The other face of global mobility: higher education serving students from migrant communities Dirk Van Damme Head of the Centre for Educational Research and Innovation (CERI) – OECD/EDU Outline 1. The context: increasing demand for skills, expanding higher education systems but still huge waste of talent 2. Untapped stocks of talent 3. Higher education participation of students from a migrant background 4. Benefits and prospects 5. The pedagogy of success 6. Conclusions 2 1. THE CONTEXT 3 Increasing need for skills • Demographic transition and a rapidly changing economy dramatically increase the need for skilled jobs and people • Increasing international competition for talent and high-skilled labour • Countries will increasingly look into the possibilities of high-skilled migration to solve short-term skill needs • But there may be more sustainable policy approaches… 4 Expanding higher education systems • Higher education systems are – Recruiting more students than even before – Delivering more qualified graduates than… – Receiving more (public and private) resources than… – Attracting more international students and international staff than… • Expansion, massification and internationalisation will continue to grow 5 45 Canada United States New Zealand Estonia Finland Australia Norway Sweden Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Denmark Japan Germany Iceland Belgium OECD average Luxembourg EU19 average Ireland France Spain Hungary Slovenia Greece Austria Poland Korea Slovak Republic Czech Republic Italy Mexico Chile Brazil Turkey Portugal Growth in university-level qualifications Approximated by the percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A education in the age groups 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years and 55-64 years (2007) 2000's 1990's 1980's 1970's 50 % 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Global student mobility Percentage of all foreign tertiary students enrolled by destination 2000 2008 Market share (%) 30 25 3.3 million tertiary students are enrolled outside their country, compared to 2 million in 2000. 20 15 10 5 Other partner countries Other OECD countries Sweden Korea Netherlands Belgium Switzerland China Austria New Zealand South Africa Spain Italy Japan Russian Federation Canada Australia France Germany United Kingdom United States 0 International students 2007, OECD Education database 8 Waste of talent? • Higher education is not very effective in tapping on all available human resources – High failure and drop out rates, especially in the early years – Low access and low success rates of students from disadvantaged backgrounds • Low SES students • Low educational capital • Ethnic minority students 9 Failure remains a huge problem… % Proportion of students who enter a tertiary programme but leave without at least a first tertiary degree (2005) 10 Higher education participation according to educational attainment father (2004) Educational attainment father Low schooled Higher secondary education Higher education Man 14.0 26.2 61.4 Women 25.6 40.7 49.5 11 Success rates of students according to educational attainment mother (Antwerp University, 2006) Diploma mother % Success Rate No diploma/primary school certificate 25.7 Higher secondary education diploma 38.8 Short non-university higher education degree 43.3 Long non-university higher education degree 58.8 University degree 58.4 12 2 UNTAPPED STOCKS OF TALENT 13 Changing populations The foreign-born population in OECD countries, 2000-2006 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 In 2006 12% of the population in OECD countries was born in another country 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 2000 (left scale) 2000-2006 (left scale) 14 Percentage of 15 year-old school pupils with at least one parent born abroad and percentage of 15 year-old school pupils born abroad in 2009 With at least one parent born abroad (↗) Born abroad 60 50 But, in 2009, 19% of the 15y old school population was from a migrant background 40 30 20 10 KOR POL JPN TUR CHL MEX HUN SVK FIN CZE ISL ITA NOR ESP SVN DNK GRC PRT OECD EST GBR NLD AUT SWE IRL FRA DEU USA BEL ISR CAN NZL CHE AUS LUX 0 15 Percentage point changes in the share of 15 year-old school pupils with at least one parent born abroad and of 15 year-old school pupils born abroad, 2000-09 Born abroad With at least one parent born abroad (↗) 14 12 And that percentage is rapidly increasing 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 IRL ESP PRT LUX USA GRC ITA AUT CHE NOR CAN DEU FIN BEL NZL ISL OECD DNK NLD TUR SWE GBR HUN AUS FRA JPN CZE CHL POL MEX ISR -12 16 600 300 Finland Hong Kong-China Singapore Canada New Zealand Australia Netherlands Belgium Norway Estonia Switzerland United States Liechtenstein Sweden Germany Ireland France Denmark United Kingdom Hungary OECD average Portugal Macao-China Italy Slovenia Greece Spain Czech Republic Croatia Israel Luxembourg Austria Dubai (UAE) Russian Federation Serbia Mexico Trinidad and Tobago Brazil Montenegro Jordan Argentina Kazakhstan Qatar Panama Azerbaijan Kyrgyzstan Gaps in educational achievement PISA 2009 data (reading scale) Native Students Second-generation students First-generation students On average, especially in Europe, migrant students have lower learning outcomes 550 500 450 400 350 17 Gaps in educational achievement • • “SES” and “speaking a different language at home” largely explain the performance gap between the two groups in many countries. But they are not the only reasons. Other factors: availability of educational resources at home, reading at home at a young age, and participating in ECEC, etc. Performance difference in reading Accounting for students' socio -economic background Accounting for students' socio -economic background and language spoken at home Score point20 difference 38 pts Roughly equivalent to one year of schooling (science proxy) 0 - 20 - 40 - 60 - 80 -100 Proportion of 20-24y-olds who are not in education and have not attained upper secondary education, by migrant status (2007) 19 Educational opportunities for migrants • Rapidly increasing share of school population • Achievement gaps in school education between native born and migrant students – With strong impact of SES and language spoken at home – But with very large variation between countries • Unqualified and out-of-school 20-24y olds are in most countries disproportionally from migrant backgrounds • And what about higher education? 