AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION OF AUDIT REPORT LAG USING CLIENT AND AUDIT FIRM CYCLE TIMES John G. Wermert* Assistant Professor School of Accounting College of Business & Public Administration Drake University 2507 University Avenue Des Moines, IA 50311 USA Office: (515) 271-3899 E-mail: [email protected] James L. Dodd Visiting Fulbright Professor Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Gløshaugen N-7491 Trondheim, Norway Office: (country code 47) 73 59 12 67 E-mail: [email protected] and Thomas A. Doucet Associate Professor Department of Finance & Accounting School of Business & Public Administration California State University, Bakersfield 9001 Stockdale Highway Bakersfield, CA 93311 USA Office: (661) 664-2337 E-mail: [email protected] * Corresponding Author An Empirical Examination of Audit Report Lag Using Client and Audit Firm Cycle Times Abstract This paper examines the factors that affect audit report lag (ARL), the period of time between a company’s fiscal year end and the completion of audit field work. While several prior studies have investigated ARL, this study extends prior research by breaking ARL into two components: (1) the time required by the client to close its books, referred to as client cycle time (CCT) and (2) the time required by the auditor to complete the audit after the client’s books are closed, referred to as firm cycle time (FCT). Numerous hypotheses are advanced that predict how nine explanatory variables will affect both CCT and FCT. The data from a sample of 71 firms were analyzed using canonical correlation analysis. The pooled R2 for the model was 0.68, indicating that the model was successful in explaining a large portion of the variance. As hypothesized, the degree to which explanatory variables used in prior ARL studies affected FCT and CCT varied greatly. While some variables affected both FCT and CCT, others primarily affected either FCT or CCT. In addition, this study found that the importance placed by top management on timely reporting, a variable not investigated in prior ARL studies, has a significant effect on CCT and FCT. An Empirical Examination of Audit Report Lag Using Client and Audit Firm Cycle Times I. Introduction Prior research in accounting and finance has documented the importance of timely audit and earnings information. Capital markets based research has found that markets react to the issuance or removal of audit qualifications, thus underscoring the importance of their timely release (Fields and Wilkins 1991; Frost 1991, 1994; Loudder et al. 1992). In addition, Bamber and Stratton (1997) found that the uncertainty modified audit reports influenced loan officers’ decisions regarding risk assessment, interest rates, and whether to grant the loan. Other research has shown that the timing of earnings releases is also informative to the security markets. Companies releasing information 'early' are generally viewed more favorably than firms releasing information 'late' (Givoly and Palmon 1982, Chambers and Penman 1984, Kross and Schroeder 1984). Furthermore, structural changes in the way companies conduct business is making the timely release of earnings information increasingly more important (Wallman 1995). One of the most important factors that affects the timeliness of information releases is the timeliness of the annual audit. Bamber et al. (1993) report that over 70 percent of all companies wait until at least the annual audit report date before announcing earnings. Given the importance of timely audit and earnings information, and the role of the annual audit in determining the timing of information releases, it is not surprising that ARL has received considerable attention (Givoly and Palmon 1982, Whittred 1980, Ashton et al. 1987, Ashton et al. 1989, Newton and Ashton 1989, Kinney and McDaniel 1993, Bamber et al. 1993, Simnett et al. 1995, Schwartz and Soo 1996). Generally, prior ARL studies have investigated the determinants of audit lag by regressing ARL on a set of variables that were believed to be related to audit lag. The explanatory power of the early studies was relatively low, with R2s generally less than 0.25. Later studies using more comprehensive models were more successful in explaining ARL, yet a large portion of ARL remains unexplained (Simnett et al. 1995: 18). While prior research has provided important insights into ARL, a potential limitation of prior research is that ARL has been viewed as a single time period resulting from a single process (i.e. the annual audit process). Accordingly, prior research has tried to explain the entire period from the fiscal year end to the end of the auditors’ field work using variables that were expected to increase or decrease the length of the audit process. However, in reality there are two different, but related, processes occurring during the ARL time period: the client's financial statement closing process and the annual audit process. Both of these processes will have significant effects on ARL. It is important to point out that we are not asserting that the audit process cannot commence until the client's year-end closing process is completely finished. Rather, the audit process and the client's closing process should be viewed as related processes, with the audit process being influenced by the client's closing process in two ways. First, the timing of many of the year-end substantive audit procedures