ENTERPRISES IN THE POSTPRIVATISATION PERIOD: FIRM-LEVEL EVIDENCE FOR SLOVENIA Janez Prašnikar*, Jan Svejnar**, Polona Domadenik* February 2000 * University of Ljubljana ** The William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Business School and CERGE-EI, Prague ENTERPRISES IN THE POST-PRIVATISATION PERIOD: FIRM-LEVEL EVIDENCE FOR SLOVENIA Abstract Paper analyses restructuring process and ownership structure of Slovenian enterprises in the post-privatisation period using unique firm-level panel data set of 127 large and middle enterprises in period 1996-1998. The Slovenian ownership structure calls for a new approach to the analysis of corporate governance because of the presence of multiple types of owners pursuing conflicting objectives and absence of other corporate governance mechanism in Slovenia. We distinguish between two important groups of owners, insiders and outsiders, who presumably pursue conflicting objectives. Our main hypothesis is that the speed of restructuring depends on which group of owners has in fact a predominant influence on decision making. Our conceptual model consists of variables that measure different aspects of restructuring. The restructuring process the firm has to undertake for its long-run survival in a demanding foreign markets could be divided into defensive, cost related, and strategic, revenue focused restructuring. The paper’s main conclusion is that firms where outside investors have had the predominant influence on the decision-making process have entered the process of restructuring earlier. Despite that, there is no evidence that any of the groups have taken significant steps toward revenue-focused restructuring. 1 I. INTRODUCTION Most empirical studies in recent times have examined the effects of privatisation and new ownership structures on enterprise performance in transition economies. Although the initial expectation was very optimistic, the empirical evidence does not confirm the hypothesis that enterprises in transition countries perform better after privatisation (Earle and Estrin, 1996, Konings, 1998, Jones and Mygind, 1998). Konings (1998) emphasises that the unexpected worse performance of the privatised firms could be the result of the new ownership structure formed after the mass distribution of vouchers. Insiders, workers and managers1 were then able to block the process of restructuring that in its first phase is mainly characterised by the downsizing of loss-making activities and associated redundancies. Many authors present managers as being skilful in protecting themselves against pressures for change while being hardly innovative and prone to restructuring activities. However, the empirical studies again do not generally confirm this. Carlin et al. (1994), for example, concluded that managerial behaviour was very diverse in CEECs between 1990 and 1993 with evidence of both pre-privatisation restructuring on one hand and resistance to privatisation and restructuring including active rentseeking behaviour in order to insulate firms from competitive pressures on the other. Brada and Singh (1999) expose the key question about managers’ capacities to successfully accomplish the strategic tasks involved in a firm’s restructuring in transition economies. In their opinion, this doubt about managers’ capacities could be explained by a hostile economic environment that is primarily reflected in large differences in relative prices and falling demand and, later, in the lack of sufficient funds to finance restructuring. Earle and Estrin (1997) established that managers’ influence in Russia in 1994 positively statistically determined firm operations, while workers’ influence was lower and equalled their influence in the planned economy. Djankov (1999) demonstrates that the link between managerial ownership and a firm’s performance in the six newly independent states in the 1995-1997 period was not monotonous, but it was statistically significant and positive where the managers’ ownership share was lower (under 10%) and higher (below 30%). In the middle, the link was negative. Moroever, it was found that internal or external ownership is not the prevailing factor in a firm’s efficiency, since growth of internal ownership could result from faster growth in the share of managers who could act as external owners. (Pohl et al, 1998, Prašnikar, Svejnar, 1998). Managers should really have the main role in the decision-making process with minor workers’ influence on corporate governance. (Nuti, 1997, Brada and Singh, 1999). The paper analyses the restructuring of Slovenian firms in the post-privatisation period. The introductory part involves a broader analysis of privatisation’s influence on the speed of the restructuring process in Slovenian firms. Our main hypothesis is that the speed of restructuring depends more on which interest group in the firm has the prevalent influence on decision-making than it does on ownership structure2 (Prašnikar, Gregorič, 1999). Hence, we examine the differences between two 1 Employees own a considerable amount of shares in privatised firms because programmes of privatisation stimulated employees to buy shares in the firms that employ them. (Smith, Cin, Vodopivec, 1997) 2 In the analysis, no major differences in restructuring speed between firms with prevailing external or internal ownership were found. 