Price Theory and Business Behaviour Author(s): R. L. Hall and C. J. Hitch Source: Oxford Economic Papers, No. 2 (May, 1939), pp. 12-45 Published by: Oxford University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2663449 Accessed: 13/09/2010 16:44 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=oup. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Oxford University Press is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Oxford Economic Papers. http://www.jstor.org PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR By R. L. HALL and C. J. HITCH FoR several years a group of economistsin Oxfordhave been studying problems connected with the trade cycle. Among the methods adopted is that of discussion with business men, a number of whom have been kind enough to submit to questioningon theirprocedure in various circumstances:and among other mattersin the questionnaire were inquiriesabout the policy adopted in fixingthe prices and the output of products. Mr. Harrod and Mr. Hall have given some of the resultsof these questions in papers read to the BritishAssociation, Section F, in 1937 and 1938. Neither of these papers was published, and the present paper includes the evidence on which they were based as well as what has been collected since: it also extends and modifiesthe theoreticalstructurewhichhas been emergingfrom the facts. The data which it containshave been collectedby various members of the group, and the results have been discussed at its meetings. The authors are responsible only for the form of their presentationand forthe speculative part of the paper. The purpose of the paper is to examine, in the light of the interviews, the way in which business men decide what price to charge for their products and what output to produce. It casts doubt on the general applicability of the conventional analysis of price and output policy in terms of marginal cost and marginal revenue, and suggestsa mode ofentrepreneurialbehaviourwhichcurrenteconomic doctrinetends to ignore. This is the basing of price upon what we shall call the 'full cost' principle,to be explained in detail below. 1. Significance and limitations of the evidence The method followed has been to submit the questionnaire to business men who were willingto answer it, and to discuss the questions and answersat lengthin an interview. The authors are acutely conscious of the shortcomingsof an inquiryof this kind. We considered the evidence of only 38 of the entrepreneursinterviewed, which is far too small a sample to warrantany finalconclusions. Of these, 33 were manufacturersof a wide variety of products,3 were retailers,and 2 builders. The sample is thus stronglybiased in favour of manufacturers,and any conclusionsrelate particularlyto this type R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 13 of entrepreneur. It is also biased by the fact that most firmswere approached throughpersonal introductions,and it is probable that the entrepreneursinterviewedwere more successfuland more intelligent than the average business man. In the light of the smallness and thebiased characterofthe sample,no significancecan be attached to the precise percentagesof firmsbehaving in particularways. But on some questions the replies are so nearly unanimous that it is impossible to ignore their implications; and in general the answers fall sufficiently clearly into patternsto leave no doubt in the minds ofthe authorsthat currenteconomictheorytends to regardbehaviour that is of small practical importanceas typical, and what is a wellmarkedmode as unusual. In the body of the paper only the summaryresultsof the evidence will be given. This evidence has been taken in large part fromthe specificanswers to the relevantquestions,but it has been necessary, in some cases, to supplement the informationin the light of subsequent discussion and subsidiary questions. The answers of the entrepreneurshave been paraphrased, under appropriate headings, in the Appendix, pp. 33-45: these should be regarded as an integral part of the present paper, some sections of which will be much clearer when illustrated by the actual expressions on which the argumenthas been based. 2. Current doctrine on price and output policy The basis of currentdoctrineon the price and output policy of the is that he expands productionto the point wheremargientrepreneur nal revenue and marginal cost are equal. In the special case of perfect(or 'pure') competitionin the marketforthe product,marginal revenue is equal to price, to which marginal cost is equated. In the special case of pure competitionin the market for the factors, marginalcost is equal to the cost of the additional factorsnecessary to expand output by one unit, and this is equated to marginal revenue. In all other cases (except where discriminatingprices may be charged),marginal revenue is less than price, and marginal cost is greaterthan the cost of additional factors,and the only rule of equilibriumwithinthe firmis that marginal revenue and marginal cost are equated. The equation of average cost and average revenue, if it occurs at all, is assumed to take place as the result of the entryof new firms 14 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR where average revenue exceeds average cost, and by the dropping out of old ones where the reverseis the case (i.e. under the stimulus of profitor loss). It is not an equation which any particular entrepreneurattempts to bringabout, or indeed one which he desires. It is customary to distinguish, somewhat unsatisfactorily,between industriesin which 'free entry' is possible, in which there is a longrun tendencyfor average revenue and average cost to be equated; and others in which there are obstacles to free entry, where this tendencydoes not exist. The precise content of the terms 'marginal and average revenue' and 'marginal and average cost' is usually left in obscurity.' Most writers,includingProfessorChamberlin,have concentratedon longrun equilibrium, where the difficultiesof findingthe appropriate content for the curves is least. Even here, however, there are the extremelyimportantquestions: on the cost side, of the allocation of selling costs; on the demand side, of the functionalrelationbetween sellingcosts and the demand curve, and of the nature of the demand curve. Is the relevant demand curve 'real', i.e. does it show what actually happens when price is changed; is it hypothetical,in the sense of being based, like Marshallian demand curves, on some particular assumption regardingthe behaviour of other firms;or is it imaginary,i.e. does it merelyshow what the entrepreneurbelieves will happen when price is altered? ProfessorChamberlinis the only writerwho has attempted a systematicsolution of these difficulties, and it cannot be claimed that his treatmentis definitive. In the short run, which has been relatively neglected, the same ofinterpretationremainand othersappear. Here the only difficulties rule of equilibrium is the equation of marginal cost and marginal revenue. But are the relevantmarginalcurves those drawn fromthe short-or the long-runaverage curves? Probably most economists 1 Compare, for example, Joan Robinson, Economics of ImperfectCompetition, p. 21: 'Complications are introducedinto the problemof the individual demand curve by the existence of advertising,but these have been ignored'; and, on the same page: 'In an industrywhich is conducted in conditions of imperfectcompetitiona certain difficultyarises fromthe fact that the individual demand curve for the product of each of the firmscomprisingit will depend to some extent upon the price policy of In drawing up the demand curve for any one firm,however, it is the others.... possible to take this