7.3 Probability Distributions for Continuous Random Variables Thursday, July 13, 2017 Recall • Continuous random variable has as its set of possible values an entire interval. • Ex: weight of a newborn, x (in pounds) -suppose only recorded to nearest pound -then x’s are only whole numbers -prob. dist. can be pictured as prob. histogram where area of each rectangle is probability of corresponding weight -total area of all rectangles is 1. -probability that a weight is between two values, like 6 and 8, is the sum of the corresponding rectangular areas. • (fig, 7.5a pg. 362) • Now suppose the weight is measured to nearest tenth of a pound – There are many more possible weight values than before, the rectangles of the probability histogram are much narrower and the histogram looks much smoother – The histogram can also be drawn where area of each rectangle equals the corresponding probability and total area of all rectangles = 1 • Figure 7.5c shows what happens as weight is measured to a greater and greater degree of accuracy • The sequence of prob. histogram approaches a smooth curve. • Probability distribution for a continuous r.v. is specified by a mathematical function f(x) and called the density function. The graph is a smooth curve called the density curve. Density function/Curve • Probability of a range of values for x is found by determining area under the density function over that interval Requirements, which must be met, for a density curve: bg 1. f x 0 (curve can’t dip below horizontal axis) 2. Total area under curve = 1 The probability that x falls in any interval is the area under the density curve and above the interval. 3 Events for Probability distribution for of a continuous r.v. 1. The event the random variable is between 2 numbers a<x<b 2. The event the r.v. is less than a number x<a 3. The event the r.v. is greater than a number x>b • Ex. 7.7 Application Processing Times pg. 363 uniform dist. b g b g P x 3 means same as P x 3 – “or equal to” makes no difference with continuous r.v. (no area at 3, it takes an “interval” to get area) • Cumulative area – bottom pg. 364 P a x b =cumulative area to left of b – cumulative area to left of a b g
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