2 subgroups of firms that depend on the amount of workers’ influence on the decisionmaking process. First, the main model of restructuring will be presented. Then factors, affecting the enterprise restructuring in Slovenia are summarised. That is followed by a statistical description and presentation of the main figures based on the responses of 127 large and middle-sized Slovenian enterprises in the 1996-1998 period. At the end, we set out conclusions that could be drawn despite the simple analysis and propositions. II. MODEL Economics literature provides several concepts of enterprise’s restructuring in countries in transition. Konings (1998) for example lists three key factors having an important impact on a firm’s competitive and financial pressures and disorganisation. As tight budgetary constraints are imposed and product market competition increases, the incentives to engage in “deep” restructuring increase. Konings argues that a drastic fall of GDP could be caused by disorganisation and this could then lead to a fall in domestic aggregate demand. Some authors have tried to connect different aspects of restructuring in an index that seeks to measure the speed of restructuring. Earle and Estrin (1997) proposed an aggregate index as an average index of five different restructuring categories (production, employment, wage, financial restraints, and investment) obtained through the linear escalation of the variables included on an interval 0-100. Roland (1996) split the restructuring process into two phases - defensive and strategic restructuring. The first phase of defensive restructuring is defined by the downsizing of loss-making activities and associated redundancies. The main problem here is how to resolve the difficult task of overcoming potential resistance from workers connected with the layoffs and downsizing. Workers as owners and stakeholders with significant power in the decision-making process on one side, and as surplus working force on the other, play an important role in the first process. Successful completion of defensive restructuring does not necessarily mean the firm’s long-run survival in demanding market competition. For Roland, the key phase is the second one, involving investment in physical and soft firm capital. Radical reorganisation of the human resources' area should lead to an internal labour market connected with a system of internal promotion, remuneration and possibilities of workers' education and qualification that allows employees to become a source of comparative advantage. (Pinto et al., 1993, Carlin et al., 1994). Investment in management who have special knowledge of the firm, R&D, new products and new markets are also important. (Chandler, 1993) The most financially demanding part of strategic restructuring is investment in physical capital. Because of the underdeveloped capital markets in transition economies, the main financing source for investment has depended on the quality of existing assets. (Roland, 1996). The higher the quality of assets, the more accumulation could occur and be directed at investment financing. A conceptual model of a firm’s restructuring reflecting these relations is shown below: 3 REDUNDANCY FROM WORKERS’ LAYOFFS FINANCIAL REHABILITATION DEFENSIVE RESTRUCTURING STRATEGIC NEW MARKETS’ INVESTMENT INVESTMENT IN MANAGEMENT INVESTMENT IN HRM NEW PRODUCTS’ INVESTMENT R&D INVESTMENT INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL CAPITAL REMUNERATION SCHEME EDUCATION & TRAINING Figure 1: Conceptual model of restructuring III. MAIN FACTORS AFFECTING THE ENTERPRISE RESTRUCTURING IN SLOVENIA IN THE PERIOD 1990- 1998 Both micro- and macro-economically, Slovenia chose an evolutionary path during its transition to a market economy. At the macro level, it was characterised by a stabilisation policy of soft budget constraints with restrictive monetary policy, exogenously determined money supply and a floating exchange rate policy, and a relatively slow process of ownership transformation involving gradual legal changes.3 These policies enabled the Slovenian economy to achieve relatively favourable macro- 3 See e.g. Mencinger, 1991, Bole, 1992, OECD, 1997. 4 economic results. Due to the loss of the Yugoslav market4, the Slovenian economy experienced a period of economic decline in 1990-1992. Thereafter, Slovenia's economic performance has been relatively successful with GDP increasing by 3.8% and 4%, respectively, in the past two years. At the micro level, the government in 1993 rehabilitated the commercial bank sector, with losses being written off against capital and bad loans of the two largest banks being replaced with long-term bonds of the Agency for Bank Rehabilitation. As a result of the rehabilitation, the two banks came under state ownership, their operating costs started to decrease, profitability increased and the regulatory conditions set by the Bank of Slovenia were being met. By the mid-to-late 1990s, the two banks were ready for privatisation.5 As in many other transition economies, interest rates were kept high by central bank policy, limited competition in the banking sector and low domestic savings, while problems of asymmetric information between bankers and managers contributed to credit rationing at the level of firms.6 In this situation, profitable firms could be expected to rely more on internal funds or funds from abroad in financing investment, even if the domestic supply of credit remained positively related to profitability and other performance criteria.7 In this context, it is worth noting that, since its inception, the Bank of Slovenia has been strict in enforcing regulations, thus forcing commercial banks to be more careful in screening credit applications by firms. The result of all these factors was limited financing of firms by domestic banks throughout the earlyto-mid 1990s. In 1994, for instance, Slovenian commercial bank credit amounted to 23.2% of GDP, while by 1996 it dropped