Second-Order Discrimination and Stochastic Dominance Rafael Salas Departamento de Análisis Económico Universidad Complutense de Madrid Madrid, Spain 28035 John A. Bishop and Lester A. Zeager Department of Economics East Carolina University Greenville, NC 27858 April 2015 Abstract We offer an alternative formulation of the second-order discrimination curve (SDC) that yields orderings of distributions equivalent to those from second-order stochastic dominance. In the original formulation of the SDC, this equivalence is only satisfied for uniform distributions. Our formulation is a natural refinement of the first-order discrimination curve and the zero-moment interdistributional Lorenz curve. It also has a clear economic interpretation, as it compares the probabilities that randomly selected individuals in the reference and comparison distributions belong to subgroups having the same per capita income. We apply this measure to distributions of income for seniors (age 50 and older; the baby boomers) and nonseniors in the U.S. and find that the nonseniors second-order dominate the seniors, whether we compare truncated income distributions for discrimination (economic advantage) or compare the entire distributions for stochastic dominance, whereas first-order comparisons of the same groups are inconclusive. JEL Codes: D31 (personal income, wealth, and their distributions); I3 (welfare, well-being, and poverty); C1 (econometric and statistical methods and methodology: general) Keywords: discrimination measurement, economic advantage, generational income comparison, interdistributional inequality, stochastic dominance Second-Order Discrimination and Stochastic Dominance 1. INTRODUCTION When we compare incomes (wages) for males and females, whites and nonwhites, or younger and older persons, the concern is with inequality between two populations rather than inequality within one population. The essential data reside in a pair of distributions instead of a single distribution, as with Lorenz curves. Responding to the rising social concerns about racial discrimination and gender inequality in recent decades, statisticians and economists have created various methods for making inter-distributional (vs. intra-distributional) inequality comparisons. Gastwirth (1975), Dagum (1980), Shorrocks (1982), Ebert (1984), Butler and McDonald (1987), and others made pioneering contributions to the literature. Efforts have been made since then to sort out the implications of, and the relationships among, the proposed methods (Dagum 1987, Gastwirth, et al. 1989, Butler and McDonald 1989, Yitzhaki 1994, and Deutsch and Silber 1999). More recently, Le Breton, et al. (2012) have focused on dominance approaches to measuring the inequality between two distributions, and have examined how such measures relate to stochastic dominance orderings of those distributions. They proposed refinements of discrimination orderings through the use of integration, which results in first- and second-order discrimination curves in the manner of stochastic dominance relations. Taking this approach to the problem has appeal for two reasons. First, it gives the inequality orderings clear foundations in welfare theory, because we know the properties of the social welfare function associated with stochastic dominance orderings of distributions. Second, dominance relations are more general than a single discrimination index (less sensitive to differences in value judgments), and hence, achieve broader agreement on the inequality orderings between populations. 1 We support the spirit of the Le Breton, et al. (2012) approach, but we propose an alternative formulation of the second-order discrimination measure with nice features. Like stochastic dominance, we integrate with respect to the same variable in the first- and secondorder measures. We also demonstrate that our alternative formulation generates orderings that are equivalent to those obtained from second-order stochastic dominance, and therefore to all Sconvex discrimination indices. Section 2 presents our alternative formulation and derives its implications. Section 3 illustrates our approach by an application to the incomes of U.S. seniors and nonseniors, using data from the Current Population Survey. Section 4 offers some concluding remarks. 