Short-Range Numerical Weather Prediction Programme
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005
20-23 September 2005
Zurich (Switzerland)
The Network of Consortia
HIRLAM
Denmark*, Finland*, Iceland*, Ireland*,Netherlands*, Norway*, Spain*, Sweden*
COSMO
Germany*, Greece*, Italy*, Poland (Warsaw Branch), Romania, Switzerland*
ALADIN
Austria*, Belgium*, France*, Portugal*,Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic,
Hungary*,Moldova, Poland (Cracow Branch), Romania,Slovakia, Slovenia
ALADIN – LACE
Austria*, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary*,Slovakia, Slovenia
UKMO
United Kingdom*
26 NWS are Members of the SRNWP Programme
* EUMETNET Member
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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SRNWP actions in progress
• SRNWP / DWD PEPS Project
• Dissemination of hourly SYNOPs in Europe
• Data hub for high resolution, non GTS, 24-hourly
accumulated daily precipitations
• Model comparison
• New format of the SRNWP Annual Meetings
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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SRNWP actions in progress
• SRNWP / DWD PEPS Project
• Dissemination of hourly SYNOPs in Europe
• Data hub for high resolution, non GTS, 24-hourly
accumulated daily precipitations
• Model comparison
• New format of the SRNWP Annual Meetings
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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SRNWP actions in progress
• SRNWP / DWD PEPS Project
• Dissemination of hourly SYNOPs in Europe
• Data hub for high resolution, non GTS, 24-hourly
accumulated daily precipitations
• Model comparison
• New format of the SRNWP Annual Meetings
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Motivations
• The spatial density of the SYNOP
precipitations is absolutely inadequate for the
validation and verification of the very high
resolution models
• Creation of a “data hub for the precipitation
observations” as already done by EUMETNET
at the Met Office for the radar and wind-profiler
data (“one stop chop” strategy)
• In the future - still a lot of development work to
do – high resolution precipitation data will also
be used in the data assimilation process
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Situation today in Europe
Who is collecting today in Europe 24-hourly
accumulated high-resolution precipitation
observations?
DWD (for Consortium COSMO)
ECMWF (data from the Members)
EU Project ENSEMBLES
EUROGRID show-case (non yet accepted)
Report in the SRNWP web site.
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Candidates
Two very good candidates:
= DWD
- Does already this work but for COSMO
Members only
= ECMWF
- Receives the data from all the Members and
associated Members and makes gridded analyses
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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SRNWP actions in progress
• SRNWP / DWD PEPS Project
• Dissemination of hourly SYNOPs in Europe
• Data hub for high resolution, non GTS, 24-hourly
accumulated daily precipitations
• Model comparison
• New format of the SRNWP Annual Meetings
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Reason
• At least 3 times – in Council or ICWED
Meetings – our Directors have expressed
the wish of a model comparison over
Europe.
• It has to be cheap. Thus only main models
will be compared:
- LM (run by the DWD)
- Aladin-France
- HIRLAM (reference version at FMI)
- UM (North-Atlantic / Europe version)
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Facts
• Already today the Met Office compares
daily the precipitations of these 4 models
over Great-Britain (24-hourly accumulated)
• The Met Office has been chosen for this
comparison as the work will consist for him
of an extension of an already existing task:
several of its tools will be used directly
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Plan
• Verified will be from T+0 to T+48 at 6h intervals:
- precipitations
- mean sea level pressure
- 2m temperature
- 10m wind
• Scores for precipitations:
- frequency bias
- equitable threat score
- log-odds ratio
- Hansen-Kuipers skill score
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Results and Costs
• Results
Monthly mean statistics will be calculated and
published on the Met Office external internet site
under password protection
• Costs
The costs that will be submitted to the
EUMETNET Council will amount to the salary of
a scientist for 9 months per year
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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SRNWP actions in progress
• SRNWP / DWD PEPS Project
• Dissemination of hourly SYNOPs in Europe
• Data hub for high resolution, non GTS, 24-hourly
accumulated daily precipitations
• Model comparison
• New format of the SRNWP Annual Meetings
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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The SRNWP Workshops
• Variational Methods (Met Office)
• Nonhydrostatic Modeling (DWD)
• Numerical Techniques (Meteo-France)
• Soil data analysis and soil processes (INM/SMHI)
• Statistical and Physical Adaptation (ZAMG)
• Meso-scale verification (KNMI)
• Short-range EPS (UGM)
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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The 2004 SRNWP Workshops
SRNWP Workshop on Mesoscale Verification
14-15 June 2004, KNMI, De Bilt
40 participants
HIRLAM/SRNWP Workshop on Soil Analysis and Soil
Processes
15-17 September 2004, SMHI, Norrköping
30 participants
SRNWP / Met Office / HIRLAM Workshop on Variational
Methods
High resolution data assimilation: towards 1-4km resolution
15-17 November 2004, Met Office, Exeter.
80 participants
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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The 2005 SRNWP Workshops
SRNWP Workshop on Short-Range EPS
7-8 April 2005, UGM / ARPA Emilia-Romagna, Bologna
80 participants
SRNWP Workshop on Statistical and Dynamical Application
1-2 June 2005, ZAMG, Vienna
25 participants
SRNWP Workshop on Nonhydrostatic Modelling
"Convection resolving models"
31 Oct – 02 Nov 2005, DWD, Bad Orb
(Probably 70-80 participants)
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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Long life to COSMO
with a lot of success!
COSMO Annual Meeting 2005, 20-23 September 2005, Zurich (Switzerland)
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