Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics Aditi Sengupta Southern Methodist University 30th January, 2010 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 1 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: size distribution, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: size distribution, capital formation in …rms, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: size distribution, capital formation in …rms, inter-…rm heterogeneity, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: size distribution, capital formation in …rms, inter-…rm heterogeneity, entry-exit, and Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Question What is the relationship between environmental regulation and industry dynamics? How does the increasing stringency of exogenously given environmental regulation a¤ect: size distribution, capital formation in …rms, inter-…rm heterogeneity, entry-exit, and shake-out (“early” exit ) of …rms? Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 2 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. More speci…cally, the e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity, and shake-out of …rms. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. More speci…cally, the e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity, and shake-out of …rms. Shows that …rms that exit earlier on the industry equilibrium path have higher cost of compliance and are smaller in size. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. More speci…cally, the e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity, and shake-out of …rms. Shows that …rms that exit earlier on the industry equilibrium path have higher cost of compliance and are smaller in size. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. More speci…cally, the e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity, and shake-out of …rms. Shows that …rms that exit earlier on the industry equilibrium path have higher cost of compliance and are smaller in size. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: the industry experiences higher shake-out, and Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. More speci…cally, the e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity, and shake-out of …rms. Shows that …rms that exit earlier on the industry equilibrium path have higher cost of compliance and are smaller in size. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: the industry experiences higher shake-out, and the active …rms have lower cost of compliance. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 3 / 24 Contribution of the paper Explains Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 4 / 24 Contribution of the paper Explains the empirical regularities of industry dynamics, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 4 / 24 Contribution of the paper Explains the empirical regularities of industry dynamics, the (mixed) empirical evidence on the e¤ect of environmental regulation on shake-out. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 4 / 24 Contribution of the paper Explains the empirical regularities of industry dynamics, the (mixed) empirical evidence on the e¤ect of environmental regulation on shake-out. In our model shake-out occurs as a part of socially e¢ cient competitive behavior of dynamic equilibrium path of an industry. It does not imply any anticompetitive role of environmental regulation. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 4 / 24 Structure of the model T (1 < T < ∞) period deterministic dynamic model. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 5 / 24 Structure of the model T (1 < T < ∞) period deterministic dynamic model. Homogenous good industry with exogenously given level of environmental regulation (α). Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 5 / 24 Structure of the model T (1 < T < ∞) period deterministic dynamic model. Homogenous good industry with exogenously given level of environmental regulation (α). Continuum of identical price taking potential entrants, each of measure zero. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 5 / 24 Structure of the model T (1 < T < ∞) period deterministic dynamic model. Homogenous good industry with exogenously given level of environmental regulation (α). Continuum of identical price taking potential entrants, each of measure zero. Free entry and exit. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 5 / 24 Structure of the model T (1 < T < ∞) period deterministic dynamic model. Homogenous good industry with exogenously given level of environmental regulation (α). Continuum of identical price taking potential entrants, each of measure zero. Free entry and exit. Stationary market demand D (p ). Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 5 / 24 Production Cost Continuously di¤erentiable production cost c (q ) where c : R+ ! R+ Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 6 / 24 Production Cost Continuously di¤erentiable production cost c (q ) where c : R+ ! R+ Upward sloping marginal cost with …xed cost 0 00 c (0) > 0, c > 0, c > 0 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 6 / 24 Production Cost Continuously di¤erentiable production cost c (q ) where c : R+ ! R+ Upward sloping marginal cost with …xed cost 0 00 c (0) > 0, c > 0, c > 0 U-shaped average cost curve. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 6 / 24 Investment γ (x ): cost of investment where x …rm. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) 0 is the investment made by a Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 7 / 24 Investment γ (x ): cost of investment where x …rm. 0 is the investment made by a γ : R+ ! R+ is continuously di¤erentiable, strictly increasing convex function. 0 γ (0) = 0, γ > 0 and γ" 0. y 2 R+ : the stock of capital of a …rm. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 7 / 24 Investment γ (x ): cost of investment where x …rm. 0 is the investment made by a γ : R+ ! R+ is continuously di¤erentiable, strictly increasing convex function. 0 γ (0) = 0, γ > 0 and γ" 0. y 2 R+ : the stock of capital of a …rm. If a …rm enters in period τ, then for t > τ, yt = xτ + xτ +1 + ...... + xt , Aditi Sengupta (SMU) yτ = 0. Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 7 / 24 Investment γ (x ): cost of investment where x …rm. 0 is the investment made by a γ : R+ ! R+ is continuously di¤erentiable, strictly increasing convex function. 0 γ (0) = 0, γ > 0 and γ" 0. y 2 R+ : the stock of capital of a …rm. If a …rm enters in period τ, then for t > τ, yt = xτ + xτ +1 + ...... + xt , yτ = 0. No externality across the …rms arising from cost reducing investment. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 7 / 24 Environmental Regulation α 2 R+ : the exogenous level of regulation imposed on the industry in order to control the pollution generated by these …rms. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 8 / 24 Environmental Regulation α 2 R+ : the exogenous level of regulation imposed on the industry in order to control the pollution generated by these …rms. It is assumed to be constant over a dynamic path of an industry. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 8 / 24 Environmental Regulation α 2 R+ : the exogenous level of regulation imposed on the industry in order to control the pollution generated by these …rms. It is assumed to be constant over a dynamic path of an industry. α = 0 implies no regulation. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 8 / 24 Environmental Regulation α 2 R+ : the exogenous level of regulation imposed on the industry in order to control the pollution generated by these …rms. It is assumed to be constant over a dynamic path of an industry. α = 0 implies no regulation. α can take di¤erent forms of pollution control measures. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 8 / 24 Cost of Compliance Cost of compliance with the exogenous regulation (α) φ (q, y , α) 3 ! R is continuously di¤erentiable in all the arguments. where φ : R+ + Assumptions: φ(q, y , 0) = 0 and φ(0, y , α) = 0 φq > 0, φy 0 γ (0) < δφy (q, 0, α) 8q > 0, α > 0 where δ 2 (0, 1) φqq > 0, φqy Aditi Sengupta (SMU) 0 and φα > 0. 0, φqα > 0, φyy > 0 and φy α Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 0. 30th January, 2010 9 / 24 Maximization problem Given α and p = (p1 , ....pT ) , a typical …rm i maximizes discounted sum of pro…t τ (i ) ∑ δt τ (i ) [pt qt (i ) c (qt (i )) φ (qt (i ) , yt (i ) , α) γ (xt (i ))] t = τ (i ) with respect to the period of entry τ (i ), period of exit τ (i ) ,output qt (i ) , and investment xt (i ). Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 10 / 24 De…nition of Industry Equilibrium Given the exogenous level of regulation α > 0, an industry equilibrium consists of period of entry, period of exit, output and investment pro…le of …rms and price vector p such that market clears in every period, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 11 / 24 De…nition of Industry Equilibrium Given the exogenous level of regulation α > 0, an industry equilibrium consists of period of entry, period of exit, output and investment pro…le of …rms and price vector p such that market clears in every period, the output-investment for each active …rm maximizes its net discounted sum of pro…ts over its lifetime, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 11 / 24 De…nition of Industry Equilibrium Given the exogenous level of regulation α > 0, an industry equilibrium consists of period of entry, period of exit, output and investment pro…le of …rms and price vector p such that market clears in every period, the output-investment for each active …rm maximizes its net discounted sum of pro…ts over its lifetime, irrespective of the period of entry and exit, all that enter the industry earn exactly zero net intertemporal pro…t over their lifetime in the industry, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 11 / 24 De…nition of Industry Equilibrium Given the exogenous level of regulation α > 0, an industry equilibrium consists of period of entry, period of exit, output and investment pro…le of …rms and price vector p such that market clears in every period, the output-investment for each active …rm maximizes its net discounted sum of pro…ts over its lifetime, irrespective of the period of entry and exit, all that enter the industry earn exactly zero net intertemporal pro…t over their lifetime in the industry, no …rm can make strictly positive intertemporal pro…t irrespective of its period of entry Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 11 / 24 De…nition of Industry Equilibrium Given the exogenous level of regulation α > 0, an industry equilibrium consists of period of entry, period of exit, output and investment pro…le of …rms and price vector p such that market clears in every period, the output-investment for each active …rm maximizes its net discounted sum of pro…ts over its lifetime, irrespective of the period of entry and exit, all that enter the industry earn exactly zero net intertemporal pro…t over their lifetime in the industry, no …rm can make strictly positive intertemporal pro…t irrespective of its period of entry There exists an industry equilibrium, and it is (restricted) socially optimal (maximizes discounted sum of consumer and producer surplus in the industry over time). Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 11 / 24 Main Results Characteristics of dynamic equilibrium path For a given level of regulation (α), on any industry equilibrium path prices are non-increasing over time, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 12 / 24 Main Results Characteristics of dynamic equilibrium path For a given level of regulation (α), on any industry equilibrium path prices are non-increasing over time, no entry occurs after the initial period, Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 12 / 24 Main Results Characteristics of dynamic equilibrium path For a given level of regulation (α), on any industry equilibrium path prices are non-increasing over time, no entry occurs after the initial period, some …rms exit before others (shake-out), and Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 12 / 24 Main Results Characteristics of dynamic equilibrium path For a given level of regulation (α), on any industry equilibrium path prices are non-increasing over time, no entry occurs after the initial period, some …rms exit before others (shake-out), and …rms that exit earlier have lower accumulated investment, higher compliance cost, and smaller in size. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 12 / 24 Why does shake-out of …rms occur on the industry equilibrium path? Social planner’s perspective Introduction of regulation=) steep marginal cost curve =) large number of …rms to # the total cost of the industry. Strictly positive investment =) ‡atter e¤ective marginal cost over time.=) # number of …rms in the industry. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 13 / 24 Numerical example 1 Three period model D (p ) = 100 p, c (q ) = 10 + e q , γ(x ) = 0.5x 2 φ (q, y , α) = α.e (q, y ) = αe q λy δ = 0.5 is the discount factor λ 0 is the e¢ ciency of accumulated capital in compliance cost reduction. α = 0.03 is the exogenous unit pollution tax rate. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 14 / 24 Example 1: results t 1 2 3 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Table 1: Dynamic equilibrium D (p ) nt nt pt D (pt ) nt = qt t nt 1 8.7637 8.7569 8.7432 91.2362 91.2430 91.2567 42.6125 42.5474 42.5366 Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 1 0.0015 0.0002 30th January, 2010 15 / 24 Example 1: results Table 2: Firm that exits at the end of period 2 t qt xt πt 1 2.1410 0.1141 0.0065 2 2.1434 0 0.0130 Table 3: Firm that exits at the end of period 3 t qt xt πt 1 2.1410 0.1588 0.0126 2 2.1445 0.0990 0.0180 3 2.1454 0 0.0142 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 16 / 24 Comparative dynamics Example 2 D (p ) = p 1.5 , c (q ) = 1 + q 2 , γ(x ) = 0.5x 2 φ (q, y , α) = αe (q, y ), e (q, y ) = q 1.5 (1 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics y )5 30th January, 2010 17 / 24 Results Example 2 Table 4 t α q x1 p D (p ) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.9925 0.9961 0.9876 0.9958 0.9828 0.9962 0.9827 0.9827 0.0585 0 0.0865 0 0.1094 0 0.1358 0 2.0299 2.0256 2.0498 2.0392 2.0696 2.0519 2.0588 2.0588 0.3457 0.3468 0.3407 0.3433 0.3358 0.3404 0.3313 0.3313 Aditi Sengupta (SMU) n= D (p ) q 0.3483 0.3481 0.3449 0.3448 0.3417 0.3416 0.3371 0.3371 Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics nt nt nt 1 1 0.0004 0.0005 0.0001 0 30th January, 2010 18 / 24 Main Results Comparative dynamics Consider two period model. Additional assumption: for any given level of regulation, on industry equilibrium path some …rms exit after period 1. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 19 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation active …rms invest more i.e., have lower cost of compliance. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 20 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation active …rms invest more i.e., have lower cost of compliance. Why would a …rm not invest more on the higher regulation path? Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 20 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation active …rms invest more i.e., have lower cost of compliance. Why would a …rm not invest more on the higher regulation path? With high regulation the compliance cost is high, and thus …rms want to invest more to reduce that cost. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 20 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation active …rms invest more i.e., have lower cost of compliance. Why would a …rm not invest more on the higher regulation path? With high regulation the compliance cost is high, and thus …rms want to invest more to reduce that cost. But there is a disincentive e¤ect: If regulation is quite high then the return from investment may not be that pro…table. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 20 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation active …rms invest more i.e., have lower cost of compliance. Why would a …rm not invest more on the higher regulation path? With high regulation the compliance cost is high, and thus …rms want to invest more to reduce that cost. But there is a disincentive e¤ect: If regulation is quite high then the return from investment may not be that pro…table. Two extreme cases: Prohibitive regulation (regulation too high) and No regulation =) zero investment. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 20 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which the industry experiences higher shake-out. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 21 / 24 Comparative dynamics Su¢ cient conditions under which the industry experiences higher shake-out. Conditions under which on a dynamic path with higher regulation the number of …rms is higher in period 1 and lower in period 2. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 21 / 24 Number of firms = Total industry output (Q) / minimum efficient scale (q) price Marginal cost under stringent regulation Average cost under stringent regulation Average cost under weak regulation Price under stringent regulation Marginal cost under weak regulation Demand curve Price under weak regulation Q1/q1 > Q2/q2 q, Q q1 q2 Q1 Q2 Higher number of firms in period 1 under stringent regulation Comparative dynamics Higher number of …rms in period 1 The price in period 1 is exactly equal to minimum average cost of a new entrant. Each …rm produces at its minimum e¢ cient scale earning exactly zero current pro…t (gross of investment). Therefore, the number of …rms in period 1 is higher on the more stringent regulation path i¤ the minimum e¢ cient scale is more sensitive to regulation than the total industry demand (possible when the demand curve is su¢ ciently inelastic). Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 22 / 24 Comparative dynamics Three e¤ects of higher regulation on the number of …rms E¤ect 1: (Given investment) higher level of regulation =) " cost of the industry =) " the equilibrium price and # total industry output sold =) # the number of …rms in period 2. (Direct e¤ect) Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 23 / 24 Comparative dynamics Three e¤ects of higher regulation on the number of …rms E¤ect 1: (Given investment) higher level of regulation =) " cost of the industry =) " the equilibrium price and # total industry output sold =) # the number of …rms in period 2. (Direct e¤ect) E¤ect 2: (Given investment) higher level of regulation =) " the average cost and the e¤ective marginal cost =) alter the optimal scale =) a¤ect the number of …rms depending on the direction and extent of changes in optimal scale. (Direct e¤ect) Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 23 / 24 Comparative dynamics Three e¤ects of higher regulation on the number of …rms E¤ect 1: (Given investment) higher level of regulation =) " cost of the industry =) " the equilibrium price and # total industry output sold =) # the number of …rms in period 2. (Direct e¤ect) E¤ect 2: (Given investment) higher level of regulation =) " the average cost and the e¤ective marginal cost =) alter the optimal scale =) a¤ect the number of …rms depending on the direction and extent of changes in optimal scale. (Direct e¤ect) E¤ect 3: " in regulation may " investment =) " in the optimal scale =) # the number of …rms. (Indirect e¤ect) Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 23 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. The e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity and shake-out of …rms. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. The e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity and shake-out of …rms. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. The e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity and shake-out of …rms. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: the industry experiences higher shake-out (; anti-competitive role) Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. The e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity and shake-out of …rms. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: the industry experiences higher shake-out (; anti-competitive role) the active …rms invest more to reduce future stream of compliance cost. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24 Conclusion Establishes a relation between environmental regulation and industry dynamics via investment in compliance technology. The e¤ect of the increasing stringency of environmental regulation on industry dynamics i.e., size distribution, investment behavior, heterogeneity and shake-out of …rms. Finds su¢ cient conditions under which on the equilibrium path with more stringent regulation: the industry experiences higher shake-out (; anti-competitive role) the active …rms invest more to reduce future stream of compliance cost. Explains the empirical regularities of industry dynamics. and the (mixed) empirical evidence on the e¤ect of environmental regulation on shake-out. Aditi Sengupta (SMU) Environmental Regulation and Industry Dynamics 30th January, 2010 24 / 24
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