Dr Thomas Funke Director: Industrial Affairs 17 January 2013 IMPACT OF PROPOSED ELECTRICITY TARIFFS ON SUGAR CANE GROWERS IN KZN CANEGROWERS CANEGROWERS administers the interest of approximately : • 27 000 registered sugar cane growers; annually producing around 20 million tons of sugar cane from 14 mill supply areas. • More than 25 000 are small scale growers. CANEGROWERS • The South African sugar industry is one of the world’s leading producers of high quality sugar • Contributes an annual turnover of about R10 billion to the national economy • Direct and indirect employment is estimated at some 350 000 people • Most of these people live in rural areas (KZN,MP) DISTRIBUTION OF FARM LAND • Total land area under sugar cane for the 2011/12 season was 378 985 hectares • 76% of the area under cane relies on rainfall, 24% irrigated • The Mpumalanga and Pongola regions are 100% irrigated, Zululand and the Midlands are 45% and 10% irrigated, respectively. • North Coast, South Coast and Tugela make up <5% of the irrigated regions, of which 10% are small scale growers • Mpumalanga >75% of the area under cane is black owned Who CANRGROWERS represent? Komati Malelane CANEGROWERS administers MPUMALANGA the interest of approximately : • 27 000 registered sugar cane growers; annually KWAZULU-NATAL producing around 20 million tons of sugar cane from 14 mill supply areas. Pongola FREE STATE Umfolozi Felixton Amatikulu UCL Company Darnall Gledhow Maidstone Noodsburg • More than 25 000 are small scale growers. Eston IRRIGATED AREAS Sezela RAIN FED AREAS Umzimkulu SUGAR MILLS EASTERN CAPE COSTS: DRYLAND & IRRIGATED 100% 6.8% 90% 7.4% 80% 15.1% 11.0% 60% 9.2% 40% Fuel & Lubes 15.8% Mech Maint Cane Transport 70% 50% 4.2% 6.0% 11.3% 10.1% Sundry/Fixt Maint Admin/Lic/Ins 2.2% 5.2% 15.5% 14.5% 4.3% 30% Services/Irr 13.5% 20% Fertiliser 28.5% 10% Chemicals 19.3% Farm Staff 0% DRYLAND IRRIGATED CANE FARMERS ARE PRICE TAKERS • Payment to growers for cane delivered is on a recoverable value (RV) basis. • Growers are price takers and therefore have no influence to recover increased costs from this RV price. • The RV price index projected through to 2017/18, using the average percentage increase from the actual price data from the seasons 1998/99 to 2011/12, against the electricity price will show that increases in electricity costs are grossly disproportional to forecast RV price increases. SCENARIO FOR ALL IRRIGATED GROWERS (USING 16%) BASED ON 10-YEAR COST SURVEY REAL AVERAGE SCENARIO FOR PONGOLA GROWERS (USING 16%) BASED ON 10-YEAR COST SURVEY REAL AVERAGE -20.4% Net operating income over the next five years with an annual 16% increase in tariffs COMPARATIVE INDICES FOR THE PRICE RECEIVED FOR SUGAR CANE VERSUS ELECTRICITY COSTS (USING 16%) CONCLUSIONS - The proposed tariff increases will render irrigated sugar cane farming uncompetitive. - This impacts directly on 24% of our sugar cane supply area. - The impact could eventually see the closure of at least 4 mills, thereby impacting dramatically on food security and the rural KZN economy. - Such a situation could put 35 000 jobs (direct and indirect) at risk! - The increases in tariffs are not appropriate, not affordable and cannot be implemented. QUESTIONS? Dr Thomas Funke Director: Industrial Affairs South African Cane Growers’ Association [email protected]
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