will be affected by the timing of the closing process. For example, a search for unrecorded liabilities (see Arens and Loebbecke 1997: 592) cannot be performed until the list of (recorded) accounts payable has been finalized. Second, the length of the closing process will likely influence the time required by the auditor to complete the audit. If the client hastily closes its accounting books, making numerous errors in the process, the time required to audit the financial statements could increase precipitously. The opposite should also be true. A diligent closing of the client's books may require more time on the part of the client, but it should promote a smooth, timely audit. Thus, the client's closing process and the audit process should be viewed as two related processes, and examining these related processes simultaneously should provide an enhanced understanding of the determinants of audit delay. This study extends prior research in two major ways. First, we break ARL into two components: (1) the period of time that it takes the client to close the company’s books, hereafter referred to as the client's cycle time (CCT), and (2) the period of time it takes the auditor to complete the audit after the client’s books are closed, hereafter referred to as the accounting firm's cycle time (FCT). We believe this is an important extension of prior research that will allow us to better understand the effects of explanatory variables that were used in prior ARL research. In other words, we can determine if the variables used in previous studies were primarily influencing the client's closing process (as proxied by CCT), the year end audit process (as proxied by FCT), or influencing both processes. Treating ARL as a single period, as has been done in prior research, does not allow for such relationships to be examined. Furthermore, including CCT as well as FCT in our model facilitates the inclusion of variables that are expected to primarily affect CCT. A second major contribution of this paper is the inclusion of an important, new variable. Simnett et al. (1995: 18) note that while prior models are able to explain a significant amount of audit delay, a considerable portion of audit delay remains unexplained. They suggest that future research examine the effect of management attitudes regarding the timeliness of financial reporting . Accordingly, we use such a variable in our study. In summary, this study examines the interrelationship of CCT, FCT and nine explanatory variables that were chosen based upon prior research and data availability. Not all variables used in prior research were examined in this study to keep the number of variables to a manageable set. We propose and test 19 hypotheses in the following section. Further research should explore other factors that we were not able to include in our study. II. Hypotheses A rather consistent finding of prior research is that ARL is inversely related to client size. Generally, the explanation proffered by prior researchers is that large firms face greater pressures to report earnings early and that large firms can pressure their auditors to complete their audits on a more timely basis than small firms (Dyer and McHugh 1975, Newton and Ashton 1989, Bamber et al. 1993). Accordingly, we expect FCT to be inversely related to client size. However, large firms are also more likely to have advanced accounting systems and better internal controls, and they are also more likely to have formal policies and procedures that will lend themselves to timely closings. Accordingly, we also expect ARL to be inversely related to CCT, ceteris paribus. Our first two hypotheses are (in alternative form): H1a: CCT is inversely related to client size. H1b: FCT is inversely related to client size. Prior research has found that the use of structured audit technology is associated with longer ARL (Newton and Ashton 1989, Bamber et al. 1993, Swartz and Soo 1996). Ostensibly, this is due to the increased planning and documentation requirements associated with structured audit approaches and time requirements of reconciling administrative (i.e. national office) policies and daily work practices of individual auditors (Bamber et al 1993). Furthermore, Cushing (1989) notes that of the 18 elements of audit structure, eleven are expected to increase audit delay, while only three are expected to reduce delay. Thus, we expect the use of a structured audit methodology to be associated with increased FCT. Prior research has not considered what effect the use of a structured audit methodology may have on the time required for a client to close its books. While the primary effect of audit structure is expected to be on FCT, we also expect audit structure to have a less pronounced, secondary effect on CCT for two reasons. First, Cushing and Loebbecke (1986) observe that firms that use structured audit approaches have detailed guidance about the requirements for content, preparation, and administration of working papers. Some of these working papers would most likely be prepared by client personnel during the closing process, thus resulting in longer CCT. In addition, Icerman and Hillison (1991) found that firms using structured audit approaches tend to book a greater percentage of the errors discovered during audits than do firms using less structured audit methodologies. Firms with auditors that more routinely book discovered errors would likely exercise