Labour Projection Labour Manager (Salary) Benefits for Manager Wage Employees (hourly wage) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $50000 $51500 $53045 $54636 $56275 $3000 $3090 $3182.7 $3278 $3377 $10 $10.3 $10.609 $10.9 $11.3 64 64 64 64 64 Hours Total Wage Employees (Year) $33280 $34278.4 $35306.75 $36275.2 $37606.4 Total Labour Cost $83280 $85778.4 $88351.75 $90911.2 $93881.4 10 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 5. Marketing Plan 5.1 Industry Overview and Current Markets The supplement industry is one which has encountered a tremendous amount of growth in recent years culminating in sales throughout the United States of $23.7 billion in 2007. In addition to such continual sales growth, the supplement industry has proven itself to be relatively unaffected by the recent downturn in the economy, posting sales in US of $25 billion for the year ending December 31, 2008; up nearly 7% from 2007. The industry is comprised of a variety of firms who produce products fitting into two specific categories, sports nutrition and physical health. Industry leaders such as EAS, Muscle-Tech, IsoFlex and Biotest each manufacture and market a variety of protein powders, weight gainers, fat burners and nutritional powders to an ever growing and expanding consumer base. Sales of such products are conducted primarily through two separate channels; online ordering and in store purchase. Not only do firms in the industry provide their consumer base the opportunity to shop on their individual, customized website, but also on shared distribution websites, most notably bodybuilding.com. However, online shopping offers a variety of disadvantages. Wait times for product delivery, delays at the US border, shipping costs and the inability for prospective customer to sample potential product are all challenges facing online based distributors. Conversely, in store shopping address each of these challenges faced by online distributors. Franchises such as Popeye’s and GNC offer a wide array of product offerings in a one stop environment. Consumers are able to sample product prior to purchase, while inquiring to knowledgeable staff the benefits of any particular product line. 5.2 Competition As the supplement industry continues to grow, competitors both within the manufacturing and production sector, as well as distribution sector are ever emerging. 5.2.1 Direct Competitors Direct competition in the Canadian supplement marketplace comes from the largest international supplement provider, GNC. With 3 stores in Saskatoon, GNC has substantial name recognition, corporate backing and an international presence. With a presence in major shopping areas, GNC carries a variety of popular brands and offers a “Gold Card” rewards program. However, with a greater focus on health products than sports nutrition, and higher prices than its competitors, GNC has fallen as of late from its position as the leading distributor nutritional offerings. Online distributors, most notably bodybuilding.com, provide an additional source of competition. Offering more products at a lower base price than traditional retail outlets, with two warehouses throughout the United States and international shipping, bodybuilding.com has generated a tremendous amount of success in recent years. However, wait times of up to 10 business days for international orders and high shipping costs discourage many consumers from purchasing products online. 11 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 5.2.2 Indirect Competition As the nutritional supplement industry continues to expand, non-traditional carriers of product are entering the marketplace. Large organizations such as Wal-Mart have begun to expand into the supplement marketplace, carrying a select few products at low price. Wal-Mart has recently reached an agreement to carry products manufactured by Six-Star, a mid level nutritional firm. Offering protein powders, mass gainers, and fat burners, at a relatively low price, Wal-Mart has taken a small step in capturing market share. Additionally, a variety of drug stores including Shoppers Drug Mart, have introduced a nutritional section. Similar to Wal-Mart, drug stores tend to offer a basic product, with few choices of brand or flavour. 5.3 Customers and Target Markets As the trend toward a more healthy and active lifestyle continues, the consumer base for Popeye’s supplements continues to widen. From young high school athletes, to college and weekend warriors to active middle aged adults, a product exists to further assist the consumer in living a more healthy and active life. Undoubtedly however, the target market for a Saskatoon based location is the younger, active market. With a student population of approximately 15,000, the University of Saskatchewan, and Saskatoon offer a concentrated youth population. Home to the varsity “Huskies”, the U of S has a long history of athletics and numerous student athletes. Specifically, current partnerships exist between Popeye’s and the vaunted U of S Huskies football program. Working closely with, and targeting U of S athletics and the student population as a whole serves as gateway to the young, athletic market. 5.4 Product and Service Features Popeye’s Supplements offers a wide array of products from a variety of popular brands. High end product offerings from firms such as Biotest and Muscle-Tech are widely available throughout the store, as are lower quality products and brands. Popeye’s offers a diverse range of product offerings which caters to those who are seeking a particular supplement, or are partial to a specific brand. Highly educated employees are continually trained to provide expertise on each product in the store, thereby able to recommend products to curious and inquisitive customers. 