15 July 2013 Strategy and Policy Board 5 To consider Student selection next steps Issue 1. While we do not have a formal role in student selection, we do require in Tomorrow’s Doctors that processes for selection must be open, objective, and fair. 2. We also have a clear interest in the selection of individuals who will a few years later join the medical register as licenced doctors. 3. In addition, there is sustained political pressure on medicine as a profession to open itself up to talented individuals from lower socioeconomic backgrounds. 4. The Medical Schools Council has set up the Selecting for excellence group to take forward work on student selection. Within this context we have identified next steps on student selection for agreement by the Strategy and Policy Board. Recommendations 5. The Strategy and Policy Board is asked to: a. Agree to focus our influence on student selection through the Selecting for excellence group. b. Discuss whether we have identified the right priority issues that we would like to see the group address. c. Agree that we should continue to collect data on student selection through the Medical School Annual Return and to analyse the responses to the socioeconomic status questions in this year’s National Training Survey. Issue Our role and interest 6. While we do not have a formal role in student selection, we do require in Tomorrow’s Doctors that processes for selection must be open, objective, and fair. 7. The 33 UK medical schools are responsible for putting in place processes that meet our standard and for individual selection decisions. 8. We also have a clear interest in the selection of individuals who will a few years later join the medical register as licenced doctors. To start with, our concern was that there is significant variation, and in some cases inconsistency (e.g. some make use of personal statements while others consider these unreliable), between medical schools’ selection processes without apparent justification. The extent of variation is illustrated in the flow charts at Annex A. 9. Traditionally, medical schools have exercised autonomy in delivering medical education, including in selecting students. Generally, they tend to be sensitive to moves, or perceived moves, by the GMC or other national bodies to exert greater influence on selection processes. External factors 10. In May 2012, Alan Miburn, now chair of the Social Mobility and Child Poverty Commission, published Fair access to professional careers: a progress update. The report focused on four professions including medicine and concluded: ‘Medicine has a long way to go when it comes to making access fairer, diversifying its workforce and raising social mobility... Its success in recruiting more female doctors and doctors from black and minority ethnic backgrounds indicates that with the right level of intentionality the medical profession can also throw open its doors to a far broader social intake than it does at present ... Overall, medicine has made far too little progress and shown far too little interest in the issue of fair access. It needs a step change in approach. 11. The Commission have told us informally that medicine remains one of their top priorities in terms of fair access to professional careers and that this will be reflected in their annual report, due to be published in September 2013. 12. Government is also putting pressure on medicine to widen access. While Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg is the Government lead on social mobility, Dan Poulter, Health Minister, has shown an interest in medicine, meeting with Peter Rubin and Niall Dickson earlier this year before hosting a seminar on widening access to medicine in March 2013. David Willets, Universities and Science Minister, has also shown an interest in his role as chair of the Gateways to the Professions Collaborative Forum Executive Group. Both ministers sit on a cross-ministerial group on social mobility that coordinates the Government’s action in response to Milburn’s reports. 2 13. Health Education England (HEE) has a role to play in student selection as set out in its mandate. In particular, HEE has an interest in values based selection, the use of aptitude tests to allow a broader approach to selection, and also working with local schools through its regional boards so that a wide range of students are encouraged to consider a career in health as a rewarding option and are supported into relevant work experience. What we have done so far 14. In June 2011 we held a seminar with key interests on the role of the regulator in student selection. 15. We co-funded and contributed to a Social Mobility Toolkit which was published by the Professions for good coalition in March 2012. 16. In February 2013 we published a literature review titled Identifying best practice in the selection of medical students. We commissioned the research to summarise evidence on student selection and widening access and to make recommendations. The report suggested that the evidence base is weakened by a lack of agreement as to the purpose of student selection – should it be to identify good students or good doctors of the future? That said, the evidence for some selection methods – ie multiple mini interviews (MMIs), aptitude testing, situational judgement tests (SJTs), and selection centres – is better overall than for some methods such as traditional interviews, references and autobiographic submissions (eg personal statements). The evidence specifically on widening access was even more limited. But what evidence there is suggests that some pre-entry activities are effective, but more data in this area is needed, especially in terms of support for successful applicants from lower socioeconomic backgrounds once they are studying and their future career pathways. A summary of the research is at Annex B. 17. Since the literature review was published, we have discussed its findings with the Medical Schools Council (MSC). It was decided that the MSC should set up a working group take action on the findings of our literature review and Alan Milburn’s reports. The Selecting for excellence group has now been established. It is chaired by Tony Weetman, current MSC chair. We are on the group along with the HEE, the Department of Health England, and others. Dan Poulter has been invited to an event to launch the group in July 2013. See Annex C for the group’s terms of reference. 