more care during the closing process to avoid a large number of proposed audit adjustments. Such increased attention to detail would tend to increase CCT. However, this is expected to be a less pronounced, secondary effect. The primary effect of audit structure is still expected to be on FCT. This leads to the following hypotheses: H2a: FCT is an increasing function of audit firm structure. H2b: CCT is an increasing function of audit firm structure. H2c: The effect of audit firm structure will be greater for FCT than CCT. Prior research has found that firms that experience losses experience longer ARLs (Bamber et al. 1993, Schwartz and Soo 1996). Auditors often use lower materiality thresholds for companies experiencing losses (Bamber et al. 1993) and lower materiality thresholds will result in increased evidence collection (Arens and Loebbecke 1997). This may be due, in part, to greater perceived auditor business risk for audits of companies reporting losses. Furthermore, losses are often associated with complex audit issues such as inventory obsolescence or recoverability of assets, also requiring additional substantive evidence collection. As for CCT, losses are expected to have a lesser effect. While the basic closing process should remain unchanged, clients with complex audit issues, such as inventory obsolescence, will require additional time to prepare analyses to justify their accounting treatment. In addition, companies with income that was lower than expected may spend additional time verifying reported results or searching for unrecorded income. This leads to the following three hypotheses: H3a: CCT will be longer for companies reporting a net loss than companies reporting net income. H3b: FCT will be longer for companies reporting a net loss than companies reporting net income. H3c: The effect of reporting a net loss will be greater for FCT than CCT. Issuance of a going concern opinion is expected only after careful consideration of the conditions and events that indicate there could be substantial doubt about the ability of the client to continue as a going concern, as well as consideration of management’s plans for dealing with the adverse conditions or events. For example, in the United States auditing standards suggest that auditors evaluate management’s plans to dispose of assets, including evaluating any restrictions on such transactions imposed by loan covenants (SAS No. 59, AICPA 1988). The auditors would also need to review the client’s plans to borrow money or restructure debt, to reduce or delay expenditures, or to sell stock. Auditors may also perform an in-depth analysis of the company’s cash flow projections. All of these activities would result in increased FCT. On the other hand, we do not expect the issuance of a going concern opinion to affect CCT. The work required by the client to substantiate management plans would generally involve prospective information, and thus, should not impede the preparation of historical financial statements. Such information would normally be prepared after the financial statements have been prepared and the auditors have requested specific analyses regarding future plans. This leads to the following hypotheses: H4a: Issuance of a going concern opinion will have no effect on CCT. H4b: Issuance of a going concern opinion will be associated with increased FCT. A factor that is expected to increase the complexity of the client’s closing process as well as the external audit is the number of different lines of business in which the client operates. Ceteris paribus, the work required by the client to compile and consolidate information increases as the number of segments increases and similar incremental effort is required to audit such information. In addition, control and coordination requirements increase for both the client and the auditor as the number of segments increases (Bamber et al. 1993, Bamber and Bylinski 1982), and such requirements are expected to increase both CCT and FCT. This leads to the following two hypotheses: H5a: CCT will be an increasing function of the number of business segments. H5b: FCT will be an increasing function of the number of business segments. An additional factor that may affect both CCT and FCT that has not been addressed by previous ARL research is management's attitude regarding financial reporting. For years, auditors have realized the importance of the control environment in assessing the likely operating effectiveness of internal controls. In fact, the control environment is often referred to as the 'tone at the top.' In an analogous manner, the 'tone at the top' with regard to the timeliness of financial reporting is likely to differ across firms. Management at some client firms are likely to place more importance on timely reporting than at other firms (Simnett et al. 1995). For example, Ettorre (1995) explains how Motorola’s top management dictated very tight reporting deadlines to its operating sectors to allow Motorola to close its books in two business days. Furthermore, it is possible that such an attitude by management could have a lesser, secondary effect on the auditors. Client management that emphasizes timely reporting may expect their auditors to conduct their audit in a very timely manner, perhaps by assigning more personnel to the engagement. This leads to the following hypotheses: H6a: CCT will be inversely related to the importance placed by