* Unit 8 For lunch, in how many different ways could you choose a sandwich, side dish, and dessert? If an event M that can occur in m ways is followed by event N that can occur in n ways, then event M followed by event N can occur in π β π ways. Example: 3 pants and 2 shirts give 3 β 2 = 6 possible outfits. In 1966, one type of Maryland license plate had two letters followed by four digits. How many of this type of license plate were possible? How many license plates would be possible if the state did not allow repeated numbers or letters? A permutation is an arrangement of items in a particular order. Suppose you wanted to find the number of ways to order three items. There are 3 ways to choose the first, 2 ways to choose the second, and only 1 way to choose the last. 3 β 2 β 1 = 6 permutations Using factorial notation, you can write 3 β 2 β 1 as 3!, read β3 factorial.β For any positive integer n, n factorial is π! = π π β 1 β . . .β 3 β 2 β 1. Zero factorial is 0! = 1. How many ways can you file 12 folders, one after another, in a drawer? How many ways can you hang 8 shirts on hangers in a closet? The number of permutations of n items of a set arranged r items at a time is πππ = Example: 10π4 π! for 0 β€ π β€ π πβπ ! = 10! 10β4 ! = 10! 6! = 5040 Ten students are in a race. First, second, and third places will win medals. In how many ways can 10 runners finish first, second, and third (no ties allowed) What if in the last example the first three runners would get to go to the state championship. Then order wouldnβt matter. A selection in which order doesnβt matter is called a combination. The number of combinations of n items of a set chosen r items at a time is π! ππΆπ =π! πβπ ! Example: πππ 0 β€ π β€ π 5! 5πΆ3 =3! 5β3 ! = 5! 3!β2! = 120 6β2 = 10 How many committees of 4 could you choose from 13 people? An art teacher divides his class into five groups. Each group submits one sketch. She will select 3 of the sketches to display. In how many different ways can she select the sketches? You will draw winners from a total of 25 tickets in a raffle. The first ticket wins $100. The second ticket wins $50. The third ticket wins $10. In how many different ways can you draw the three winning tickets? Experimental probability of an event: ππ’ππππ ππ π‘ππππ π‘βπ ππ£πππ‘ ππππ’ππ π ππ£πππ‘ = ππ’ππππ ππ π‘πππππ The probability of an impossible event is 0 (or 0%). The probability of a certain event is 1 (or 100%). Otherwise, the probability of an event is an number between 0 and 1 (or a percent between 0% and 100%). On Thursday, there were 68 cars in the teacherβs parking lot. Fourteen of the cars were SUVβs. What is the experimental probability that a vehicle picked as random is an SUV? What is the experimental probability that the vehicle is NOT an SUV? A baseball player got a hit in 20 of his last 50 times at bat. What is the experimental probability that he will get a hit in his next at bat? On a multiple-choice test, each item has 4 choices, but only one choice is correct. How can you simulate guessing the answers? What is the probability that you will pass the test by guessing at least 6 of 10 answers correctly? The set of all possible outcomes to an experiment or activity is call the sample space. When each outcome in a sample space has the same chance of occurring, the outcomes are equally likely outcomes. When outcomes are equally likely, you can calculate the theoretical probability of the event. The theoretical probability of event A is π π π΄ = π Sample space: n outcomes Event A: m outcomes What is the theoretical probability of getting a 5 on one roll of a standard number cube? What is the theoretical probability of getting a sum of 5 on one roll of two standard number cubes? What is the probability of being dealt exactly two 7βs in a 5-card hand from a standard 52card deck? What is the probability of being dealt 3 5βs and 2 aces? What is the probability that a dart thrown at this board lands in the bullseye? 20 in 3in What is the probability that a checker thrown on top of this board lands on a black square?
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