The draft Revised Guidebook
What has been achieved?
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Outline
•
•
•
•
Project and TFEIP mandate
Approach
Review
The state-of-play
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Project and TFEIP mandate
• “Revision” commissioned by the European Commission
• Fixed budget and deadline
• Contractual conditions apply
• Deliverables:
• Draft revised Guidebook to be presented in TFEIP
• Draft Emission Factor database, containing numerical data from the GBK
• Draft Maintenance Plan (to be delivered after this meeting)
• TFEIP to
• Discuss draft revised Guidebook as developed under the contract
• Accept or not accept the draft as the latest version of the Guidebook to be
used for LRTAP reporting under the (2007) Reporting Guidelines.
Project budget (including meetings, travel etc.)
± 75 chapters
6 to 7 working days per chapter, including review results
± 1750 pages
2 to 3 working hours per page, including review results
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Procedure to prepare the draft revised Guidebook
EP
meeting
Existing
Guidebook
TEAM prepares
zero order drafts
from
February
2008
from August
2007
from A
September
2007
Zero order
drafts
Technical
workshops
Experts to solve
gaps and problems
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
TEAM
prepares first
order drafts
Review of First Order Drafts
EP
meeting
Existing
Guidebook
TEAM prepares
zero order drafts
Review of the First Order Drafts:
•
Usability: Does from
the Guidebook
February
LRTAP and NECD?
2008
• All pollutants
• All source categories
from August
2007
Zero order
support national
drafts emissions reporting
from A
September
to 2007
Technical
workshops
• Technical quality Does the Guidebook provide technically sound
and up-toExperts to solve
date guidance?
gaps and problems
• Up-to-date?
TEAM
prepares first
• Complete?
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
order drafts
• Explained and Referenced?
Review: Number of FOD downloads over time
Guidebook FOD downloads
number of downloads
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
31
M
M
M
M
M
ch
ar
ch
ar
ch
ar
ch
ar
ch
ar
08
20
08
20
08
20
08
20
08
20
08
20
ry
ua
br
Fe
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
24
17
10
03
25
sectoral_guidance
In total:
general_guidance
• General Guidance: 517
• Sectoral Guidance: 1870
Review: Number of FOD downloads per
chapter/volume
Number of downloads
0
100
200
300
400
1A Combustion
1B Fugitives
2A Mineral Industry
2B Chemical Industry
2C Metal Industry
2D Other Production Industry
2E POP Production
2D POP Consumption
2G Other
3 Product Use
4 Agriculture
6 Waste
11 Natural Sources
Introduction
Methodological Choice
Data Collection Issues
Time Series Consistency
Uncertainties
Inventory Management
Spatial Disaggregation
Projections
Energy
Industrial Processes
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Other sectors
General Guidance
500
600
Review: Number of comments received: reviewer
3 000
Cummulative fraction of comments
0%
Comments received
2 500
2 000
1 500
1 000
500
-
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
02/04/08
31/03/08
29/03/08
27/03/08
25/03/08
23/03/08
21/03/08
19/03/08
17/03/08
15/03/08
13/03/08
Martin Adams
Carlo Trozzi
Morten Winther
Paul Boulter
Ole-Kenneth Nielsen
Antonio Ferreiro
Sergey Kakareka
Kristin Rypdal
Brian Smithers
Steen Gyldenkaerne
Laura Valli
Nadine Allemand
Karin Groenestein
Leon Ntziachristos
Chris Dore
Klaas van der Hoek
Paul Duffy
Nick Hutchings
Birgit Brahner
Natalja Kohv
Geoff Salway
Bernard Hyde
Cosimo Chiffi
Laszlo Gaspar
Liesbeth Schrooten
Elisabetta Angelino
Ulrich Dammgen
Stephan Poupa
Barbara Amon
Marian van Schijndel
Wilfried Winiwarter
Julien Vincent
You have kept the deadlines very well
Some remarks on this!