top management on timely financial reporting. H6b: FCT will be inversely related to the importance placed by top management on timely financial reporting. H6c: The effect of the importance placed by top management on timely financial reporting will be greater for CCT than FCT. Several prior studies have found that ARL is related to industry membership. In particular, ARL for financial institutions is less than that for non-financial companies (Ashton et al. 1989, Bamber et al. 1993, Schwartz and Soo 1996). Bamber et al. (1993: 6) note that 'banks’ accounting systems are generally highly centralized and automated, and banks hold little inventory or fixed assets.' On the hand, non-financial companies are more likely to have diverse transactions, as well as material levels of inventories and fixed assets. Thus, we expect the CCT for financial firms to be less than the CCT of nonfinancial firms, ceteris paribus. In addition, on a dollar for dollar basis, non-financial assets are likely to be more time consuming to audit than financial assets (Ashton, Willingham and Elliott 1987) resulting in increased FCTs for non-financial companies relative to financial companies. This lead to the following two hypotheses. H7a: The CCT of financial institutions will be less than the CCT of non-financial institutions. H7b: The FCT of financial institutions will be less than the FCT of non-financial institutions. The final explanatory variable that we explore is the client’s fiscal year end. It is common in many jurisdictions for companies to have a common year-end. For example, Schwartz and Soo (1996) reported that 53% of the firms in their sample had either a December or January year-end. It is expected that firms that share a common year-end will have to wait, on average, longer for their annual audit (Simnett et al. 1995). Accordingly, we expect the FCT to be longer for clients with either a December or January year-end than for clients with other year-ends. On the other hand, we do not expect the fiscal year end to affect the length of time it takes a client to close its books. This leads to the final two hypotheses. H8a: There is no association between CCT and fiscal year end. H8b: The FCT for companies with December or January fiscal year ends will be longer than for companies with other year-ends. A summary of the hypotheses is included as Table 1. Also shown are the variable names and descriptions as well as the predicted relationships between CCT, FCT and the explanatory variables. III. Sample and Variable Measurement Using systematic sampling, a pilot sample of 100 public companies with two-digit primary Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) codes from 10-89 was selected from the Disclosure CD-ROM Database. The company controller of each of these companies was sent a mail survey that requested information related to the length of the company’s interim and year-end accounting cycles. Two weeks following the initial mailing a follow-up post card reminder requested subject companies to participate. Pilot sample responses were used to refine the survey instrument and estimate response rates for the larger mailing. Using the same procedures as in the pilot study, 325 companies were selected for the survey. Respondent questionnaires were matched with appropriate financial statement information in annual reports and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings that were available either on NAARS or on microfiche at the Indiana University library. Respondents were asked to indicate on the questionnaire the fiscal year for which their responses applied and financial statement information was carefully matched on this basis. Most firms provided information for fiscal years ending in 1991. Firms for which matching financial statement information could not be located were not included in the sample. The resultant sample of 71 companies represents a 22% usable response rate, which compares favorably to other studies using survey methods. Eleven different variables were used in the study. CCT, the number of calendar days needed by the company to close its books, was provided by the responding firms on the questionnaire. Auditors’ report dates were obtained from the appropriate auditors’ opinions in the annual reports. These report dates were used to calculate ARL, and FCT was calculated as ARL less CCT. The client’s size (SIZE) was calculated as the natural log of total assets. Two variables were used to capture the degree to which the auditors used a structured audit methodology. STRUCT is a dummy variable that takes the value of 1 for those firms that use a highly structured audit methodology, and 0 otherwise. INTERM is a dummy variable that takes the value of 1 for those firms that use an intermediate structured audit methodology, and 0 otherwise. GCUOP and LOSS are dummy variables that take the value of 1 for firms that received a going concern opinion or reported a net loss from continuing operations, respectively. SEGMENTS is the number of lines of business that were reported by the company in its SEC filings or annual report. IMPORT measures the emphasis that top management places on timely financial reporting. This measure was the controller’s response, measured on a five-point scale, to a question regarding his/her agreement to a statement that upper management requires that they receive financial statements as soon as possible after period-end. Responses ranged from one to five, with higher scores indicating stronger agreement regarding top management’s emphasis on timely reporting. FYE is a dummy variable that assumes the value of one if the company has either a December or January fiscal year end, or 0 otherwise. Finally, FININST is a dummy variable that assumes a value of one for financial institutions, and 0 otherwise. Descriptive Statistics: Panel A of Table 2 provides descriptive statistics for each of the variables used in the study. The firms varied considerable in size from a low of $1.6 million in total assets (American Cytogenetics, Inc.) to a high of $31.7 billion (Kraft, Inc.). Accordingly, the natural log of total assets (in thousands) was used as a measure of SIZE to reduce heteroscedasticity. The sample was approximately evenly distributed among unstructured, intermediate structured and structured firms. The average firm had approximately 1.5 segments, with the most segments reported by any one firm being five. Thirty-one percent of the firms had reported a loss and approximately 10% of the firms had received a going concern opinion. Firms having December or January year-ends accounted for 61% of the sample. The average audit lag consisted of a client cycle time (CCT) of 22.5 days and a firm cycle time (FCT) of 27.3 days. Thus, on average the CCT represented 45.2% of the total ARL whereas FCT represented 54.8%. The client’s cycle time varied from 1 to 60 days, whereas the firm’s cycle time ranged from 0 to 84 days. The distribution of FCT and CCT are provided in Panel B of Table 2. The bivariate correlations between all variables are reported in Table 3. As expected, FCT and CCT are significantly correlated with many of the explanatory variables. Furthermore, the correlation between FCT and CCT of -0.18, although not significant at traditional levels (two tailed, p<0.14), leads one to believe that there may be some interdependence between FCT and CCT. In addition, many of the correlations among the explanatory variables are significant. Some of these significant correlations are rather straightforward, such as the significant positive correlation between LOSS and GCUOP -- firms reporting losses are more likely to receive going concern opinions. Another correlation worth noting is the significant correlation between SIZE and LOSS, indicating that smaller firms were more likely to report a loss. This makes the significant negative correlation between SIZE and GCUOP more understandable. IV. Results Canonical correlation analysis was used to analyze the data. Canonical correlation is a multivariate statistical procedure employed to study the relationships between two sets of variables when each set includes at least two variables. With canonical correlation, linear combinations of each set of variables -- called variates -- are created such that the bivariate correlation between the variate scores is maximized (Marascuilo and Levin, 1983). The bivariate correlation is referred to as the canonical correlation and the weights applied to the variables in the linear combinations are referred to as canonical weights (Fornell and Larcker 1980) or canonical function coefficients (Thompson 1984). The canonical correlation procedure continues by finding a second set of canonical variates, orthogonal to the first pair, that maximizes the bivariate correlation between the second pair of variates. This procedure of constructing canonical functions (with the variates of each new function being orthogonal to all previous functions) continues until the number of canonical functions equals the number of variables in the smaller set (Marascuilo and Levin, 1983). Use of canonical correlation in this study allows audit report lag to be treated as a multidimensional phenomenon consisting of the audit firms’ cycle time and the clients’ cycle time, instead of a unitary measure. An alternative approach would be to separately regress each of the cycle time variables on the full set of explanatory variables and to combine the results into some overall explanation. However, Fornell and Larker (1980: 456) note this is inappropriate when the dependent variables are conceptually related, which is true in this setting. As noted in Section I, CCT and FCT are expected to be related. Furthermore, canonical correlation allows for a truly multivariate analysis of CCT and FCT since the canonical functions reveal the contribution of the variables in the presence of all of the other variables (both 'dependent' and 'independent'). The canonical correlation analysis resulted in two significant canonical functions, the maximum possible since the smaller variable set included only two variables (FCT and CCT). The canonical correlations, squared canonical correlations, significance levels, as well as function coefficients for both canonical functions are reported in Table 4. The canonical correlation associated with the first and second canonical functions were 0.66 and 0.49, respectively. The squared canonical correlations, which indicate the shared variance of the canonical variates, were 0.44 and 0.24 respectively. Thus, each function captures a large portion of the variance of the cycle time variables. The statistical tests of significance of the canonical correlations test the null hypothesis that the canonical correlation for a particular canonical function, as well as the canonical correlations for all higher level canonical