5.4.1 Product Quality Popeye’s stands behind our product offering. Should a customer not be satisfied with the product purchased, upon proof of purchase, the customer will be entitled to a full refund or product exchange. As Popeye’s offers numerous products from a host of brands, an element of product control simply cannot be managed by each Popeye’s outlet. However, in offering a refund and exchange policy, Popeye’s is able to ensure customer satisfaction and repeat business. 12 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 5.5 Pricing Strategy As the nutritional supplement industry is a highly competitive one, with product offerings being quiet similar appropriate pricing is crucial to financial success. Products are to be priced using a cost plus structure. For example, should a container of protein powder be purchased at $35.00 from a distributor, it may be sold to the customer for $49.99. As various brands produce similar, yet subtly different products (perhaps one powder contains high quality protein, or a better taste) pricing may slightly vary from brand to brand. Additionally, price matching strategies are to be employed. Should a competitor, such as GNC offer a product at a lower price than Popeye’s, Popeye’s will offer the product to the customer at 90% of the competitor’s price. However, it must be noted that price matching policies pertain only to competitor local retail establishments, not online distributors. Popeye’s strives to proactively offer high quality products at a lower price than its competitors. In pricing via a cost plus structure, while closely monitoring competitor prices and employing a price beating offer, Popeye’s provides top line products at low prices. 5.6 Promotion Strategy Perhaps the most crucial aspect to the development and success of a Popeye’s location is promotion and consumer awareness. Numerous channels will be used to promote not only the location, but product offerings and encourage repeat business as follows: Storefront and Recognizable Logo - Signage and logo synonymous with Popeye’s franchises across the country. Consistency in using corporate signage and symbol to consumers passing in visible sight of the retail outlet. T-shirts Handout - Keeping consistent with the corporate strategy; following purchase of product, customers will be given a free t-shirt, suitable for the gym, displaying the Popeye’s logo. In doing so, the Popeye’s franchise logo will gain exposure in numerous fitness facilities throughout Saskatoon. Shaker cup Handout - Similar to the t-shirt handout, Popeye’s will hand out shaker cups with the corporate logo, following consumer purchase. Shaker cups allow the customer to mix a protein shake anywhere, anytime by simply adding water and shaking. As with the t-shirt promotion, shaker cups again further promote the Popeye’s brand around the city. Popeye’s Dollars - 13 Similar to a rewards program; following purchase, consumers will be handed a small denomination of Popeye’s dollars. Popeye’s dollars can be applied to, and redeemed by the consumer upon their return to any Popeye’s location across the country. Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements Online Website - Popeye’s corporate website offers consumers information on products, workout routines and locations across the country. By simply adding the new Saskatoon retail location to the corporate website, increased awareness of the additional location will result. Promotional Appearances - In keeping with Popeye’s corporate strategy, athletes will be sought out by management to make promotional appearances, thus increasing traffic to stores. Historically, bodybuilders and local professional athletes (such as CFL football players, or NHL hockey players calling Saskatoon home) have made appearances at numerous Popeye’s throughout the country Email Subscriptions - Consumers entering Popeye’s will be given the opportunity to sign up for an emailed newsletter subscription. The subscription will identify consumers of upcoming sales, promotions and guest appearances. Direct mailers - Similar to email subscriptions, consumers will be able to register for direct mailers upon entry into the retail location. Direct mailers will comprise of coupon booklets which consumers will be able to redeem at specific retail locations for discounts on product offerings. Radio spots - Upon the opening of the new location, a variety of radio advertisements and spots will be aired on popular stations throughout the city. Not only will the announcement of the grand opening be promoted over the radio, but further sales, promotions and guest appearances will be advertised through such means on a regular basis. 5.7 Distribution Following with corporate strategy, Popeye’s newest Saskatoon location will pull inventory from a corporate western Canadian warehouse. Doing so will ensure that adequate stock levels are monitored as the distribution system has proven quite successful in the over 60 locations across the country. 