effectinto account. The demand curve forthe individual firm may be conceived to show the full effectupon the sales of that firmwhich results from any change in the price which it charges, whether it causes a change in the prices charged by the othersor not. It is not to our purpose to considerthis question in detail.' R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 15 would say that it was short-runmarginalcost whichthe entrepreneur would considerin deciding how much to produce with given plant, and that long-runmarginal cost would be relevantonly when he was consideringthe desirabilityof expanding or contractingthe plant. Probably they would ignore altogetherthe very importantdistinction betweenshort-and long-rundemand curves,because it has long been customary to assume in analysis that demand conditions,in some sense, remain constantover time. The fact that demand in the futuredepends upon presentas well as futureprices,which makes it impossibleto derivemarginalrevenuefromany singledemand curve, is usually dismissed,ifit is consideredat all, with a briefreferenceto 'maintaininggoodwill' or 'spoiling the market'. It has become customary in recent years to distinguishvarious 'conditions' in which firmsproduce on the basis of the nature of the markets in which they sell. The followingclassification,which is chieflybased on ProfessorChamberlin's,appears to the authorsto be exhaustive.' (1) Pure competition,in whichno singleproducercan significantly affectthe market price by varyinghis output. (2) Pure monopoly, in which the demand curve of the firmis negativelyinclined, and in which, because there are no close substitutes,the entrepreneurassumes that a change in his price or output will cause no other producerto change his. (3) Monopolisticcompetition,or 'polypoly', in which the demand curveofthe firmis also negativelyinclined,because its product from others, and in which the entrepreneur is differentiated assumes that his demand curve is independentof the reactions of other producers,not, as in the case of monopoly, because thereare no close substitutes,but because there are so many competitorswithin his 'group' that no one is affectedto a significantextent by a change in his price or output. (4) Oligopoly (including,as a special case, duopoly), in which a fewfirmsproduce an identical product,and each realizes that a changein its price or output may induce a change in the price or output of one or more competitors. (5) 'Monopolistic competition with oligopoly', or 'monopolistic 1 The definitionof monopoly does not correspond to Professor Chamberlin's. (See Table 9, p. 30, in which the firmsinterviewedhave been arrangedaccordingto our classification.) 16 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR competitionin the small group', which is like polypoly in that the product is differentiated,but like oligopoly in that the producerdoes not assume that his competitors'price policy is independentof his own. In technical termsa monopolist (or a monopolisticcompetitor)is distinguishedfroman oligopolistby the fact that the cross elasticity of demand between his product and the product of any other one firmis negligible,and his own demand curve therefore'determinate'. If any cross elasticities between his and other firms'products were not negligible,he ought to take into account the possible reactions of these otherfirmsto any change in his own price,and the situation would thus be oligopolistic. There are two factorswhich, if present,tend to make these cross elasticities small. One is the smallness of the proportion of consumers1 (or potential consumers) for whom the elasticity of substitution is high between the firm's product and any other, a conditionwhichwill tend to make the firm'sdemand curve inelastic. For the smallerthe numberof consumerswho transfertheirallegiance afterany change in price,the less likely is any one otherfirmto find affected. The second factoris the range and its demand significantly evenness of 'scatter' of the affectedconsumersamong the products of other firms. There are two cases in which the range of scatter would be great and the distributioneven: (a) That of monopoly. Here there is only one firmin the 'group' or 'industry'. If its price is raised it will lose some customers,but, therebeing no close substitutes(in the ordinarysense), the customers who desert are likely to choose such varying alternative ways of spending their income that no single firm'sdemand will be affected to a significantextent. (b) That of monopolistic competition. Here there are many competitorsin the 'group', and in generalthe elasticitiesof substitution between any firm'sproduct and those of some otherfirmsin the group are high for a significantproportionof that firm'sconsumers. If it raises its price, the customersit loses will, for the most part, choose alternative products within the group. But because there are many such products, and because the preferencesof consumers are fairlyevenly divided among them, the number gained by any particular firmis likely to be negligible. 1 Properly weighted,of course, by the number of purchases each makes. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 17 With these definitionsit is clear that therecan be border-linecases between monopoly and monopolistic competitionwith determinate demand curves. The 'group' is a vague and unsatisfactorydivision, and can onlybe definedin termsofthe highelasticitiesofsubstitution among products of 'many' or 'typical' consumers. In general, the smaller the proportionof consumers forwhom elasticitiesof substitution are high between products of firmsoperating in the 'group', the smaller can be the number of firmswithin the group consistent with determinate demand curves. The evidence of the interviews suggests that in the case of certain luxury and fashion goods it is possible for cross elasticities to be negligible,and competitors'reactions to be ignored,despite the fact that only a very few firms are operating within the 'group' or industry as ordinarily conceived.' The 'current doctrine' of the equilibriumof the firm,which runs in terms of marginal cost and marginal revenue, is held to apply in its simplerformonly to the firstthreeof the categoriesin our classification,i.e. to pure competition,pure monopoly, and monopolistic competition. It breaks down in the remainingtwo, i.e. oligopolyand monopolisticcompetitionwith oligopoly; these, as special cases, are relegatedto footnotesor leftto mathematicians,because the demand curve forthe product of the individual firm,and thereforemarginal revenue,is indeterminatewhere the price and output policies of the firmsare interdependent. Attempts have been made to solve the problem of equilibriumin these last two cases by complicated variations of the simplerrule, but no one attempt has met with sufficient approval to be considereda part of currentdoctrine. Subconsciously,when dealing withotherproblemsand when teaching, most economistsprobably consider the case of oligopoly to be exceptional,and assume the general relevance of the simple analysis in termsof marginal cost and marginal revenue. They assume that the elasticityof demand forthe product of the firmis a good measure of the 'degree of monopoly', that productionis carried to the point price where this elasticityis equal to the ratio2 , that price-marginal cost' ifthe elasticityis less than this ratio,price is raised, if more than this I The authors intend to develop the implications of the classificationin a subsequent article. 2 Since this will be the point where marginal cost will equal marginal revenue. 