to a mere 14.5% of GDP.8 The part played by the newly established Ljubljana Stock Market in capital supply and allocation was also limited. With very few new issues and an annual turnover of transactions of only about $6 billion, the primary capital market was almost non-existent in the early-to-mid 1990s. The information provided by the Stock Exchange was also highly incomplete as a result of limited regulatory framework, high volatility and insider trading. The corporate ownership and governance issues that we explore in this paper were very much affected by the Law on Ownership Transformation of Enterprises (1992). The law applied to 1,345 firms in virtually all sectors of the economy and required them to allocate 20 percent of their shares to insiders (employees), 20 percent to Development Fund that auctioned the shares to investment funds, 10 percent to 4 The potential for serious economic disruption becomes clearer if one examines the structure of sales. In 1990, Slovenian firms accounted for 24.8 percent of total turnover on the Yugoslav market. (Source: Ministry of Planning, unpublished statistics). 5 As of November 1999, there were twenty-seven banks operating in Slovenia. Except for the two largest banks, all of them are in private hands. Twelve banks have foreign shareholders and in seven of them the share of foreign capital exceeds 20 percent. The market share of 5 largest banks was about 60 percent. Not all of the banks had equal operating licenses, with the limitations on bank operations varying with their capitalisation and other factors. 6 See e.g., Bole’s (1997) analysis based on the theoretical framework of Stiglitz and Weiss (1981). 7 See e.g., Cornelli et al. (1997) for the argument that in the above circumstances demand for credit will be negatively related to profitability, as high profit firms are able and prefer to finance their investment internally rather than borrow. 8 In comparison, in 1994 the ratio of bank credits to GDP attained 95 percent in the Czech Republic, 63percent in Hungary, 33 percent in Poland, and 13 percent in Russia. By 1996, the corresponding percentages were 75, 27, 20, and 13. The range of values observed in developed market economies is 120-130 percent (see Meyendorff and Snyder, 1997). 5 National Pension Fund, and 10 percent to Restitution Fund.9 In addition, in each enterprise the workers council or the board of directors (if it existed) was empowered to allocate the remaining 40 % of company shares for sale to insiders (employees) or outsiders (through a public tender). The remaining 40% of shares could have been offered to employees under a special buy-out scheme (50 percent discount) or to outsiders (through a public tender) 10. The change in ownership structure also caused a change in levers of firm management that were introduced by the Law on Commercial Companies (ZGD, 1993). The ZGD took a compromise standpoint by allowing both one- and two-tier governance structures. The difference between the two systems lies in the forming of an intermediate body (supervisory board) between the shareholders (shareholders' assembly) and the management (management board). The details are left to be set out in the firm's Articles of Association (Article 261 of the ZGD). Exceptions here are the so-called large joint-stock companies and joint-stock in the case of the public gathering of capital and when a firm’s shares are on the stock market, for which the two-tier system is compulsory under the law. However, most privatised Slovenian companies have opted for the form of joint-stock companies. As a rule, this means that they have introduced a two-tier system of governance with a supervisory board. Workers' participation in the corporate structure is primarily defined by the Law on Co-determination (ZSDU, 1993). At least one-third of the members of supervisory boards in companies with up to 1000 employees and, at least half of the members of supervisory boards in companies with 1000 or more employees, have to be workers' representatives. Workers can participate in management boards through the workers' representative - the workers' director - in firms with more than 500 employees11. Workers are also entitled to participate in a union organisation. The basic union organisations within single firms are joined together into union organisations at the national level that are led by their central organisations. As there is significant politicisation of the unions in Slovenia, it is hard for individual union organisations to communicate. This, together with extensive framework for workers’ participation in firm management, has an important influence on the organisation of the Slovenian labour market and an indirect impact on the macroeconomic level. In terms of wage setting, since 1990 Slovenia has had a layered system of agreements that have permitted wages to fluctuate between firms and defy government attempts to reign in real wage growth. In August 1990, an “umbrella” general collective agreement was signed between the Slovenian Chamber of Commerce (representing the employers) and the Trade Union Organisation (representing all 9 The Law did not apply to enterprises providing special public services, banks and insurance companies, enterprises engaged in the organisation of gambling, enterprises that were transformed under the Law on Co-operatives, enterprises that were transformed under the forestry legislation, and firms in the process of bankruptcy. 10 No less than 80% of privatised Slovenian enterprises chose internal buyout as a privatisation method (Jaklin, 1995). To a certain extent, the decision for external buyout was an exogenous variable since firms with a high value of company capital could not be privatised through the internal buyout method. 