Monopolistic Competition with Outside Goods Author(s): Steven C. Salop Reviewed work(s): Source: The Bell Journal of Economics, Vol. 10, No. 1 (Spring, 1979), pp. 141-156 Published by: RAND Corporation Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3003323 . Accessed: 17/12/2012 04:57 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . RAND Corporation is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Bell Journal of Economics. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Monopolistic competition withoutsidegoods Steven C. Salop BureauofEconomics FederalTradeCommission The Chamberlinianmonopolisticallycompetitiveequilibriumhas been explored and extendedin a numberof recentpapers. These analyses have paid only cursoryattentionto the existence of an industryoutside the Chamberlinian group.In thisarticleI analyze a model ofspatial competitionin whicha second commodityis explicitlytreated. In this two-industry economy, a zero-profit with located exhibit ratherstrangepropequilibrium symmetrically firmsmay erties.First,demand curves are kinked,althoughfirmsmake "Nash" conjectures. If equilibriumlies at the kink,the effectsof parameter changes are perverse. In the shortrun,prices are rigidin theface of small cost changes. In thelong run,increases in costs lowerequilibriumprices. Increases in market size raiseprices. The welfarepropertiesare also perverseat a kinkedequilibrium. 1. Introduction * The Chamberlinian (1931)zero-profit monopolistically competitive equilibriumhas been exploredand extendedin a numberof recentpapers.These and have analyseshavefocusedon themonopolistically competitive industry attention totheexistenceofan industry outsidetheChamberpaidonlycursory liniangroup.In thispaper,a modelofspatialcompetition is analyzedinwhich is explicitly a secondcommodity treated. withsymmetrically In thistwo-industry economy,a zero-profit equilibrium locatedfirms First,demandcurvesare mayexhibitratherstrangeproperties. Ifequilibrium firms make"Nash" conjectures. is a tangency eventhough kinked, toparameter andlong-run thekink, theshortsolution responses awayfrom changes ofparamliesat thekink,theeffects areconventional. However,ifequilibrium eterchangesareperverse.In theshortrun,pricesare rigidinthefaceofsmall cost changes.In the long run,increasesin costs lowerequilibrium prices. thecostincreaseas an excisetax,thisresultstatesthattheincidence Interpreting ofthetaxis negative.Increasesin marketsize raiseprices.The welfarepropThisisa revisedversion ofa survey Reconstituted" paperentitled "Monopolistic Competition to Don Hester,Lew Johnson, Bob Mackay,PerryQuick,SteveSalant,Joe (1976).I amindebted and to MaryAnnHenryfor AndyWeiss,therefereeand editor,forhelpfulcomments Stiglitz, in thispaperrepresent The remarks editingand typing. onlymypersonalviews.Theyare not intended tobe,andshouldnotbe construed oftheviewsofanyothermember of as, representative theFederalTradeCommission staff or theindividual Commissioners. 141 This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 142 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS ertiesarealso perverseat a kinkedequilibrium. Decreasesincostandincreases in marketsize lowerbothconsumerand aggregate welfare. In thenextsectiontheformalmodelis presented andthesymmetric zero(SZPE) is defined.Conditionsforexistenceof the profitNash equilibrium SZPE are derivedin Section3. Comparative staticsand welfareproperties are in Sections and 4 The concludes with a short 5, explored respectively. paper discussionofthedeterrence equilibrium concept. 