20 3 HE PARTICIPATION OF MIGRANT STUDENTS 21 Proportion of 25-29 year-olds who either have a tertiary education qualification or are currently enrolled in a tertiary education programme, by migrant status Born abroad Born in the country Total 70 2007 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 22 Increasing participation disadvantaged England Increase for advantaged areas in the same period was only 4% (from 55% to 59%) 23 Difference in 25-29y olds in tertiary education between migrants and born in country and difference in 20-24y olds with secondary education Difference in secondary education attainment Migrants less in tertiary education Migrants more with secondary education Migrants more in tertiary education Migrants more with secondary education Australia Portugal Hungary UK Canada Iceland Norway Sweden Netherlands Finland France OECD Germany Luxembourg Czech R Spain Switzerland Belgium Austria Italy Greece Migrants less in tertiary education Migrants less with secondary education Migrants more in tertiary education Migrants less with secondary education Difference in or with tertiary education 24 Migrant students in HE • In most countries educational participation and qualification of migrant students are lagging behind those of native students • But there are indications of rising participation levels • Large differences between countries suggest that this has little to do with innate capacities nor that it should be a insolvable problem • There seems to be a link in country profiles between migrant participation and participation of foreign students in higher education 25 Difference in 25-29y olds in tertiary education between migrants and born in country and percentage of foreign students (2007-2008) Migrants less in tertiary education More than average foreign students Migrants more in tertiary education More than average foreign students Percentage foreign students in tertiary education Australia Switzerland UK Austria Canada Belgium France Germany Norway Sweden Netherlands Greece Spain Finland Italy OECD Czech R Portugal Iceland Hungary Migrants less in tertiary education Less than average foreign students Migrants more in tertiary education Less than average foreign students Difference in or with tertiary education 26 4. BENEFITS AND PROSPECTS 27 Benefits and prospects • More migrant students accessing and succeeding in higher education might have very powerful economical benefits – Additional skills input in the economy has a positive impact on growth – Employment opportunities improve – A more ‘open’ science and innovation system also seems to be a more productive and innovative one 28 The economic cost of educational underachievement • McKinsey calculated the economic cost of the 1983-1998 achievement gap in PISA results for the US today – Racial gap: black and Latino students to level of white students 2 to 4% 2008 GDP – Income gap: students from families earning <25k US$ to level of students from families >25k: 3 to 5% (1% 2008 US GDP ≈ 165 billion US$) 29 Proportion of employed 25-29y-old non-students with a tertiary education, working as technicians or as professionals by migrant status Born abroad Born in the country Total 100 90 2007 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 30 Difference 25-29y olds with tertiary ed in suitable employment Difference between 25-29y olds foreign born and born in country for tertiary education and employment (2007) Migrants less in tertiary education Migrants with tertiary education more employed Migrants more in tertiary education Migrants with tertiary education more employed Hungary Netherlands Czech R Norway France Austria Germany OECD Luxembourg Canada Iceland Australia Finland Italy Belgium Greece Portugal Spain Migrants less in tertiary education Migrants with tertiary education less employed Migrants more in tertiary education Migrants with tertiary education less employed Difference in or with tertiary education 31 Link with innovation 5. CONCLUSIONS 33 Conclusions • Demographic changes, skill demands of the knowledge economy and social change at large will increasingly request HE to mine hitherto untapped and even undiscovered talent, beyond the ‘easy’ solution of recruiting high-skilled on the international market. • There are large ‘reservoirs’ of talent in the disadvantaged communities in our counties, more specifically in the migrant community. 34 Conclusions • Access and – slowly – success of migrant students in HE is improving, but much more needs to be done • Mining talents in disadvantaged students will require more effective pedagogy and educational structures in institutions • Beyond the ethical call of duty and political correctness, economic and social benefits are potentially very huge, both for society at large and institutions 35 Thank you ! [email protected] www.oecd.org/edu/ceri 36
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