Defense Wins Championships Luke Ivey, Daniel Levine, Riley McCracken 5 Year NFL Offense Stats vs. Super Bowl Champion Defensive Averages Year 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 Super Bowl Defense Avg. Pts 21.7 20.6 20.8 20.2 20.8 Avg. Yards 325.2 315.9 318.3 317.6 318.8 Avg. Air 214.3 203.5 200.4 205.8 212.3 Avg. Ground 110.9 112.5 117.9 111.8 106.5 17.7 291.99 192.41 99.58 Difference Between Means Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 5 0 20.820 0.246 0.550 20.200 Variable Q3 NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 21.250 Maximum 21.700 …Remember, the Super Bowl Champion holds their opponent to an average of 17.7 points. If you were to use the standard deviation from the data above, you find that this number is almost six standard deviations below the regular season mean. Q1 Median 20.400 20.800 Box Plots Defensive Team Rankings YR Team 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 99 NYG IND NE PIT NE TB NE BLT STL PA Rank 5 7 8 1 8 10 8 3 4 YA Rank 5 11 10 1 10 9 10 2 6 PYA Rank 8 6 11 1 11 4 11 2 20 RYA Rank 9 24 15 2 15 19 15 3 1 AVG Rank 6.75 12.00 11.00 1.25 11.00 10.50 11.00 2.50 7.75 Comparing Overall Rankings Offense …vs Defense Predicting ‘09 Pittsburgh Steelers • Points Allowed: 13.9 (1st) • Yards Allowed: 237.2 (1st) • Pass Yards Alwd: 156.9 (1st) • Rush Yards Alwd: 80.2 (2nd) Arizona Cardinals • PA: 26.6 (28th) • YA: 331.5 (19th) • PYA: 221.2 (22nd) • RYA: 110.2 (16th)
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