4520-2 c 18 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR ratio, price is reduced.' They assume that each factor is hired up to the point where its marginal product is equal to its wage or, more generally,where its marginal cost (dependent on its elasticity of supply) is equal to its marginal revenue (dependent on the elasticity of demand for its product).2 For the above analysis to be applicable it is necessary that entrepreneursshould in fact: (a) make some estimate (even if implicitly) of the elasticityand positionof theirdemand curves,and (b) attempt to equate estimated marginal revenue and estimated marginal cost. We tried,withverylittlesuccess,to get fromthe entrepreneurswhom we saw, informationabout elasticityof demand and about the relation between price and marginal cost. Most of our informantswere vague about anythingso precise as elasticity,and since most of them produce a wide variety of products we did not know how much to rely on illustrativefiguresof cost. In addition,many, perhaps most, apparentlymake no effort,even implicitly,to estimate elasticitiesof demand or marginal (as opposed to average prime) cost; and of those who do, the majority consideredthe informationof little or no relevance to the pricing process save perhaps in very exceptional conditions. 3. The 'full cost' policy The most strikingfeatureof the answers was the numberof firms which apparently do not aim, in their pricing policy, at what appeared to us to be the maximization of profitsby the equation of marginal revenue and marginal cost. In a few cases this can be explained by the fact that the entrepreneursare thinkingof long-run profits,and in terms of long-rundemand and cost curves, even in the short run, rather than of immediate profits. This is expressed to some extent by the phrase commonly used in describingtheir policy-'taking goodwill into account'. But the larger part of the explanation, we think, is that they are thinking in altogether differentterms; that in pricing they try to apply a rule of thumb which we shall call 'full cost', and that maximum profits,if they 1 See, for example, Joan Robinson, Economics of ImperfectCompetition,passim; R. F. Harrod, The Trade Cycle, chaps. i and ii; and A. P. Lerner, 'Monopoly and the Measurement of Monopoly Power', The Review of Economic Studies, vol. i, no. 3. 2 See, forexample, J. M. Keynes, The GeneralTheoryof Employment, Interestand Money, p. 5 and passim; A. C. Pigou, The Economics of Welfareand The Theoryof Unemployment;and J. E. Meade, Introductionto Economic Analysis and Policy. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 19 result at all fromthe application of this rule, do so as an accidental (or possiblyevolutionary)by-product. An overwhelmingmajority of the entrepreneursthought that a price based on full average cost (includinga conventionalallowance forprofit)was the 'right' price,the one which 'ought' to be charged.' In some cases this meant computingthe fullcost of a 'given' commodity,and charginga price equal to cost. In othersit meant working fromsome traditional or convenientprice, which had been proved acceptable to consumers, and adjusting the quality of the article until its full cost equalled the 'given' price. A large majorityof the entrepreneursexplained that they did actually charge the 'full cost' price, a few admitting that they might charge more in periods of exceptionally high demand, and a greaternumber that they might charge less in periods of exceptionally depressed demand. What, then, was the effectof 'competition'? In the main it seemed to be to induce firmsto modify the margin for profitswhich could be added to directcosts and overheads so that approximatelythe same pricesforsimilarproductswould rule withinthe 'group' of competing producers. One common procedure was the settingof a price by a strongfirmat its own full cost level, and the acceptance of this price by other firmsin the 'group'; another was the reaching of a price by what was in effectan agreement,though an unconscious one, in which all the firmsin the group, acting on the same principle of 'full cost', soughtindependentlyto reach a similarresult.2 The formulaused by the differentfirmsin computing 'full cost' differsin detail, as will be seen by referringto the informationin column B in the chart of evidence; but the procedure can be not unfairlygeneralized as follows: prime (or 'direct') cost per unit is taken as the base, a percentageaddition is made to cover overheads (or 'oncost', or 'indirect' cost), and a furtherconventionaladdition (frequently10 per cent.) is made forprofit. Selling costs commonly and intereston capital rarely are included in overheads; when not so includedthey are allowed forin the addition forprofits. It would be useful foreconomic analysis if the magnitude of 'full cost' in any case could be deduced fromthe technical conditionsof I For a classificationof firmsaccording to the strictnesswith which they adhered to the 'full cost' policy see Tables 6, 7, and 8, pp. 26 and 29. 2 In several cases trade associations published 'standard' figuresof costs in an attemptto secure equal prices; firmsin the industrywere urged to use the 'standard' costs in applying the full cost principle. 20 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR production and the supply prices of the factors. This is in fact impossible, forfourreasons. The firstis that the firmis not necessarily of 'optimum' or ofany othersize, so that the extentto whichinternal economies or diseconomiesare reflectedin the figuresdepends upon historical accident.' The second is that the addition for overheads varies according to the policy adopted for calculating the output over which total overheads will be distributed. As Table 1 shows, somewhat more than half the firmsused figuresof actual or estimated output,the others(including,in general,the more competitive firms)full or conventionally 'full' output. The third is that the conventional addition for profitvaries fromfirmto firmand even withinfirmsfordifferent products.2 The fourthis that sellingcosts, which depend upon the demand, are included.3 TABLE 1 Outputassumedfor Distributionof Overheads (Firms classified according to strictness of adherence to full cost principle.) Conventional orfull . Not adhering . Rigidly adhering Normally adhering Adhering in principle Total . . . .. Actual or forecast .. Ambiguousor no information 8 4 5 1 7 6 2 1 4 10 15 13 Why do entrepreneursbase price on 'full cost', as defined,rather than attempt to equate marginal cost and marginal revenue? The informationrelevant to this question given by the thirtyentrepreneurs adheringto the full-costpolicy is paraphrased in column C in the Appendix and is tabulated in Tables 2-5. I The informationon the slope of the cost curve at the point of equilibrium will be found in column E in the Appendix. In many cases it is inadequate because the question was frequentlynot asked. Thirteenfirmswere apparently operatingunder conditionsof decreasing costs and fourunder conditionsof constant cost. Two firms stated that costs were increasing because labour became more expensive as output was expanded; but it was not clear whether the diseconomy in question was an internal or an external one. 2 This allowance, when given,is stated in column B in the Appendix. 3 Informationabout the magnitude of selling costs, when given, will be found in column E in the Appendix. 21 R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH REASONS FOR ADHERING TO FULL-COST PRINCIPLE' TABLE 2 General Belief that this is the 'right' price Loyalty to Association . Experience proved its advisability . . . . . . 52 2 2 TABLE 3 Reasonsfornotcharging morethanFull Cost Fear of competitors or potential competitors (including . belief that others would not follow an increase) . . . They do not go in for a high profit . They prefer a large turnover Buyers technically informed regarding costs 11 plus 6 of the 7 textile firms. 