2. The basic model * In thissectionwe analyzea variantofthetraditional (1929)model Hotelling of spatialcompetition whichis derivedfromLernerand Singer(1937).In this variantthe economythatis envisionedconsistsof two industries. The one withdifferentiated brands uponwhichwe focusis monopolistically competitive and decreasingaveragecosts; the otheris a competitive industry producing a homogeneous Each ofL consumers commodity. purchaseseitherone unitor none1ofthedifferentiated topreferences, commodity according prices,andthe distribution of brandsin productspace. Remainingincomeis spenton the homogeneous commodity. Eachconsumer hasa most-preferred brandspecification 1*.A brandI differentfromthemostpreferred is valuedloweraccordingto preferspecification encesinproductspace U(l,l*). Theproductspaceoftheindustry is takentobe an infinite lineor theunit-circumference ofa circle.Whileneither assumption is realistic, bothallowthe"corner"difficulties oftheoriginalHotellingmodel tobe ignored andan industry withidentical equilibrium pricesbyequally-spaced firms toobtain.Eliminating thetechnical difficulties makesitsimpler toanalyze thequalitative ofthemodel.Thus,themodelis a benchequilibrium properties markforsubsequentanalyseswithnonuniform acrossempirically preferences validatedproductspaces. By eliminating technicalproblems, thismodelallows a focuson theessentialinteractions offirms in an industry. Iftherearen brandsofthedifferentiated availableat pricespi commodity andlocations whosemostpreferred is l* willpurchase li,a consumer specification one unitfromsomebrandifthemaximum less priceacross surplusof utility brandsoutweighs thesurplusfromthehomogeneous othergood.Denotingthat surplus bys, wehavethedecisionrule:Purchaseoneunitofthebrandsatisfying max [U(li,l*) - pi] - . (1) The traditional modelofconstanttransport costsis capturedwithpreferences givenby (2) U(li,l*) = u - c l - 1*i, wherethe"distance" I li - l* I refersto theshortestarc lengthbetweenli andl*. In thiscase, equation(1) maybe rewritten as follows: max [v - c |li - /*I - Pi] i 0, (3) wherethe effectivereservationprice is given by v= u - > 0. The model easily generalizesto elastic demands. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (4) SALOP / 143 FIGURE 1 TYPICAL DEMAND CURVE PRICEA v MONOPOLY COMPETITIVE -_.--..... - .--SUPERCOMPETITIVE ,, ,QUANTITY We now explore the existence and propertiesof a symmetriczero-profit Nash equilibrium(SZPE). By symmetricwe mean an equilibriumin whichthe brandsare equallyspaced aroundthecircularproductspace and chargeidentical prices. By zero profits,we mean an equilibriumin whichfreeentryleads to a situationofeach brandearningzero profits.The equilibriumis Nash in thateach brandchooses a best price, given a perceptionthatall otherbrands hold their prices constant.The conclusion discusses the requirementthatthe numberof brandsbe integer-valued. The methodologyhereconsistsof derivingtheperceiveddemandcurvefor a singlerepresentativebrandas a functionof otherbrands' prices and locations and thenfindinga tangencybetween that demand curve and the average cost curve. Three regionsof the representativebrand's demand curve may be disthe"monopoly,""competitive,"and "supercompetitive" tinguished: regions.The "monopoly" regionconsists of those prices in whichthebrand's entiremarket consistsofconsumersforwhomthesurplusof no otherbrandexceeds thesurplus of the homogeneousoutside good. The "competitive" regionis composed of those prices in which customersare attractedwho would otherwisepurchase some other differentiated brand. The "supercompetitive" region consists of those prices in which all the customersof the closest neighboringbrand are captured. These three regions of a typical demand curve are illustratedin Figure 1. brandchargespricep and its nearestcompetitors Suppose therepresentative located at distance lln charge/, as shown in Figure 2. We derive the regions of the demand curve as follows. In the absence of competitionfromother differentiated brands, the representativebrand captures all consumers living withina distance where the net surplusgiven in (3) in nonnegative.Denoting the maximumdistance by x and substituting into (3) we have, v v-p= . x = =(5) c If thereare L consumersaroundthe circle, since the brandcapturescustomers withina distancex on each side, its monopolydemand qmis given by qm = 2L L(vc p). (6) This definesthe potentialmonopoly marketof the representativebrand. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 144 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS FIGURE 2 THE CIRCULAR MARKET P r /n 1 (c 1/n I p t Those consumersresidingin thepotentialmonopolymarketof two brandspurchase fromthe one offeringhighernet surplus. If the brands are located a distance apart of 1/nand the neighboringbrand on one side charges a pricep, then from(3) the representativebrand captures all those consumers withina distancex given by - v - ex - p v - c (n - x ) -(7) Denotingby x, the value forwhich (7) holds withequality,we have x =- 2c (P + cin - p) (8) and hence a firm'scompetitivedemand qC = 2Lx is given by qc = _ (p + c/n - p). c (9) (6) and (9), the slopes sl(D) of the demand curve in these Differentiating two regionsare given by = -c/2L (10) sl(Dc) = -c/L. (11) sl(Dn) Thus, we have the unusual resultthatdemand is more elastic in the monopoly region than in the competitiveregion. Moreover, as illustratedin Figure 1, the monopolyregioncomes at higherprices. The two regionsfittogetheras follows.Suppose theright-sideneighborhas a potentialmonopoly marketillustratedin Figure 3. At prices above v, the brandobtainsno customers.As itbeginsloweringpricesbelow v, representative it captures demand fromthe homogeneous good according to the monopoly FIGURE 3 MARKET SEGMENTS / p This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions SALOP / 145 FIGURE 4 MARKET OVERLAP P slope c/2L. Eventuallyits price becomes low enoughthatits monopolymarket overlapsthemonopolymarketofitsneighboras illustratedin Figure4. Now as it it begins to capture customersfromits neighboraccordlowers price further, ingto the steepercompetitiveslope cIL. At the kinkin Figure2, the monopoly regionsjust touch.Note thatthekinkarises herefromtheexistenceoftheother industry,not fromthe non-Nash perceptionsdiscussed by Sweezy (1939). It generalizesto higherdimensionalspaces.2 At some lowerprice, even those customersresidingat the neighborare indifferent betweenthe representativefirmat p and the neighborat p (and additional surplusc(1ln)). This pricepz is given by Pz = P - c/n. (12) At prices below pz, the representativefirmcaptures the entiremarketof its neighbor,fornot only are those consumersresidingat the neighborwillingto incur the surplus loss cln for the price differential p - p, but so are all the customersof the neighbor.Thus the representativebrand's demand has a discontinuityat pz fromthis "predatory" pricing. The demand curve in Figure 2 displays the typical shape of these three brands. regions.It shiftsaccordingto thepricesand locationsoftheneighboring Since demandcan neverexceed the monopolydemand,the kinkalways lies on thatmonopolycurve, as illustratedin Figure 5 (withsupercompetitiveregions deleted). Note that the marketmay be so competitiveas to make the kink nonexistent.This occurs when the neighbors'potentialmonopolymarketincludes the location of the representativebrand. 3. Existenceofa symmetric zero profit (SZPE) equilibrium * A SZPE is definedas a pricep and a numberof brandsn such thatevery equally spaced3 Nash price setter's maximumprofitprice choice earns zero profits.We ignoretheadditionalrequirementthatthenumberofbrandsmustbe an integerand discuss itlater.In addition,thepotentialnonexistenceof equilibin demandis also postponed.Ifan equilibrium riumarisingfromthediscontinuity exists,therepresentativebrand's demand curve and average cost curve willbe tangent,forthen the zero-profitpoint is surelyalso one of maximumprofits. are possible, as illustratedin Figure6, where Three equilibriumconfigurations the monopoly,kinked,and competitiveequilibriumprices are denotedby subscripts(m,k,c), respectively. At themonopolyequilibrium,some consumerslyingbetweentwo neighborcommodity.Thus, the markets ing brandsmay not purchase the differentiated 2 This may be confirmedin a two-dimensionalproduct space. The monopoly market is circular,while competitivemarketsare polygonal. 3 This equilibriumconcept is static. In a dynamiccontext,it assumes that firmsmay costlessly relocate in response to entryand, in fact, do relocate. Thus, equal spacing is maintained. For a discussionof an alternativeequilibriumconcept, see the conclusions. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 146 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS FIGURE 5 FAMILY OF DEMAND CURVES Pt vL L/n of neighborsmay not overlap and each can act as a monopolist,constrained onlyby the outside commodity.Monopoly equilibriawithand withoutoverlap are picturedin Figure6. At a kinkedequilibrium,marketsjust touch. As illustratedin Figure6, since theextensionofthemonopolydemandcurvelies above theaverage cost curve,themonopolypricepmlies below thekinkedequilibrium pricePk. At the competitiveequilibriumconfiguration, monopolymarketscompletelyoverlap. However,Pc maybe above or below Pm, dependingon demand and technologies. It is easy to show graphicallywhich equilibriumconfiguration obtains for any set of technologyand demand parameters{F,m,v,c,L}. Simplydrawing the average cost curve and the entirefamilyof demand curves, existenceof an equilibriumconfigurationrequires maximumprofitsequal to zero-pointE in Figure7. A zero-profit pointlike G does not satisfymaximumprofitsbecause it is dominatedby a point like F. FIGURE 6 EQUILIBRIUM CONFIGURATIONS MONOPOLY EQUILIBRIUM KINKED EQUILIBRIUM This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM SALOP / 147 FIGURE 7 EXISTENCE OF EQUILIBRIUM I\ L L/n* The SZPE satisfiestwo conditions:marginalrevenue(less thanor) equal to marginalcost and price equal to average cost. For constantmarginalcost m and fixedcost F, the SZPE is given by p +q dp = m dq p = m + Flq, (13) (14) and fromsymmetry, ifthe equilibriumhas no gaps, q = L/n. (15) At themonopolyequilibriumdpldq is givenbysl(Dm) in (10); at thecompetitive equilibriumby sl(Dc) in (11); and at the kinkedequilibriumby a slope between sl(Dm) and sl(Dc). Substituting(15) and (10) into (13) and (14), the monopoly price and numberof brands4are given by Pm = m + c/2nm (16) /cL/F. (17) nm=\-- Using (11) instead of (10), the competitiveequilibriumis given by5 Pc = m + clnc (18) n = (19) VcL/F. 4 There Thiscalculation number maybe gapsata monopoly equilibrium. yieldsthemaximum ofbrandsat a monopoly equilibrium. 5 See Grubel ofthecompetitive (1963)fora shortderivation equilibrium. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 148 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS The values (pk,nk) fora kinkedequilibriumlie between the values given in (16)-(19). Since thereis no tangencyat a kinkedequilibrium,(13) holds as an inequality.Instead of being given by the equalityin (13), price is given by the monopolisticdemand function,or pk - v - (c/L)q = v - c/n. (20) Solving (20) and the price equal to average cost conditiongiven by equation (14) forequilibriumvarietynk, we have F -nk L + clnk = v - m. (21) The monopolyequilibriumconfiguration requirestheveryrestrictiveconditionthattheexogenouslygivenaveragecost curvebe tangentto theexogenously givendemandcurve or v - m = V2cF/L.6 We ignorethislimitingcase forthe remainderoftheanalysis. The competitiveequilibriumconfiguration occurs for all parametervalues such that v - m _ 3/2cF/.7 The kinked equilibrium occurs for values of v - m in the interval[V'2cF/L,3/2V'cF/L], configuration whichis small relativeto the range of values v - m can assume.8 The demand discontinuitycan imply the nonexistence of any SZPE.9 Recallingfrom(12) thattherepresentativefirmcan captureits neighbor'sentire marketat pricesbelow p - c/n,an additionalconditionforexistenceof a SZPE is that such pricingbehavior is unprofitable.A sufficient conditionforthis is thatthepredatorypricep - c/ndoes notexceed marginalcost m, forpriceequal to or below marginalcost necessarily is a losing strategyin the presence of fixedcosts. Referring to (16) and (18), supercompetitive behavioris notprofitable, since the equilibriumprice is no greaterthan m + c/n. Similarly,if marginal costs are increasing,as with U-shaped AC curves, thenthe market-capturing AC price.However,ifmarginalcosts are decreasing, pricelies belowtheminimum thensuch price cuts may be profitableand cause nonexistenceof a SZPE. 4. Comparativestatics U As the exogenous technologicalor demandparameters{F,m, v,c,L} vary, theequilibriumprice-variety pairalso changes.These changesmaybe calculated fromthe equilibriumvalues in equations (16)-(19). O