SCHOOL OF POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS POLM036 QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH METHODS MODULE HANDBOOK 2011-2012 Qualitative and Quantitative (POLM/036) Research Methods MODULE OUTLINE AND READING LIST Course convenors: Dr. Mark Pennington [email protected]; Professor Michael Kenny [email protected]; and Dr. Rainbow Murray [email protected] 1 MODULE DESCRIPTION This course provides essential research training in philosophy of social science, with particular reference to the study of Politics, and both qualitative and quantitative research methods. This is a compulsory core course for postgraduate research and M Res (1+3) students on these programmes. MODULE VALUE 60 credits MODULE OBJECTIVES The course has three main objectives: • to familiarise you with debates in the philosophy of social science, with particular reference to the study of Politics • to provide you with the skills to choose a research method on the basis of a critical understanding of the advantages and disadvantages of various qualitative and quantitative techniques • to provide you with essential research training skills in qualitative and quantitative methods to support research leading to the degrees of MPhil/PhD. LEARNING OUTCOMES Knowledge By the end of this course you should be able to: • display an advanced awareness of key conceptual debates in the humanities/social sciences • show familiarity with a range of methodological approaches and techniques in the humanities/social sciences in general, and Politics in particular • display an awareness of relevant ethical issues connected to research in political science • demonstrate knowledge and understanding of key qualitative and quantitative research techniques Skills (i) Generic By the end of this course you should have developed: • • the ability to read a wide range of text/materials critically, evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of different arguments the ability to communicate complex information accurately and clearly, orally and in writing, using structured and coherent arguments 2 • (ii) the ability to participate in group discussion and to collaborate effectively with others in group exercises Course specific By the end of this course you should have developed: • • advanced research skills, including the ability to select and use relevant resources effectively and to devise research questions appropriate for postgraduate research the capacity to undertake independent guided research at postgraduate level TEACHING ARRANGEMENTS The course is taught both semesters. In the first semester, it will be taught in a lecture/seminar format on Mondays, from 10-12 pm in Francis Bancroft 3:18. For the second semester, the course will be taught in a computer lab on Monday 10am-1pm (Francis Bancroft 1:23). This is to allow for the hands-on training in statistical software that is used for the quantitative elements of the course. Attendance at each weekly workshop is compulsory for first year research students (M Res, M Phil, PhD). MODULE ASSESSMENT Assessment is by course work. The first piece of coursework relates to the qualitative elements of the course and to the questions surrounding philosophy of social science, with particular reference to the study of Politics. The second and third piece of coursework will relate to the quantitative aspect of the course. Coursework 1: Research proposal Deadline: Monday January Jan 9th There are no set essay questions. Instead, you are asked to produce a detailed and extensive research proposal relating to your specific research topic. The proposal should include: An outline of the project topic; a literature review; and an outline and justification of the particular qualitative or quantitative research methods that you propose to use in conducting the research. The research proposal should be 5000 words maximum and is worth 50% of the total mark for this course. Coursework 2 & 3: Data projects Students are required to submit two written projects, both of which should use original data analysis and the various methods and techniques covered in the quantitative part of the course. Projects should be focused on the analysis of data whilst locating their analysis within the context of addressing and answering a research question. The marker will look at the accurate and effective use of a range of methods taught in the course, the accuracy and 3 presentation of graphs and tables, whether the tables are based on an original analysis of the data, whether the tables and graphs illustrate and advance ideas in the text and if the text accurately reports the results from the tables. Students are expected to conduct and provide evidence of the relevant statistical tests to verify their findings. Projects are pieces of academic writing and should make appropriate references to the literature and contain bibliographies. The usual penalties will apply to plagiarism. Coursework 2: 2000 word project Deadline: Monday 13 February (week 6) Project question: Use data from the British Election Study to illustrate and explain gender gaps in voting behaviour. Recommended reading for project (in addition to all reading on data analysis): • Norris, P (1999), “Gender: a gender-generation gap?” in P. Norris (ed) (1999), Critical Elections: British Parties and Voters in Long-Term Perspective (London: Sage) • Inglehart, I & Norris, P (1999), “The Developmental Theory of the Gender Gap: Women’s and Men’s Voting Behaviour in Global Perspective”, The International Political Science Review (May 1999) • Campbell, R (2006), Gender and