functions, are equal to zero (Marascuilo and Levin, 1983). For the current study, the null hypothesis that the first and second canonical correlation are equal to zero is rejected at the 0.001 level, thus we can be certain there is a linear relationship between the two sets of variables. The null hypothesis that the second canonical correlation (independently) is equal to zero is rejected at the 0.027 level. Thus overall, both canonical functions appear significant and contribute to understanding the relationship between the cycle time and explanatory variables. The explanatory power of the model compares quite favorably with prior studies. While many of the early studies of ARL (e.g. Ashton et al. 1988, Newton and Ashton 1989) had relatively low explanatory power, later more comprehensive models of ARL (e.g. Bamber et al. 1993; Simnett et al. 1995) were able to explain approximately half of the variance in ARL. By comparison, the first canonical function of our model explains 44% of the variance in the variables, which is comparable to the results found in previous studies. However, the second canonical function -- which is orthogonal to the first -explains an additional 24% of the variance. Thus, overall, our model explains 68% of the variance in the variables. Interpretation of the Canonical Functions Statisticians often disagree about the best way to interpret canonical functions and variates (Rencher 1992). This study relies upon interpretation of the standardized coefficients, sometimes referred to as pattern interpretation (Maraschuilo and Levin 1983), to analyze the results. Rencher (1995) notes that the standardized coefficients from the canonical function reveal the contribution of each of the variables in the presence of each of the others. This is 'precisely the behavior we desire in a multivariate setting. They provide a pertinent multivariate approach to interpretation of the contribution of the variables acting in combination' (Rencher 1995: 406). However, with canonical correlation analysis, it is not possible to perform tests of statistical significance on individual standardized coefficients. Rather, one must evaluate the importance and contributions of variables based on the relative magnitudes of the standardized coefficients. In the first canonical function, both of the cycle time variables have large positive function coefficients of approximately equal magnitude, with the coefficient of FCT being 0.76 and CCT being 0.80. We interpret this first function to mean that large portions of both FCT and CCT have common causes (e.g. predictors). Thus, this function should capture those portions of the explanatory variables that affect CCT and FCT in a similar manner. For example, an increase in the number of segments may have a similar impact on FCT and CCT. If so, this effect would be captured by the first canonical function. In the second canonical function, the standardized coefficients of FCT and CCT are 0.68 and -0.62, respectively, indicating that this canonical function is capturing the effects of factors that result in a long FCT, relative to the CCT . Or alternatively, negative coefficients on the explanatory variables in this function would indicate a longer CCT relative to the FCT. The difference that this canonical function is capturing is referred hereafter as incremental auditor effort -- an amount of effort expended by the auditor, not matched by the client. Client Size Overall, the most influential variable in defining the canonical solution is SIZE. In the first canonical function, the standardized coefficient of -0.75 indicates that SIZE has a strong joint-influence on CCT and FCT and that the relationship is inverse. Larger firms have shorter CCTs and FCTs. This result is consistent with prior ARL research which has found that overall audit lag (FCT + CCT) was inversely related to SIZE (Schwartz and Soo 1996, Bamber et al. 1993). While the -0.75 coefficient in the first canonical function is consistent with larger firms having smaller FCTs, it is also important to note that a large portion of the SIZE effect noted in this study is due to the relationship of SIZE to CCT. In fact, review of the simple, bivariate correlations in Table 3 seems to confirm the importance of CCT’s influence on SIZE, with the correlation between SIZE and CCT being -0.42. Thus, H1a and H1b are strongly supported. In the second canonical function, SIZE has a function coefficient of 0.32 indicating that as SIZE increases, FCT decreases less than CCT. While this result was not hypothesized, it does point again to the strong influence that CCT plays in the relationship between overall ARL and SIZE. Investigation of the interactive effects of CCT, FCT and SIZE are left to future research. Use of Structured Audit Methodology As noted earlier, the audit firms were categorized into three levels of structure using Kinney’s (1986) structure scale. Hypotheses H2a and H2b predict that CCT and FCT are increasing functions of the degree to which the auditor uses a structured audit methodology. Hypothesis H2c predicts that the effect of audit structure will be less for CCT than for FCT. The STRUCT and INTERM coefficients of 0.12 and 0.06 in the first and second canonical functions are consistent with a relatively minor joint influence of auditor structure on CCT and FCT. However, the coefficients of 0.65 for STRUCT and 0.16 for INTERM in the second canonical function indicates