18. Since the literature review was published, we have also participated in a seminar on widening access to medicine hosted by Dan Poulter, which came about following his meeting Peter Rubin and Niall Dickson in March 2013. We have also met with the Social Mobility and Child Poverty Commission. We continue to attend the Gateways to the Professions Collaborative Forum Executive Group and the most recent meeting was on 5 June 2013. Next steps We propose to focus our influence on student selection through the Selecting for excellence group. Medical schools are responsible for the selection of medical 19. 3 students and so it is important that they – through the MSC as their umbrella body – take the lead. We are also mindful of our limited role in selection and the sensitivities noted at paragraph 9. 20. There is no agreed resource commitment associated with our participation in the group apart from staff time. We may be asked to contribute resources on a case by case basis, e.g. funds to commission research, space to host an event or extra staff time to gather and analyse information. Although we plan to focus our influence through the Selecting for excellence group, we will also discuss student selection and widening access bilaterally with organisations such as the Social Mobility and Child Poverty Commission where appropriate. 21. 22. From our regulatory perspective we have identified several priority issues that we would like to see the group address. a. The variation of selection processes used by medical schools without apparent justification. b. The use of aptitude tests such as the UK Clinical Aptitude Test in the light of evidence but also in light of continuing perceptions that they are susceptible to coaching. c. Whether the use of non-academic components of personal statements is defensible in light of the evidence. d. Whether all schools should move towards more, rather than less, structured interviews, eg multiple mini interviews, in light of the evidence. e. How to select students with the values to be good doctors. f. The need for evaluation of initiatives to widen access to medicine. g. Access to work experience for applicants from lower socioeconomic groups and how work experience is evaluated as part of selection processes. h. The use of contextual data as part of selection processes. 23. We will also continue to gather information on current selection processes through the Medical School Annual return and feed this into the work of the group. 24. We also asked doctors in training questions about their socioeconomic status as part of the National Training Survey for 2013. This has been a pilot and we will consider whether to repeat it in 2014. Analysis of the answers to these questions is currently underway. This will be the first time we have considered socioeconomic status at the postgraduate level and over the next year we plan to combine the data with other sources of data (eg relating to recruitment) to look at whether socioeconomic status is related to career progression. 4 Supporting Information How this issue relates to the corporate strategy and business plan 25. Corporate strategy strategic aim 3: To provide an integrated approach to the regulation of medical education and training through all stages of a doctor’s career. 26. Business plan theme: Meeting future needs and changing demands of doctors. How the issues differ across the four UK countries 27. HEE’s mandate gives it a role in student selection policy within England, but not the other three countries. What equality and diversity considerations relate to this issue 28. This paper focuses on widening access to medicine in terms of socioeconomic status, which is not a protected characteristic under the Equality Act. Medicine has made progress on widening access in terms of gender and black and minority ethnic groups, although it should be added that there is still more to be done, e.g. black men are known to be under represented. There are also issues around disabled applicants to medical school which are picked up in our separate work on health and disability in medical education and training. If you have any questions about this paper please contact: Martin Hart, Assistant Director, Education and Standards, [email protected], 020 7189 5408. 5 5 – Student selection next steps Annex A Flow charts summarising variation in student selection processes used by different medical schools A1 Full 5/6 year programmes A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 4 year graduate entry programmes A8 A9 A10 A11 A12 5 – Student selection next steps Annex B Summary of literature review report: I dentifying good practice in the selection of m edical students Introduction 1. The review set out to identify and review evidence on the effectiveness of methods used by medical schools to select students, and to collate evidence on the effectiveness of widening access initiatives to promote fair access to medicine, both in the UK and internationally. 2. The study comprises a rapid review of literature (adopting a ‘realist’ approach) and a telephone survey of admissions deans. The search was limited to the last 15 years and generated 150 papers for student selection and 44 for widening access. General findings and observations 3. Existing selection processes (use of academic records, personal statements, references and in some cases, performance on an aptitude test) have been criticised for lacking reliability and incremental validity (the extent to which each component adds weight to the predictive power of the selection decision) as well as inviting bias. 4. Assessing the validity of selection methods is hampered by ongoing confusion as to what medical schools are selecting for - should it be a good medical student or a good doctor? 