the vote in Britain (Colchester: ECPR Press) (Further reading resources are also available on Blackboard) NB Additional reading is in the reading list for the quantitative part of the course. The emphasis for projects is on accurate data analysis, so the purpose of this literature is to guide the research and help you to generate plausible hypotheses that you can then test with the data. This project is worth 15% of the total mark for this course. Coursework 3: 3000 word project Deadline: Friday 30 March (week 12) This project provides the freedom to choose your own research question and use one or more of five different datasets provided, covering a range of themes. You will be expected to use a variety of techniques covered in the course, including multiple regression analysis. Rainbow Murray is happy to provide guidance for anyone struggling to think of a suitable question; this can be done in class, during office hours or via Blackboard. This project is worth 35% of the total mark for this course. Two copies of each piece of coursework should be submitted to Rainbow Murray during class, and an electronic copy should be submitted to the course Blackboard site. (The final piece of coursework is due on Friday of the last week of term to allow for a recap session at the start of that week; instructions for how to submit this coursework will be provided nearer the time.) 4 ---------------------------------------------------------------MODULE OUTLINE: SEMESTER 1 Week 1: Introduction/Research Ethics Week2: Introduction to the History of Political Science: a British approach to the study of Politics? Week 3: Positivism, Behaviouralism and the Interpretivist Turn Week 4: Post-structuralism and Discourse Theory Week 5: Institutionalism Week 6: Rational Choice Theory Week 7: (Reading week: no workshop) Week 8: Elite Interviewing and Documentary Analysis Week 9: Case Studies and the Comparative Method Week 10: Textual Analysis Week 11: Ethnography Week 12: Surveys and Opinion Polls ----------------------------------------------------------------------------GENERAL READING LIST T Ball A F Chalmers P Dunleavy R E Goodin & H-D Klingemann, eds., M Hollis Idioms of Inquiry: Critique and Renewal in Political Science What is this thing called Science? Authoring a PhD: How to Plan, Draft, Write and Finish a Doctoral Thesis or Dissertation A New Handbook of Political Science The Philosophy of Social Science: An Introduction The Oxford Handbook of British Politics M.Flinders, A.Gamble, C.Hay & M.Kenny, eds., D Marsh and G Stoker Theories and Methods of Political Science L Phillips & M W Jorgensen Discourse Analysis as Theory and Method D Silverman Interpreting Qualitative Data: Methods for Analyzing Talk, Texts and Interaction 5 N S R Walliman, ed., P Winch G H von Wright Your Research Project: A Step-by-Step Guide for the First-Time Researcher The Idea of a Social Science and its Relation to Philosophy Explanation and Understanding If you wish to purchase a 'textbook', the following are recommended: D Marsh and G Stoker, And/or P Burnham et al., Theories and Methods of Political Science, 2nd edition (2002) Research Methods in Politics, 2nd edition (2008) A minimum of essential reading will be set each week by the workshop convenor. Part One: Semester 1 Week 1 Introduction/Research Ethics: Mark Pennington Essential Reading: K Dowding ‘There Must Be End to Confusion: Policy Networks, Intellectual Fatigue, and the Need for Political Science Methods Courses in British Universities’, Political Studies, 49 (2001), 89-105 D Marsh and M Smith ‘There is More than One Way to Do Political Science’, Political Studies 49 (2001), 528-41 Week 2 Introduction to the History of Political Science: a British approach to the study of Politics?: Michael Kenny How and when did ‘Politics’ develop as a separate discipline within the academy? And to what extent has the history of its emergence from the influence of other powerful subjects, such as History, Philosophy and Law, shaped how political science is conceived and conducted? This seminar focuses on the question of whether there has been a specifically British approach to the study of politics, and considers if the British tradition represents an obstacle or a platform for contemporary research. Was the study of politics in Britain conducted in too amateurish a manner? Do we now need to rely predominantly upon theoretical approaches and methodologies imported from elsewhere, notably American political science? And what stance should professional political science adopt towards politics itself? 6 Key Questions When did political science emerge as a subject in the modern University? What has been the ‘British’ approach to political study? How much distance does professional political science require from political life? What are the benefits of theories and approaches associated with US political science? Essential Reading R Adcock & M.Bevir J Farr M Kenny ‘The History of Political Science’, Political Studies Review, 3 (2005), 1-16 ‘The History of Political Science’, American Journal of Political Science, 32/4 (1988), 1175-95 ‘Politics as an Academic Vocation’, in M.Flinders, A.Gamble, C.Hay & M.Kenny, eds., The Oxford Handbook of British Politics Additional Reading ‘The British Study of Politics’, in M.Flinders, A.Gamble, C.Hay & M.Kenny, eds., The Oxford Handbook of British Politics M Bevir ‘Political studies as narrative and science, 1880–1980’, Political Studies 54 (2006), 583–606 M Bevir ‘Prisoners of Professionalism: On the Construction and Responsibility of Political Studies’, Public Administration, 79 (2), 469–89 J Hayward, et al., The Study of British Politics in the Twentieth Century B Crick, The American Science of Politics M Kenny, ‘The Case for Disciplinary History: British Political Studies in the 1950s and 1960s, British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 6 (4), 2004, 565-83. J Gunnell Imagining the American Polity: Political Science and the Discourse of Democracy D Ricci The Tragedy of Political Science R Adcock, M Bevir Modern Political Science & S Stimson, eds., R.Goodin Week 3: Postivism, Behaviouralism and the Interpretivist Turn: Michael Kenny The study of political science has been profoundly affected by debates in the philosophy of the social sciences about whether our theories of political phenomena should be developed subsequent to the collection of empirical evidence (the ‘inductive’ view, broadly speaking) or should be developed 7 separately from, and tested against, the available evidence (the deductive view). The question of what is the scope for the ‘testing’ of theories in relation to Politics has been the subject of considerable debate within Anglo-American political science. This session introduces Karl Popper’s contributions to these debates and their impact upon positivist conceptions of the discipline, and will chart the emergence of the behaviouralist revolution. It will also introduce students to some of the most important critiques of the claims to ‘value-free’ political science, and explore the different causes of the ‘interpretivist’ turn in recent years. Key Questions: Why did Popper reject inductive approaches to social science in favour of the hypothetico-deductive model? Can the methods of the natural sciences be applied in a social science context? Why is positivism particularly associated with the use of quantitative research methods? What were the premises and pitfalls of behaviouralism? What are the major critiques of positivism and behaviouralism? Essential reading A F Chalmers R Johns M Bevir & R Rhodes What is this thing called Science?, chapters 1-10 ‘Behaviouralism’, in M Flinders, A Gamble, C Hay & M Kenny, eds., The Oxford Handbook of British Politics ‘Interpretive Theory’, in D.Marsh & G.Stoker, eds., Theories and Methods of Political Science Additional reading D Sanders R Dahl P Dunleavy R J Bernstein P Feyerabend J Glynos & D Howarth T Kuhn ‘Behaviouralism’ in D Marsh & G Stoker, eds., Theories and Methods of Political Science ‘The Behavioural Approach to Political Science’, American Political Science Review, 55 (1961), 763-72 ‘Political Behavior: Institutional & Experiential Approaches’, in R Goodin & H Klingemann, eds., A New Handbook of Political Science The Restructuring of Social and Political Theory, Part I: Empirical Theory Against Method: Outline of an Anarchistic Theory of Knowledge, 3rd edition, pp. vii-xiv, 123, 214-37, 268-72 Logics of Critical Explanation in Social and Political Theory The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd edition, chapter 10 and Postscript I Lakatos & 8 A Musgrave, eds., D Marsh & G Stoker I Oren K Popper A Ryan G H von Wright Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge Theories and Methods of Political Science, 2nd edition ‘Can Political Science Emulate the Natural Sciences? The problem of Self-Disconfirming Analysis’, Polity 38, (2006), 72-99 The Logic of Scientific Discovery ‘Is the Study of Society a Science?’, in D Potter et al., Society and the Social Sciences: An Introduction, Chapter 2 The Logical Problem of Induction, 2nd edition, Chapter 4 Week 4 Post-structuralism and Discourse Theory: Lasse Thomassen This workshop will consider post-structuralist approaches to political analysis and, in particular, what is called discourse theory. Like other post-empiricist approaches to the philosophy of social science, post-structuralism rejects empiricism and positivism. While post-structuralists share a focus on meaning with hermeneuticists, they also break with the latter on important points. Debates about the creation of meaning, rationality and objectivity, the role of language, and the importance of historical and cultural context, will be discussed. Problems of contingency, relativism and subjectivism that are sometimes associated with post-structuralism will also be broached. Key Questions What challenge might post-structuralism pose for theories of human action? Is post-structuralism anti-science? What kind of assumptions does a post-structuralist methodology make about the social world? How might this be applied to qualitative research? (You might want to think about decision-making structures and power relations in this context). Can social institutions be treated and studied as discourses? Can discourse theory explain anything? Essential readings J Williams Understanding Poststructuralism, chap 1 and 7 ... and one of the following: D Howarth ‘Discourse Theory’, in D Marsh & G Stoker, eds, Theory and Methods in Political Science 9 D Howarth ‘Discourse theory and political analysis’, in E Scarbrough & E Tanenbaum, eds., Research Strategies in the Social Sciences Additional readings European Political Science 2:1 (2002). ‘Symposium: Discourse Analysis and Political Science’ K Atkins, ed., Self and Subjectvity: Blackwell Readings in Continental Philosophy (Sections on poststructuralism and feminist philosophy) B E Babich et al., Continental and Postmodern Perspectives in the Philosophy of Science T Ball Idioms of Inquiry: Critique and Renewal in Political Science, Part II W E Connolly The Terms of Political Discourse, 3rd edition A Finlayson & J Valentine, eds., Politics and Poststructuralism: An Introduction D Fuss Essentially Speaking: Feminism, Nature & Difference, chapters 1, 6 and 7 M Foucault Power/Knowledge: Interviews with Michel Foucault J Glynos & D Howarth Logics of critical Explanation in Social and Political Theory I Hacking Historical Ontology D Howarth Discourse D Howarth ‘Applying Discourse Theory: the Method of Articulation’, in D Howarth & J Torfing, eds., Discourse Theory in European Politics: Identity, Policy and Governance D Howarth, A J Norval & Y Stavrakakis Discourse Theory and Political Analysis E Laclau ‘Philosophical Roots of Discourse Theory’, available at http://www.essex.ac.uk/centres/TheoStud/docum ents_and_files/pdf/Laclau%20%20philosophical%20roots%20of%20discourse %20theory.pdf E Laclau ‘Discourse’, in R A Goodin & P Pettit, eds., A Companion to Contemporary Political Philosophy E Laclau ‘Ideology and post-Marxism’, Journal of Political Ideologies 11 (2), 2006, 103-14 E Laclau & C Mouffe Hegemony and Socialist Strategy L Phillips & M W Jørgensen Discourse Analysis as Theory and Method M Sarup An Introductory Guide to Poststructuralism and Postmodernism Y Sherratt Continental Philosophy of Science 10 L Thomassen J Torfing J Torfing M Wetherell et al. eds., ‘Discourse analytical strategies: antagonism, hegemony and ideology after heterogeneity’, Journal of Political Ideologies 10, 2005, 289-309 New Theories of Discourse: Laclau, Mouffe and Žižek ‘Discourse Theory: Achievements, Arguments, and Challenges’, in D Howarth & J Torfing, eds., Discourse Theory in European Politics: Identity, Policy and Governance Discourse Theory and Practice Week 5 Cultural Institutionalism: Brendan O’Duffy In contrast to rational choice, institutionalism’s emphasis on institutions as coordination mechanisms that create or sustain equilibria, cultural (or ‘historical’) institutionalism argue that institutions emerge from and are embedded in temporal processes that create large degrees of path dependency to limit individual autonomy. The seminar will first explore at a general theoretical level the contrasting explanations of institutional evolution offered by rational choice and cultural institutionalism. We will then apply insights from the comparative theories of institutional change to the phenomena of nationalism and ethno-national conflict as a way of exploring the potential for synthesis between the two institutional approaches. Key Questions: What are the main ontological and epistemological differences between rational choice and cultural (historical) institutionalism? To what extent are the two approaches complementary? In what ways do cultural institutional approaches to the study of nationalism (Hutchinson) and ethno-national conflict address the ‘agency’ problem in their explanations of institutional change? How have rational choice approaches to linguistic nationalism (Laitin) incorporated insights from cultural institutionalism? Essential reading: G Steinmetz K Thelan ‘Introduction: Culture and the State’ in G Steinmetz ., eds., State/Culture: New Approaches to the State after the Cultural Turn (1999) ‘Historical Institutionalism in Comparative Perspective’, Annual Review of Political Science, (1999), 369-404 Applied to nationalism: 11 J Hutchinson S J Kaufman D Laitin ‘Hot and Banal Nationalisms’, chap 4, in Nations as Zones of Conflict (2005) ‘The Symbolic Politics of Ethnic War, chap 2, in Modern Hatreds: The Symbolic Politics of Ethnic War Nations, States and Violence (2010) chap 4. Additional Readings: ‘Articulating Theories of States and State Formation’, Journal of Historical Sociology, 22 (4), 2009, 553-603 P Corrigan and D Sayer The Great Arch: English State Formation as Cultural Revolution (1985) A Greif and D Laitin, ‘A Theory of Endogenous Institutional Change’, American Political Science Review, 98 (4), 2004, 63352 P Carroll Week 6 Rational Choice Theory and Research Methods: Mark Pennington This seminar will explore how the central concern of rational choice theory individual responsiveness to ‘incentives’ - is reflected in the nature of debates over appropriate research methodologies in political science. The seminar will consider the link between ‘hard’ rational choice theory and a quantitative approach to empirical political science and the alternative research methods adopted by ‘soft’ variants of the theory. It will also consider the difference between rational choice models in a ‘hypothesis testing’ context and their use in the formation of ‘analytic narratives’. Key Questions: What are the differences between ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ rational choice theory? Why is ‘hard’ rational choice associated with a ‘hypothesis testing’ approach to empirical work? Is ‘soft’ rational choice compatible with a ‘hypothesis testing’ approach? What role can case studies play in rational choice research? How might rational choice theory be used in the context of ‘analytic narratives’? Reading: Essential Reading R Bates, et al. Critical Review, Analytic Narratives Vol. 9. Nos 1-2 – a special issue of this journal on Rational Choice, particularly recommended are 12 the papers by Chong, Fiorina, Lohmann, and Shepsle. These and other papers were subsequently republished as: J Friedman, ed., The Rational Choice Controversy Additional readings D Green & I Shapiro A Hindmoor Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory Rational Choice, especially Chapter 9. M Lichbach Is Rational Choice Theory All of Social Science?, especially Chapters 1-4 and 10. ‘Contending Conceptions of the Theory of Rational Action’, Journal of Theoretical Politics, 11 (2), 171-202 ‘A Behavioural Approach to the Rational Choice Theory of Collective Action, American Political Science Review, 92 (1), 1-22 Governing the Commons ‘Discourses of the Prisoners’ Dilemma: The Role of the Local Press in Environmental Policy, Environmental Politics, 10 (3), 2001, 48-71 K D Opp E Ostrom E Ostrom Y Rydin & M Pennington Week 7 Reading Week: no workshop Week 8 Elite Interviews and Documentary Analysis: Adam Fagan The aim of this workshop is twofold. First, it provides an introduction to the range of documentary sources available to the political scientist and assesses the merits of different types of documentary material. Second, it considers a technique particularly employed by political scientists, elite interviewing. In so doing, it explains what is distinctive about this technique and examines the problems associated with its use. Key questions: What methods should we use to select the appropriate documentary sources for our research? How can we design elite interview schedules as part of a process of hypothesis testing? How can we design elite interviews as part of an interpretive research project? 13 What are the strengths and weaknesses of elite interviewing as a technique? Essential reading: P. Burnham, et al., Research Methods in Politics (2004) chapter 7 ‘Documentary and Archival Analysis’. Additional reading: A. Milward, R. Gardner, The Reconstruction of Western Europe 1945-51 (1984). Classic reinterpretation of European post-war reconstruction drawing on archival sources from six countries and documentary material from eleven more. It illustrates how archives can be drawn upon to build a clear argument rather than simply offer a narrative. Sterling Dollar Diplomacy in Current Perspective (1980). Carefully researched account of post-war diplomacy using official documents, newspaper reports, journals and other published material. H. Rubin and I.Rubin, Qualitative Interviewing (1995). This remains the most useful text on qualitative interviewing and Political Science Politics 35 (4) 2002, contains a number of helpful articles on the application of the technique in the study of politics. A Jones and J. Clark, The Modalities of European Union Governance (2001). This book makes effective use of interviews with over one hundred actors in the EU multi-level governance system. Week 9 Case Studies and the Comparative Method: Mark Pennington This session will consider both the rationale for using case studies within a Political Science research project and explore various methodological approaches to their use as part of qualitative and quantitative research. In particular, we will consider how to select case studies as part of sample surveys; how to use and select case studies as the basis of both small and largescale comparative research; how to use case studies either to ‘test’ hypotheses or to extend understanding of the differences between apparently unique cases. Workshop questions: What is the rationale for using case studies as part of a research project? What factors will determine the selection of case studies for a comparative research project? How can case studies be used to test hypotheses as part of a qualitative and/or quantitative study? 14 How can case studies be employed to extend understanding of apparently unique cases? Reading: A Bennett & A George H E Brady & D Collier B Geddes R K Yin Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences Rethinking Social Inquiry Paradigms and Sand Castles, especially chapter 3 Case Study Research, especially chapters 1, 2 and 3 Week 10 Textual Analysis: Judith Bara As we have already seen (in Week 9), documentary materials are a fruitful source of data which can be ‘excavated’ to provide estimates or infer meaning. This week we will consider how this can be managed effectively by means of discourse analysis or content analysis. Essentially an epistemological tool, discourse analysis is a qualitative method which focuses on language as a social construction. Content analysis can be used qualitatively and as a basis for quantitative analysis and is a pioneer in the quest for enhancing validity through the process of triangulation. Increasingly, studies based on content analysis are employing computerised techniques. The workshop will focus mainly on content analysis of political text. Workshop questions: Can we establish both saliency and meaning by means of content analysis? How do we engage in content analysis of political documents? Essential Reading P Burnham, et al., I Budge, H-D Klingemann A Volkens, J Bara & E Tanenbaum D Howarth Research Methods in Politics, 2nd edition, Chapter 10 ‘Discourse Analysis and Other Methods’. Mapping Policy Preferences, especially Introduction and Chapter 2 ‘Discourse Theory’, in D Marsh and G Stoker, eds., Theories and Methods of Political Science Additional Reading R P Weber Basic Content Analysis 15 K Krippendorf K A Neuendorf D Howarth N Fairclough Applications: N Fairclough A Norval J Bara J Bara J Bara J Bara, A Weale & A Bicquelet Content Analysis: An introduction to its methodology The Content Analysis Guidebook Discourse Analysing Discourse New Labour, New Language Deconstructing Apartheid Discourse ‘The 2005 Manifestos: A sense of déjà vu?’, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 16 (3), 2006, 265-82 ‘Do parties reflect public concerns?’ in J Bara and A Weale, eds., Democratic Politics and Party Competition ‘A Question of Trust: Implementing Party Manifestos’, Parliamentary Affairs, 58 (3), 2005, 585-99 ‘Analysing Parliamentary Debate with Computer Assistance’, Swiss Political Science Review, 13 (4), 2007, 577-606 Week 11 Focus Groups, Ethnography and Participant Observation: Mark Pennington This workshop will focus on how to use qualitative research tools to explore group discussions or observe research subjects in their lived environment. It will consider how to use methodological tools to test hypotheses and to undertake more interpretive research approaches. It will look at how to set up these methods of data capture and how to approach the analysis of data. As well as looking at the theory of group discussions, ethnography and participant observation, the session will explore case studies in which these methods have been used. Key Questions What types of research question can best be explored through focus groups, ethnography and participant observation? How should data generated by these methods be analysed? Essential Reading G Payne and J Payne Key Concepts in Social Research (entries on Ethnography, Ethnomethodology and Conversational Analysis, Participant Observation and Qualitative Methods) 16 P. Burnham and K. Gilland Research Methods in Politics W. Grant and Z. Layton(2004) Chapter 10 ‘Participation Observation and the Analysis of Communications’. Additional Reading ‘The methodology of Focus Groups: the importance of interaction between research participants’, Sociology of Health and Illness, 16 (1), 1994, 103-121 S. Wilkinson ‘Focus Groups in Feminist Research: Power, Interaction and the Co-Construction of Meaning’, Women’s Studies International Forum, 21 (1), 1998, 111-125 D. Silverman ‘Analysing conversation’ in C.Seale, ed., Researching Society and Culture (1998), 261-74 A. Finlayson, et al The interpretive approach in political science: a symposium, British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 6 (2), 2004, 129-164 D. Morgan Focus Groups as Qualitative Research (1997) D. Stewart & P. Shamdasani Focus Groups: Theory and Practice (1990) J. Templeton The Focus Group: a strategic guide to organizing, conducting and analyzing the focus group interview (1994) T. Greenbaum The Handbook for Focus Group Research (1998) M. Bloor et al., Focus Groups in Social Research (2001) R. Krueger Developing Questions for Focus Group (1998) R. Krueger Moderating Focus Groups (1998) D. Silverman, ed., Qualitative Research: Theory, Method and Practice (1997) B. Berg Qualitative Research Methods for the Social Sciences (2001) A. Holliday Doing and Writing Qualitative Research London: (2002) H. Wolcott Writing up Qualitative Research (2001) J. Kitzinger Week 12 Surveys and Opinion Polls: Rainbow Murray This session considers the issues and potential pitfalls in designing and interpreting surveys and opinion polls. Areas covered include question wording; question sequencing; the use of loaded, leading and misleading questions; sampling bias; response rates; overlapping categories; survey length; the differences between face-to-face, telephone, postal and internet surveys; social desirability bias; multiple interpretations; double-barrelled questions; pilots; open-ended and closed questions. We will then have a go at designing surveys which avoid the usual traps. 17 Workshop questions How can surveys be used in social research? What precautions should be used when interpreting public opinion polls? How can the pitfalls of poor survey design be avoided? Essential reading P Burnham et al., Research Methods in Politics 2nd edition Chapter 4 and relevant sections of Chapter 8 Additional material will also be provided on Blackboard. Additional reading P L Alreck, & R B Settle, The Survey Research Handbook (2nd edition) E R Babbie Survey Research Methods L B Bourque & E P Fiedler, How to Conduct Self-Administered and Mail Surveys N M Bradburn & S Sudman Improving Interview Method and Questionnaire Design N M Bradburn & S Sudman, Polls and Surveys: Understanding What They Tell Us L M Rea & R A Parker Designing and Conducting Survey Research P Salant & D A Dillman How to Conduct your Own Survey N Moon Opinion Polls: History, Theory and Practice F Joliffe Survey Design and Analysis F Fowler Improving Survey Questions: Design and Evaluation H Schuman Questions and Answers in Attitude Surveys: Experiments on Question Form, Wording and Context F Fowler Survey Research Methods, Chapters 5-7. * D DeVaus Surveys in Social Research, Chapters 6 & 7. *J Manheim & P Rich Empirical Political Analysis: Research Methods in Political Science, Chapter 8. N Sauger ‘Assessing the accuracy of the polls for the French presidential election: the 2007 experience’, French Politics, 6 (2), 116-136 You should also take a look at journals such as Political Analysis, The Public Opinion Quarterly and JEPOP (The Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 18 MODULE OUTLINE: SEMESTER 2 The second part of the course looks at quantitative research methods. This part of the course is taught differently to the first part. Sessions are interactive and comprise a lecture followed by a hands-on computer lab session. The lectures introduce theories and concepts, while the lab sessions teach students how to apply these concepts in practice using the statistical software programme SPSS. Sessions are both challenging and cumulative, so it is extremely important that you make every effort to attend each week or you will fall behind and find it harder to follow. Please note that in order to use computer software during these sessions, they will be held in a different venue to the first part of the course. The classes are also longer in order to allow time for questions and to allow for the variable pace at which students will progress during the computer lab sessions. Students who adapt quickly to the techniques learned in this course may not require the full three hours, but students should always be available until 1pm in case they do require extra guidance in any given week. Readings are not provided for each individual week. Much of what is taught is based on statistical theory and on the practical application of SPSS, so general readings covering these two areas are offered at the end of this handbook. Additional readings are suggested for the first project. In addition, articles using the techniques covered in the course will be available on Blackboard as an illustration of how the methods can be applied in practice. The course does not assume any prior knowledge of statistics or SPSS, and the course begins at an introductory level, although it advances fairly quickly so students should allow the necessary preparation time each week to enable them to keep pace. Students are expected to do sufficient reading to understand the concepts introduced each week, and to practise data analysis between sessions to make sure that they are confident about applying what they have learned. SPSS can be used on university computers and is also available for purchase at a subsidised fee if people wish to practise at home. Week 1 Introduction to quantitative analysis using SPSS This lecture introduces the concept of data analysis and explains how and why social scientists use this kind of research. This session provides a taster of the quantitative methods section of the course. Students are introduced to concepts such as the difference between dependent and independent variables; sampling; significance; correlation; and error. The session is followed by an introduction to SPSS, where students are shown the software and learn how to input data. Week 2 Descriptive statistics This lecture begins with a recap and refresher from the first session. Students are then introduced to new concepts including distributions, standard deviations 19 and the difference between nominal, ordinal and interval variables. Descriptive statistics such as frequencies and cross-tabulations are introduced, and students are taught how to test for significance using chi squares. The lab session teaches students how to conduct and analyse descriptive statistics using SPSS, and how to recode their variables. Week 3 Measurements and scales This week we think about how things are measured and categorised, and how this is translated into numerical data. We learn how to group variables together and to compare them for certain kinds of analysis. We then learn about scales and scale reliability, using more than one measure to test the same thing in order to reduce bias. In the lab session we learn how to sort, split and group data, and how to conduct statistical tests of scale reliability, using data from the British Electoral Survey (BES). Week 4 Measures of association and correlation In this lecture we look at relationships between variables. In addition to the significance of a relationship, we also need to think about the strength and the direction of a relationship so that we know what it is telling us and how it compares to other relationships. We look at correlations, outliers and interpretations. This is the first step towards being able to make predictions based on our data. In the lab session, we learn how to test the correlations between variables and look at different statistical tests for measuring these relationships. Week 5 Recap, preparing for the first project This session provides an opportunity to evaluate what we have learned so far, to go over any concepts that students are uncertain about, and to introduce the first coursework project and explain what is expected of students. The first project will be based on material covered up to and including this session. Students may use the lab session to revisit areas they have found difficult or to begin work on their projects with the benefit of supervision and guidance. Week 6 Statistical primer This week is compulsory for MRes students, and optional for PhD students who will not be making extensive use of quantitative methods in their theses. The purpose of this session is to explain statistical concepts in greater depth. The lecture will provide a richer and more detailed understanding of the theories and principles underlining the practical elements of the course. Concepts explored will include standard error, standard deviation, the central limit theorem, comparing means, and analysis of variance (ANOVA). The lab session will show you how to compare means within and between groups. 20 Week 7 Reading week – no class Week 8 Introduction to regression This lecture introduces regression analysis, explaining the basic principles behind regression and the practical applications of regression analysis for political research. The lecture explains the potentials and limitations of regression and introduces the theoretical concepts underlying bivariate regression. The importance of understanding error is also explained. The lab session begins with a guided walkthrough of how to conduct and interpret a regression, with an emphasis on understanding the various pieces of information provided in the regression output. Week 9 Multiple regression This week we expand on the concepts learned last week and apply them to multivariate analysis – that is to say, conducting a regression with more than one independent variable. The theory behind multiple regression is explained and various concepts are introduced, including standard errors, confidence intervals, T values, standardised versus