Module 3: How to measure and maximize your Investment in the Addressable Platforms Peter Vandre 1 Agenda Platform tracking innovation and impact on measurement Our integrated measurement framework How to measure Getting started 2 New competencies and addressability at scale extend the CCRM framework to capture a great opportunity Addressability at Scale The CCRM Framework Enterprise segmentation, which includes value and lifecycle dimensions, forms the foundation of CCF Customer Strategy Segmentation Value Planning Experience Delivery Media Planning Channel Planning Targeting & Personalization This creates a complete optimized customer experience that drives increased LTV, efficiencies and shareholder value Organization What data, systems, tools and technologies will be necessary? Infrastructure Measurement and attribution at the segment level then drives macro-level media and channel budgeting allocation How do we organize and what capabilities and business processes will be necessary? Financial Management Measurement & Attribution Budget Allocation Integrated targeting and customization across media and channels are optimized at the segment and individual level The Platform Marketer Competencies Identity Management 3 Addressability Optimization Audience Management Organization Platforms Utilization Targeting Personalization Measurement Tech Stack How do we measure all of this stuff? Both 4 Good news! The addressable nature of these platforms is opening up better measurement options Conversion pixels Tracking pixels Bring your own customer file Persistent platform IDs 5 Track conversions on your site (Cookie) Track who sees your ads (Cookie) Holdout groups (PII) Cross device measurement, longer purchase cycles (Customer ID) These innovations help us build consumer event streams We expect this to increasingly affect „owned media‟ interactions as well as paid media DM Delivered 2/1/2013 Shown Display Ad 2/2/13 3:05pm Calls 800 for Sent Email Completes Clicks Paid Reads FB property 2/2/13 5:05pm Search Ad 2/6/13 Purchase Online Post availability Opens Email 6/2013 9:15 pm 9:00 pm 2/6/13 9:02 pm 2/2/13 3:06 pm 2/2/13 9:30 pm User Event Table User ID 6 Date Time Event ID Event Desc 1234 2/1/2013 DM437 DM Delivered 1234 2/2/2013 3:05 pm DI9076 Display Impression 1234 2/2/2013 3:06 pm CC068 Inbound Call Center 1234 2/2/2013 5:05 pm EM087 Sent Email 1234 2/2/2013 9:30 pm EM438 Opened Email 1234 2/2/2013 9:30 pm EM089 Clicked Email 1234 2/6/2013 9:00 pm PS674 Clicks Paid Search 1234 2/6/2013 9:02 pm Q8740 Reads FB post 1234 2/6/2013 9:15 pm Q8740 Purchase Event Meta Data Event ID EM438 Creative 035586-2E 2014 Orlando Vacation Offer Stay a night free with package purchase Audience Call center callers Applying advanced analytics we can fractionally assign credit to each touch prior to a conversion (Attribution) 15% 40% 20% 20% 5% This scenario represents success in that the predicted customer value is realized/confirmed and there is a strong program ROI. Next step is to “operationalize” this scenario for maximum impact. User Level Attribution Program Level Attribution Predicted Customer LTD: $2,000 Attributed Event 7 Cost Credit Value Campaign Display-DSP Spend $10,000 Impressions 102,504,000 Calls 320 Sales 45 DM Delivered $.35 .15 $300 Display Impression $.001 .20 $400 Inbound Call Center Experience $10.25 .40 $800 Cost Per Activation $222 Sent Email $.02 .20 $400 Total Value $45,000 Paid Search Ad $.03 .05 $100 ROI 350% We need both top down and bottom up measurement methods Top-down (Aggregated Data) National media (TV & radio) Local media (TV & radio) Direct mail Digital $140 $200 $180 $83 All measurement dimensions (Customer segment, product, geography) Integrated measurement All measurement levels (Media, platform, campaign, placement) Display Video Search Direct mail Social $60 $80 $91 $75 $113 Remarketing - $12 Video 1 - $121 Branded - $87 DM 1 - $11 Social 1 - $50 Programmatic - $80 Video 2 - $35 Video 3 - $213 Guaranteed - $130 Video 4 - $23 DM 2 - $93 Not branded - $99 Social 2 - $163 DM 3 - $210 DM 4 - $235 Bottom-up (Customer Level Data) 8 Social 3 - $456 But, biggest measurement innovations are within „bottom-up methods‟ • Customer/ micro geo level modeling and testing means we can – measure smaller programs and tactics within programs – drive accountability for owned media through financial metrics – learn faster Are you doing this? Integration of paid and owned customer touches into bottomup attribution solutions 9 Consumer/geolevel controlled testing within platforms Consumer-level simulation frameworks How to add paid and owned social to bottom up attribution Integrating Paid Media • Setup separate tracking codes for paid social vs. online display campaigns 15% • Update attribution models and reporting to output paid social within its own category 40% 20% 20% User Level Attribution Program Level Attribution Predicted Customer LTD: $2,000 Integrating Owned Media Interactions • Develop campaign standards for owned social which outlines campaign setup, tracking, and data capture requirements 5% Attributed Event Cost Credit Value Campaign Facebook Ads Spend $10,000 