Modeling Queuing Phenomenon at Petrol Pumps -A Case Study of Bharat Petroleum Rakesh Kumar Lecturer School of Mathematics Shri Mata Vaishno Devi University, Sub Post Office, Katra-182320 (J&K)-INDIA Abstract The queuing problems are more frequent everywhere. A significant amount of time and resources are wasted if we do not have a suitable mechanism to deal with the rising congestion/queuing problems. This study is a part of a consultancy project which is undertaken at Bharat Petroleum. The problems of queues at various refueling points have been studied and the key reasons which result into long queues have been identified. The main objective is to study the queuing phenomena of vehicles and minimize the queues at various refueling points. The relevant data have been collected and the queuing analyses of different queues have been performed using TORA (Techniques of Operations Research Applications) software. Finally, some useful suggestions have been made. Introduction The problems of queues/ waiting lines are very common in our everyday life. Queues are usually seen at bus stop, ticket booths, petrol pump, bank counter, traffic lights and so on. Queuing theory deals with the mathematical description of behavior of queues. Queuing theory can be applied to a variety of operational situations where it is not possible to predict accurately the arrival rate of customers and service rate of service facilities. In particular, it can be used to determine the level of service (either the service rate or the number of service facilities). Email: [email protected], [email protected] 1 The present study is a part of a consultancy project which is undertaken at Bharat Petroleum petrol pump in Greater Noida, India. Bharat Petroleum petrol pump is one and only petrol pump in Greater Noida near the heart of the city adjacent to Ansal Plaza. It is the only petrol pump between Greater Noida and Noida 24 km expressway. Due to one and only fuel outlet in the city long queues can easily be seen in the service area. Company deals in supply of petrol, diesel, Xtra Premium, turbojet and lubricants from Bharat petroleum. Company has 8 refueling pumps, 4 for two wheelers and 4 for four wheelers and heavy vehicles. The petrol filling station has employed 12 service executives, 8 collection executives, 1 accountant and 1 supervisor working under the ownership of a Retired Army officer. The petrol pump was established in 15 January 2005 and was the second petrol pump after one in the Surajpur industrial area. The petrol pump is located at Pari Chowk the entry point and the most important square of Greator Noida. The completion and opening of Ansal Plaza one and only multiplex, increased business of the petrol pump significantly. Nearness to the Knowledge Parks also added to business because it added thousands of customers in its consumer pool. The problems of queues at various refueling points have been studied and the key reasons which result into long queues have been identified. The suitable queuing models have been developed for different queues by studying the arrival and service patterns of customers. The models have been solved using TORA software. Objectives of the study The objectives of the study are: (i) To understand and identify the queuing problems at petrol pumps. (ii) To perform quantitative decision making using the appropriate operations research models. 2 (iii) To develop suitable queuing models for minimizing the vehicle queues at various refueling points. (iv) To decide up on the opening of one more petrol pump. Methodology The methodology to solve the problem involves the following: 1. Primary data collection and direction observations 2. Secondary Data. 1. Primary data collection and direction observations: Several visits have been made to the petrol pump. The working staff was interviewed regarding the type of problems they were facing in queuing handling. The primary data concerning the arrival pattern of vehicles and their service pattern have been collected using the format given below: PRIMARY DATA BHARAT PETROLEUM QUEUE NO: SR. NO. VEHICLE NO. PRODUCT NAME:PETROL/SPEED TIME IN HOURS MINUTES TIME START SERVING SEC HOURS MINUTES SEC TIME OUT HOURS MINUTES SEC 1/λn Where 1/λn = Interarrival time , 1/μn = service time 3 1/μn 2. Secondary Data The secondary data pertaining to the number of service staff and their salary, number of supervisors and manger with their salary, cost of operating the machines, profit per unit and other overheads have also been collected. Formulation of Queuing Model At each refueling point there is only one queue and one service executive. The vehicles join a particular queue one by one and they are served one by one on first-come, first served (FCFS) basis. There is no limit on vehicles joining a particular queue. The primary data collected shows that there was complete randomness in arrival as well as service patterns. An M/M/1 queuing model has been proposed for each queue, which is based on the following assumptions: (i) The vehicles arrive at a particular queue one by one and follow Poisson distribution with parameter λ, where λ is the mean arrival rate. (ii) There is only one server at each queue and the vehicles are served one by one on FCFS basis. The service times are independently, identically and exponentially distributed with mean rate μ. (iii) The capacity of each queue is infinite, meaning thereby any number of vehicles can join a particular queue. Here, we have four M/M/1 parallel queues. The mean arrival rate λ and the mean service rate μ of the four queues have been calculated from the data as follows- 4 Queue No. λ μ 1 2 0.023355322 0.022886094 0.025971451 0.025546022 3 4 0.012843312 0.011187608 0.015487253 0.017223105 Solution of the model The Queuing model has been solved using the TORA software and the following results have been obtained. Various measures of performance like p0 –the probability that there is no customer in the queue, Ls- average number of customers in the system, Lq- average number of customers in the queue, Ws- average waiting time of a customer in the system, Wq- average waiting time of a customer in the queue, the server’s utilization and the server’s idle time have been computed for all the queues. QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS Title: Bharat Petroleum, Greater Noida Comparative Analysis Table 1. Scen ario (Queue) C (No. of Servers) Lambda Mu L'da p0 Ls Lq Ws (sec) Wq (sec) Server Utilizati on (%) Server Idle Time (%) 1 1 0.0233 0.0259 0.0233 0.1007 8.9271 8.0279 382.233 343.730 0.8992 0.1007 2 1 0.0228 0.0255 0.0228 0.1041 8.6041 7.7082 375.953 336.808 0.8958 0.1041 3 1 0.0128 0.0154 0.0128 0.1707 4.8575 4.0282 378.214 313.645 0.8292 0.1707 4 1 0.0111 0.0172 0.01119 0.3504 1.8536 1.2040 165.6863 107.6248 0.6495 0.3504 5 Results & Discussions Through the study it has been found that the most congested period is from 9:00 AM to 11:00 AM in morning and 4:00 pm to 6:00 PM in the evening. This is the time when most of the persons go to or come from their office and colleges, thus increasing the inflow of vehicles at the petrol pump. Rest all the times, they have limited number of vehicles which they can easily serve and the vehicles in the queue at that time were one or two vehicles waiting for their service. This suggests that Management can go for some part- time employees during the peak time periods and the cost of hiring such employees will also be low. The first two queues are for Petrol and the third and fourth queues are for Speed. From table-1, we can see that the average queue lengths in queues 1 and 2 are higher than in queues 3 and 4. Consequently, the average waiting times in queues 1 and 2 are higher than that of queues3 and 4. The comparative analysis of all the four queues in table-1 provides a quantitative basis for analyzing the queuing phenomena at petrol pump. The individual analysis of the four queues have been given in the annexure-I. In annexure-I, the probabilities of ‘n’ (n upto 20) number of customers in the queue have also been shown which help to deal with the uncertain queuing formations. The petrol pump manager can better decide quantitatively on the number of service executives required at a particular time period, the utilization of service facility, the idle periods and the delays faced by the customers in different queues. Such analysis will definitely help the manager efficiently run the facility. Earlier, the managing staff used to take decisions qualitatively, which was resulting into wastage of time and resources. The cost of opening another filling point is very high in comparison of the margin profit generating from that extra filling point. And the rate of arrival of the customers is very fluctuating so the idea of opening another filling point is not appropriate. Some more filling stations are soon opening in Greater Noida mainly one from Indian Oil at sector Delta, which can change the customers’ inflow so any further decision can only be taken after these competitors are functional. 