Reconciling the Conflict: Antitrust Leniency Programs and Private Enforcement Thomas Knight University of Florida [email protected] Casey Ste. Claire University of Florida [email protected] ABSTRACT Following the recent passage of Directive 2014/104/EU in the European Union, there has been a renewed concern that private antitrust enforcement reduces the efficacy of cartel leniency programs. We discuss the benefits of private enforcement and use a simple dynamic model of collusion to examine whether the introduction of antitrust liability in private suits reduces the attractiveness of leniency programs, or overall deterrence. We show that private enforcement may reduce the number of firms that seek leniency, but that those firms that choose not to seek leniency cease to collude nonetheless. They defect on the cartel agreement, but choose not blow the whistle to avoid follow-on claims. Private enforcement can always be used to increase overall deterrence. 1 I. Introduction Price-fixing cartels are regularly viewed as the most egregious of all antitrust violations. These agreements involve a concerted effort to restrict competition to the detriment of consumer welfare and market efficiency. It is difficult, if not impossible, to identify an economic justification for allowing these practices. Stated by Lande and Davis (2011), “if a country were to have only one type of antitrust violation, surely it would be against horizontal cartels.” Accordingly, these agreements are per se violations of Section 1 of the Sherman Act in the United States, and of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.1 Antitrust law, in the United States, is enforced by both public antitrust authorities and private parties. Recent developments in the European Union mark a rising trend in the prevalence of private antitrust enforcement. Following the Courage Ltd. v. Crehan ruling, however, European citizens have a right to compensation for harm suffered due to competition violations.2 This ruling establishes a right to sue for violations of European competition policy, but it also restricts the European Commission and member state governments from extending leniency in private suits. This creates a serious concern regarding the efficacy of cartel leniency programs — where some combination of fine reductions and reduced criminal sanctions are offered to companies and individuals that confess For a more thorough review of antitrust enforcement differences between the United States and the European Union, see Ginsburg (2005). 2 Case C-453/99, Courage Ltd. v. Bernard Crehan (E.C.J. Sept. 20, 2001) 1 2 participation in cartel agreements — because private follow-on claims liability could dissuade potential leniency applicants from blowing the whistle.3 While leniency programs and private antitrust lawsuits both provide a deterrent effect individually, numerous antitrust scholars and practitioners have voiced concern that private lawsuits undermine the efficacy of leniency programs. Wils (2003), Wils (2009), Canenbley and Steinvorth (2011), Cauffman and Philipsen (2014), Migani (2014), Kirst and Van den Bergh (2015), and Knight and de Weert (2015) all argue that when private damages liability exists – for example, with follow-on claims – seeking leniency may be less desirable. Blowing the whistle and seeking leniency could increase the likelihood of facing a private antitrust suit. Accordingly, the incentive to seek leniency may be weakened in the presence of private damages liability. This argument, however, ignores the point that private damages lawsuits reduce the probability of sustained collusion. When cartels are being privately monitored, their continued operation becomes less likely. This effect increases the incentive to defect on a cartel agreement. In this paper, we show that private antitrust lawsuits can enhance deterrence and improve the profitability of seeking leniency. We proceed in Section 2 by identifying and describing the possible benefits of increased private enforcement of antitrust policy. In Section 3, we review the deterrent effect of antitrust leniency programs. Section 4 presents a simple dynamic A follow-on claim is a private suit in which the plaintiff seeks damages from a defendant that has already been found guilty of an antitrust violation. 