Competitive equilibria.The comparativestaticsat competitiveequilibriaare and straightforward traditional.Substituting(19) into (18) we have 6 Pc = m + cL (22) n, = (23) /- . Forthederivation, see thederivation ofequation(31) belowwhenprofits are zero. to Figure6, theequilibrium follows.Referring Pc derivedin (18) and 7 The derivation is as (19) must lie below the monopoly portion of the demand curve, or v - V(c/L)(L/nc) > Pc. forp, andnc,thestatedcondition obtains. Substituting 8 Thisinterval anddemandspecifications. maybe largerforalternative technological 9 See Roberts-Sonnenschein (1977) forexamples of discontinuousreactionfunctionsleading to nonexistenceof equilibrium. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions SALOP / 149 As fixedcosts(F) rise,pricerisesandequilibrium falls.Changesin variety costs(m) arefullyshifted ontoconsumers; remains marginal variety equilibrium thesame.Surprisingly on perhaps,changesinthenetvaluationv haveno effect theequilibrium. is competitive Themarket demandis unenoughthataggregate affected bychangesin thisdemandprice. As thevalueofproductdifferentiation falls. (c) falls,pricesfallandvariety As market size(L) rises,pricesfallandvariety rises.As c/Ldecreases,demand cost.Thus,theratioc/L becomesmoreelasticandpricemovestowardmarginal is therelevantmeasureof monopolistic in themodel. productdifferentiation obtainswhenc/L = 0,forthen ForU-shapedaveragecosts,perfect competition elasticdemandfunction. everybrandfacesa perfectly O Kinkedequilibria.The comparativestaticsat kinkedequilibriaare all costslowersprices.Thisis illusAnincreaseineitherfixedormarginal perverse. fromE to E'. Intuitively, cost belowas a movement trateddiagrammatically numberof brands,allowingthe remaining increasesreducethe equilibrium result.Ifthe brandsto further exploitscale economies.Thisis a verystriking thenthe as an excisetaxleviedon theindustry, increaseincostsis interpreted In termsof incidenceofthatexcisetax is negativeat thekinkedequilibrium. ofcourse. thelowerpriceis offset consumer welfare, bythedeclineinvariety, However,itis showninthenextsectionthatconsumerwelfaredoes risefrom thetax,eveniftheproceedsofthetax are ignored. It shouldbe emphasizedthatthisperversereactionto a costincreaseis a In theshortrun, firms. long-run responsethatresultsfromtheexitofmarginal at revenuecurveis discontinuous thereis no reactionat all. Sincethemarginal a smallchangein marginalcosts inducesno price the kinkedequilibrium, respondsto a smallmarginalcost increaseas response.Thus, the industry do notchange,though fall follows.In theshortrun,pricesandquantities profits inhigher toexit,resulting belownormal(zero). Theselossesinducesomefirms firms demandforthosethatremain.Thisincreaseddemandallowstheremaining in decreasedlong-run to betterexploitscale economies,resulting prices. as illustrated Anincreaseinthevaluation bythe (v) raisespriceandvariety, E toE". As maybe seenfromFigure8,pricerisesbymorethan movement from as scaleeconomiesarelost.As withcostincreases,the theincreaseinvaluation, welfareeffect ofthisincreaseinvaluationis also perverse;itmaybe shownthat theincreasein valuationas arisingfrom consumerwelfarefalls.Interpreting and the cost increaseas the cost of thatinformative informative advertising the valuationeffectlowerswelfare,whilethe cost effectraises advertising, welfare. Decreasesin c/L,arisingfromeitheran increasein marketsize (L) or a decreaseinthevalueofproductdifferentiation (c), raisepricesinequilibrium, in Figure9 as a movementfromE to E'. As withthe other as illustrated staticsdiscussed,thisresultis thereverseof whatoccursin the comparative configuration. competitive equilibrium 5. Welfareanalysis It has beenpointedoutby Spence(1976)andothersthat * Productselection. andtheproduccommodities ofsomeunprofitable theproduction maybe optimal tion of some profitable commoditiesmay be nonoptimal.For the circular This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 150 / THE BELL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS FIGURE 8 COMPARATIVESTATICS OF (v,m,F): KINKED EQUILIBRIUM $4 AC' L/n thismaybetestedbycomparing