5. Studies in this field therefore face two key challenges: a. defining and accessing relevant outcome data to validate selection (this has typically focused on medical school examinations to date) b. and related to this, that the criteria used to measure job performance might not match the criteria used for selection. B1 6. In general, the evidence for multiple mini interviews (MMIs), aptitude testing, situational judgement tests (SJTs), selection centres and academic record is better overall than for traditional interviews, references and autobiographical submissions (eg personal statements) – however, the evidence base is mixed, and where evidence of predictive validity is presented, this typically relates to medical school performance. 7. The evidence base for widening access is weak and restricted to either studies that are small scale in nature (and therefore lacking generalisability) or lack robust evaluation (relying more on perceptions of utility rather than data on performance). 8. Student selection approaches, and the weighting used for each component within these, is likely to impact upon widening access – exactly how needs to be further explored but initial findings suggest that a greater focus on aptitude tests (eg UKCAT) may have a positive effect. 9. Comparatively fewer interventions tend to focus on supporting widening access students once selected. Further research is required to determine how such individuals can be best supported (whilst avoiding any sense of stigma). Evidence – student selection Aptitude tests 10. There is some evidence to suggest that aptitude tests (eg UKCAT) have incremental value over A-levels, however reliability data is lacking and suggests the need for further research. Cost and lack of robust predictive validity data have led to questions over its utility in some quarters, although this is countered by evidence which suggests its use can have a positive impact on widening access. Academic records 11. Whilst academic records (eg A-levels) provide a stronger indication of medical school performance than aptitude tests, and tend also to correlate more strongly with drop-out rates, career progression and postgraduate examination, there is only a weak association with subsequent performance in medical practice. Furthermore, evidence suggests that the use of such records introduces a significant socioeconomic class bias. Personal statements and references 12. Personal statements and references are deemed to have only limited use in predicting performance (due to the lack of standardisation and, in some cases, limited objectivity) B2 Situational judgement tests 13. If constructed in accordance with principles of best practice in psychometrics, SJTs offer a reliable and robust model for selection with some evidence of predictive validity for medical school performance – with this effect increasing in strength as individuals progress through their training. SJTs are also thought to have a lower level of adverse impact on minority groups (compared to tests of cognitive ability eg aptitude tests). Personality assessments 14. There is some evidence to suggest that behavioural traits may correlate with medical school performance (eg conscientiousness). Whilst there is clear value in developing a means of measuring desirable personal and interpersonal skills in medical applicants, initial studies on the use of emotional intelligence tests are inconclusive (and such testing may reduce the diversity of medical student personalities which in turn may influence specialty distribution). Traditional interviews and multiple mini-interviews 15. Only limited evidence is available to support the use of traditional interviews in student selection – one of the key concerns being the lack of reliability, and also lack of evidence for predictive validity – primarily due to the lack of consensus over which non-academic domains are most critical for a medical student (or future doctor) and how such domains should be assessed. However, it should be noted that interviews also have a potential role in screening out potential ‘undesirables’. 16. The specific skills and attributes deemed appropriate for students and doctors is much debated – and therefore the researchers assert that different schools tend to focus on different characteristics. A job analysis may address this issue but given the diverse range of medical careers, creating a core set of attributes is not without challenge. 17. The researchers were unable to find any study looking at the relationship between either traditional interviews or MMIs and professional outcomes. However, some limited evidence was presented of predictive validity for MMIs (for which they were deemed the ‘best’ predictor of OSCE performance, clerkship ratings and clinical aspects of the Canadian Licensure Examination). Furthermore, MMIs have the benefit of an increased level of reliability over traditional interviews. Evidence - widening access The evidence base for this area is limited – with very few robust studies (capable of generalisation) assessing the effectiveness of specific interventions. As such, there is no direct indication of the value-added to the medical profession or patient care of widening access initiatives – and given the importance attached to performance in league tables for academic institutions (which may be brought down by admitting students with lower academic achievement), incentives for widening access remain few in number. 18. B3 19. The majority of interventions tend to focus on preparing individuals (through outreach and mentoring) for medical school and supporting them in their application – with relatively fewer focusing on the actual student selection process and the provision of support to individuals throughout their education and training. 20. More generally, how medical schools weight their selection process is likely to influence which applicants get into each school, and may influence which schools individuals apply to. At present, existing weighting systems lack transparency with individuals often unaware of how their performance at each stage of the process is likely to contribute to their chance of success. 