3 3 model of collusion and employs that model to demonstrate that private cartel enforcement can always enhance overall deterrence and may enhance the attractiveness of leniency programs. We show that it is necessary to distinguish between deterrence and the attractiveness of leniency, because some firms may choose to defect on a collusive agreement, but not seek leniency, to avoid potential follow-on claims. II. Private Enforcement Private antitrust lawsuits, in which individuals and companies claim compensation for harm suffered due to antitrust violations, are an important component of antitrust enforcement. Private damages lawsuits account for 90-95% of antitrust enforcement in the United States, but have historically played a minimal role in European jurisdictions.4 Recent efforts by the European Commission, however, have led to a framework for developing the private enforcement mechanism in EU Member States. Signed into law in November 2014, Directive 2014/104/EU provides a set of guidelines for the EU Member States. These guidelines are to be fully implemented in 2016. These guidelines include prescriptions for discovery of evidence, the establishment of joint and several 4 See Canenbley and Steinvorth (2011) 4 liability in cartel cases, and the role of leniency statements can play in follow-on claims.5 Private damages suits offer a number of benefits to the overall efficacy of an antitrust regime by raising the probability that an antitrust violation is discovered and by increasing the sanction applied to ones that are.6 Lande and Davis (2011) argue that private enforcement provides a much stronger deterrent effect than public enforcement in American cartel cases. These private suits address three issues that arise with public enforcement. First, as pointed out by Motta and Polo (2003); Aubert, Rey, and Kovacic (2006); and Chen and Rey (2013), public enforcement may be limited by an administrative budget constraint. Private enforcement can expand overall enforcement activity when the antitrust authority is resource constrained. Second, Shavell (1984); Kovacic (2000); Segal and Whinston (2006); McAfee, Mialon, and Mialon (2008); and Motchenkova and Leliefeld (2010) argue that plaintiffs likely possess information of violations that the government does not. Third, private antitrust suits compensate the victims of antitrust violations. The desirability of establishing compensatory justice has been a key motivator in the recent passage of Directive 2014/104/EU and the acceptance within that directive of the so-called passing-on defense. A leniency statements is an admission of guilt in which a cartel member provides evidence of the collusive agreement. Directive 2014/104/EU states that these statements shall be inadmissible in follow-on lawsuits. However, in Pfleiderer AG v. Bundeskartellamt, the ECJ ruled that evidence provided in a leniency application is not shielded from discovery in national courts. 6 See Becker (1968). 5 5 III. Leniency Programs Antitrust leniency programs are viewed as the most important cartel enforcement tool.7 These programs have attracted considerable scholarly attention. Scholars have convincingly demonstrated that these programs enhance overall deterrence and reduce instances of cartelization. The theoretical leniency literature identifies a tradeoff between ex ante deterrence and ex post desistence. Reduced fines or criminal liability may destabilize cartels (desistence effect), but they also reduce the expected cost of cartel participation (deterrence effect). Motta and Polo (2003) identify this tradeoff and introduce the question of whether leniency programs foster collusion by reducing the expected cost of an infringement or if they destabilize existing cartels by increasing the benefit of blowing the whistle. Harrington (2008) further examines the former effect, referring to it as the Cartel Amnesty Effect, the channel through which leniency fosters cartel formation by reducing the expected cost of collusion. Harrington (2008), however, argues that this effect will only dominate when leniency is weak – as opposed to absolute leniency, in which the leniency recipient is granted full amnesty. When full amnesty is available to leniency applicants, leniency reduces overall collusive behavior. Spagnolo (2003) and Bigoni et. al. (2012) find, similarly, that leniency programs have a positive deterrent effect. A small empirical literature examines the characteristics of detected cartels after substantial changes in US and EU leniency programs and seeks to identify 7 See Sokol (2012). 6 support for a positive deterrent effect. Harrington and Chang (2009) argue that the introduction of a leniency program should be followed by: 1) an increased number of detected cartels, 2) an increase in the average duration of detected cartels in the period directly following the introduction of leniency, and 3) a decrease in the average duration of detected cartels in the longer run. Miller (2009) identifies these characteristics and reports that the US leniency program is responsible for a 59% lower cartel formation rate and a 62% higher detection rate. Evidence from the EU, on the other hand, is mixed. Brenner (2009) does not identify an increase in cartel duration after the introduction of the EU leniency program; Zhou (2013), however, identifies an increased duration of detected cartels in the short run and a decreased duration of detected cartels in the longer run. Zhou (2013) explains the inconsistency between his results and those of Brenner (2009) by stating that the latter did not correctly operationalize the short and longer runs. While it is impossible to observe cartel formation and collusive behavior explicitly, recent theoretical and empirical analyses provide convincing evidence that leniency programs reduce the number of cartel agreements, which warrants an inquiry into whether their efficacy is diminished by private enforcement. IV. Private Damages and the Efficacy of Leniency Scholars and policy-makers alike express concerns that antitrust leniency programs and private enforcement may be in conflict. More precisely, there is a fear that private damages suits undermine the efficacy of leniency programs. When 7 considering whether to apply for leniency, colluding firms may fear that doing so would expose them to an increased risk of private damages liability. We employ a simple dynamic model of collusion to examine whether private damages suits actually weaken the efficacy of leniency programs. We find that private damages lawsuits likely reduce the number of leniency applications, but that very low and very high private damages awards reduce cartel stability. This section proceeds by presenting a simple dynamic model of collusion, introducing public enforcement and leniency into that model, exploring when a “defecting” firm would choose to seek leniency in the presence of private enforcement as opposed to simply defecting on the cartel agreement without seeking leniency, and characterizing the conditions under which public enforcement with leniency and private enforcement together increase the likelihood of cartel agreements breaking down. Baseline Model: No Antitrust Enforcement We employ a simple dynamic model of collusion, in which infinitely repeated play may allow firms to overcome the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Markets characterized by imperfect price competition usually place firms in a Prisoner’s Dilemma. Firms enjoy the greatest possible amount of joint profit when they agree to charge a high price, but each individual firm has an incentive to undercut its rivals. This individual incentive leads to a price war, in which prices fall in the 8 direction of firms’ marginal production costs. Firms can avoid this tendency – and enjoy more profit – if they form a cartel.8 Table 1 illustrates provides a normal form representation of a two-player 2x2 Prisoner’s Dilemma game. We define the payoffs in this game as follows: 1) 𝜋 𝐶 denotes the profits each firm earns when both firms uphold the cartel agreement, 2) 𝜋 𝐷 denotes the profit earned by a firm that defects on the cartel agreement when the other firm upholds the agreement, and 3) 𝜋 𝑁 denotes the profit earned by both firms when neither upholds the collusive agreement. By assumption, the market in question is characterized by a Prisoner’s Dilemma, and 𝜋 𝐷 > 𝜋 𝐶 > 𝜋 𝑁 . This condition implies that (Defect, Defect) is the Pure Strategy Nash Equilibrium of the singleinteraction game, and 𝜋 𝑁 can be considered the level of competitive profits. Firm 1 \\ Firm 2 Collude Defect Collude 𝜋𝐶 , 𝜋𝐶 ___ , 𝜋 𝐷 Defect 𝜋 𝐷 , ___ 𝜋𝑁 , 𝜋𝑁 Table 1: One-Off Prisoner’s Dilemma Game When this Prisoner’s Dilemma game is indefinitely repeated, firms may be able to sustain a cartel agreement. That is, it may be incentive compatible to collude. This possibility arises, because firms can punish defections in subsequent time periods. We consider the Grim Trigger punishment strategy. The Grim Trigger Strategy is a strategy in which a firm agrees to collude in each time period if their 8 See Green and Porter (1984). 9 rivals have colluded in the previous time period. Otherwise, the firm defects in the current time period and in all subsequent time periods. The complete breakdown of collusion appears most appropriate when defections are coupled with a leniency application. If 𝛿 denotes a firm’s individual discount rate, it is in the firm’s best interest to uphold a cartel agreement if: 𝜋𝐶 1 𝛿 ≥ 𝜋𝐷 + 𝜋𝑁 (1 − 𝛿) (1 − 𝛿) That is, if the discounted payoffs of receiving 𝜋 𝐶 in the current time period and all subsequent time periods exceeds the discounted payoffs of receiving 𝜋 𝐷 in the current time period and 𝜋 𝑁 in all subsequent time periods, indefinite collusion is incentive compatible. We can solve for a threshold discount rate, 𝛿̃, above which a firm would continue to uphold the collusive agreement. A collusive agreement is sustainable whenever all firm’s individual discount rates exceed 𝛿̃. In the remainder of this section, we examine how different antitrust policies affect 𝛿̃. When this threshold increases, collusion becomes less likely. In the absence of antitrust enforcement, the threshold is given as: 𝛿̃ = 𝜋𝐷 − 𝜋𝐶 𝜋 𝐷 − 𝜋𝑁 We obtain this critical threshold by treating the preceding inequality as an equality and solving for δ. For the remainder of this section, we normalize 𝜋 𝑁 = 0 for tractability. This assumption does not affect the results that we obtain. 