Impressions 102,504,000 Calls 320 Sales 45 DM Delivered $.35 .15 $300 Paid Social Impression $.001 .20 $400 Inbound Call Center Experience $10.25 .40 $800 Cost Per Activation $222 Sent Email $.02 .20 $400 Total Value $45,000 Paid Search Ad $.03 .05 $100 ROI 350% • Implement and tag custom landing pages for visitors from 1st party blogs, FB, other social platforms • Leverage native ads to instrument social tracking on third party platforms (ex. Facebook fan page) • Update attribution models and reporting to include owned social channels 10 FBX Blog Remarketing Campaign How to test in Facebook Leverage Facebook API tools like custom audiences, power editor to holdout random control groups and isolate experimental group CRM database 1 Customer, Fan Group Analyze Prospect, Fan Customer, Non-Fan 4 Prospect, NonFan 2 Customer, Fan 5 Random sample Prospect, Fan 3 Random holdout control Customer, Non-Fan 11 Incremental Sales Prospect, NonFan NPI Social treatment for experimental groups From control From group and experimental 2nd degree group and reach 2nd degree reach How to test in Twitter, Tumblr etc Unlike FBX, other social platforms do not yet enable targeting specific audiences by using NPI based social profile matching. Hence, instead of random holdouts, tests need to be set up with splits based on geography etc CRM database 1 2 5 Group Analyze Test Cells 4 Social treatment for experimental groups Pre-test Sales Level Customers from State A Prospects from State A Customers and Prospects from State B 12 Incremental Posttest Sales Level 3 Analyze From pseudo control From experimental group State B group State A From pseudo control group State B From experimental group State A How to test social channel impact (Owned Media) Native ad unites can be used to stimulate owned media interactions Platform Examples of potential tests (Random control approach) Examples of potential tests (Pseudo control approach) 13 Action to Measure (Test) Paid Media Unit (Control) Incremental revenue from acquiring and engaging with a liker Liker acquisition sponsored story to nonlikers Incremental revenue from publishing posts on owned assets Page post Ad to existing likers Incremental revenue from acquiring and tweeting to followers Promoted Accounts to non-followers Incremental revenue from publishing blog posts on Tumblr In-stream sponsored post ad What about other stuff that is hard to measure? Try customer-level simulation frameworks Use Case Establish appropriate comparison baseline to estimate revenue and savings impacts of s social media activities for which other measurement methods break down A B Test Customers who posted on forum Pseudo Control Customers who didn‟t post on forum Modeled clones How it works • Identify sample of consumers impacted by social media action (test) • Identify similar group of clone consumers but who lack desired social media test action (pseudo control) Average Sales per customer: $350 Average Sales per customer $100 • Compare key success metrics across two groups A 14 B Incremental Sales per customer =$150 Getting Started: First, shy away from short-sighted platform thinking and measurement We hear many flavors of this… “What, Facebook? No, it doesn‟t work for us. We did a test last quarter.” 15 Next, align on what to measure KPI Definitions Measurement Levels and Dimensions Website Metrics Enterprise Metric Playbook Measurement Goals: Consistency Comprehensiveness Accuracy 16 Estimation Methods Know where your gaps are… Share of Voice Index Available today Care Volume Resolution Rate 284 94 % Care Index CSAT 92 74 % Revenue Savings $ 17 2,345 $ 5,678 Impressions 360 MM Leads Generated Impressions 34 K Leads Generated 4,356 365 CSAT Conversion Rate CSAT Conversion Rate 23 % 88 % Revenue Savings $ 5,678 $ 1,234 38 % 65% Revenue Savings 123 N.A. $ $ 567 Available partially / Uses assumptions Unavailable now Currently addressing …and create a roadmap to address those Long-term plan to develop, gather buy-in, implement and evolve marketing measurement Initiatives: Paid Media 1. Tagging guidelines 2. Process to implement and manage tags Q1 Jan Feb Q2 Mar April Define May 2014 June July Q3 Aug Q4 Sept Oct Nov On-going updates and edits, as needed Set up process On-going process execution and maintenance Owned Media 1. Enhance bottom-up attribution Phase 1 Phase 2 2. Integrate social and sentiment data in to MMO Phase 1 Design 3. Controlled Testing 4. Simulation Analysis 5. Customer Research Study 18 Design Design Phase 2 Execute tests and maintain holdouts Analyze & Report Collect Analyze & data Report On-going execution and maintenance On-going execution and maintenance Always-on test and learn Always-on customer research study deployment Dec Summary • Develop metric playbook and measurement roadmap • If you aren‟t building cross channel event streams and testing advanced attribution you‟re behind • Don‟t forget about getting owned platform interactions into your event stream • It isn‟t just test, test, and more testing. We need smarter testing 19 Peter Vandre Merkle VP Digital Analytics 443.542.4345 [email protected] 20
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