Welcome to this experiment on decision making Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies dept. of Theoretical Biology General overview • • • • • Instructions (ca. 15 minutes) Receiving desk number Going to lab Experiment (max. 120 minutes) Payment (outside laboratory) • Earnings: 30 +/- 30 Euros General overview • • • • • Instructions (ca. 15 minutes) Receiving desk number Going to lab Experiment (max. 120 minutes) Payment (outside laboratory) • Earnings: 30 +/- 30 Euros In the lab… • • • • • Instructions are on your desk Quiz Experiment itself Questionnaire Payment (outside of the lab…) The experiment • Do not talk inside the laboratory • You will earn money depending on your decisions and the decisions of others • You get a show-up fee of XXX Euros • Payments are anonymous • You start out with XXX points • 10 points are worth 1 Euro The experiment • Lasts for 10 periods • Each period you will be part of a group • Randomly assigned • Anonymous • You get a ‘symbol’ • #, $, %, etc Interacting in your group • • • • • ‘Contribution game’ At least 1 round New round will start with a 80% chance Period ends with a 20% chance Initially, your group will consist of 3 players The contribution game • Each round, you can contribute to a project • Costs: 4 points • Contributions are made simultaneously • The revenues of the project are the sum of the group’s investments x 1.5 • Equally split among the group members • Both contributors and non-contibutors The contribution game: example I • Example 1: all three group members contribute • Cost per player = 4 points • Total contributions to the project • 3 x 4 = 12 points • Project’s revenue • 12 x 1.5 = 18 points • All group members get 6 points • Earnings in this round: 2 points for all group members The contribution game: example II • Other group members contribute, you do NOT contribute • Cost for you = 0 points • Total contributions to the project • 2 x 4 = 8 points • Project’s revenue • 8 x 1.5 = 12 points • Your group-mates earn 0 points • You earn in this round: 3 points Hiring a ‘supervisor’ • Before the contribution game starts • Your group can decide to hire a supervisor • Rigorous supervisor • Lenient supervisor • No supervisor • Supervisor is hired for 1 period • Supervisor is a computer program Hiring a ‘supervisor’ • Each round of the period that the supervisor is hired • Non-contributors will NOT get revenues with chance • Rigorous supervisor 100% • Lenient supervisor 50% • No supervisor 0% • Supervisor is hired for 1 period Hiring a ‘supervisor’ • Each round of the period that the supervisor is hired • Non-contributors will NOT get revenues with chance • Rigorous supervisor 100% cost: 2 points • Lenient supervisor 50% cost: 1 point • No supervisor 0% cost: 0 points • Each round of that period, all group members have costs for the supervision Hiring a ‘supervisor’ • Which supervisor is hired, depends on majority voting • Before voting, you can discuss which supervisor to hire in a chat box • If none of the options gets the majority, the computer program will select a random option Hiring a ‘supervisor’: example • You are in a group with 2 others • You hired a ‘lenient supervisor’ for this period • Cost: 1 point per player per round • One of your group-mates (‘#’) contributes • The other (‘$’) does not contribute • What are the earnings of the players in this round if you do (not) contribute? Hiring a ‘supervisor’: example • What are the earnings of the players in this round if you do (not) contribute? Your decision Contribute Do not contribute Total amount invested Project revenue Your earnings Earnings of ‘#’ Earnings of ‘$’ 8 12 –1 –1 3 or –1 (2x4) (8x1.5) (12/3 – 4 – 1) (12/3–4–1) (12/3–1) or (12/3 – 1 – 12/3) 4 6 1 or –1 –1 1 or –1 (1x4) (4 x 1.5) (6/3–1) or (6/3 – 1 – 6/3) (6/3-4-1) (6/3–1) or (6/3 – 1 – 6/3) 50-50 chance Recapitulation • As far as we have seen, a period looks like this: 1. Chatting 2. Voting for hiring a supervisor 3. Playing the ‘contribution game’ for a number of rounds • The number of rounds per period is equal for all groups Group growth, splitting and elimination • At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared Group growth, splitting and elimination • At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared • One group will have the highest average Group growth, splitting and elimination • At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared • This group will grow, two participants are added to this group Group growth, splitting and elimination • At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared • The next period will start, one group being larger Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings • In this case, the group with the lowest average earnings will be eliminated Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings • In this case, the group with the lowest average earnings will be eliminated •Questionnaire •Payment Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings • One participant is added to the this group Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings • The group splits in two Group growth, splitting and elimination • After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings • A new period starts Summary of a period 2. Playing contribution game (a number of times) 1. Hiring a supervisor 3. Growth, splitting and elimination of groups • In total, the session will last for 10 periods Session end: questionnaire & payment • After 10 periods, the experiment ends • You are asked to fill out a few questions about your personal background • Please remain seated until your desk number is called • You will be paid in cash individually and anonymously Questions ?
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