that use of a structured audit approach has a strong influence on the incremental auditor effort, without a corresponding increase in effort by the client firm. In addition, as would be expected, the effect of STRUCT on CCT and FCT is greater than that of INTERM. Overall, STRUCT (and INTERM) is the most influential explanatory variable in the second canonical function. Hypotheses H2a, H2b and H2c are also supported. Losses Reported by Client Hypotheses H3a and H3b predict that CCT and FCT will be longer for companies reporting a net loss than companies reporting net income. Further, hypothesis H3c predicts that the effect of a net loss will be greater for FCT than for CCT. The coefficient of LOSS in the first canonical function is near zero, indicating LOSS had no significant joint influence on CCT and FCT. However, the coefficient of LOSS in the second canonical function is 0.22 indicating that LOSS is associated with incremental auditor effort. These results do not support H3a, but do support H3b and H3c. Interpretation of these results is not entirely clear. One potential explanation is that companies incurring a net loss can usually anticipate the loss in advance of the fiscal year end, since most companies in our sample are required to file financial statements on a quarterly basis with the SEC and many probably report internally on an even more frequent basis. Thus, the companies would not likely be 'surprised' by the loss. Client efforts to deal with the complex issues associated with a loss, as well as any search for unrecorded income, may be conducted before the end of the year resulting in little effect on CCT. On the other hand, it may be more difficult for the auditors to move the timing of their tests before year-end when complex issues, such as inventory obsolescence, are involved. Furthermore, when losses are incurred, thereby increasing the auditors’ business risk, auditors’ may seek more persuasive evidence (Arens and Loebbecke 1997). One such way to do so is to gather substantive evidence (e.g. with regard to inventory obsolescence) closer to year-end, thereby resulting in increased FCT. Issuance of a Going Concern Opinion H4b predicts that the issuance of a going concern opinion will result in increased FCT, while H4a predicts that such opinions should have no effect on CCT. The coefficient of GCUOP of 0.16 in the first canonical function indicates that the issuance of a going concern opinion has some joint influence on CCT and FCT, which is inconsistent with H4a. However, the 0.56 coefficient in the second function indicates that the issuance of a going concern opinion results in significant incremental auditor effort. This result combined with 0.16 coefficient in the first function clearly indicates that going concern opinions are associated with increased FCT. H4b is strongly supported. Segments According to hypotheses H5a and H5b, an increase in the number of segments should be associated with an increase in both CCT and FCT. Analysis of the canonical function coefficients is generally consistent with this interpretation, with the coefficients of the first and second canonical functions being 0.18 and 0.01, respectively. While SEGMENTS was not very influential in defining the canonical solution, these results do indicate that CCT and FCT were moderately affected by the number of business segments. Hypotheses H5a and H5b are supported. Importance Top Management Places on Timely Financial Reporting Hypotheses H6a and H6b predict that management commitment to timely reporting will decrease both CCT and FCT, with H6c predicting that the effect will be greater for CCT than FCT. Examination of the first canonical function reveals IMPORT having a canonical function coefficient of -0.42. This indicates a strong, inverse relationship between perceived importance of timely financial reporting by management and the length of both FCT and CCT. In other words, management commitment to timely reporting affected not only the client’s closing schedule, but the pace of the annual audit as well. Hypotheses H6a and H6b are strongly supported. Analysis of the second canonical function reveals a canonical coefficient of -0.13. While the magnitude of the coefficient is fairly low, it does seems to indicate that management commitment to timely reporting has a slightly greater effect on FCT than on CCT. This is contrary to what was expected and H6c is not supported. Client’s Industry H7a and H7b, predict an industry effect for financial institutions. More specifically, financial institutions are expected to have shorter CCTs and FCTs. Inspection of the first and second canonical function shows function coefficients of -0.25 and -0.03 for FININST. These results support both hypotheses. Client’s Fiscal Year End The last two hypotheses, H8a and H8b, predict that firms with fiscal years ending in December or January will have longer FCTs, but that CCT will be unaffected. The coefficient on FYE in the first canonical function is near zero while the coefficient in the second function is 0.55. These results are consistent with H8a and H8b. FYE did not seem to have an effect on CCT, but the incremental auditor effort was very significantly affected. V. Discussion and Conclusion The results reported here using canonical correlation analysis provide new insights into the determinants of ARL. ARL should not be viewed as a single time period, but rather as two distinct, but