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
10%
In total 67 reviewers
90%
100%
Review: Number of comments received: by contents
Number of Comments
-
200
400
600
800
Cummulative fraction of comments
1 000
1 200
General comment
Introduction
Methodological Choice
Data Collection Issues
Uncertainties
Inventory Management
Spatial disaggregation
Time Series Consistency
Projections
Energy
Industrial Processes
Product use
Agriculture
Waste
Other
In
total 3059:
• General Guidance: 529
• Sectoral Guidance: 2084
• EFs: 446
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Manure management… (4.B)
Road transport, gaso… (1.A.3.b.v)
Road transport… (1.A.3.b)
Civil aviation… (1.A.3.a)
Navigation… (1.A.3.d)
Road transport, auto… (1.A.3.b.vi)
Mobile Combustion in… (1.A.2.f.ii)
Paint application… (3.A)
Iron and steel produ… (2.C.1)
Stationary combustio… (1.A.2.f.i)
Distribution of oil … (1.B.2.a.v)
Other sectors… (1.A.4)
Public electricity a… (1.A.1.a)
Other chemical indus… (2.B.5.a)
Agricultural soils… (4.D)
Railways… (1.A.3.c)
Manufacturing indust… (1.A.2)
Synthetic N-fertiliz… (4.D.1)
Chemical products, m… (3.C)
Waste-water handling… (6.B)
Petroleum refining… (1.A.1.b)
Refining / storage… (1.B.2.a.iv)
Energy industries… (1.A.1)
Zinc production… (2.C.5.d)
Cement production… (2.A.1)
Copper production… (2.C.5.a)
Other mineral produc… (2.A.7.d)
Field burning of agr… (4.F)
In total 103 NFRs
70%
80%
90%
Review:
Treatment of comments
Consult with
Expert Panel
6%
Consult with
Expert Panel
2%
Rejected
9%
Noted
8%
Rejected
11%
Editorial
9%
Editorial
38%
Noted
32%
Accepted
42%
Accepted
43%
General Guidance chapters
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Sectoral Guidance chapters
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?
Guidebook structure
• Goals
• A “Cook book”
• Providing algorithms and parameters
• An “Educational Cook book”
• Providing background information and discussion
• Achievements
• Directly linked to the reporting requirements
• Consistent structure across sectors
• Structure similar to IPCC 2006 GLs
• Benefits:
• Usability
• Decision trees and Tiers to support methodological choice
• All tables “complete” as seen from the reporting table
• Quality
• Identified problems
• Identified inconsistencies
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
and solved many of them !
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?
Problems identified and solved
Missing pollutants:
• Consistent EFs for all relevant pollutants for all NFRs
• Where we have EFs, these are provided
• Where the reporting table indicates “Not Applicable” the pollutant is in the
“Not Applicable” cell in the table
• All other pollutants are in the “Not Estimated” cell in the table
• Our assumption is that these are minor sources for these pollutants
Oops:
for some NFR and pollutant combinations we have emission factors, although
the reporting format marks these as “Not Applicable”.
Unit errors corrected
References corrected and where possible updated
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?
Lessons learned
• Complete harmonisation with IPCC is impossible (Air Pollutants
are much more complex)
• IPCC principles can be used but methods may be different
• Difficult to separate out some NFRs (e.g. 1A2 & 2)
• Units conventions for EFs need discussion (reluctance to adopt
g/GJ for some methods)
• Guidebook needs resourced technical maintenance and coordination
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?
Problems identified and not solved
• Inconsistencies between different references
• Particulate EF < sum of relevant HM EFs
• NFR structure
• Glass is only significant source category in “Other Industry; why not call it “Glass
Industry”
• Road transport non-tailpipe emissions are in the “Combustion” sector
• “Manure Management” could probably be called “Animal Husbandry” to enable including
non NH3 emissions (dust)
• Pollutant oriented source categories 2E and 2 F (POPs production & consumption)
• General Guidance
• Key Category Analysis (Aggregation)
• Tier 3 Methods
• Navigation (New methods and data from a number of sources).
• Eurocontrol for Aviation
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: after the review
General Guidance
1.A. Stationary
Combustion
1.A.3 Mobile
Combustion
4. Agriculture
•
•
•
Improved following the comments on the FODs.
No important changes in present draft
Check for suitable linkages to Sectoral chapters needed for Spatial
mapping and Projections
•
•
Updated quite a bit since the FODs,
Might need additional reviewing
•
•
•
Updated considerably to meet the comments and discussions with the
Expert Panel.
Might need an additional review cycle
Some work needed on tier 3 methods due to new data..
•
•
•
“Source category" versus "pollutant” organisation.
The present drafts have tried to solve this issue
Needs some additional review/comments by the relevant experts.
•
•
Improvements of the chapters since FOD.
No important changes in present draft
1.B. Fugitives
2. Industrial Processes
3. Product Use
6. Waste
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Main perspectives for the discussion
1. User’s perspective
•
•
•
Does the draft provide all what is needed to report air pollution
inventories compliant with the LRTAP Reporting Guidelines?
Are the methods clear?
Are sufficient EFs available?
2. Expert’s perspective
•
•
Is the guidance of sufficient technical quality?
Is new information included?
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin