AN INTRODUCTION TO APPLIED GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM (AGE) MODELING by Paul de Boer* Cristina Mohora Frédéric Dramais * [email protected] www.ecomod.net Prepared for: the Evening Course on Monday (19:00-21:00, Room RM-120), 14th International Conference on Input-Output Techniques, 10-15 October 2002, Montréal, Canada. Date : September 2002 ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] 2 1. An introduction to applied general equilibrium (AGE) modeling Suppose that you are the economic advisor to your government that is involved in 90negotiations for acceding to the WTO. The government’s budget is balanced and the trade balance is in equilibrium. Your country has to reduce its tariffs on all imported commodities by 30%. This would imply a loss of revenues and your government asks you by which percentage it has to increase the taxes on private consumption of commodities so as to compensate for this loss. It also wants to know the impact of this policy measure on a number of important economic variables, such as unemployment. How does an AGE modeler proceed? In the example that we will deal with, there are five economic actors: two firms, one household, a bank that allocates savings over investments, the government and the rest of the world. In a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) the transactions between these actors are recorded, so that the SAM forms the basis for (static) AGE modeling. It is assumed that it is the benchmark equilibrium of the economy. The modeler constructs a model in which he describes the behavior of each of the economic actors and chooses the parameters of the model in such a way that the benchmark equilibrium is reproduced (“calibration” of parameters). The modeler decreases the value of the tariff rates by 30% and solves his model to obtain the values that the tax rates on private consumption of commodities have to assume in order to compensate for the loss in revenues. He assesses the impact of this policy change by comparing the implied unemployment with the unemployment in the benchmark equilibrium. In the lecture we will summarize these documents, and give examples of simulations with an AGE model for Romania. We will be delighted to run any simulation at your request. ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] 3 1. The Example Build a general equilibrium model for the economy described below. Actors: 1. Firms There are two firms that produce one domestic commodity each, maximize their profits and face a nested production function in capital, labor, and intermediates. The domestically produced commodity is allocated over the domestic market and exports according to a constant elasticity of transformation (CET) function. The domestically produced commodity delivered to the domestic market and the imports are combined into a composite commodity by means of a constant elasticity of substitution function (ARMINGTON assumption). Capital and labor are mobile among sectors, so that the returns to capital and to labor are the same for both firms. 2. Household There is one household that owns the capital and that offers labor. The time endowment is fixed at 400 and the capital endowment at 170. Its savings are a fixed fraction of net income, i.e. the income after payment of income tax. It maximizes a so-called Extended LES utility function with the two consumption commodities and leisure as arguments, subject to its budget constraint. The price of leisure is the net wage rate, i.e. the wage rate after payment of income tax. On the labor market there is a negative relationship between the rate of change in real wages, and the rate of change in the unemployment rate. The consumer price index is of the Laspeyres type; the initial unemployment is equal to 10. The replacement rate (the percentage of the wage rate that an unemployed person receives) is equal to 50%. The other transfers to the household are constant in real terms, and equal to 15. In order to make them nominal we use the (Laspeyres) consumer price index. 3. Bank Savings are allocated over the investment demand of the two firms according to a CobbDouglas utility function. ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] 4 4. Government The government maximizes a Cobb-Douglas utility function with the government consumption of the two commodities, capital and labor as arguments, under a balanced budget. Taxes are proportional to their tax bases. 5. Rest of the World The import prices are exogenously given ("small economy assumption"); the balance of payments is in equilibrium. Database for the economy: Sec1 Sec2 K TRK L TRL Total Sec1 5 15 60 12 20 8 120 Sec2 40 20 50 10 90 36 246 Imports Tariffs 16 8 30 10 Gov 20 50 60 0 120 0 250 Cons Invest 64 5 150 15 Exports 10 36 Tax on consumption : of commodity 1 : of commodity 2 :5 : 37 Tax on capital : of sector 1 : of sector 2 : 12 : 10 Tax on labor : of sector 1 : of sector 2 :8 : 36 Tariffs on imports : of sector 1 : of sector 2 :8 : 10 Income tax Total tax revenues Transfer of unemployment benefits Other transfers to the household : 144 --------+ : 270 :5 :15 ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] Total 144 286 5 2. Notation In the forthcoming documents we will use the notation that is summarized below. The expression “(sec)” is an index: sec = 1,2. It refers to the pertinent firm (or sector). It is used in the software package GAMS that is widely used for solving large-scale AGE models. Variables: C(sec) CBUD CEBUD CG(sec) CV : demand of consumer commodities by the household : consumption budget of the household : extended budget of the household : demand of consumer commodities by government : compensating variation E(sec) ER EV : export of the domestically produced commodities : exchange rate : equivalent variation I(sec) : demand for investment commodities KG KS K(sec) : capital use of government : capital endowment : capital demand by firms LG LS L(sec) : labor use of government : labor endowment : labor demand by firms M(sec) : imports of commodities P(sec) PCINDEX PD(sec) PE(sec) PK PL PM(sec) PWEZ(sec) PWMZ(sec) PROFIT(sec) : price of composite commodities : Laspeyres consumer price index : price of domestically produced commodities : export price (in local currency) : return to capital : wage rate : import price (in local currency) : world price of exports : world price of imports : profits by firms S SF SG SH : total savings : foreign savings : government savings : household savings TAXR TRC(sec) TRF TRICK TRK(sec) : total tax revenues : tax revenues from consumer commodities : total transfers : artificial objective variable : tax revenues from capital use ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] 6 TRL(sec) TRM(sec) TRO TRY TS : tax revenues from labor use : tax revenue on imports : other transfers to the household : tax revenues from household's income : time endowment U UNEMP : utility level of the household : unemployment X(sec) X(sec,sec) XD(sec) XDD(sec) : composite commodity : inter-industry deliveries : supply of domestically produced commodities by firms : domestic commodity supplied to the domestic market Y : household's total income Parameters: aA(sec) aF(sec) aT(sec) : efficiency parameter of the Armington function : efficiency parameter in the firm's production function : efficiency parameter of the CET function CG(sec) HLES(sec) I(sec) KG LG : Cobb-Douglas power of commodities bought by government : marginal budget shares of the household’s LES utility function : Cobb-Douglas power of the bank's utility function : Cobb-Douglas power of capital use by government : Cobb-Douglas power of labor use by government A(sec) F(sec) T(sec) : share parameter of the imports in the Armington function : share parameter of K of the firm's CES production function. : share parameter of exports in the CET function io(sec,secc) : technical coefficients of the inter-industry flows mps H(sec) : marginal propensity to save : subsistence level nif phillips : net income fraction : value of the Phillips parameter A(sec) F(sec) T(sec) : elasticity of substitution of the Armington function : elasticity of substitution between K and L in the CES function : elasticity of transformation of the CET function tc(sec) tk(sec) tl(sec) tm(sec) trep ty : tax rate on consumer commodities : tax rate on capital use : tax rate on labor use : tariff rate : replacement rate : tax rate on income ____________________________________________________________ Copyright Ecomod Network, not to be disclosed to third parties without prior written approval EcoMod Network – ULB – 50, av. F. Roosevelt – CP 140 – B-1050 Brussels – Belgium Phone: +32 2 650 39 88 – Fax: +32 2 650 41 37 – E-mail: [email protected] 7 3. The Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) When constructing a general equilibrium model one often needs to collect data from different statistical sources. Then, one obtains a database that is similar to the one that we have given in the example. In applied general equilibrium modeling the database is usually presented in the form of a so-called Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). In a SAM all transactions in an economy are described: 1. between domestic agents (in our model between the household, the two firms, the bank and the government); and 2. between domestic agents and the Rest of the World. In table 1 we give the SAM that corresponds to the database of the example. As base year for the price indices we take the year to which the SAM refers, so that we put them all equal to 1. Therefore, the nominal values of the elements are equal to the real ones. Table 1. A (stylized) SAM Account type SubDivision com 1 Commodities com 2 sec 1 Producing sectors sec 2 capital Primary income labor household Household taxes/subs Government Savings/investment savings Rest of world (RoW) imports Total supply Commodities com 1 com2 1 1 110 2 210 3 4 5 8 10 6 7 16 30 8 134 250 Sectors Primary income Expenditure RoW sec1 sec2 capital labor househ. governm. investm. exports 2 3 4 5 6 7 5 40 64 20 5 15 20 150 50 15 10 36 60 50 60 20 90 120 170 230 20 20 46 186 20 120 246 170 230 420 270 20 46 Let us first consider the account type “Commodities” which, in the example, consists of the composite commodities produced by the two firms. Row wise we have the domestic sales (destination) of the composite commodities: on the one hand to “Sectors”, that produce the composite commodities, and, on the other one, to final users comprised in “Expenditure”. In the block (Commodities, Sectors) we have the intermediate demand ( X ij ) and in the block (Commodities, Expenditure) the final demand ( Ci , CG i , I i ). In the final column (Total) we have the total domestic sales of the two composite commodities ( X i ). Column wise, we have the origin of the “Commodities”. The imports are composed of two components: the value c.i.f. ( M i ), supplied by the “Rest of the World” and the import duties levied by the “Government”. _____________ © Ecomod Network Total 8 134 250 120 246 170 230 420 270 20 46 8 Consider commodity 1. The total supply (the column sum) is equal to the total sales (the row sum) of 134. In the block (Rest of the World, Commodities) we have the imports c.i.f. (for commodity 1 equal to 16) and in the block (Government, Commodities) the import duties (for commodity 1 they are equal to 8). Consequently, it follows that the domestically produced commodity 1 which is delivered to the domestic market ( XDD 1 ) is equal to: 134 - 16 - 8 = 110 Similarly, we derive that the domestically produced commodity 2 which is delivered to the domestic market is equal to 210. These are the figures in the block (Sectors, Commodities). Next, we turn to the account type “Sectors”. Row wise we have the sales of the domestically produced commodity to the domestic market ( XDD i ), which have already been dealt with above, and to the foreign market, i.e. the exports f.o.b. ( E i ) recorded in the block (Sectors, Rest of the World). As row totals we have the supply of domestically produced commodities ( XD i ), 120 and 246, respectively. Column wise we have the inputs required for the production of the domestically produced commodity. They consist of intermediates that, as we have seen above, are recorded in the block (Commodities, Sectors), and value added that, in this simple framework, is equal to the remunerations of the factors of production capital ( K i ) and labor ( L i ). In the block (Primary income, Sectors) we find these components of value added. In the block (Government, Sectors) we find the taxes on capital and labor (for sector 1 they are equal to 12 and 8, respectively, the total being 20). In the third account, Primary Income, we have Row wise two blocks with non-zero values. The first block, (Primary income, Sectors), has already been dealt with, and in the second block, (Primary income, Government), the remunerations for the use of capital and labor by the government are recorded (60 and 120, respectively). The row totals are 170 for capital and 230 for labor. These totals are found back Column wise in the block (Household expenditures, Primary income). In the account “Household expenditure” we have Row wise the resources that are at the disposal of the household, viz. its revenues from capital and labor and, as secondary income, the transfers from the government (20), which, in the example, consist of unemployment benefits (5) and other transfers (15). Column wise we see how the household spends its resources. In the block (Commodities, Household) we find the expenditures on the consumption of commodities (64 on commodity 1 and 150 on commodity 2). In the block (Government, Household) we record all taxes paid by the household: taxes on consumption (5 and 37, respectively) and the income tax of 144, so that the total taxes paid are equal to 186. Finally, in the block (Savings, Household) we record the household’s savings of 20. Since in our example the government budget is balanced and the balance of payments is in equilibrium, the government and foreign savings are equal to zero, so that the accounts “Savings/investment” and “Rest of the World” have, implicitly, been dealt with in the discussion above. _____________ © Ecomod Network 9 4. Actor 1: The Firms In figure 1 we summarize the production structure: Figure1. Production of the domestic commodity, domestic supply, production of the composite commodity and domestic demand X11 K1 X21 K2 L1 L2 X12 X22 Leontief CES CES Leontief Intermediates sector 1 Value added sector 1 Value added sector 2 Intermediates sector 2 Leontief Leontief XD1 XD2 CET CET E1 XDD1 X12 XDD2 Armington Armington X1 X2 Intermediate demand X11 M2 M1 Final demand C1 CG1 Final demand I1 C2 CG2 E2 Intermediate demand I2 X21 X22 Now, we discuss the relations between the variables for firm 1 only and show where to find the figures in the SAM. The ensuing equations will be given in the forthcoming document: Model.doc. _____________ © Ecomod Network 10 For the production of the domestically produced commodity, XD1 , we use a twolevel production function. At the first level “intermediates” and “value added” are aggregated to XD1 by means of a Leontief production function (“no substitution”). At the second level we have on the one hand the inter-industry flows, aggregated by a Leontief function to “intermediates”, and on the other hand capital and labor that are aggregated by means of a Constant Elasticities of Substitution function (CES) to “value added”. The firm is assumed to minimize its costs when producing XD1 . From the second column of the SAM (Sectors) we gather that in the benchmark equilibrium, where nominal and real values are the same due to the fact that we have put all price indices equal to one, that: X11 5 X 21 15 K1 60 L1 20 and XD1 120 The domestically produced commodity is either supplied to the domestic market, XDD 1 , or to the foreign market (exports, E1 ). They are not perfect substitutes. We assume that the firm maximizes its revenues from supplying to the domestic market and to the foreign market subject to a transformation function that has the same mathematical structure as the CES function, but which is referred to as the CET (Constant Elasticity of Transformation) function. In the second row of the SAM (Producing sectors) we have: XDD1 110 E1 10 and XD1 120 For the production of commodities for intermediate and final demand the firm can use commodities from domestic origin, i.e. XDD1 and from foreign origin, i.e. the imports M1 .They are not perfect substitutes (the famous “Armington assumption”) so that the firm is assumed to minimize its costs when producing the composite commodity X1 . In the first column of the SAM (Commodities) we have: XDD1 110 Import tariffs = 8 M1 16 and X1 134 This composite commodity is delivered to intermediate demand, X11 and X12 , and to the final uses: the demand by the household, C1 , the demand by government, CG1 , and investment demand, I 1 . Finally, in the first row (Commodities) we find: X11 5 X12 40 _____________ © Ecomod Network C1 64 CG1 20 I1 5 and X1 134 11 5. Actor 2: The Household In figure 2 we summarize the decisions of the Household. Figure 2. The decisions of the Household TRO KS TS Leisure (C3) LS Income from capital Income from transfer UNEMP Labor demand (LS-UNEMP) Unemployment benefits Income from labor Income (Y) Savings Taxes Income from leisure CBUD CEBUD Expenditure on commodity 1 Expenditure on commodity 2 In the example we assume that the capital endowment (KS), the time endowment (TS) and the other transfers (TRO) from the government, such as the payment of pensions, are exogenously given. The household maximizes its utility in two stages: in the first one it allocates its time endowment over labor supply (LS) and leisure (the “consumption commodity” 3, C 3 ). We allow for unemployment so that the labor demand is smaller than the labor supply. The household receives unemployment benefits (at 50% of the wage rate) _____________ © Ecomod Network 12 and income from labor. All four sources of income together yield the household income (Y). It pays income taxes and saves a fixed fraction out of its net income. Subtracting taxes and savings from income yields the budget (CBUD) that it devotes to the purchase of commodities 1 and 2. In the second stage the consumer maximizes a utility function, with the consumption of these commodities as arguments, subject to its budget constraint. For both stages we use a Linear Expenditure System (LES). This is equivalent to the maximization of an Extended LES utility function, with the consumption of the two commodities and of leisure as arguments, subject to the extended budget, in which the income for leisure is included (CEBUD). In the third row and third column of the SAM (Primary income) we find the income from capital (170) and from labor (230), whereas in the fourth row (Household expenditure) we find the primary income, but also the secondary income, 20, that consists of unemployment benefits, 5, and other transfers (TRO = 15). The total income of the household (Y) is equal to 420. Finally, in the fourth column, (Expenditure), we find the household expenditure: C1 64 C 2 150 Total taxes = 186 (income tax: 144, and consumption taxes: 5 on commodity 1 and 37 on commodity 2) and SH 20 . The ensuing equations will be given in the forthcoming document: Model.doc. _____________ © Ecomod Network 13 6. Actor 3: The Government In figure 3 we summarize the decisions of the Government. Figure 3. The decisions of the Government Tariffs on imports Taxes on capital Consumption taxes Taxes on labor Income tax Tax revenues Unemployment benefits Other transfers Other government expenditure Government savings Transfers CG1 CG2 KG LG In the fifth row of the SAM (Government) we find the revenues from tariffs (8 on the imports of commodity 1 and 10 on those of 2), the taxes on capital and labor of sector 1 (20) and those of sector 2 (46), and the taxes on consumption and on income (186). Consequently, the total tax revenues are 270. In the fifth column (Expenditure/government) we find the transfers to the household (20), so that the other expenditure of the government is equal to 250. It is assumed that the government maximizes a Cobb-Douglas utility function, with its purchase of commodities ( CG1 and CG 2 ) and its demand for capital and labor (KG and LG) as arguments, subject to the constraint that it spends 250. In the fifth column (Expenditure/government) we find: CG1 20 CG 2 50 KG 60 LG 120 The equations describing the behavior of the government will be given in Model.doc. _____________ © Ecomod Network 14 7. Actor 4: The Bank In figure 4 we summarize the decisions of the bank. Figure 4. The decisions of the Bank SH SG SF Savings Demand for investment commodity 1 Demand for investment commodity 2 The household savings (SH), the government savings (SG) and the foreign savings (SF) are allocated over the investment demand for commodities 1 and 2. To that end the bank is assumed to maximize a Cobb-Douglas utility function with arguments I 1 and I 2 subject to the constraint that savings are equal to total investments. In the sixth row of the SAM (Savings/investments) we find the household savings (SH =20), whereas the government savings and foreign savings are equal to 0 (SG = SF = 0). In the sixth column ( Expenditure/investment) we find the investments: I1 5 and I 2 15 . The ensuing relations will be given in the forthcoming document: Model.doc. _____________ © Ecomod Network 15 8. Actor 5: The Rest of the World In figure 5 we summarize the decisions of the Rest of the World. Figure 5. The decisions of the Rest of the World Exports of commodity 1 Exports of commodity 2 Export revenues Foreign savings Spending on imports Imports of commodity 1 Imports of commodity 2 The export revenues are found in the seventh column of the SAM (RoW) and are equal to 10 and 36 respectively. Together with the foreign savings (SF=0) the total to be spent on imports is 46. In the seventh row of the SAM (RoW) we find that the imports of commodity 1 are equal to 16 and those of commodity 2 equal to 30. The equations are to be found in the forthcoming document Model.doc. _____________ © Ecomod Network 16 9. The model Variables: K1 , K 2 , KS, PK, L1 , L 2 , LS, TS, UNEMP, PL, C1 , C2 , P1 , P2 , PCINDEX, X1 , X 2 , Y, CBUD, S, SF, SG, SH, I1 , I 2 , CG1 , CG 2 , KG, LG, TAXR , TRF , TRO , PD1 , PD2 , XD1 , XD 2 , PDD1 , PDD 2 , XDD1 , XDD 2 , E1 , E 2 , M1 , M 2 , PM1 , PM 2 , PE1 , PE 2 , ER Parameters: Hi , HLES i , mps , Ii , Fi , Fi , aFi , io ij , G i , GK, GL, A i , A i , aA i Ti , Ti , aTi , tc i , tk i , tl i , tm i , ty, trep, phillips Household: 2 C i H i HLES i .[(1 tc i ).Pi ]1 .(CBUD (1 tc j ).Pj .H j ) j1 SH mps .(1 ty ).Y LS (TS H 3 ) 2 HLES 3 .[(1 ty ).PL]1 . CBUD (1 tc j ).Pj .H j (1 HLES 3 ) j1 PL1 / PCINDEX 1 0 1 phillips 0 PL / PCINDEX UNEMP 1 / LS1 . 1 0 0 UNEMP / LS 2 PCINDEX (1 tci ).Pi .Ci0 i 1 2 (1 tc i0 ).Pi0 .Ci0 i 1 Investment demand: S SH SG ER.SF Ii Ii .Pi1.S Firms: K i FiFi .[(1 tk i ).PK ]Fi . FiFi .[(1 tk i ).PK ]1Fi (1 Fi )Fi .[(1 tl i ).PL]1Fi .(XDi / aFi ) _____________ © Ecomod Network Fi /(1 Fi ) . 17 Li (1 Fi )Fi .[(1 tl i ).PL] Fi . FiFi .[(1 tk i ).PK ]1Fi (1 Fi )Fi .[(1 tl i ).PL]1Fi Fi /(1 Fi ) .(XDi / aFi ) Foreign sector: XDD i (1 Ai )A i .PDD i A i . AiA i .PM1i A i (1 Ai )A i .PDD1i A i M i A iAi .PM iAi . A iAi .PM1iAi (1 A i ) Ai .PDD1iAi Ai /(1Ai ) XDD i (1 Ti ) Ti .PDD iTi . TiTi .PE1iTi (1 Ti ) Ti .PDD1iTi E i TiTi .PE iTi . TiTi .PE1iTi (1 Ti ) Ti .PDD1iTi Ti /(1Ti ) A i /(1 A i ) .(X i / aA i ) Ti /(1Ti ) .(XD i / aTi ) .(XD i / aTi ) PMi 1 tmi .ER.PWMZi PE i ER.PWEZ i 2 2 i 1 i 1 PWMZ i .M i PWEZ i .E i SF Government: CG i G i .Pi1 .(TAXR TRF SG) KG KG.PK 1 .(TAXR TRF SG) LG LG.PL1 .(TAXR TRF SG) 2 TAXR tc i .Pi .C i tk i .PK.K i tl i .PL.L i tm i .ER .PWMZ i .M i ty.Y i 1 TRF trep.PL.UNEMP PCINDEX.TRO Market clearing: K1 K2 KG KS * L1 L 2 LG LS UNEMP X1 io11.XD1 io12.XD2 CG1 C1 I1 X2 io 21.XD1 io 22.XD2 CG2 C2 I2 _____________ © Ecomod Network .(Xi / aAi ) . 18 Income equations: Y PK.KS PL.(LS UNEMP ) TRF CBUD Y ty.Y SH PD1.XD1 (1 tk1).PK.K1 (1 tl1).PL.L1 (P1.io11 P2.io 21).XD1 PD2.XD2 (1 tk 2 ).PK.K2 (1 tl 2 ).PL.L2 (P1.io 21 P2.io 22 ).XD2 Pi .Xi PMi .Mi PDDi .XDDi PDi .XD i PE i .E i PDD i .XDD i Comments: The number of variables is equal to 49, whereas we dispose of 44 equations. In order to arrive at the same number of variables and equations, we have to fix 5 variables. This is called: the closure of the model. In practice there are different closure rules. In this example we have chosen to fix the following variables. KS=170, TS=400, SF=0, SG=0, TRO=15 Walras’ law After closing the model we dispose of 44 variables and equations. But it can be shown that one of the equations is redundant, so that we dispose of 43 independent equations. This is called the “Law of Walras”: when there are n markets, and n-1 of them are cleared, then the n th market is cleared as well. In order to get a square system we delete one of the equations. In the language of GAMS this is called “commenting out”. We have chosen to comment out the market clearing of the labor market. It is a standard procedure in GAMS to comment out another market clearing equation than the labor market in order to check whether the same solution is found. If not, an error has been made somewhere. Consequently, we have to fix one more variable that is called the numeraire. Usually, a price is fixed at one. We have chosen to fix: PL = 1 _____________ © Ecomod Network 19 10. An example of calibration As example we use the calibration of the parameters of the demand relations for capital and labor. In order to alleviate the notation, we suppress the index i pertaining to the sector. The cost to be minimized is equal to: (1 tk ).PK.K (1 tl).PL.L (1) whereas the original formulation of the linear-homogeneous CES production function in capital and labor (K and L) reads: XD aF. F.K F (1 F).L F 1 / F (2) The first-order conditions for minimizing (1) subject to (2) are: aF F .F.K (1 F) .XD (1 F) 1.(1 tk ).PK (3) and aF F .(1 F).L(1 F) .XD (1 F) 1.(1 tl).PL (4) Dividing (3) by (4) yields, after rearrangement, the tangency condition: F K . 1 F L (1 F) (1 tk ).PK (1 tl).PL (5) In practice one usually uses the elasticity of substitution. As is well-known, the Allen partial elasticity of substitution of the CES production function is equal to: F 1 1 F Then, (2) and (5) may be rewritten as: XD aF. F.K (1 F) / F (1 F).L (1 F) / F and F K . 1 F L 1 / F _____________ © Ecomod Network (1 tk ).PK (1 tl).PL F /(1F) (6) (7) 20 In order to use the CES function we need to have values for F , F and aF . Usually, the model builder has an idea about the value of the elasticity of substitution, so that we have to calibrate the value of F and of aF . From (7) we derive for the benchmark equilibrium: 1 F 1 (8) 0 1 / F K . (1 tk 0 ).PK 0 L0 0 0 (1 tl ).PL Having obtained the values of F and F , we use (6) to calibrate the value of aF : aF XD 0 / F.(K 0 ) (1 F) / F (1 F).( L0 ) (1 F) / F _____________ © Ecomod Network F /(1F) (9)
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