Private Agricultural Investments and Land Use Change Impact on the Adaptive Capacity of Local Communities to Climate Change in Mozambique (PAIMO) Dr. Eshetu Yirdaw*, Prof. Markku Kanninen, MSc Adrián Monge Monge (VITRI) MSc Paula Horne** , Dr Leena Kerkelä, Dr Matleena Kniivilä (PTT) Prof. Almeida Sitoe, Prof. Valerio Macandza, Dr Benard Guedes (UEM) Source: Olavi Luukkanen, Cameroon General objective: Source: http://www.tlfq.ulaval.ca/axl/afrique/mozambique-map.htm To formulate criterion for climate proofing of private agricultural investments in developing countries Specific objectives: Research area: Preliminary discussions with local partners and local Finnish Embassy suggested the Niassa province (north) as an area with several PAI including investments on agriculture, biofuels and forest plantations 1. Mapping of private agricultural investments in Mozambique (PTT-UEM) 2. Studying changes in livelihoods and availability of ES in the neighbourhood of selected investment sites (PTT-UEM) 3. Evaluating the effect of selected PAI on the Adaptive Capacity of local communities to CC (VITRI-UEM) 4. Estimating the change in carbon stocks as a result of land use change and the reallocation of local communities to new areas (VITRI-UEM) Expected outcomes: 2. Studying changes in livelihood and availability of ES: •Survey topics (structured interview): • Demographic background • Means of livelihood • Perceived impacts of PAI on livelihood • Perceived impacts of CC on livelihood, and adaptation strategies • Perceptions related to changes in ecosystem services • Identification of the livelihood resources most important to climate adaptation (CRISTAL) • Provide a better understanding of real costs & benefits of private agricultural investments (PAI) • Quantification of the impact on the adaptive capacity of communities • Identification of key factors affecting adaptive capacity • Policy suggestions in relation to the current legal and institutional framework Source: http://www.decide.la/ 3. Evaluating the effect of selected PAI on the AC of local communities • Use of CRISTAL V. 5 (http://www.iisd.org/cristaltool/) • Using the information collected during the livelihoods analysis 1. Mapping of PAI: A similar exercise as the one prepared by the DECIDE project in Lao PDR. Selection of specific research sites will be based on the following criteria: • Size of investment • Accessibility • Type of investment • Presence of similar sites to be used as reference points Source: Olavi Luukkanen, Ethiopia VITRI, Viikki Tropical Resources Institute, Dept. of Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, www.helsinki.fi/vitri *) Dr. Eshetu Yirdaw, email: [email protected], Tel. +358 (09) 191 58627 **) MSc Paula Horne, email: [email protected], Tel. +358 (09) 3488 844 4. Change in carbon stocks as a result of land use change & reallocation of local communities • Above ground + below ground + soil carbon • Different methodologies in different land uses • May require preparation of own allometric functions
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