2 2 3 TABLE 4 Reasonsfornotcharging lessthanFull Cost . Demand unresponsiveto price . Competitorswould followcuts Difficultto raise prices once lowered Trade Associationminimumprices Conventionwith competitors Quasi-moralobjectionsto sellingbelow cost Price cuts not passed on by retailers . . . . . . . 9 11 2 3 1 8 1 TABLE 5 oncesettled Prices(howeverfixed) Reasonsfornotchanging . . Conventionalprice in minds of buyers . . . . Price changes dislikedby buyers Disinclinationto disturbstabilityof marketprices . . . 5 4 3 A study of the replies confirmsthe existence of a strongtradition, already referredto, that price 'ought' to equal full cost. This tradition is accountedforto some extentby an idea offairnessto competitors and is undoubtedlyone of the reasons forthe adherence to the full cost policy. The otherfactorswhich seem to be most important 1 Little significancecan be attached to the actual numbers in each category,since in most cases only those reasons volunteeredby the entrepreneursare included. Thus the fact that only three mentioned the technical informationof buyers as a reason fornot chargingmore than cost does not mean that in the other twenty-sevencases this reason was not operative. 2 This is exclusive of the two in Table 3 who 'do not go in for a high profit', the eight in Table 4 who had quasi-moral objections to selling below cost, and the three in Table 5 who are disinclinedto disturb stability. 22 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR in inducing entrepreneursto follow this policy may be summarized under six heads. (i) Producers cannot know their demand or marginal revenue curves, and this for two reasons: (a) they do not know consumers' preferences; (b) most producers are oligopolists,and do not know what the reactions of their competitorswould be to a change in price. (ii) Although producers do not know what their competitors would do if they cut prices,they fear that they would also cut. (iii) Althoughthey do not know what competitorswould do ifthey raised prices, they fear that they would not raise them at all or as much. (iv) Prices are not lowered by actual or tacit agreement among producers because of the conviction that the elasticity of demand to make this course pay.' forthe group of products is insufficient (v) If prices are in the neighbourhoodof full cost, they are not raised by actual or tacit agreementbecause it is thoughtthat, while this would pay in the short run, it would lead to an underminingof the firmsby new entrantsin the long run.2 (vi) Changes in price are frequentlyvery costly, a nuisance to salesmen, and are disliked by merchants and consumers. Several entrepreneursreferredexplicitlyto the fact that there are conventional prices to which customersare attached, and that these have to be charged,which means that in these cases only large changes in price which are clearlyunprofitableare possible. All these reasons militateagainst changingprice fromthe conventional level. In addition, (i) is a reason fornot adopting the alternative price policy of equating marginal cost to marginal revenue; (vi) makes it undesirable and almost impossibleto equate short-run marginal cost and marginalrevenue; and (v) is a reason forthe conventional price level being no higher than 'full cost' including a 'reasonable' addition forprofit-a tendencyreinforcedby tradition. If it is desiredto illustratethe positionofequilibriumgeometrically, this may be done for the typical case where oligopoly elements are presentby the use of a kinked demand curve,the kink occurring 1 In this they are, in most cases, certainly right,since the elasticity of demand for the products of the group as a whole is less than that for the product of any one firm. 2 If prices are below what entrepreneursconsider the full cost level they will be raised by agreementprovided that it is possible to secure one. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 23 at thepoint wherethe price,fixedon the 'full-cost'principle,actually stands. Above this point the curve is elastic, because an increase in pricewill not be followed(or so it is feared) by competitors,who will be glad to take any extra sales. Below the point the demand is much less elastic because a reductionin the price charged will be followed eventually by competitorswho would otherwise lose business. If A FIG. 1. this is the characterof the demand curve it followsthat over a wide rangeofmarginalcoststhe existingpriceis the mostprofitable.It also followsthat,withgiven costs,this priceis most profitableover a wide range of possible fluctuationsof the demand curve, since wherever the demand curve may be the kink will occur at the same price. The two diagrams (Figs. 1 and 2) are intended to help the reader to grasp one point in the argument; like all diagrams,they are much more precise than the circumstancesthey purportto explain. In Fig. 1 AA representsthe demand curve forthe product of one firmof the 'group' if all other firmsmaintain their prices at P: 24 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR BB representsthe demand for the product of the firmif all other firmsvary theirprices as it does, this being a proportionateshare of the market demand. If competitorsare forced to cut prices below P when any firm begins such a movement, but do not raise their prices above this point if only one firmdoes so, then it is very likely to pay any firm a~~~~~ Fix. 2. A to maintain price at P. For its own demand curve will have the shape ofthe heavy line, kinkedat P. If MRa is the marginalrevenue curve to the curve AP, and MRb the marginalrevenue curve to the curve PB, then the marginal revenue to any firmis discontinuous below the point P. And as long as the marginalcost ofthe firmintersects the line PQR at any point between Q and R, P must be the most profitablepoint and price thereforestable. If the demand curvesshift,but the kink remainsat the same price, there will still be a range between the two marginal revenue curves on the perpendicularbelow the actual position of P: and price will be stable fora wide range of marginalcosts. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 25 In Fig. 2 let AC representa section of the short-runaverage cost curve for a firm,excluding profits. If the firmassumes that it will sell an output OA, and adds 10 per cent. of its average cost at that point forprofit,it will set the price at OB, and be willingto sell, in the firstinstance,whateveris demanded at that price. If otherfirms act in the same way, the price will be stable forthe reason explained in connexion with Fig. 1. The curves d'd', d d, and d"d" represent various positionswhichmay be actually taken by the demand curve: only at P are the profitswhich are made those whichwere expected, but the pricewill not be changedforthe otherpositions. Any circumstance which lowers or raises the average cost curves of all firmsby similaramounts, on the otherhand, e.g. a change in factorprices,is likely to lead to a re-evaluationof the 'full cost' price OB. If the demand curve shiftsmuch to the left of d'd' and remains thereforsome time,the price is likelyto be cut in the hope of maintaining output. The reason for this cannot be explained geometrically except in the special circumstanceswhere the lower part of the demand curve becomes much more elastic when it moves to the left or where marginal costs fall considerably as output is reduced. Usually one entrepreneuris overcomeby panic: 'there is always one fool who cuts'; and the rest must follow. If the demand curve shifts much to the rightof d"d" the price is likelyto be reduced in the long run, because the long-runaverage cost curve is likely to be falling and entrepreneursfear that the high profitswill induce competition. (In Fig. 2 the long-runaverage cost curve would lie below the shortrun curveAC on eitherside of the point below P.) 4. Extent and strictness of adherence to 'full cost' policy From so small a sample it is difficultto generalize concerningthe strictnesswith which firmsadhere to the full cost policy, but an examinationof the answers summarizedin the Appendix, pp. 33-45, and of Tables 6, 7, and 8, indicates that it is the rule ratherthan the exceptionto attemptto do so. Of the 38 firmswhich we investigated, 12 maintained that they adhered to the 'full cost' policy, with negligibleexceptions,' at all times and in all circumstances. Of the remainder,15 adhered to it in normal times, most times being 'normal' in this sense. In addition 1 Selling below cost on 'loss leaders', shading prices on one line and making it up on another,and cuttingslightlyon large ordershave not been consideredinconsistent with 'rigid' adherence. PRICE 26 THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR TABLE 6 Degree of Adherenceto Full Cost Principle (Classified accordingto Types of Market) Not adhering . . Monopoly . . . Oligopoly . Monopolistic competition Monopolistic competition . with oligopoly Total . . . . 1 1 Adhering Adhering Adhering in rigidly nornzally principle 2 1 3 2 1 .. 5 . 3 . 3 5 9 2 . 8 12 15 3 TABLE 7 Adherenceto Full Cost Principle (Classified according to Types of Product) Not adhering Consumers' goods . . Textiles Intermediate goods . Capital goods . Retailers . . Builders . Total. . 4 1 1 1 Adhering Adhering in rigidly normally principle 4 2 3 3 7 1 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. . . 8 12 1 Adhering 3 2 2 15 3 3 firms(all in textiles) professedto adhere 'in principle', but not in fact because of the severe and chronic depression in the trade. Of these 18 firmsadhering normally or 'in principle', 12 said that if business were very depressed they would cut prices below full cost, and 6 of these expressed a reluctantwillingnessto cut all the way to prime cost if that proved necessary to 'keep going'.' Only 2 of the 30 firmsadheringsaid that they would charge more than full cost in 1 These cases of cuttingto prime cost present a difficulty forthe analysis in terms of marginal cost and marginal revenue as well as forthat in terms of full cost, since none of the firmshad a perfectlyelastic demand curve. The explanation in all six cases is that the producersare workingto contract-most are contractorsand capital goods manufacturers-which means that each unit produced is unique. This allows price discriminationand makes price and marginal revenue identical. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 27 exceptionallyprosperous times when they were having difficultyin fillingorders,and it is doubtfulwhethereven these two would charge in such circumstancesas much as the marketwould bear in the short run: rationingby refusingto take orders or to fill them promptly was preferredto 'excessive' prices. The behaviour of a certainnumberof firmsis clearlynot explicable in terms of full cost, and in the Appendix these have been omitted fromthe table and discussed separatelyon pp. 43-5. One seems to be a monopolistwho behaves more or less in the text-bookmanner. Four had deliberatelycut prices in fairlynormal times because they estimated (explicitly in three cases) that the demand was elastic enough to make this course pay.' 5. Stability and instability We may distinguishtwo main cases, which we shall call those of price stability and instability,since the terms equilibrium and disequilibrium have a connotation too precise to be warranted here. The distinction correspondsfairly closely to that made by some economists recently between non-aggressive and aggressive price policies.2 (i) In cases of relative stabilityeach firmadheres as closely as it is able to its own formula. Where costs do not differwidely withinan industryall firmswill charge similarprices, and the consumerswill be distributedamong them accordingto the factorswhich make the marketimperfect,such as the proximityor attachmentof customers to particularfirms.The price may be set by the strongestfirm,or by a process of trial and errorwith all firmsmaking some adjustments; in any case it is unlikely to pay small or new firmsto make such departuresfromit as to call attentionto themselves. We cannot say preciselywhat this pricewill be, forreasons already explained; ifit is set anywhereover a fairlywide range it will have a tendencyto stay there. The nearestthat we can get to an exact statementis that the pricerulingwherethese conditionsobtain is likelyto approximateto the fullcost of the representativefirm;and that this price is reached directlythroughthe communityof outlook of business men, rather than indirectlythrougheach firmworkingat what its most profitable I Two firmsin the 'full cost' group said that they would cut prices in the (rare) elastic. cases in which they thought demand sufficiently 2 See, forexample, J. M. Cassels, 'Excess Capacity andMonopolistic Competition', QuarterlyJournal of Economics,May 1937. 28 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR output would be if competitors'reactions are neglected,and if the play of competitionthen varied the numberof firms.1 The occasions on which prices stabilized at the full cost level will be changed have been summarized in column D of the table in the Appendix and in Table 8. A change in price may or may not upset stability' in our sense. The price is likely to be changed without a departurefromprice stabilityif thereis a change in costs which will affectall firmstogether,such as a change in wages or the price of materials,or if a new process is generallyadopted; in these cases the idea of the rightprice will change and with it the price itself. From this point of view theremay be somethingto be said forbusinessmen who assert that income-taxis added to price, since if all competitors in any trade regardedit as a cost it would tend to become one. If demand shifts,prices may be allowed to deviate fromfull cost without disturbing stability. As trade conditions deteriorate,for example in a slump, full cost, wherethis is computedby distributing overheads over actual or estimated output, will oftenbe allowed to rise above price. This tendency is strengthenedby the anxiety to keep plant runningas full as possible, givingrise to a generalfeeling in favour of price concessions. This may pass into a condition of price cutting,and the industryis then in a position of 'instability'. (ii) Prices in an industrybecome 'unstable' as soon as any of the competitorsform an -idea of a profitableprice which is markedly differentfrom the existing prices. From our inquiries this seems most likelyto happen when a trade becomes really depressed,and is a potent factor making for an agreement which will substitute a formalarrangementforwhat was previouslyonly a sense of fitness. Conversely,it may happen when ordersincrease to the point where existing firmshave difficultyin fillingthem.2 Otherwise,it seems most likelyto happen when thereis a new entrantwho is determined to establish himselfon a large scale, perhaps because of the cupidity or inefficiencyof the existing producers; or when one competitor thinks he has a method in advance of those of his competitors; or (more rarely) when one of the participants begins to act on the I The variation in the number of firmsmay still serve the purpose of tending to equate the rate of profitson capital to the normal level. Thus, if a 'normal rate' of profitsof 10 per cent. on turnoverrepresentsan abnormallyhigh rate on capital, the entry of new firmsmay reduce it, without affectingprice, by increasing 'excess capacity'. 2 This circumstance will remove the kink in the demand curve and make its elasticity above the old price similar to its elasticity below it. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 29 assumptions of competitionin text-books. The price then becomes 'what the marketwill bear', and the size and numberof units in the industryand its methods of productionare likely to be changed. TABLE 8 Occasionson whicha DeparturefromFull CostPrinciplemightbe made (a) Price reductions: . . . Depressed Trade . Cyclically on competitive lines . When necessary to 'keep going' Necessity to follow a competitive price If competitor broke agreement . . . Loss leaders . . . . . . . . 6 2 4 . . . . . . . . 8 1 2 2 3 2 1 2 . . . . . On expensivelines,to cover concessionson cheap ones . 1 1 1 1 1 . . . . . Attemptto capturenew markets To obtain a large contract Seasonally to stimulate sales . . To clear old stock . Cases where demand was elastic (b) Price increases: . In specialities . To maintain unemployment More work not wanted Need for funds for expansion . . . . . . . . . . . 6. Comparison of full cost analysis with current doctrine The modificationof conventionaltheorywhichthe answersrequire may be discussed under two heads: (i) modificationsin long-run analysis; (ii) modificationsin short-runanalysis. (i) In general: the answers as summarizedin Table 9 suggest that pure competition,pure oligopoly, and pure monopoly (in the sense definedabove) are rarelyfound in the real business world. Monopolistic competitionis more common, but the typical case is that of monopolisticcompetitionwith an admixture,which is usually large, of oligopoly. The answers indicate, moreover,that while Professor Chamberlin'sanalysis of price determinationin this typical case is correctin the sense that he has probably definedcorrectlythe limits withinwhich price must lie, the process of its determinationwithin these limits is more straightforwardand the resultingprice more stable than he implies.' These limits may be described as (1) the 1 E. H. Chamberlin,The TheoryofMonopolisticCompetition, pp. 100-4. Professor Chamberlin'sDD' and dd' demand curves (see, e.g., pp. 90-1) are drawn on the same assumptions as our illustrativecurves BB and AA on Fig. 1, p. 23. 30 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR polypoly price (i.e. the one which would be established if entrepreneurs assumed that no otherfirmwould change prices in responseto an original change), and (2) the price which would be established if the industryas a whole acted as a monopolist. Average cost (including normal profits)will be equal to price in the long run wherethere is 'free entry', a condition unlikely to be fulfilledif the oligopoly element is at all important. TABLE 9 Consumers' goods . . . Textiles Intermediate pro- ducts Capital goods Retailers .. Builders Totals Monopoly Oligopoly 1 .. .. .. .. .. 3 2 .. . .4 .. 2 4 Monopolistic competition with Monopolistic competition' oligopoly 6 3 8 4 1 .. 1 11 3 2 2 19 But in the actual cases hereexamined the precisemethodby which this resultis attained, and by whichprice is fixedbetweenthe limits, is not what a reader of ProfessorChamberlin'sbook would infer. In most cases no attempt is made to estimate marginal revenue from either short period or long period demand curves, nor to estimate marginalcosts. The heightof price (betweenthe two limits)is determined on the 'full cost' principle, conditioned by such historical accidents as (a) the size and efficiencyof the firmsin the industryat the time price stability was achieved, and (b) the extent of their optimismand of theirfear of potential competitorsas measured by the percentage addition for profits. Once this price has been fixed price competition,except in highlyabnormal circumstances,ceases. Profitsare reduced to normal, if at all, by an influxof firmswhich raises costs by reducingoutput per firm(increasing'excess capacity') or by competitionin quality and marketing. The answers also suggest that the distinctionbetween monopoly and monopolistic competition on the one hand and monopolistic 1 Some of the firmslisted as monopolistic competitive were on the border-line between monopolisticcompetitionand monopoly. See p. 17. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 31 competitionwith an admixtureof oligopolyelementson the other is not of very great importance. Only where oligopoly elements are presentis the demand curve 'indeterminate'in the economist'ssense, but in the other cases it is unknown to the entrepreneur,and this seems to be the essentialpoint. It is truethat in the case ofmonopoly or monopolistic competition the possibility of findinghis demand curve by experimentingis open to the entrepreneur;but there are objectionsto experimentation,and the prospect of a quiet life seems in many cases to have the greater appeal. Entrepreneursseem to be somewhat less likely to fixprices on the full cost principle where the demand curve is determinate,but there are some who do so. It proved to be extremelydifficultin practice to distinguishbetween oligopolistic firmsand others. The distinctionseems to be almost entirelyone of degree, for all firmswere conscious to some extent of the presence of competitorsand the possibilityof reactions to changes in their price and output policy. In some cases the distinctionseems to rest upon the size of the price or output change under consideration. While a small change, which stole few customers fromothers,would be overlooked, a large change would lead to retaliation of some sort. In other cases the distinctionseems to depend upon the size of the firmconsidered. In the same market some firms-normallythe smallerones-would apparentlynot attach much weight to possible retaliation by competitorswhereas others -the largerones-would. In the classificationoffirmsin the Appendix those which seemed to be little influencedby the possible reactions of competitorsto small changes in prices have been included as monopolistic or monopolisticallycompetitive. The test applied is whetherthe firmis sufficiently independentfora Marshalliandemand curve to be drawn which,in the neighbourhoodof the actual price, would,in conjunctionwiththe cost curves,forma reasonablyaccurate guide to the most profitableprice policy. (ii) The answersdo not confirmthe commonanalysis of short-run equilibrium in terms of marginal cost and marginal revenue. It seems to be much more nearlytrue (in the case of manufactured,and particularly of finishedproducts) that, save in very exceptional conditions when the attachment of producers to the conventional price breaks down, the long-runanalysis of price, as given above, applies in the short run. This does not mean that there will be no tendencyforthe prices of these goods to fall in depressionsand rise 32 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR in booms, but simplythat therewill be no tendencyforthem to fall or rise more than the wage and raw material costs. These considerationsseem to vitiate any attemptsto analyse normal entrepreneurialbehaviour in the shortperiod in termsof marginal curves. They also make it impossible to assume that wages in the shortrun will bear any close relationto the marginalproduct (or marginalrevenue) of the labour employed.1 Perhaps the most important consequencesare forthe analysisofthetrade cycle2and especially of the effectsof changes in money wage-rates,in which the assumption is ordinarilymade that employment is carried either to the point where the marginal product is equal to the wage-rate, or 'if conditionsof imperfectcompetitionprevail', to the point where the marginal revenue (computed fromthe elasticity of the demand curve) is equal to the wage-rate. Certainlygreat doubt is cast on the generalapplicabilityof a theorywhichplaces any weighton changes in the elasticityof demand in the shortrun as a factorinfluencingthe price policy of entrepreneurs.3 7. Recapitulation If our sample is at all representativeof business conditions,we suggest that the followingconclusionsmay be drawn: (i) A large proportionof businesses make no attempt to equate marginal revenue and marginal cost in the sense in which economistshave asserted that this is typical behaviour. (ii) An element of oligopoly is extremelycommon in markets for manufacturedproducts; most businesses take into account in theirpricingthe-probable reactionof competitorsand potential competitorsto theirprices. (iii) Where this element of oligopolyis present,and in many cases where it is absent, there is a strongtendency among business 1 The 'Principle of Substitution' is, of course, not invalidated. The ratio marginal cost of factor factor will tend to be the same for all factors. marginal prodct of of factor marginal product 2 The authors intendto produce an article on this subject in the near future. They suggest that the price policy here outlined partly explains J. T. Dunlop's statistics in the Economic Journal, Sept. 1938, which indicate that real wages tend to vary directlywith output during the course of the trade cycle. 3 The 'law of diminishingelasticity of demand' may be a partial explanation of the price-cuttingin some depressions which leads to conditions of 'instability'. Several entrepreneurstestifiedthat depressed markets tended to be 'price markets'; i.e. markets in which buyers are particularly sensitive to price changes. R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 33 men to fixprices directlyat a level which they regard as their 'full cost'. (iv) Prices so fixed have a tendency to be stable. They will be changed if thereis a significantchange in wage or raw material costs, but not in response to moderate or temporaryshiftsin demand. (v) There is usually some element in the prices rulingat any time which can only be explained in the light of the historyof the industry. APPENDIX Analysis of Replies to Questionnaireon Costs and Prices In the following pages is summarized the information on which the tables in the text are based. This is sometimes rather vague, either because the replies were vague or because, in the case of firms seen in the early stages of the inquiry, the technique of questioning had not been mastered. We began by expecting that the answers would lie along lines differentfrom those which they actually followed, and we did not always press for information which later we should have found of great importance. The firms have been classed into monopolies, oligopolies, those working in conditions of monopolistic competition, and those working in these conditions with an admixture of oligopoly. The classification has been made by the authors on the basis of all the information available. In the first part of the Appendix the firmswhich followed what we have called the 'full cost' principle are listed, including those firms which considered that this was the right policy but had difficultyin adhering to it. In the second part the information obtained from the firms which did not adhere to this policy is summarized. The letter before the number' of a firmindicates the type of product: a Consumers' goods. Textiles. c = Intermediate products. d = Capital goods. e = Retailers. f = Builders. b = = The information under each firm is given in the following order: A. Price policy. B. Method of calculating cost. C. Reasons for adhering to the full cost policy, or to the modification actually employed. D. Circumstances in which this policy would be departed from. E. Selling costs: and any information about whether costs to the firm were increasing, constant, or decreasing. 1 The numbers do not correspond to those used by J. E. Meade and P. W. S. Andrews in 'Summary of Replies to Questions on Effectsof Interest Rates', Oxford Economic Paper8, No. 1. 4520.2 D AND BUSINESS PRICE THEORY 34 S~~~~;t- BEHAVIOUR 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~' Ca ~~~~~~eO 4flP bmcCa0 0 0 45 cd 4-D *0'0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ U 00 Q ~~~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~~~~" 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 0 44 0 0 ~~~~~~~~~~ 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~00 c ~ 0 0c~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~c 00 Z0 m 0 timHc 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~cd ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~0+ac Q~~~~~~~~~~ 00 " C p0 35 R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 0* 0 z 0 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~i2~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 4--J0 4-D~~~~~~~ - 4-D 0~~~~~ to C) k 0 0 0 P, 0 ca o0 H-- c 0a 0 Ca 0 0 _ +D 5 0 0 C C lz~~~~~~~~~~~0 0 0.0 0~~~~~~~~ HDb04 S aC 0 410c0- - 4- 0 ri20 Ca P., +Ca Ca 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ o D b - 36 PRICE THEORY ~~~~ AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR ~O020: MCa ~~~ ~k ~ ~ ~ ~ P. ~~~ 0O C) a .w~~~~C ri~~~~~~~~~ O~~~~~~~ S~~C 0~~O2 bD ~ 0 0 * 0~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~M a ~~~~~ a)-4.4~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~c + ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ - 0 4 . a ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ H~~~~~~~~~~~~~~C H M 4-D Ca Ca0~O* 0 ct~~~ d o 0 0 0 0 0 0 - CH4D H ~ . cdcda) Ca C)~~ C) Ca~~~ri2~ ac 0 41 M 'o 41H .,-4 C) bLC 0,0 a c 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~01 ~~~~~~~~~~~ 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0 c t C) 0 t0PA10. ) 2 a C) 0 0 +D d4 0 0 0 a C 1-b 'o 0 C -: 0 4- C w - E- R. L. HALL AND 37 C. J. HITCH ca. -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~C Ca tH CaP . ~~~r ,S~S~W0 4)0 0 0~a H -4-)o -4-) ~' W0 0 ) - -- 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~r 4-Z, 0M 02 ~~4 . 0 4)C 0 0 ;- 4-4~~~~~~~~~~1 38 PRICE THEORY 0 4~~~0~ 2 BEHAVIOUR AND BUSINESS -iC +Ocl _Ca 0 ~ ~ *~~~~~~~~~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 1 to H ;:o 0 P-, - + 0 , z e 0) ~~+~0 ~~0 c0~~~~ HO 4-1 0 to CO~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 4z 0 ) I~~~~~~ c R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH ~~~0~~~~~c~~~~00~~~~~4 ~ ~ ~ 4 .0c 00 4~~~~~~~~~~~~c Id04 0)d ;Z- +- 0 O0 O Mi -4-1 Ca d 0 OO 0~~~~~~~~~~~~0)0 00 0.~ O 0)Q J ~ ;-q ce~c 0 0~ 0 pq 00 39 .,-q O0 ~ ~ ~0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ) 0 ~ ~ o C~0 0 ~~~~~ P. 0 -4 0 000) 00~~~~~~6 -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ri 0 'p H~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ e4 to ~~ ~ ~ 40 PRICE THEORY BEHAVIOUR AND BUSINESS 0 1-1 0 00 ~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~ 0 ce 00c~ 0 43 0 ~~~~~ ~~~~~~~ ro~~~~~~~~c 0., 0., 0~~~~~~~~~~~~ 0 cq ~ C) o ; -, - e -0 0 ~ 0O ~ -415 P- 4Z ~ ~0 Q~~~~~~q0 ~ 0 ~ 24 S ;0-q 0 . 0r4e 0~~b0~~~~ 0 0 00 0 o ce4- ct ~~ ~~~~ H ~! bo 0 0 0 P- E5 ~ b ~ ~ ~ 4 0~~~~~~~ 0 - C c 4 0 0 A 41 R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH ~~~~~~~D0~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~~ 0 M0 ~~~~~~~~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~~~~~4 0 4-44- 00 -0 0 0 ) to c c-4PO0-'dc 0t:~ e -4~ 0 0C 4. c to ce d 0 d -O P- M0 ' O~~~O c 0 0 D0 0e 0 M 0 P M 0 ce c M~~~~~~~ P la _ ce000 ,~~ 45 0: 'd .,.A o ce fl 0 0 C)c~00 '-4~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~04~~. ~~~0bC~~~~~~~~~~~. 0~0 ~~~~~ 0 0C P4l 0~~~~~~~~~~0;0 .0 0 0 q. 0 0 P~~~~~q c44 0 ce .