non-standardised coefficients and R2. The lab session allows you to have a go at doing your own regressions, with guidance provided on how to interpret your findings. Week 10 Violations of regression: multicollinearity and heteroscedasticity This lecture begins by explaining some of the assumptions underlying regression analysis, and then explains what happens if these assumptions are violated. Two common problems are multicollinearity and heteroscedasticity. These are introduced with an emphasis on what causes them, what consequences they have, and how to fix them. This is followed in the lab session by using diagnostic tools on SPSS to determine whether a regression suffers from either of these problems, and considering ways to resolve the problem. Week 11 Logistic regression Logistic regression is a valuable variant of regression which allows regression analysis to be conducted when the dependent variable is a dummy variable. This session is of benefit to those wishing to use logistic regression in their future research, but students are not expected to include logistic regression in their projects. The concepts of logistic regression are explained, the differences between logistic and OLS regression explored, and the different ways of interpreting the output are discussed. The lab session begins with a demonstration of how to conduct a logistic regression and interpret the output 21 using the concepts introduced in the lecture. Students are then encouraged to conduct their own logistic regressions using the BES dataset. Week 12 Recap and preparing for the second project This is the final session before the second project is due. The lecture revisits the core concepts covered in weeks 8-11, reviewing regression analysis, interpretation of output, problems with the data and how to diagnose and resolve them, and logistic regression. Students are welcome to bring their projects along to the lab session and ask for help with any problem areas. General reading list – quantitative research methods Rowntree, D. (1991) Statistics without tears: A primer for non-mathematicians. London: Penguin Healy, J. (1998) Statistics: a Tool for Social Research. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth Burton, D. (Ed.) (2000) Research Training for Social Scientists: A Handbook for graduate researchers. London: Sage King, G. (1986) ‘How not to lie with statistics: avoiding common mistakes in quantitative political science’, American Journal of Political Science, vol 30, no 3, 666-687 (on Blackboard) Pennings, P., Keman, H. & Kleinnijenhuis, J. (1999) Doing Research in Political Science. London: Sage Graziano, A. M. & M. L. Raulin (2010), Research Methods : A process of inquiry, Seventh Edition. Boston: Pearson Education. On SPSS/ PASW George, D & P. Mallery (2010), SPSS for Windows Step by Step. Eleventh edition, 18.0 update. Pearson Education. Field, A (2009) Discovering statistics using SPSS 3nd editon. Sage. Norusis, Marija (2011), PASW Statistics 18 Guide to Data Analysis. Pearson. Stern, L. D. (2010), A Visual Approach to SPSS for Windows: a guide to SPSS 17.0. Second edition. Pearson. On statistical theory Levin, Jack, James Fox, and David Forde (2009), Elementary Statistics in Social Research, 11th edition. (international ed) Pearson/Allyn and Bacon. Agresti, Alan, and Barbara Finlay (2008), Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences (International edition 4th). Pearson (harder) Gujarati, D. (1995) Basic Econometrics. New York London : McGraw-Hill On regression Allison, P. (1999) Multiple Regression: A Primer. Thousand Oaks, California: Pine Forge Press (recommended) 22 Lewis-Beck, M (1985) Applied regression: an introduction. Sage. Berry, William D. (1993), Understanding Regression Assumptions. Series: Quantitative Analysis in the Social Sciences. Sage. Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1995. Data Analysis: An Introduction. Sage. Lewis-Beck, Michael (1980), Applied Regression: An Introduction. Series: Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences, 22. Sage Publishers. Schroeder, Larry D., David L. Sjoquist, and Paula, E. Stephan (1986), Understanding Regression Analysis: An Introductory Guide. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. On gender gaps in voting behaviour (for project 1) Essential Norris, P (1999), “Gender: a gender-generation gap?” in P. Norris (ed) (1999), Critical Elections: British Parties and Voters in Long-Term Perspective (London: Sage) Inglehart, I & Norris, P (1999), “The Developmental Theory of the Gender Gap: Women’s and Men’s Voting Behaviour in Global Perspective”, The International Political Science Review (May 1999) Campbell, R. (2004) ‘Gender, Ideology and Issue Preference: Is There such a Thing as a Political Women’s Interest in Britain?’, The British Journal of Politics and International Relations, vol. 6 (1), pp. 20-44. Further reading Campbell, R. (2006) Gender and the Vote in Britain. Colchester: ECPR Press. Childs, S. (2004) ‘A British Gender Gap? Gender and Political Participation’, The Political Quarterly, vol. 75(4), October, pp. 422-424. Hill, L. (2003) ‘The Political Gender Gap: Australia, Britain and the United States’, Policy and Society, vol. 22(1), pp. 69-96. Ingelhart, I. and Norris, P. (2002) The Gender Gap in Voting and Public Opinion, pp. 1-16, available at http://ksghome.harvard.edu/~pnorris/ACROBAT/risingtide/Chapter%204.pdf Norris, P. (1996) ‘Mobilising the ‘Women’s Vote: The Gender-Generation Gap in Voting Behaviour’, Parliamentary Affairs, vol. 49 (1), pp. 333-342. 23
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