yet interrelated, periods: the time required by the client to close its books (CCT) and the time required by the auditor to finish their audit once the books are closed (FCT). The results reported here show that the variables that have been found to be significant in prior ARL studies often affect CCT and FCT in different ways. In addition, this study includes an important, additional variable that affects both CCT and FCT: the importance placed by top management on timely reporting. Overall, the most significant variable in defining the canonical solution is the client’s size. Ceteris paribus, large clients close their books more quickly and their audits are completed on a more timely basis than smaller clients. The use of a structured audit methodology was also found to be important, with increased structure being associated with increased FCT, and to a lesser extent increased CCT. Going concern opinions, client losses, and fiscal year ends in December or January all contributed to increased FCTs, and going concern opinions also appeared to contribute to increased CCTs. The number of business segments had a modest effect on both FCT and CCT. As expected, the FCT and CCT increased as the number of segments increased. Industry was also an important variable, with financial institutions having reduced FCTs and CCTs. Finally, management’s commitment to timely financial reporting, a variable not considered in prior studies, was an important variable. FCT and CCT were lower in companies where management was more committed to timely reporting. VI. Limitations As with most studies, the results reported here are subject to limitations. First, this study used a smaller sample than many previous studies of audit report lag, and prior studies often used data from numerous years. Large samples were often possible in prior research because the data was generally taken from publicly available sources. Unfortunately, that is not possible in this study because CCT data is not publicly available. CCT data was collected via a questionnaire that was voluntarily completed. 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Table 1 Summary of Hypotheses Predicted Relationship to Variable Name CCT FCT Effect greater for SIZE (H1a) (H1b) No Prediction Degree of auditor structure STRUCT/INTERM + (H2a) + (H2b) FCT (H2c) Reported net loss by client LOSS + (H3a) + (H3b) FCT (H3c) GCUOP No effect (H4a) + (H4b) FCT (N/A1) SEGMENTS + (H5a) + (H5b) No prediction IMPORT (H6a) (H6b) CCT (H6c) FININST (H7a) (H7b) No prediction FYE No effect (H8a) + FCT (N/A) Variable Description Firm Size Going concern opinion issued by the auditor Number of business segments the client operates in Importance placed by top management on timely reporting Client is a financial institution Client has a December or January fiscal year end 1 (H8b) It is quite obvious that if no effect is predicted for CCT and a direct effect is predicted for FCT, that the effect for FCT is predicted to be greater than that of CCT. However, no separate hypothesis is included when the predictor variable is expected to have no effect on CCT. TABLE 2 Descriptive Statistics and Cycle Time Distributions (n=71) Panel A: Descriptive Statistics Variables Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Cycle Time Variables: FCT CCT 27.31 22.52 16.92 12.46 0.00 1.00 84.00 60.00 11.81 0.31 0.34 0.10 1.49 0.31 4.48 0.61 0.13 2.29 0.47 0.48 0.30 0.97 0.47 0.71 0.49 0.34 7.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 17.27 1.00 1.00 1.00 5.00 1.00 5.00 1.00 1.00 Cycle Time Determinants SIZE STRUCT INTERM GCUOP SEGMENTS LOSS IMPORT FYE FININST Panel B: Distribution of Firm Cycle Time and Client Cycle Time Less than 10 days 11-20 days 21-30 days 31-40 41-50 Over 50 days Firm Cycle Time 10 (14.1%) 18 (25.4%) 14 (19.7%) 16 (22.5%) 6 (8.5%) 7 (9.9%) ________________________________ For variable names and descriptions, see Table 1. Client Cycle Time 10 (14.1%) 26 (36.7%) 20 (28.2%) 10 (14.1%) 3 (4.2%) 2 (2.8%) TABLE 3 Correlation Matrix (n=71) Variables FCT CCT SIZE STRUCT INTERM LOSS GCUOP SEGMENTS IMPORT FININST FYE Cycle Times: FCT 1.00 CCT -0.18 1.00 SIZE -0.28a -0.42a 1.00 STRUCT 0.29b -0.16 -0.07 INTERM c -0.05 b -0.48a 1.00 a 0.01 -0.29b 1.00 0.08 -0.14 0.49a 1.00 b -0.17 1.00 Predictor Variables: -0.20 0.26 LOSS 0.34 a 0.13 -0.50 GCUOP 0.32a -0.01 -0.34a a 0.04 -0.06 -0.25 SEGMENTS -0.01 -0.10 0.44 IMPORT 0.23c 0.18 -0.04 0.11 -0.19 0.19c -0.11 0.06 1.00 b b -0.09 -0.16 0.02 -0.11 -0.10 1.00 -0.02 0.03 -0.02 -0.22c 0.17 -0.10 -0.22c a FININST -0.08 -0.33 FYE 0.06 -0.31b 0.28 0.25b _______________________________ For variable names and definitions, see Table 1. a p<0.01 p<0.05 c p<0.10 b 1.00 0.29 1.00 TABLE 4 Canonical Correlation Analysis Results Canonical Variate Functions Canonical correlation (Rc) Squared canonical correlation (Rc2) Significance level of (Rc)a Cycle Time Variables: FCT CCT Predictor Variables: SIZE STRUCT INTERM LOSS GCUOP SEGMENTS IMPORT FININST FYE I 0.66 0.44 0.001 II 0.49 0.24 0.027 0.76 0.80 0.68 -0.62 -0.75 0.12 0.06 0.03 0.16 0.18 -0.42 -0.25 -0.02 0.32 0.65 0.16 0.22 0.56 0.01 -0.13 -0.03 0.55 ______________________ For variable names and descriptions, see Table 1. a F statistic based on Rao’s approximation (Rao, 1973). The null hypothesis is that the canonical correlation for the variate function and all higher canonical variate functions are zero.
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