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0 .M 0 M ce~~~~~~ ; 0 PRICE THEORY 42 AND BUSINESS 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~w00.C 0~~~~~~~~~o 0 ~~~~~~~CI72 0 tcj 12 0 BEHAVIOUR ~~~~~~~ 0ce ~ ~~ ~ ~ 4~~~~ t ;.4 0 0~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 00~0ce' 0' ~ ~ 0o ~~~~~~~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~1 0 ;-, 0 o b 0 P-4 o bbLJ o . 0 4-0 4-1 00 00 4- ~ ce~~~~~~ 0 0~~~~~~~~~~~~P4p 0r QO+~~~bi ~ R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 43 The followinggives an account of the policies followedby the firmswhich did not price theirproductsaccordingto any formof the cost principle. Firm a 1. This firmproduced fashion goods, and though broadly affected by competition,had almost a monopoly' in its own range, The demand for its goods was a peculiar one, the price itselfbeing regardedas one of the propertiesof the commodity,and sales being oftenhigherat a highprice than at a low one. Thus it was necessaryto discoverthe 'right' price,which might not be related to cost at all: cost was the bottomlimitof price. Price might be cut in depression,but this must be concealed fromthe customers. On certainstaple, more competitivelines, price mightbe less than would cover full overheads: partly to maintain full employment,partly because these goods were made to train learners. Overheads about equal to works costs. No agreementin this trade, but firmswere all anxious to know what their rivals were doing. Firm a 3. This firmsuppliesmainlyto multiplestores and 'has to take the price as fixedwithinlimits' and work to it. But there is some play of price and this is veryimportantas affecting sales. Overheadstaken as 150 per cent. of directlabour, this being added to materialand directlabour chargesto get full costs. Their selling firmtakes their costs, adds 121 per cent. for its (selling)costs,and what profitit can get. They will go down to directcosts to to raise priceswhichhave been once keep the businessgoing,but it is difficult reduced. They discriminatein prices, accordingto the season, and forsuch reasons as bulk orders. Price reductionsstimulate sales, and they produce as cheaply as possible forthis reason. There are no agreements,and bad trade leads to a tendency to reduce prices. Costs fall as turnoverincreases: it is surprisingeven to themselveshow much. Firm a 5. Described as almost a monopoly,but has to think about the possibilityof new entrantsto the industry. What the marketwill bear is the only considerationany business takes into account: bottom limit is prime costs. Costing is carefullydone, and overheads are distributedon basis of 80 per cent. operation: but in any case, so long as overheads are covered somewhere,it does not matter which line carries them. Prices are liable to vary at shortnotice with cost of materialand with the competitiveposition. Demand formost of theirproducts is inelastic: with a competitiveline, response to cuts is immediate. But a cut may reduce sales, if it leads consumer to suspect quality. Agreementsare the most importantfactoragainst competitivecuttingand include 'expectation that competitorwill counterwith cuts'. Even when an agreementhas been broken (as tends to happen with any sharp change in tradingconditions)you try to keep in touch: you telephone to your competitorand inquire,and ifhe is cuttingyou say, 'You get the order,old man, but do let 's get togetheron the price' (Apparent discrepancybetween these lines in mind.) paragraphs: informantmay have had different I Though this firmhas been classifiedas a monopoly,the fact that the evaluation was not independent ofits pricemakestheanalysison ofits productby consumers was based inapplicable. whichthe classification 44 PRICE THEORY AND BUSINESS BEHAVIOUR Selling costs, includingwholesalers'margins,whichare considereda selling cost, are about 20 per cent. of workscost. Firm a 12. This firmis a member of a highlycompetitiveindustryto which entry is very easy. What the market will bear is much the most importantfactor in determiningprice. Any price which will make some contributiontowards overheads is better than nothing. Demand is very inelastic for the industryas a whole, and the sales of any particular line depend mainly on whetherthe style becomes fashionable or not. To raise priceshas been disastrous. Agreementswith competitorsare no good, and though you expect your cuts to be countered,you do not pay much attentionto this. The onlyfactors restrainingthe tendencyto cut prices are beliefin the inelasticityof demand, and a strongdisinclinationto cut below directcosts. Sellingexpensesabout 16 per cent.,profitabout 4 per cent. ofpriceto wholesalers. Industryworkingshorttime,so that costswouldfallowingto spreading of overheads. Firm b 4. Until 1929 slump this firmhad rarelysold anythingbelow full cost. Since then a more aggressivepolicy has been followed,both to bringin new linesand to expand old ones. Prices are normallygot by adding overheads on a 'full' basis to direct costs, and then adding marginsdepending on the of state of the market,which depends mainlyon the degreeof differentiation product which they have achieved. Lower limit of price is direct cost plus 50 per cent. overheads,upper limitis fixedby fearof competition,so that it is higherwherethey have a speciallygood article. Competitorsalways counter with cuts. 'The disinclinationto sell below cost is all a matterof how much you must do to keep runningon fulltime.' Selling and warehousingcosts about 10 per cent. of price. Cost falls with increase of output, even when they go into overtime. Firm c 3. 'Price depends mainly on what the market will stand.' Each line is expectedto earn a certainmarginover primecost: if it will not do this, it is not produced,because resourcescould be used moreprofitablyelsewhere. Once a price has been fixed,it is changed as rarelyas possible. They regard themselvesas marketleaders: 'If we feel ourselves compelled to increase or reduce prices, we are fairly certain that our competitorswill do likewise. Unless they are prepared to accept a sacrificein their profitrates, they will have to follow our procedure.' Reasons against raising prices are that it disheartenssalesmen, and probably damages long-runcompetitiveposition. Competitorswould probably follow any cuts, but doubtful if they would followincreases(made apart fromchanges of cost). About half their costs are distributional. They think that costs could be reduced if therewere a considerablylargerdemand. Firm d l. All ordersby contract. Agreementin one line. In this line the firmsets the prices at total cost plus 10 per cent. This is its upper limit of price: outputis estimatedand total overheadsallocated in proportionto direct labour. The lower limitis direct costs, which include that part of overheads which varies with output. Price not raised above upper limitbecause this is found to be unwise with permanentbusiness: buyers technicallyinformed. The price reductionsin depressiondo not have much effecton sales, but have R. L. HALL AND C. J. HITCH 45 to be made to retain share of what business there is. Selling costs about 10 per cent ofprice. Firm e 3. Market highlycompetitive. Close attention has to be paid to what competitorsdo, and they must be eitherled or followedin price movements. Thus very little attentioncan be paid to costs. No rigid formulais used for computingthese: if competitiveprice is too low, the line is discontinued. Two departmentsrun at a small loss because of advertisementvalue. There are really no restrainingtendenciesagainst price reductions(but as the firmis a retailer,the conditionsare those ofmonopolisticcompetition).
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