11 However, it is possible for workers to participate in management also through the workers' council. The exsistence of the workers’ council makes possible the mutual agreement on participative rights which includes different degrees of workers' participation: from the lowest degree to inform the workers' council about the economic situation of the firm, its development goals, production, changes in production organisation, technology and similar (Article 89) to the highest degree, the right of veto on an employer's decisions concerning human resource management and status questions (ZSDU). 6 workers). This agreement set the initial wages for each category of workers and it was supplemented by industry-specific agreements that effectively converted the initial wages in the umbrella agreement into minimum wages at the level of industries. Moreover, at the level of each firm the union and management bargained further in the context of the firm’s annual plan to adjust the industry-level wages. This multi-layer bargaining structure resulted in both wage dispersion and rapid wage growth. Overall, the first half of the 1990s was a period that allowed insiders to influence wages significantly at the firm level. As a result of continuous growth of wages faster than labour productivity, in 1994 the government started considering the acceptability of an Israeli-type social agreement that would limit wage increases and link them to growth in productivity. This agreement came into effect in 1995 and stipulated that wages would (a) remain constant if inflation remained below 3 percent per month, and (b) increase but lag behind productivity growth if monthly inflation exceeded 3 percent. However, the agreement was not strictly followed, real wages continued to grow and exceed productivity in 1995, and especially in the 1996-election year. In July 1997, a new collective agreement was signed for the non-government (business) sector, but no social agreement was reached that year. Paradoxically, this “breakdown in negotiations” prevented the government agencies and firms from increasing wages, and in 1997 and 1998, real wage growth finally fell behind productivity increases. IV. DATA AND RESULTS Due to the specific Slovenian circumstances, described above we performed a comparative analysis of firm’s restructuring between two groups of sample firms. In the first group, we classified firms in which workers had the dominant influence on decision-making exercised through the supervisory board. In this group, more than 50 percent of supervisory board members in 1996 represented employees' interests. We expect those enterprises to restructure slowly due to stronger workers’ influence on the decision making. In second group, we put firms in which employee representatives represented less than 50 percent of all supervisory board members in 1996. A. Ownership and supervisory board members structure Privatisation created new owners of the former socially-owned firms which could be divided into two large groups, internal and external owners. Shareholders who are employed by the firm (workers and managers), their relatives and former employees fall within the first group. The second group consists of state privatisation funds (Compensation Fund, Pension Fund, Development Fund), investment funds, banks, state, other firms and small shareholders. The ownership structure of sample firms in the 1996-1998 period (data refers to the end of the year) is shown in Table 1. As is evident from the figures, both the Pension and Restitution Funds reduce their ownership share especially in those firms where employees retain a dominant influence on decision-making. We could conclude that they are primarily following the politics of making a good financial portfolio and trying to avoid corporate governance. The opposite behaviour can be noted for investment funds. In the 19961998 period, they increased their stakes by an average 25 percent. The average increase is surprisingly bigger in the first, »employeestic«, group (up 32 percent). That 7 could be the result of external factors such as the Development Fund's decision12 on which firms were to be offered at auction. We could also conclude that investment funds are more interested in corporate governance than the strategy of assembling a good financial portfolio. The share of other firms in the ownership structure increased on average, significantly more so in the second group. The share of banks was low (less than 2 percent on average), but started to increase after 1997. There are no statistically significant differences between the shares of small owners, so we may conclude that firms in both groups are very heterogeneous by size. Although an empirical study of the privatisation behaviour of Slovenian firms (Prašnikar, Svejnar, 1998) proved that large firms mainly chose the external privatisation method (external owners receiving more than 50 percent of the shares), employees in those firms retained a big influence on decision-making because of the Law on Co-Determination. The employees’ share fell on average in the study period and this confirms the hypothesis about employees’ short-term horizons and their willingness to sell their shares where they will get more than they paid for it (Ribnikar, 1995). Managers, as expected, are on average building up their share in both groups. Internal owners, primarily due to managers’ and former employees’ expanding shares, have on average increased their share in the second group, while their share in the first group has decreased. Other mostly refers to the share of denationalisation claimants who, in the period under study, represented on average less than 2 percent. 