2. METHODS We compare the income distributions for two populations with right-continuous and nondecreasing cumulative distribution functions, πΉ! (π) = πΉ! (π) = ! π ! ! ! π ! ! π¦ ππ¦ and π¦ ππ¦, defined over nonnegative income values, π β 0, β where π denotes the comparison population, π denotes the reference population. Moreover, let πΉ! π§! = πΉ! (π§! ) = 1 for some π§! , π§! < β and assume that the lowest income value in each population is positive, π! , π! > 0. The left side of Figure 1 illustrates these functions. Le Breton, et al. (2012) define the βfirst-order discrimination curveβ (FDC), Ξ! π‘ = πΉ! [πΉ!!! π‘ ], where π‘ is the proportion of the comparison population with incomes less than or equal to π, and πΉ!!! π‘ stands for the leftcontinuous inverse of πΉ! π , that is, the quantile function. On the right side of Figure 1 we illustrate the FDC. From inspection of Figure 1, FDC dominance is equivalent to first-order stochastic dominance (FSD), because Ξ! (π‘) β€ π‘ for all π‘ β 0,1 is equivalent to πΉ! π β πΉ! π β₯ 0 for all π β 0, π§! . 2 [place Figure 1 here] In a closely related contribution, Butler and McDonald (1987) had proposed interdistributional Lorenz curves (ILCs) based upon normalized partial moments of the distributions, π! π; π = [ ! ! π¦ π! ! π¦ ππ¦] πΈ! π¦ ! and π! π; π = [ ! ! π¦ π! ! π¦ ππ¦] πΈ! π¦ ! . They proposed two βnaturalβ ILCs. The first ILC sets π = 0 and then plots π! (π; 0) = πΉ! (π) and π! (π; 0) = πΉ! (π) at corresponding incomes. Here Ξ! (π‘) = π! π!!! π‘; 0 ; 0 is equivalent to the FDC above. Another ILC sets π = 1 and plots π! (π; 1) = πΏ! [πΉ! π ] and π! (π; 1) = πΏ! [πΉ! π ], the Lorenz ordinates for a fixed m, at corresponding incomes in both populations. However, π! π!!! π‘; 1 ; 1 does not provide a refinement of FDC comparisons. To obtain such a refinement, Le Breton, et al. (2012) proposed integrating Ξ! (π‘) as (1) Ξ¦! π‘ = ! ! Ξ ! π’ ππ’ for all π‘ β 0,1 , which they call a second-order discrimination curve (SDC). They show that orderings of discrimination patterns by this measure are equivalent to those generated by a discrimination index proposed by Gastwirth (1975). One feature of this refinement is a bit unusual. The firstorder curve cumulates according to an income threshold, but the second-order curve cumulates according to a population proportion. The latter orderings resemble SSD, but they are not equivalent, except under uniform distributions (Le Breton, et al., 2012, p. 1346). We propose instead the second-order discrimination curve (2) Ξ ! : 0,1 β 0,1 , where Ξ ! π‘ = π!!! π! π‘ for all π‘ β 0,1 , and where (3) π! : [0,1 β [0, π! , where π! π‘ = !(!) (!!!! ! )!" ! !(!) !! ! !" ! 0 π‘ β (0,1 π‘=0 and where π π‘ = πΉ!!! π‘ and π! is the per capita income of the comparison distribution. 3 Alternatively, we can write π! π‘ = (4) where π! π‘ = ! !! πΉ ! ! π ππ = π! π‘ /π‘ 0 !(!) π₯π! (π₯)ππ₯ is ! π‘ β (0,1 π‘=0 the cumulative quantile function or the generalized Lorenz curve, and where 0 β€ π β€ 1 is a population proportion. We can interpret π! π‘ as the truncated per capita income of the t poorest proportion of the comparison population or as the cumulative per capita income up to the quantile m(t) of the comparison population. Note that π 1 = π§, π! 1 = π! , and π! 1 = π! . Notice further that both π! π‘ and π! π‘ are nondecreasing functions. This follows from equation (4), and π! π‘ = ! !! πΉ ! ! π ππ, and from the fact that πΉ!!! π is a nondecreasing function. The latter ! !! πΉ ! ! implies that for any π β€ π‘, π! π‘ β€ π‘ ππ = πΉ!!! π‘ ! ππ ! relevant areas in Figure 1 confirms this result. Hence, we have !!!! ! !!!! ! !! = πΉ!!! π‘ π‘. Comparing the ! !! ! !" ! = !!! ! !!!! ! !! = β₯ 0, β 0 < π‘ < 1, and likewise for π! π‘ . Given that π! (π‘) is nondecreasing, there is a well-defined left-continuous inverse, π!!! (π), such that (5) π!!! : [0, ππ β [0,1 , where π!!! π = πππ π‘ = πΉ! π : ! !!! ! !" ! ! ! !! ! !" β₯ π for all π β [0, π! . It is the proportion of the (ascending-ordered) reference population with truncated per capita income lower than or equal to π. Therefore, Ξ ! π‘ is the plot of (π!!! π , π!!! π ), or the plot of the inverse of the truncated per capita income curves. The left side of Figure 2 illustrates the inverse truncated per capita income functions in equation (5), while the right side shows the corresponding SDC in equation (2). 