Product Development Process Ulrich Ulrich Process Capability Cp = (design tolerance width)/(process width) = (max-spec – min-spec)/ /6x Example: Plane is “on time” if it arrives between T – 15min and T + 15min. Design tolerance width is therefore 30 minutes x of arrival time is 12 min Cp = 30/6*12 = 30/72 = 0.42 A “capable” process can still miss target if there is a shift in the mean. Motorola “Six Sigma” is defined as Cp = 2.0 I.e., design tolerance width is +/- 6x or 12 x 3 3 process width min acceptable Ulrich Design tolerance width max acceptable There are multiple solutions to most parametric design problems Analytical Expression for Brownie Mix “Chewiness” HYPOTHETICAL Chewiness = FactorA + FactorB Where FactorA = 600(1-exp(-7T/600)) + T/10 And FactorB = 10*Time FactorA 200F 400F Temperature FactorB 20 min 26 min Time Option 1 Option 2 Options 1 and 2 deliver the same value of “chewiness.” Why might you prefer one option over the other? Ulrich Taguchi Methods 1. Any deviation from the target value is “quality lost.” Quality Quality Loss Loss = C(x-T)2 Good Performance Metric Bad Minimum acceptable value Target value Maximum acceptable value Performance Metric, x Target value 2. Use of statistical experimentation to find robust combinations of parameters. Ulrich Field is called “Design of Experiments” or “DOE.” Systematically explore space of possible parameter values. Based on analysis of relative influence of parameters on mean and variance of performance variable, select “robust design.” A robust design is relatively insensitive to random variability in internal and external variables. Methodology for Achieving Robust Design 1. Identify key variables and metrics Articulation of performance metrics, goals Causal diagram Hypothesized sources of variability Analytical models where available 2. Conduct exploratory experiments 3. Reduce variability Design changes Instructions/aids for user 4. Use logic, analysis, and rough experiments to focus further experimentation Avoid wasting experiments on clearly infeasible regions of design space. 5. Perform focused experimentation within narrow ranges of variables Use “Design of Experiments” techniques if combinatorically intractable See “Robust Design” chapter in Ulrich and Eppinger. “Control” variability in laboratory setting Focus on identifying combination of settings that minimize variability in performance. 6. Select final values for design variables. Ulrich
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