thecondition underwhicha segment ofthe market, marketwillbe servedby a monopolist condition)withthe (the profitability conditionunderwhichserviceyields positivenet surplus(the optimality condition). to the Supposeeach brandproducesup to thepointwherethenetbenefit consumer,who is at a distancex* fromthe brandservinghim,is marginal zero. Then, the net social benefitper brandof servingthe entirecircular marketis: B B=2L L \ Jo - F, cx -- m)dx m (v -- cx FIGURE 9 STATICSOF c/L:KINKEDEQUILIBRIUM COMPARATIVE This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions (24) SALOP / 151 wherethe marginalconsumer's benefitis given by x* - m = 0. v- (25) we have Substituting (25) into (24) and integrating, L B = -(v - m)2 - F, c (26) and this surplusis nonnegative(B _ 0) if and only if the followingoptimality conditionis satisfied: v -m (27) LF. On theotherhand, a monopolisticfirmwillchoose to serve any segmentof whereprofitsforthe monopoly the marketonlyifits profitsare nonnegative,10 portionof the demand functionare given by Im = (v q - m _ -F. (28) Maximizing(28) withrespectto q, we have L qm = - ( - m). c (29) Substituting(29) into (28), profitsare given by = - (v - m)2 - F. 2c (30) Profitsare nonnegative (IHm- 0) if and only if the followingprofitability conditionis satisfied: /2cF v- m .(31) L Comparing the optimality and profitabilityconditions, we see that is sufficient but not necessary foroptimality.All marketsserved profitability should be served, but not vice versa. O Optimalvs. equilibriumvariety.Giventhattheentirecircularmarketshould be served,theoptimalprice-variety pair maybe comparedwiththeequilibrium price-varietypair. A tradeoffbetween price and varietyexists because of the scale economies presentin production. If n firmsoperate and serve theentireunit-circumference market,thenthe 1 consumer a 2½n a travels distance and consumer located at x - ½n marginal obtains a surplusin excess of marginalcost of v - m - cx. Since thereare L consumers per unit distance and 2n intervalsof length½2n, total surplus is given by W = 2n rl/2n Jo (v - m - cx)Ldx - nF. (32) 10Itshouldbe notedthatifonemonopolist doesnotwishtoserveonesegment, nomonopolist willserveanysegment sincethecircularmarket is symmetric. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 152 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS we have: Integrating, W= (v - m _- cL 4 n - nF. (33) of (33) is the following.Since (i) the marginalconsumer The interpretation travels a distance of ½2nin product space, (ii) the consumer who travels the shortestdistance(zero) obtainshis mostpreferredbrand,and (iii) L consumers in productspace, theaverage distancetravelledis 4¼n are distributeduniformly at an imputedcost of c per unit.Then the average net surplusper consumeris v - m - c/4n.Total fixedcosts are nF. Maximizing(33) with respect to the numberof brandsn to findthe optimalprice-varietymix, we have *1 cL 2 F (34) Comparingthisoptimumto thepossible equilibriagivenby(17), (19), and (21) we have n* <nm < nk < nc. (35) Thatis, optimalvarietyis less thanequilibriumvarietyforthiscircularmarket,if the marketshould be served. This resultoftoo manybrandsis notrobust,butratherdependscruciallyon the distributionof consumersand preferences.As Spence (1976) and others"1 have pointedout, the optimumdepends on the differencebetweenthe average surplusand the surplus of the marginalconsumer relativeto fixedcosts; the value of adding an extra brand (and respacing the others) effectivelyconvertsmarginalconsumersto average ones, at fixedcost F.12 Graphically,the comparisonof the equilibriumwiththe optimummay be made as follows. The planningproblem in (33) is equivalent to maximizing average consumer welfare minus price W(n,p) subject to the price equal to average cost breakeven constraint.13Since the average consumer travels a distance V¼nin productspace, we have max W(n,p) = v - p -- 1c 4n F subject to p = m + - n. L (36) (37) curves in (p,L/n) space withslope of Equation (36) defineslinearindifference -V4(c/L) while (37) expresses the constraint.As illustratedin Figure 10, a smallervalue of S expresses a highersurplusv - S. Then, the optimumlies at the point where the average cost has slope equal to - ¼(c/L), whereas equilibriumlies at the point where the average cost curve has slope between -½2(c/L)(formonopolyequilibrium)and -cIL (forcompetitiveequilibrium). A graphicalrepresentationof the optimumvs. equilibriumprice-variety pair may be used to show the welfare effectsof the comparative statics at n Forexample,Dixitand Stiglitz (1977)and Lancaster(1975). 