21. There is some evidence to support the use of aptitude tests (eg UKCAT) to promote widening access through using the test to allocate interviews (as opposed to academic records). 22. Contextual data has the potential to facilitate widening access (although there is a paucity of published academic literature evaluating outcomes of its use) – however, many schools are struggling to know how to best use this, in part a reflection of continuing confusion over the purpose of selection (is it to identify the best doctor, the best student or to screen out undesirables?). 23. The researchers identified some evidence (although this was limited) that non-traditional students may struggle with both financial issues and medical student socialisation as a result of divergence from their familial and social norms. 24. A small scale study of six medical schools indicated that WA students were more likely to perform better in those schools with a friendly institutional climate, with support provided to first year students, an emphasis on formative assessment, recognition that learning has a social dimension, and a student-centred attitude. 25. The researchers conclude that the needs of widening access students are likely to be different to more traditional students and therefore further research is required to explore how these students can be best supported. B4 5 – Student selection next steps Annex C Selecting for excellence group terms of reference Purpose The primary motivation of the group is to widen participation to medicine and to promote excellence in selection. It will be established by the Medical Schools Council to make rapid progress in supporting aspiration amongst the lower socio-economic groups and increasing the number of successful applicants from such groups on to medical degree programmes. It will also provide an evidence based overview on issues surrounding the selection of medical students. Thus it will ensure that medical schools choose those people from the widest possible spectrum of society with the potential to become the very best doctors of the future. Work streams The group will need to look at the recommendations from the GMC’s Selection Literature Review as well as the two reports on widening participation from Alan Milburn and evidence from the Shape of Training Review. Some of the specific points for consideration are; • Widening participation – how can medical schools ensure they pick the best candidates from a range of different socioeconomic backgrounds? How can medical schools encourage and support applicants from lower socioeconomic groups to apply to medicine? Do different selection methods have an impact on the success rates of candidates from lower socio-economic backgrounds? Is there scope to develop a national programme of outreach activities to encourage pupils from lower socio-economic backgrounds to apply to medical school? • The role of the doctor – when medical schools are selecting potential students they need to know what they are selecting for. What is a good doctor and how do you select people with the potential to become one? What C1 do patients expect of doctors now and what will their needs be in the future? What are the values and attributes of a good doctor? How can Good Medical Practise be used in selection? • Selection methods – the GMC’s literature review looked at the evidence base for different methods of selection. Does more research need to take place to validate different methods? What are the pros and cons of medical schools using the same techniques to select students? Should medical schools co-operate more on selection? • Evidence base – how do we evaluate selection methods? Is there good practice outside the UK we might learn from? What longitudinal evidence can be utilised to help decide which selection methods are effective? Is there a minimum academic standard for medicine and how can this be tested? How do you evaluate the effectiveness of widening participation activities? These work streams all relate to each other and the group will need to draw together the connections between them. Widening participation will be a central consideration. Working methods This group will be chaired by Professor Tony Weetman. The MSC will provide the administrative support for the meetings. Medical Schools will provide a full time member of staff for 12 months. The group will meet at least three monthly for the first year and after that a view will be taken by group members as to the frequency of future meetings. The group will meet in person at the MSC offices in London and in the DAs as deemed beneficial. The group will be able to set up sub groups to look in more detail at specific issues when needed. These sub groups will report to the main working group who will maintain an oversight of all the different work streams. The working group will be able to commission research further to develop the evidence base on selection. It will also be able to commission the MSC to run evidence gathering exercises such as focus groups and surveys. The working group will make regular reports to MSC Council who will also sign off on any recommendations the group makes. Membership Core membership will be drawn from the following organisations: • MSC • GMC • HEE C2 • Department of Health • Department for Education • HEFCE • BIS • Commission for Social Mobility and Child Poverty • BMA Medical Students Committee • NHS Employers • Office for Fair Access • Brightside Trust. In addition the group will want to seek specific advice and input from other bodies, including the following groups: • QAA • UKFPO • COPMeD • AoMRC • UKCAT • BMAT • GAMSAT • UCAS • OFSTED • • National Association of Schoolmasters Union of Women Teachers (NASUWT) • National Association of Head Teachers • National Association of Careers and Guidance Teachers • National Union of Teachers C3 • National Union of Students • Mumsnet • Royal College of Nursing and other representatives of the allied health professions • Careers England • LETBs • Law Society • Royal College of Veterinary Science. C4
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