12 The Development Fund was established by the government of the Republic of Slovenia with the goal of assisting in restructuring the Slovenian economy during the privatisation process. In 1992, the Development Fund held a public tender for assistance in which 98 companies with over 56,000 employees took part (former socially-owned capital was transferred to the Fund). In 1997, the Fund was transformed into the Slovenian Development Company. 8 Table 1: Ownership structure in 1996-1998 period Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 1996 102 68 34 22.374 24.501 18.119 12.449 12.228 11.949 6.267 0.014 1997 108 65 43 20.162 19.829 20.665 13.682 11.382 16.705 0.096 0.758 1998 111 68 43 17.32 18.133 16.033 12.043 10.668 13.983 0.8 0.373 Investment 1996 102 68 34 14.127 14.697 12.986 11.248 10.484 12.73 0.522 0.472 Funds 1997 108 65 43 17.317 19.575 13.905 13.974 13.501 14.138 4.396 0.038 1998 111 68 43 18.204 20.292 14.902 15.737 15.762 15.298 3.151 0.079 1996 102 68 34 12.349 6.288 24.472 27.882 21.189 35.223 10.55 0.002 1997 108 65 43 14.708 9.109 23.171 28.49 23.453 33.285 6.637 0.011 1998 111 68 43 17.686 11.266 27.84 30.523 24.941 35.712 8.281 0.005 1996 102 68 34 1.4 0.067 4.067 6.777 0.293 11.375 8.482 0.004 1997 108 65 43 0.845 0.39 1.532 3.939 2.392 5.478 2.198 0.141 1998 111 68 43 1.357 1.35 1.368 4.992 4.684 5.503 0 0.985 Small 1996 102 68 34 3.706 3.73 3.659 9.148 8.455 10.534 0.001 0.971 Shareholders 1997 108 65 43 4.108 4.046 4.202 9.399 9.244 9.739 0.007 0.933 1998 111 68 43 3.611 3.643 3.562 8.698 9.044 8.226 0.002 0.962 1996 102 68 34 0.873 0.23 2.159 5.69 1.895 9.446 2.649 0.107 1997 108 65 43 0.952 0.24 2.028 5.67 1.939 8.614 2.611 0.109 1998 111 68 43 1.24 0.692 2.106 6.894 5.68 8.471 1.11 0.294 1996 102 68 34 0.075 0 0.225 0.757 0 1.312 2.02 0.158 1997 108 65 43 0.194 0.102 0.332 1.154 0.822 1.525 1.03 0.312 1998 111 68 43 0.129 0 0.332 0.957 0 1.525 3.24 0.075 Internal 1996 93 62 31 25.783 29.246 18.858 15.268 13.493 16.443 10.56 0.002 Owners 1997 98 59 39 24.073 27.67 18.632 15.179 14.255 15.084 9.012 0.003 Employees 1998 99 61 38 22.999 25.785 18.528 16.114 16.292 14.967 4.939 0.029 Internal 1996 93 62 31 1.628 1.772 1.341 3.425 3.353 3.605 0.325 0.57 Owners 1997 98 59 39 2.203 2.744 1.384 5.196 6.117 3.267 1.618 0.206 1.597 0.209 State funds Other firms Banks State Municipalities Managers 1998 99 61 38 2.889 3.494 1.919 6.051 7.009 3.968 Former employees, 1996 93 62 31 10.27 11.336 8.137 9.349 8.88 10.034 2.458 0.12 Retired workers, 1997 98 59 39 11.016 11.877 9.715 9.995 9.311 10.946 1.1 0.297 Relatives 1998 100 62 38 10.683 11.42 9.482 9.672 9.611 9.779 0.945 0.333 Internal 1996 102 68 34 38.266 42.649 29.499 19.242 16.401 21.639 11.71 0.001 Owners- total 1997 108 65 43 37.568 42.384 30.286 19.354 17.09 20.47 11.06 0.001 1998 111 68 43 36.915 40.628 31.043 21.42 20.335 22.009 5.489 0.021 Unrealised internal 1996 102 68 34 5.062 6.718 1.749 9.815 11.311 4.259 6.104 0.015 buy-out 1997 108 65 43 2.512 3.18 1.502 5.162 6.016 3.314 2.782 0.098 (Development Fund) 1998 112 69 43 1.503 1.729 1.14 4.121 4.726 2.915 0.539 0.464 Other 1996 101 67 34 1.749 1.076 3.076 5.774 4.403 7.715 2.752 0.1 1997 107 64 43 1.417 0.725 2.447 5.03 3.222 6.817 3.076 0.082 1998 112 69 43 1.665 1.871 1.334 6.23 7.476 3.448 0.196 0.659 As is evident from Table 2, on average 48 percent of all supervisory board members in 1996 represented employees’ interests. If we also take managers’ representatives into consideration, we can see that internal owners in both groups had a considerable influence on decision-making. The proportion of internal owners’ representatives is, of course, statistically significant and smaller in the second group. 9 Table 2: Supervisory board members who represent employees’ interests Variable Year N Total 1 Workers’ representatives 1996 121 Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 74 47 47.462 57.952 30.946 20.748 18.512 11.11 81.28 0 74 47 51.788 64.142 32.337 20.671 15.97 8.82 155.9 0 on supervisory board (%) Workers’ and managers’ 1996 121 representatives on Supervisory board (%) B. Defensive restructuring of firms The first phase of restructuring, defensive restructuring, usually demands less financial funding than the second phase of strategic restructuring. Especially painful for workers in Slovenian firms were labour force reductions caused by the general strategy of cost cutting following the loss of Yugoslav markets and tough competition in demanding markets. As we might expect, firms from the second group were more successful in employment adjustment. They managed to cut the number of employees in the 19891996 period on average by almost 60 percent, while firms from the first group cut the number of employees by 35 percent compared to 1989. The proportion of employees declared to be a surplus shows that in the period studied the problems of surpluses were resolved mostly temporary. Firms in the first group on average faced more open resistance in the form of declared and actual strikes. Fluctuation and net fluctuation were also bigger in the first group. In the sample firms, the number of fired workers exceeded the number of newly-employed workers on average in 1996. The share of workers employed for a fixed time and workers with unsteady employment was on average higher in the second group. The second group’s firms also performed more working and overtime hours. On the basis of the data presented, we conclude that the second group’s firms were on average more successful in defensive restructuring than firms from the first group. 