12 thatis concaveindistancewillyieldexcessvariety, Itcanbe shownthatanyutility function fora uniform distribution. Convexfunctions are necessaryfordeficient consumer variety. 13 demandsinthisexample,thatpricedoesnotequalmarginal Sinceconsumers haveinelastic no distortion. costintroduces This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions SALOP / 153 FIGURE 10 EQUILIBRIUMVS. OPTIMAL VARIETY -SLOPE = -1/4 c/L \~- SLOPE = - /n)2 (L/n)2 thekinkedequilibrium.(See Figure 11.) For example, an increase in costs from AC to AC' thatlowers prices will improvewelfare,since the slope of the indifferencecurve (- 4c/L) is flatterthan the slope of the monopoly demand curve (-½2c/L). Thus, movementsdown the demand curve representhigher welfareas illustratedbelow by comparingS to S'. Similaranalysiswillshow that FIGURE 11 DERIVATION OF OPTIMAL VARIETY E S'- --^ SLOPE = -1/4 c/L ---~~s \ \%- -SLOPE = 1/2 c/L AC This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 154 / THE BELL JOURNALOF ECONOMICS FIGURE 12 DERIVATION OF THE p(L/n) FUNCTION v \\ _-p ) p(L/n M I \ I\ AC \ I\\ _/,.,.... ..- nc L/n an increase in valuation(v) and an increase in marketsize (L) lowers consumer welfare. Finally, we can determinethe optimal numberof brands given monopolistically competitive pricing. Spence (1976) shows that for his partial equilibriummodel,themarketsolutionis optimal.For thecircularmodelstudied here,the optimumis eitherthe marketequilibriumor completemonopoly.We may prove this as follows. First we derive the Nash equilibriumprice for different(exogenously given) numbersof symmetricallyspaced brands. We denotethisrelationship is illustrated in Figure12 byp(Lln).14 Thep(L/n) function as EE'M, where we assume the SZPE (pointE) is competitive.The complete monopoly equilibriumis labeled M, and E'M is a portionof the monopoly demand curve. The consumerwelfaremaximumcould thenbe foundby placing indifference curves, which have slope -/4(clL), in Figure 12. It is clear that the optimummustlie at E or M. If the SZPE were kinked,say at E', thenp(Lln) wouldbe theportionE'M, and theoptimumwould lie at thecompletemonopoly point. Thus, forthe circularindustry,optimalentrypolicy is eitherfreeentry or entryrestrictedto the point of each brand having a complete monopoly market. 6. Conclusions * In the example studiedhere, explicitattentionhas been paid to the role a thepropertiesofmonopolistisecondindustry (outsidegoods) playsin determining This focus us cally competitiveequilibrium. required to ignorethe possibilityof 14 Thederivation Foranynumber ofbrandsn, ofp(Lln) relieson thefollowing observation. is notserved). thereexistsa leveloffixedcostsF' suchthatann-brand SZPE obtains(orthemarket whenfixedcostsareF, yieldsequilibrium Nash equilibrium, Thus,an n-brand pricep(Lln) and excess profitsper brandof H = F' - F. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions SALOP / 155 nonuniform preferencesacross more complicatedand realisticproductspaces or different technologiesacross brands. The majorcontributionof the approach taken here, whichwas firstnoted by Lernerand Singer(1937), is to providea rationalizationofthekinkeddemand curve in termsof symmetric"Nash" conjecturalvariations.Previous rationalizations by Sweezy (1939) and others were based upon asymmetriccompetitiveresponses to price increases and decreases. This paper goes beyond Lerner and Singer by derivingthe industryequilibriumand analyzing its properties. The industryequilibriummodel displays conventional propertieswhen equilibriumoccurs at a Chamberliniantangencyaway fromthe kink. On the other hand, the propertiesof