10 Public Enforcement with Leniency We introduce public enforcement with leniency to the simple dynamic model presented above. As before, we assume that a firm can either continue to collude or defect on the cartel agreement. The firm, however, now has the added consideration that if it chooses to collude, it faces the possibility of being discovered by the antitrust authority and being sanctioned. This makes collusion less desirable for two reasons: 1) if a firm chooses to collude, it faces the possibility of being sanctioned, and 2) there is a possibility that collusion breaks down to due detection by the antitrust authority. This second concern is only apparent when examining collusion in a dynamic framework. Introducing public enforcement requires the addition of two new variables to the model. We define p as the probability that a firm is detected and sanctioned by the antitrust authority, and we define F as the applied sanction. After normalizing 𝜋 𝑁 = 0, the discounted expected value of colluding in a particular time period is given as: 𝐸𝑉 𝐶 = 𝑝[𝜋 𝑁 − 𝐹] + (1 − 𝑝){𝜋 𝐶 + 𝛿[𝑝(𝜋 𝑁 − 𝐹) + (1 − 𝑝)𝜋 𝐶 ] + 𝛿 … , which simplifies to: 𝐸𝑉 𝐶 = (1 − 𝑝)𝜋 𝐶 − 𝑝𝐹 1 − 𝛿(1 − 𝑝) In the absence of private enforcement, we assume that if a firm chooses not to collude, the firm seeks leniency. If a firm is going to break from the cartel agreement, it should also seek leniency. Comparing 𝐸𝑉 𝐶 to payoffs associated with 11 defecting on the cartel agreement and receiving leniency, we identify a threshold discount rate. If all firms in the agreement have a discount rate that exceeds this threshold, collusion persists. Otherwise, the cartel breaks down. This threshold discount rate is given as: 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 = 𝜋 𝐷 − 𝜋 𝐶 + 𝑝(𝜋 𝐶 + 𝐹) (1 − 𝑝)𝜋 𝐷 (1) We make two observations regarding this expression for 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 : 1) If there is no chance of being detected by public enforcement (i.e., p = 0), the discount threshold with public enforcement and leniency simplifies to the discount threshold without enforcement. 2) 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 is strictly greater than the baseline value for all positive values of p. That is, public enforcement with leniency makes collusion less likely than when there is no sanction for collusion. This finding arises, because public enforcement with leniency reduces the expected value of choosing to collude in a particular time period, but it does not affect the expected value of choosing to defect. We proceed by introducing private enforcement into this setting. More specifically, we examine how the threshold discount rate changes when public enforcement with leniency and private enforcement operate side-by-side. 12 Leniency and Private Damages We now direct our attention to a setting with both public and private enforcement. When firms choose to uphold a collusive agreement, they face the possibility of detection by the antitrust authority and detection by a private firm or citizen. If either or both of these forms of detection occur, the cartel breaks down without any firm explicitly choosing to defect. We present the possible outcomes and probabilities that each arises, when a firm chooses to uphold a collusive agreement, in Table 2. Probability Payoff p (1-p)q (1-p)(1-q) 𝜋𝑁 - F - D 𝜋𝑁 – D (collusion ends) (collusion ends) 𝜋𝐶 (collusion continues) Table 2: Possible Outcomes When Colluding When evaluating the incentive to uphold a cartel agreement in the presence of public enforcement with leniency and private enforcement, one must specify whether the firm seeks leniency if it does not choose to uphold the agreement. Since seeking leniency increases the probability that a firm faces a private antitrust suit, it may be reasonable to defect on the cartel agreement, but not blow the whistle. We suppose, here, that if a firm seeks leniency, they are liable for damages D with probability q=1. If a firm does not seek leniency, it faces a fine F with probability p and damages liability D with probability q. We find that a firm that chooses to defect on a cartel agreement seeks leniency if: 13 𝐷< 𝑝 𝐹 (1 − 𝑝)(1 − 𝑞) (2) Otherwise, a firm that