10 Table 3: Defensive restructuring: Layoffs Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation 2 t test Sign. 1 2 Total 1 Total 1 2 Average number 1989 71 46 25 929.2 1041.16 723.2 1208.1 1421.3 633.31 1.124 0.293 of employees 1992 88 55 33 710.16 831.968 507.152 927.31 1117 405.52 2.576 0.112 1994 92 59 33 641.53 750.227 447.205 888.09 1067.7 340.78 2.505 0.117 1996 96 60 36 603.11 727.447 395.874 813.31 985.31 297.04 3.852 0.053 114 71 43 0.272 0.324 0.186 0.934 1.131 0.45 0.582 0.447 114 71 43 0.184 0.239 0.093 0.573 0.686 0.294 1.759 0.187 Fluctuation (%) 1996 108 66 42 8.476 8.388 8.614 5.779 4.778 7.136 0.039 0.844 Net fluctuation (%) 1996 108 66 42 -3.141 -3.433 -2.682 6.094 6.253 5.881 0.388 0.535 New employees (%) 1996 105 63 42 6.515 5.784 7.611 8.448 4.393 12.239 1.18 0.28 Employees for fixed 1996 107 66 41 6.671 5.963 7.809 7.585 5.874 9.707 1.506 0.223 1996 107 66 41 7.495 6.297 9.423 8.738 6.217 11.548 3.308 0.072 Surplus 1989 102 65 37 0.04 0.063 0 0.378 0.473 0 0.659 0.419 Of employees (%) 1992 95 60 35 3.249 2.218 5.016 5.411 3.703 7.215 6.24 0.014 1994 101 64 37 1.03 0.819 1.396 3.64 1.659 5.636 0.588 0.445 1996 106 66 40 2.452 2.307 2.692 4.211 4.501 3.726 0.207 0.65 Sick leave less than 30 days relative to total hours (%) All absence relative to total hours (%) Working hours (%) 1996 96 59 37 3.757 3.837 3.629 1.603 1.556 1.689 0.38 0.539 1996 96 59 37 9.747 9.866 9.558 4.036 3.842 4.375 0.131 0.718 1996 96 59 37 79.017 78.894 79.214 5.371 5.885 4.503 0.08 0.778 Overtime hours 1996 96 59 37 1.297 1.013 1.749 1.868 1.235 2.532 3.626 0.06 Declared strikes 1991- Actual strikes 1991- 1996 1996 Time limit (%) Unsteady Employment rate (%) Relative to working hours (%) Financial rehabilitation of firms was studied using indices, which may be classified into three groups: 1. Measures of profitability: profit margin, return on sale, return on assets and return on equity; 2. Capacity to pay: measured by current and quick ratios; and 3. Measures of financing: debt-to-asset ratio, times interest earned. The average values of indexes for both groups of firms are given in Table 4. Examining the measures of profitability, we find that on average firms in the first group were more profitable in 1994 and 1995 (that is before the end of privatisation). After the completion of formal privatisation, the average results achieved by firms in the second group are better, which is in accord with the findings set out in Table 3. In fact, the firms in the second group started defensive restructuring earlier and that has influenced the values of their profitability indices. There are no major differences in the values of payment capacity indices between the two groups of firms. Payment capacity, measured by both the current and quick ratios, is decreasing on average in the period following the end of privatisation. On average, firms in the first group had higher indebtedness in the period from 1994 to 11 1998. The amount of debt increased for both groups during the whole period. The coverage of liabilities with cash flow from operations is on average relatively stable for both groups of firms, and a trend of growth is detectable. According to the conclusions set out in Table 3, the firms from group 1 are falling behind those from group 2 in the speed of defensive restructuring in 1996. Taking this conclusion into consideration and using the financial ratios for a longer period of time, we can state that the differences between the two groups in terms of profitability measures, payment capacity and financing are on average being reduced. Table 4: Defensive restructuring: Financial rehabilitation Variable Year N Mean Std. Deviation Total 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 t test Sign. Profit 1994 120 73 47 -0.001 0 -0.003 0.076 0.079 0.073 0.045 0.833 Margin 1995 119 72 47 -0.019 -0.019 -0.02 0.085 0.095 0.068 0.01 0.919 1996 121 74 47 -0.003 -0.01 0.007 0.068 0.073 0.058 1.888 0.172 1997 120 73 47 0.004 -0.004 0.017 0.077 0.084 0.063 2.155 0.145 1998 90 58 32 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 0.061 0.055 0.072 0.003 0.954 1994 120 73 47 -0.042 -0.004 -0.101 0.326 0.082 0.509 2.538 0.114 1995 119 72 47 -0.015 -0.007 -0.026 0.112 0.115 0.108 0.8 0.373 1996 121 74 47 -0.005 -0.008 -0.001 0.073 0.072 0.074 0.235 0.629 1997 120 73 47 0 -0.017 0.027 0.115 0.136 0.063 4.424 0.038 1998 90 58 32 0.007 0.001 0.018 0.06 0.069 0.035 1.543 0.217 1994 120 73 47 0.003 0.01 -0.008 0.063 0.07 0.051 2.298 0.132 1995 120 73 47 -0.015 -0.017 -0.012 0.134 0.162 0.072 0.039 0.844 1996 121 74 47 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.047 0.052 0.04 0.127 0.722 1997 120 73 47 0.008 0.004 0.014 0.059 0.071 0.033 0.826 0.365 1998 90 58 32 0.004 -0.001 0.013 0.088 0.107 0.032 0.492 0.485 1994 120 73 47 0.034 0.052 0.007 0.369 0.425 0.26 0.408 0.524 1995 120 73 47 -0.009 0.001 -0.025 0.219 0.258 0.137 0.397 0.53 1996 121 74 47 -0.017 -0.029 0.002 0.17 0.208 0.079 0.913 0.341 1997 120 73 47 0.008 0.003 0.017 0.308 0.392 0.069 0.061 0.806 1998 90 58 32 0.022 0.026 0.016 0.141 0.167 0.079 0.11 0.741 1994 120 73 47 1.905 1.857 1.981 1.614 1.662 1.551 0.17 0.681 1995 120 73 47 2.159 2.209 2.08 3.26 4.006 1.534 0.044 0.833 1996 121 74 47 2.048 2.105 1.96 2.798 3.411 1.392 0.077 0.782 1997 120 73 47 1.956 1.966 1.941 2.016 2.353 1.357 0.004 0.949 1998 90 58 32 1.671 1.694 1.628 1.17 1.191 1.15 0.065 0.799 1994 120 73 47 1.174 1.132 1.239 1.271 1.228 1.345 0.203 0.653 1995 120 73 47 1.333 1.373 1.271 2.296 2.787 1.213 0.056 0.814 1996 121 74 47 1.266 1.326 1.169 2.079 2.532 1.042 0.163 0.687 1997 120 73 47 1.212 1.244 1.161 1.518 1.826 