equilibria occurringat the kink are perverse. In the shortrun,industryprices do not adjust to small cost changes, as noted by Sweezy in his model. It is only throughthe process of entryand exit that the industryadjusts to cost changes. Moreover,at the kinkedequilibrium,the long-runresponse to a cost increase is exit by some brands followed by a decrease inindustry prices,as remainingbrandsbetterexploitscale economies. The short-run price rigidityof the kinkedequilibriumaccords withcasual to confirmor empiricism.However, the long-runpropertiesare more difficult run since on they depend longer entryadjustments. Moreover, the reject, the abstractand unrealisticassumpactual symmetric entails example analyzed tionsof uniformpreferencesarounda circularproductspace and identicalcost functionsand valuations among competingbrands. While these assumptions thetheoreticalanalysis,theymakeempiricalconfirmation considerablysimplify more difficult. Other shortcomingsof the approach taken here are the zero-profitand costless relocation assumptions we have made. Because the technologyis characterized by an indivisible fixed cost, the number of brands must be integer-valued.Therefore,freeentryneed notlead to a zero-profit equilibrium, as originallypointed out by Kaldor (1935) and analyzed by Eaton (1976). An interesting"deterrence" equilibriumconcept built on these foundations has been exploredfora circularmarketby Hay (1976) and Schmalensee (1977) and forotherspatial marketsby Prescottand Visscher (1977). In a deterrence equilibriumsequentialentrantslocate in such a way thatno new entrantwishes to locate in the interval between two firms. As a result, the deterrence equilibriumhas halfthe numberof brands as the SZPE. In the model analyzed here, the deterrenceequilibriumconfigurationis generallythatpoint in thep(L/n) curve withthe numberof brandsn equal to /2 the number at the SZPE.15 If the SZPE is competitive,the deterrence equilibriummay be competitive,kinked, or at the monopoly point; which equilibriumoccurs depends on the particularparametervalues. Hay showed thatif the deterrenceequilibriumis competitive,prices are higherthan at the SZPE. However, kinkedor monopolydeterrenceequilibriamay resultin lower pricesthanthecompetitiveSZPE. Finally,iftheSZPE is kinked,thedeterrence equilibriumlies at the monopolypoint and entails lower prices and unserved segmentsof the circularmarket. 15The exceptionariseswhenthispointon p(Lln) lies belowthe monopolypointon the ofthedemandcurve.In thiscase, whilethenumber ofbrandsis stillhalved,the monopoly portion brandsraisepriceand loweroutputto the monopolypoint.Hence, the deterrence remaining entailsunservedsegments ofthecircularmarket. equilibrium This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 156 / THE BELL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS In closing,it shouldbe reemphasized thattheexactresultsderivedhere is theexampleused. Thatthereis excess varietyat equilibrium merelyreflect ofproduct notrobust.The kinkappearsrobustas thenumberof dimensions (1975)and Weiss(1977) space increases.However,as Archibald-Rosenbluth maynotexistwithhigherdimensional productspaces. pointout,equilibrium References ARCHIBALD,G.C. AND ROSENBLUTH, G. 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"SequentialLocationDecisionsamongFirmswithForesight." The Bell Journalof Economics, Vol. 8 (1977). ROBERTS, J. AND SONNENSCHEIN, H. "On the Foundations of the Theory of Monopolistic Competition."Econometrica, Vol. 75 (1977). R. "Entry Deterrencein the Ready-to-EatBreakfastCereal Industry." The Bell SCHMALENSEE, Journalof Economics, Vol. 9 (1978). A.M. "Product Selection, Fixed Costs and Monopolistic Competition." Review of SPENCE, Economic Studies, Vol. 43 (1976). SWEEZY, P.M. "Demand underConditionsof Oligopoly." Journalof Political Economy, Vol. 47 (1939). WEISS, A. "Spatial Competition with Two Dimensions." Unpublished manuscript, Bell Laboratories, 1977. This content downloaded on Mon, 17 Dec 2012 04:57:43 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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