14 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 5.8 Sales Objectives 5.81 Sales Projections Popeye`s has a 3% sales revenue growth projection as articulated below. Sales Projections 8,000 Units 7,000 6,000 Quantity of Sales 5,000 Proteins Powders and Gainers 4,000 Fat Burners Energy Boosters 3,000 Vitamins Minerals and Herbs 2,000 Complimentary Products 1,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year 5.82 Marketing Expenses As a franchisee, we are obligated to pay advertising royalty, 5% of annual sales. Also, local advertising is budgeted at $9,325 per year. 15 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 5.83 SWOT Analysis Strengths - Strong relationship with suppliers Brand Recognition Nationwide presence Distribution system Ability to attract guest promotional appearances Growing market share Weakness - At the mercy of the corporate office o Policies, regulations, systems Cash tied up in inventory Image directly tied to “Freak Fix”, other outrageous slogans Lack of control o How products are promoted by manufactures o Industry - Opportunities - Trend toward healthier lifestyle Expansion from sport specific nutrition to healthy lifestyle Lack of consumer awareness of exact nutritional specifications – staff can educate and sell! Operating in a relatively affluent environment Partner with other Popeye’s locations in the city to sponsor various events o U of S Athletics o Sporting events o Bodybuilding competition Based in a student heavy population, students care about how they look Threats - - New entrants Online threats Current competitors expansion o Grocery stores offering nutrition products o Wal-Mart/ department stores offering similar products FDA regulations (Ephedrine example) Cannibalization of other Popeye`s Stores Product is not a necessity, more of a luxury good 16 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 6.0 Financial Plan The following section reports detailed sales projections for the following 5 years. 6.1 Sales Revenue and Net Income For simplicity, products have been broken into 4 main categories as follows, Protein Powder, Fat Burners, Vitamins and Minerals, Complimentary Products. Net Income 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 -50000 -100000 -150000 2009 2010 2011 Net Income(Loss) 2012 Cash 2013 2014 Dividends Total revenue for 2009 is projected to reach $564,696. It is also projected to double by 2013. Gross Margin for total revenue is estimated to be 49% in 2009. As expected Popeye’s experiences a loss in the first year of $83,838, however net income will grow to $195,480 by 2013. 6.2 Total Operating Expenses Total operating expenses are expected to be $363,048 in 2009, followed by a decline in expenses in 2010 to $231,619. 6.3 Working Capital As inventories are concerned, the store will carry 38 day inventory of all products. All sales are on a cash basis, therefore there are $0 accounts receivable. Accounts payable are also paid within 10 days. Popeye’s net working capital for 2009 is as follows: - Cash + Inventories + AR – AP = 30,000 + 50,000 + 0 – 10,000 = $70,000 17 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 6.4 Cost of Capital As shown in the operations plan, section 2.6 capital budget, the total capital cost in 2009 is a major expenditure ($120,000) on building equipment and working capital. As shown in the financial plan, the average capital cost allowance (CCA) or depreciation is 20% on all equipment. The items will be depreciated to two thirds of their original price in 5 years. 6.5 Debt Amortization Long term debt will be paid at a fixed amount every year for the next 5 years at an interest rate of 10% resulting in total debt payoff by 2014. Long-Term Debt 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 -50000 -100000 -150000 2009 2010 2011 Net Income(Loss) 2012 Cash 2013 2014 Long Term Debt 6.6 Risk Analysis Risk analysis provides a list of critical success variables which determine the success of the store in both short and long term; they are as follows: - Unit of sales Selling prices Supply and or cost of product As shown in table 6.6, unit of sales and selling price of product is the most critical success factors, while costs of direct materials is also important for financial performance. 18 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements Table 6.6 Risk Variables and Level of Importance Variables Unit of Sales Selling Price Cost of Product Level of Importance 1 1 2 Where 1 equals most critical for success Where 2 equals important but not critical 6.7 Financing Budget $150,000 of equity will be invested by Mr Andrews, Ballantyne and Jeffrey. In addition, $210,000 will be obtained via bank loan at 10% over 5 years. Financing Structure Long term debt Owners equity Total financing $210,000 $150,000 $360,000 6.8 Divided Policy Dividends will be paid to equity investors as follows: - $30,000 in 2012 $60,000 in 2013 $100,000 in 2014 This will ensure within the first two years an adequate supply of cash for the business to continue operations and cover unanticipated events. 6.9 Ratio Analysis In the second year of operations ratios are as listed below. Profit Margin Return on equity Return on total assets 6.10 44% 43% 15% Financial Analysis Popeye’s financial analysis is positive, as the NPV shows a value of $159,153 in future cash flows. The expected return on the equity investment is 76%. 19 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements 6.11 Risk Analysis Popeye’s initial year will incur a loss. However, in year 2 net income returns a positive $50,894.Reason for this discrepancy between years 1 and 2 is attributed to the high capital costs incurred in year 1. 8.0 Conclusion Popeye’s Preston Crossing, Saskatoon location, is found on solid marketing, human resources and operations planning. In following, key financial projections indicate projected positive earnings over the coming 5 years with an expected internal rate of return of 76%. Such results are projected against thorough market research, conducted by franchiser, which has identified the Preston Crossing location as an extremely attractive business opportunity. 20 Popeye’s Nutritional Supplements
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