6 Conclusion The queuing problems under consideration have been studied quantitatively. Suitable queuing models have been made and quantitative results have been obtained. The software results allow the manager of petrol pump to compare the various measures of performance of different queues. This analysis can help manager take decisions more precisely as compared to the decisions based on intuition and judgment. References 1. Taha, H. A., Operations Research, 7th Ed. (2005). 2. Trivedi, K.S., Probability and Statistics with Reliability, Queuing and Computer Science Applications, 15th Ed. (2003). 3. Kumar, Rakesh and Khan, Nuzhat, Customer Service and Queues at Big Bazaar, Gyanpratha (Accman Journal of Management Science), Vol. 1, No. 2 (July, 2009) 107113. 7 Annexure-I TORA Optimization System, Windows®-version 1.00 QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida Scenario 1-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity) Lambda = 0.02336, Mu = 0.02597 Lambda eff = 0.02336, Rho/c = 0.89927 Ls = 8.92718, Lq = 8.02792 Ws = 382.23377, Wq = 343.73003 n Probability, pn Cumulative, Pn 0 0.10073 0.10073 1 0.09059 0.19132 2 0.08146 0.27278 3 0.07326 0.34604 4 0.06588 0.41191 5 0.05924 0.47115 6 0.05327 0.52443 7 0.04791 0.57233 8 0.04308 0.61541 9 0.03874 0.65415 10 0.03484 0.68899 11 0.03133 0.72032 12 0.02817 0.74849 13 0.02534 0.77383 14 0.02278 0.79661 15 0.02049 0.81710 16 0.01842 0.83552 17 0.01657 0.85209 18 0.01490 0.86699 19 0.01340 0.88039 20 0.01205 0.89244 8 TORA Optimization System, Windows®-version 1.00 QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida Scenario 2-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity) Lambda = 0.02289, Mu = 0.02555 Lambda eff = 0.02289, Rho/c = 0.89588 Ls = 8.60412, Lq = 7.70824 Ws = 375.95398, Wq = 336.80891 n Probability, pn Cumulative, Pn 0 0.10412 0.10412 1 0.09328 0.19740 2 0.08357 0.28097 3 0.07487 0.35584 4 0.06707 0.42291 5 0.06009 0.48300 6 0.05383 0.53683 7 0.04823 0.58505 8 0.04320 0.62826 9 0.03871 0.66697 10 0.03468 0.70164 11 0.03107 0.73271 12 0.02783 0.76054 13 0.02493 0.78547 14 0.02234 0.80781 15 0.02001 0.82782 16 0.01793 0.84575 17 0.01606 0.86181 18 0.01439 0.87620 19 0.01289 0.88909 20 0.01155 0.90064 9 TORA Optimization System, Windows®-version 1.00 QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida Scenario 3-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity) Lambda = 0.01284, Mu = 0.01549 Lambda eff = 0.01284, Rho/c = 0.82928 Ls = 4.85753, Lq = 4.02825 Ws = 378.21483, Wq = 313.64579 n Probability, pn Cumulative, Pn 0 0.17072 0.17072 1 0.14158 0.31230 2 0.11741 0.42970 3 0.09736 0.52706 4 0.08074 0.60780 5 0.06696 0.67476 6 0.05553 0.73028 7 0.04605 0.77633 8 0.03819 0.81452 9 0.03167 0.84618 10 0.02626 0.87244 11 0.02178 0.89422 12 0.01806 0.91228 13 0.01498 0.92725 14 0.01242 0.93967 15 0.01030 0.94997 16 0.00854 0.95851 17 0.00708 0.96560 18 0.00587 0.97147 19 0.00487 0.97634 20 0.00404 0.98038 10 TORA Optimization System, Windows®-version 1.00 QUEUEING OUTPUT ANALYSIS Title: Bharat Petrolium G. Noida Scenario 4-- (M/M/1):(GD/infinity/infinity) Lambda = 0.01119, Mu = 0.01722 Lambda eff = 0.01119, Rho/c = 0.64957 Ls = 1.85363, Lq = 1.20406 Ws = 165.68636, Wq = 107.62480 n Probability, pn Cumulative, Pn 0 0.35043 0.35043 1 0.22763 0.57806 2 0.14786 0.72592 3 0.09605 0.82197 4 0.06239 0.88435 5 0.04053 0.92488 6 0.02632 0.95120 7 0.01710 0.96830 8 0.01111 0.97941 9 0.00721 0.98663 10 0.00469 0.99131 11 0.00304 0.99436 12 0.00198 0.99633 13 0.00128 0.99762 14 0.00083 0.99845 15 0.00054 0.99900 16 0.00035 0.99935 17 0.00023 0.99958 18 0.00015 0.99972 19 0.00010 0.99982 20 0.00006 0.99988 11 12
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