defects on a cartel agreement will do so without seeking immunity under a leniency program. If the size of follow-on claims is sufficiently large, the net gains of seeking leniency become negative. By blowing the whistle, the firm exposes itself to private damages liability. When private damages liability are sufficiently low, firms that choose to defect on a collusive agreement will seek leniency. The resulting threshold discount rate above which firms choose to uphold the cartel agreement is: 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 = 𝜋 𝐷 − (1 − 𝑝)(1 − 𝑞)(𝜋 𝐶 + 𝐷) + 𝑝𝐹 (1 − 𝑝)(1 − 𝑞)(𝜋 𝐷 − 𝐷) We observe that when this threshold discount rate is less than one, it is decreasing in the amount of private damages liability, D, at an increasing rate. If a firm chooses to seek leniency, it will face a follow-on claim of D. Therefore, any increase in D enhances cartel stability, assuming that a defection is followed by an application for leniency. The threshold above is increasing in q. That is, as the probability of being successfully sued for collusion – which results in the breakdown of collusion – rises, the expected value of collusion declines. 𝑝 When 𝐷 < (1−𝑝(1−𝑞) 𝐹, a firm that defects on the cartel agreement chooses to seek leniency. It is easy to demonstrate that when D=0 and q=0, introducing private damages neither increases nor decreases the threshold discount rate, relative to the 14 threshold provided by Equation 1. As q increases above zero, this threshold discount rate increases above that provided by Equation 1. That is, for all positive values of q, when D=0, introducing private damages decreases cartel stability. This arises, because even for small values (or zero) of D, the possibility of being detected by the private enforcement mechanism reduces the appeal of deciding to sustain collusion. We have assumed that if a colluding firm is discovered, collusion breaks down. When private damages liability is sufficiently high that firms that choose to defect on a collusive agreement opt not to seek leniency as to potentially avoid follow-on claims, the threshold discount rate above which firms choose to uphold the cartel agreement is given as: 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 = 𝜋 𝐷 − (1 − 𝑝)(1 − 𝑞)𝜋 𝐶 (1 − 𝑝)(1 − 𝑞)[𝜋 𝐷 − 𝑝(𝐹 + 𝐷) − (1 − 𝑝)𝑞𝐷] If this discount rate is less than one, it is increasing in, D, at an increasing rate. It is 𝑝 also increasing in q. Interestingly, when 𝐷 = (1−𝑝(1−𝑞) 𝐹, the two thresholds are equal, implying that there is no discontinuity at the threshold discount rate. Figure 1 presents the threshold discount rate as a function of private damages liability, D. We also demonstrate how this discount rate changes as the probability of being liable for such damages, q, rises. Whenever this threshold discount rate is above the threshold provided by Equation 1, private enforcement reduces cartel stability. Figure 1 provides both the threshold discount rate before the introduction of private enforcement, 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 , and the threshold discount rate after the introduction of private enforcement, 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 . It demonstrates how 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 is 15 affected by changes in q. We let 𝛿̃′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 denote the threshold discount rate when q 𝐷 𝐶 −𝑝𝐹[𝑝𝜋 −(1−𝑝)𝜋 +𝑝𝐹] = 0 and 𝛿̃′′′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 denote the threshold discount rate when 𝑞 = 𝜋𝐷[𝜋𝐷+𝑝(1−𝑝)𝐹] . Importantly, this value of q, above which private enforcement reduces cartel stability for all values of D, is less than one. 𝛿̃′′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 denotes the threshold discount rate for some intermediate value of q. ̃ 𝜹 𝛿̃′′′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 𝛿̃′′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 𝛿̃′𝑃𝑈𝐵+𝑃𝐷 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 𝛿̃𝑃𝑈𝐵 ̃’ 𝐷 ̃ ’’ 𝐷 ̃ ’’’ 𝐷 𝑫 Figure 1: The Effect of D on Deterrence As Figure 1 depicts, there are combinations of private enforcement parameters q and D for which private enforcement enhances deterrence and increases the attractiveness of the leniency program. When D is very low, private 16 enforcement reduces the attractiveness of upholding a collusive agreement, because it introduces an increased likelihood that collusion breaks down. As D increases, however, this effect may become dominated by the potential for large follow-claims. For very large values of D, defecting to avoid liability in future time periods causes private enforcement to enhance deterrence once again. We find that private enforcement can enhance deterrence by making collusion less profitable. Interestingly, we find that very low and very high levels of damages liability maximize deterrence, whereas intermediate levels are less effective. We summarize our results as: 1) There exists a threshold value of q, above which collusion is made less likely for all values of D. 2) For all positive values of q, there is a range of D over which private enforcement reduces the likelihood of collusion. 