4 Under our proposed SDC, second-order discrimination exists if and only if π!!! π β€ π!!! π , π β 0, π! , or (6) (7) π! π‘ β€ π! π‘ , π‘ β [0,1 , or equivalently, if Ξ ! (π‘) is below the diagonal in Figure 2, which can be written as (8) Ξ ! π‘ β€ π‘ for all π‘ β [0,1 . The interpretation of condition (8) is as follows: the probability that a randomly selected person in the reference population belongs to the subgroup with cumulated per capita income π is lower than or equal to the probability that a randomly selected person in the comparison population belongs to the subgroup with the same cumulated per capita income π, for all π. Notice that the π value in expression (5) may not be the same for both populations, but the π value (cumulated per capita income) is the same in both populations. [place Figure 2 here] To see that this SDC ordering is consistent with the SSD ordering, notice that the conditions above are equivalent to SSD, because (9) π! π‘ β€ π! π‘ π‘ β (0,1 , is equivalent to (10) !! ! ! β€ !! ! ! π‘ β (0,1 , and thus to (11) π! π‘ β€ π! π‘ π‘ β (0,1 , and π! 0 = π! 0 = π! 0 = π! 0 = 0 for π‘ = 0. Given that SDC and SSD orderings are equivalent, it follows that all S-convex (Chackravarty, 1988, p. 147) inequality indices can be used to measure discrimination consistently. 5 3. APPLICATION For an application of our interdistributional inequality measure, we take up one of the most challenging problems confronting the United States in the coming decades: baby boomers entering retirement (Kotlikoff and Burns, 2004). The baby boomers were born between 1946 and 1964, so the youngest boomers turned 50 years old in 2014. At age 50, individuals also qualify for AARP membership. Thus, we divide the U.S. population into seniors (age 50 or older) and nonseniors (under age 50) and compare the income distributions for these two populations. Our income data come from the Current Population Survey in 2006, 2009, and 2012, expressed in 2012 dollars. We treat the household as both the income sharing unit and the unit of analysis, and adjust for household size by the square-root rule. Given that income for seniors depends heavily on government transfers (e.g., Social Security), we use comprehensive incomes [cash income plus in-kind transfers (except government medical benefits, which are problematic to measure) minus taxes, but ignoring unrealized capital gains (also problematic to measure)] as the income concept. We select quantiles in the pooled distribution of income as the thresholds for our comparisons. We plot the cumulative income distributions for the two populations in Figure 3a, and find that the distribution functions cross. Therefore, the FDC fails to yield an ordering of the two populations. Next, we consider a refinement by applying our SDC measure. We plot the inverse truncated per capita income functions in Figure 3b, and find that they do not intersect. Thus, the SDC lies below the diagonal in Figure 4, so U.S. nonseniors (the reference population) SDC and SSD dominate the seniors (the comparison population) at present. It will be interesting to track whether the inequality between the two populations grows or diminishes in the future as more 6 baby boomers shift into retirement, resulting in dramatic changes in government taxes and transfers. [place Figures 3a, 3b, and 4 here] 4. CONCLUSIONS Our proposed SDC is a natural refinement of the first ILC of Butler and McDonald (1987) and the FDC of Le Breton, et al. (2011). We demonstrate equivalence between SDC orderings of distributions truncated at any cumulative per capita income and SSD orderings of the entire distributions. This contribution is along the lines of Foster and Shorrocks (1988), who relate orderings by the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke (FGT) class of poverty measures for distributions truncated at alternative poverty lines to stochastic dominance orderings of the complete income distributions. References Butler, R. and McDonald, J., βUsing Incomplete Moments to Measure Inequality,β Journal of Econometrics, 42, 109-119, 1989. β, βInterdistributional Income Inequality,β Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 5, 1318, 1987. Chackravarty, S., βExtended Gini Indices of Inequality,β International Economic Review, 29, 147-156, 1988. Dagum, C., βInequality Measures between Income Distributions with Applications,β Econometrica, 48, 1791-1803, 1980. 