0.857 0.084 0.772 1998 90 58 32 0.972 0.991 0.938 0.785 0.819 0.732 0.094 0.76 1994 120 73 47 0.308 0.314 0.298 0.167 0.155 0.186 0.277 0.6 1995 120 73 47 0.331 0.35 0.302 0.194 0.209 0.167 1.749 0.189 1996 121 74 47 0.333 0.355 0.298 0.178 0.187 0.158 2.946 0.089 1997 120 73 47 0.347 0.372 0.309 0.199 0.213 0.171 2.894 0.092 1998 90 58 32 0.368 0.379 0.347 0.239 0.268 0.178 0.368 0.545 Return on Sale Return on Assets Return on Equity Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt-to-Asset Ratio 12 Variable Year N Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. Total 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 Times interest earned 1994 120 73 47 -0.1 -0.006 -0.246 2.819 3.049 2.445 0.204 0.652 1995 119 72 47 -0.192 -0.228 -0.138 2.741 3.035 2.247 0.03 0.862 1996 121 74 47 0.175 0.177 0.172 2.185 2.248 2.106 0 0.99 1997 120 73 47 0.65 0.792 0.43 3.925 4.895 1.507 0.241 0.624 1998 90 58 32 1.929 2.989 0.01 17.712 22.011 1.978 0.581 0.448 t test Sign. 2.256 0.136 C. Strategic restructuring of firms According to the presented model, we classified the variables that depict strategic restructuring into five groups. Table 5 summarises the variables that indirectly measure investments in management. Data for 1996 show that the second group of firms has already experienced certain replacements of managers. (In fact, 5 years earlier there were fewer managers in the same positions in the second group of firms than in the first). Another point is that, on average, in 1996 a larger share of managers compared to the number of employees has been replaced in the second group of firms. Both factors proved to be statistically significant. In the second group of firms, younger and more educated managers with shorter working experience were employed on average. These could be managers who bring about changes and do not carry the burden of the past, who know how a market economy works and have knowledge of the finance and marketing required. There are no significant differences in the size of managerial wages, except for the variable part of wages given under individual contracts. This part of wages is higher for the second group of firms. Table 5: Strategic restructuring: Investment in management Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 Top managers (%) 1996 109 67 42 2.197 2.003 2.506 1.71 1.609 1.839 Managers with university Education (%) 1996 112 70 42 58.603 55.535 63.717 31.158 30.741 31.544 1.824 0.18 Managers younger than 1996 112 69 43 49.344 47.961 51.563 27.477 28.301 26.274 0.453 0.502 69 43 16.479 15.756 17.64 23.845 24.843 22.387 0.164 0.686 69 43 22.667 25.023 18.887 33.327 35.168 30.154 0.897 0.346 1996 108 66 42 0.165 0.113 0.246 0.296 0.258 0.336 3.306 0.072 1996 106 64 42 72.507 76.57 66.316 28.712 25.979 31.767 5.426 0.022 1996 108 66 42 0.031 0.03 0.032 0.034 0.036 0.03 0.08 0.778 1996 109 69 40 1.943 1.967 1.903 2.58 2.246 3.105 0.015 0.902 45 years (%) Managers with work 1996 112 Experience less than 5 years (%) Managers with work 1996 112 Experience over 16 years (%) Replaced managers To all employees (%) Managers who held similar position 5 years ago (%) Individual contracts per employee Individual contracts per manager 13 Variable Year N Total Mean 2 Total 39 4697.12 4686.27 4714.65 1760.87 1889.18 1554.88 0.006 0.937 on individual agreement (in DEM) Minimum wage based 1996 98 60 38 3613.37 3686.36 3498.13 1746.27 1809.81 1658.10 0.268 0.606 on individual agreement (in DEM) Maximum wage based 60 38 6888.86 6859.06 6935.91 2384.57 2628.66 1971.02 0.024 0.877 62 39 4.5 4.49 1.268 1.306 1.224 0.004 0.952 1996 98 on individual agreement (in DEM) Average wage under 1996 101 4.506 Total 1 Sign. 63 1996 102 2 t test 1 Average wage based 1 Std. Deviation 2 Individual contract relative to average wage under collective agreement Maximum wage under 1996 99 60 39 6.036 6.052 6.013 1.635 1.801 1.361 0.013 0.908 2.878 2.81 2.981 1.045 1.088 0.982 0.623 0.432 3.748 3.844 1.841 1.904 1.762 0.063 0.803 1.472 1.438 0.549 0.553 0.549 0.09 0.764 Individual contract relative to average wage in firm Maximum wage under 1996 98 59 39 Individual contract relative to maximum wage under collective agreement Maximum wage under 1996 99 60 39 3.786 Individual contract relative to average wage in Slovenia Minimum wage under 1996 98 59 39 1.458 Individual contract relative to average wage under collective agreement Fixed part of wage of 1996 85 55 30 89.841 91.491 86.817 15.241 16.367 12.624 1.844 0.178 1996 85 55 30 8.982 6.691 13.183 11.663 10.528 12.624 6.403 0.013 top management (%) Variable part of wage of top management (%) On average, the ratio of investments in fixed capital as part of total revenues was higher for the second group of firms in 1996, but we cannot generalise this statement. For both groups of firms, financing using funds for depreciation is on average overwhelming. The share of long-term loans is higher in the second group, while the share of short-term loans is higher in the first group. Table 6: Strategic restructuring: Investment in physical capital Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. 