3) For all positive values of q, very low values of D make collusion less likely and leniency more attractive, because an increased risk of collusion breaking down makes defecting more attractive. 4) For all positive values of q, very high values of D make collusion less likely, but makes leniency less attractive. Firms avoid high damages liability in subsequent time periods by defecting on the collusive agreement, but they do not blow the whistle. These results have important policy implications. They dispel the notion that private enforcement will reduce the efficacy of leniency programs and weaken the deterrent 17 effect of cartel policy. Moreover, they offer insight into policy parameterizations that lead to the greatest level of deterrence. The most important implications of these results are that private damages suits do not necessarily reduce deterrence and the attractiveness of leniency programs, and that heightened deterrence can be achieved with very low amounts of damages liability. A secondary, but very policy relevant result is that damage trebling may weaken the efficacy of private enforcement. When damages are sufficiently low that a firm that chooses to break with collusive agreement seeks leniency, damages trebling may reduce deterrence, or enhance cartel stability. Increasing damages liability makes firms less likely to blow the whistle and apply for leniency, because it increases liability in follow-on claims. IV. Concluding Remarks We have shown that private suits do not necessarily reduce the efficacy of leniency programs. Moreover, private enforcement can always offer enhanced deterrence. Therefore, the public policy concern that private damages undermine cartel enforcement is unwarranted. In response to the adoption of Directive 2014/104/EU, which facilitates the development of a stronger role for private antitrust enforcement, numerous antitrust practitioners and scholars have questioned whether these suits reduce the attractiveness of cartel leniency programs, and consequently reduce overall deterrence. We respond to these concerns by demonstrating that private 18 enforcement can enhance overall deterrence, and in some of these instances, make leniency more attractive. Leniency programs share the common feature of providing reduced sanctions – or even, total immunity – from an antitrust authority in exchange for evidence of an illegal cartel agreement. In both the United States and the European Union, successful leniency applicants cannot receive immunity from private antitrust suits. This creates the possibility that cartel participants are less likely to blow the whistle and seek amnesty, because they are fearful that they will face follow-on claims. Accordingly, private antitrust enforcement may diminish the effectiveness of leniency programs and reduce overall deterrence. We present and discuss three reasons that private antitrust suits may enhance enforcement, and thus be desirable. Issues related to resource constrained antitrust authorities, information and cost asymmetries between private plaintiffs and public antitrust authorities, and compensatory justice are discussed. Additionally, we employ a simple dynamic model of collusion to demonstrate the private enforcement can enhance deterrence, and strengthen leniency programs. We show that private enforcement enhances deterrence when damages liability is sufficiently small, because firms are not sufficiently dissuaded by the (small) followon liability. In this case, a firm that breaks with the cartel agreement chooses to seek leniency. Additionally, deterrence is enhanced when damages liability is sufficiently large, because firms wish to avoid damages liability in future time periods. In this case, however, firms do not seek leniency; they simply break with the collusive agreement. Lastly, when the probability of being detected by the private 19 enforcement mechanism is sufficiently high, any amount of damages liability increases overall deterrence. 20 References Aubert, C., Rey, P., & Kovacic, W. E. (2006). The impact of leniency and whistleblowing programs on cartels. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 24(6), 1241-1266. Becker, G. (1968). Crime and punishment: an economic approach. Journal of Political Economy, 76, 169. 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