7 β, βMeasuring the Economic Affluence between Populations of Income Receivers,β Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 5, 5-12, 1987. Deutsch, J. and Silber, J., βInequality Decomposition by Population Subgroup and the Analysis of Interdistributional Inequality,β in Silber, J. (ed.), Handbook of Income Inequality Measurement, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 363-397, 1999. Ebert, U., βMeasures of Distance between Income Distributions,β Journal of Economic Theory, 32, 266-274, 1984. Foster, J. E., and Shorrocks, A. F., βPoverty Orderings,β Econometrica, 56, 173-177, 1988. Gastwirth, J. L., βStatistical Measures of Earnings Differentials,β The American Statistician, 29, 32-35, 1975. Gastwirth, J. L., Nayak, T. K., and Wang, J-L., βStatistical Properties of Measures of BetweenGroup Income Differentials,β Journal of Econometrics, 42, 5-19, 1989. Kotlikoff, L .J. and Burns, S., The Coming Generational Storm, Cambridge: MIT Press, 2004. Le Breton, M., Michelangeli, A. and Peluso, E., βA Stochastic Dominance Approach to the Measurement of Discrimination,β Journal of Economic Theory, 147, 1342-1350, 2012. Shorrocks, A. F., βOn the Distance between Income Distributions,β Econometrica, 50, 13371339, 1982. Yitzhaki, S., βEconomic Distance and Overlapping Distributions,β Journal of Econometrics, 61, 147-159, 1994. 8 Figure 1. Construction of the first-order discrimination curve (FDC). The FDC combines the cumulative distribution functions for the comparison and reference populations into a single function, π€ 1 (π‘) = πΉπ [πΉπβ1 (π‘)]. If the FDC lies below the line of interdistributional equality, π€ 1 (π‘) = π‘, the reference population FDC dominates the comparison population, which also implies first-order stochastic dominance. Figure 2. Construction of the second-order discrimination curve (SDC). The SDC combines the inverse truncated per capita income functions for the comparison and reference populations into a single function, π€ 2 (π‘) = ππβ1 [ππ (π‘)], and is a refinement of the firstorder discrimination curve. If the SDC lies below the line of interdistributional equality, π€ 2 (π‘) = π‘, the reference population SDC dominates the comparison population, which also implies second-order stochastic dominance. Fc(m) Fr(m) Cumulative distribution functions 1 0.9 0.8 Population share 0.7 0.6 Fc(m) 0.5 Nonseniors Seniors 0.4 Fr(m) 0.3 0.2 0.1 F-1r(π€2(t)) F-1c(t) m 0 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 Income Figure 3a. Cumulative income distribution functions for U.S. seniors (age 50 and over, the comparison population) and nonseniors (the reference population). These functions cross, so the first-order discrimination comparison is inconclusive. Tcβ1(ΞΌ) Trβ1(ΞΌ) Inverse truncated per capita income functions 1 0.9 Tcβ1 0.8 Trβ1 0.7 Population share t 0.6 π€2(t) 0.5 Nonseniors Seniors 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Tc(t) ΞΌ 0 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 Truncated per capita Income Figure 3b. Inverse truncated per capita income functions for U.S. seniors (age 50 and over, the comparison population) and nonseniors (the reference population). These functions do not cross, so a second-order discrimination ordering is possible. Trβ1(ΞΌ) Second-order discrimination curve Population share in the reference distribution below a fixed ΞΌ 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 π€2(t) 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 t 0.7 0.8 Population share in the comparison ditribution below a fixed ΞΌ 0.9 1 Tcβ1(ΞΌ) Figure 4. Second-order discrimination curve (SDC) for U.S. seniors (age 50 and over, the comparison population) and nonseniors (the reference population). The SDC lies below the line of interdistributional equality, so the seniors SDC dominate the nonseniors.
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