0,308 0,58 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 1996 115 72 43 5.832 5.601 6.219 5.755 5.311 6.48 Retained profit 1996 109 66 43 11.649 12.139 10.895 22.05 20.936 23.892 0,082 0,775 Long-term bank loan 1996 109 66 43 13.679 12.636 15.279 24.51 21.717 28.469 0,301 0,585 Depreciation 1996 109 66 43 63.052 60.776 66.547 35.013 34.415 36.037 0,705 0,403 Disinvestment 1996 109 66 43 3.556 3.403 3.791 12.816 13.597 11.667 0,024 0,878 Short-term credit 1996 109 66 43 5.807 7.318 3.488 13.095 14.559 10.187 2,253 0,136 Others 1996 49 30 19 2.204 3.6 0 13.059 16.646 0 0,353 Investment in Total revenue (%) Sources of investment: 0,882 Surprisingly enough, marketing expenses as part of total revenues was on average higher in the first group of firms than in the second group in 1996. This holds for both the domestic as well as the foreign markets. In spite of this, however, the share of new customers was higher for the second group of firms in 1996. The firms in the 1st group still depended relatively heavily on the domestic market in 1996, while in the same year, firms in the 2nd group realised almost 50 % of their revenues abroad. 14 Table 7: Strategic restructuring: Investment in marketing and supply Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. 3.626 1.805 0.182 5.586 3.168 1.147 0.287 3.704 4.536 1.716 1.467 0.229 11.726 9.504 9.445 9.591 0.991 0.322 9.507 7.335 5.824 8.982 3.142 0.079 70.597 54.518 34.429 33.34 34.399 4.933 0.029 35.303 29.403 45.714 34.554 33.34 34.679 5.046 0.027 1.993 2.3 1.504 2.806 2.963 2.492 2.098 0.15 t test Sign. 0.758 0.386 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 1996 106 65 41 4.773 5.494 3.632 6.976 8.382 1996 100 60 40 3.115 3.532 2.489 4.776 1996 104 63 41 1.853 2.207 1.308 New buyers (%) 1996 104 62 42 10.599 9.835 Sale to new buyers(%) Sale structure: 1996 104 62 42 7.974 6.935 Share of sales in 1996 94 60 34 64.781 1996 94 60 34 1996 109 67 42 Marketing expenses in total sale (%) Marketing expenses in domes. market (%) Marketing expenses in foreign markets(%) domestic market(%) Share of sales in foreign markets (%) Supply claims (%) In the next stage of restructuring - investment in research and development there are no significant differences between the two groups of firms. On average, the sample firms spent less than 3 % of their revenues on research and development. Most of those funds were spent on financing new products’ introduction and improvement. Table 8: Strategic restructuring: Investment in R&D Variable Year N Total R&D costs (%) Mean Std. Deviation 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 1996 87 49 38 2.496 2.277 2.779 2.664 2.561 2.801 1996 75 41 34 7.413 5.902 9.235 10.132 8.578 11.607 2.04 0.158 1996 74 41 33 37.932 36.341 39.909 26.68 27.983 25.254 0.324 0.571 1996 74 41 33 36.446 39.829 32.242 26.99 28.212 25.181 1.454 0.232 1996 75 41 34 11.573 11.415 11.765 13.628 13.414 14.082 0.012 0.913 1996 76 41 35 7.474 6.415 8.714 16.468 15.59 17.588 0.365 0.548 Structure of R&D costs: Basic research into new products and technologies Research into product improvement New product Development New production method development Laboratory activities R&D financing structure: Internal funds 1996 77 40 37 87.471 92.233 82.324 26.573 22.175 30.093 2.733 0.102 Loans 1996 78 41 37 3.91 0.976 7.162 13.208 4.362 18.202 4.459 0.038 Partners' financing 1996 78 41 37 1.872 0.366 3.541 8.492 1.729 12.061 2.781 0.1 Foreign firms 1996 78 41 37 0.513 0 1.081 4.529 0 6.576 1.11 0.295 Domestic firms 1996 78 41 37 0.128 0 0.27 1.132 0 1.644 1.11 0.295 Financed by Ministry 1996 78 41 37 1.932 1.285 2.649 4.877 3.452 6.052 1.53 0.22 of Science and Technology Fund for technology 1996 78 41 37 0.038 0.073 0 0.34 0.469 0 0.901 0.345 and development 15 There are also no major differences in the investments in human capital. (The investments in human capital can be divided into two subgroups: education and qualification on one part and compensation on the other.). Apparently, the sample firms performed worst right in this field in 1996, on average. The low share of employees with higher education and low educational expenses per employee point to the fact that, on average, the firms did not invest in improvement of the existing workforce structure in 1996. The politics of employee compensation also run in the direction opposite to that desired. The part of wages that does not depend on the results of operations has been increasing on average since 1989. In the second group of firms, this trend has reversed since the end of privatisation, but the differences between both groups of firms are surprisingly small. Table 8: Strategic restructuring: Investment in human capital Variable Year N Total Mean Std. Deviation t test Sign. 1 2 Total 1 2 Total 1 2 1996 113 70 43 9.046 8.261 10.325 7.93 7.586 8.394 1.818 0.18 1996 91 54 37 8.374 8.797 7.757 10.384 11.255 9.079 0.218 0.641 Training costs per 1996 99 61 38 171.49 169.96 173.945 241.50 262.73 206.23 0.006 0.937 Worker per year(in DEM) Training costs in total 1996 95 59 36 1.179 1.205 1.593 1.781 1.246 0.84 1996 104 64 40 1162.35 1162.30 1162.42 350.45 381.38 298.99 0 0.999 1996 104 64 40 88.093 87.415 88.517 29.732 31.548 26.947 0.034 0.855 61 40 4.248 4.322 4.136 1.716 1.886 1.437 0.28 0.598 Employees with university education (%) Hours of training per worker per year 1.136 0.041 wages (%) Average wage per month (in DEM) Average wage relative to average wage in Slovenia (%) Maximum : minimum 1996 101 wage based on collective agreement Maximum:minimum 1989 48 32 16 5.156 5.293 4.881 2.023 2.115 1.86 0.437 0.512 wage in firm 1992 66 42 24 7.535 7.531 7.542 2.617 2.244 3.221 0 0.987 1994 71 47 24 8.975 9.006 8.915 4.085 3.872 4.56 0.008 0.93 1996 81 54 27 9.253 9.318 9.123 3.817 4.062 3.344 0.046 0.83 Fixed part of wage in 1989 48 31 17 79.005 78.51 79.907 14.41 16.311 10.478 0.101 0.752 Total employee wage 1992 67 41 26 83.048 82.221 84.352 14.846 18.167 7.134 0.325 0.571 (%) 1994 75 49 26 84.199 84.077 84.428 10.038 11.109 7.824 0.021 0.886 1996 83 54 29 84.168 84.936 82.739 10.124 10.318 9.768 0.887 0.349 Variable part of wage 1989 48 31 17 20.933 21.329 20.211 14.211 15.965 10.701 0.067 0.798 In total employee 1992 66 40 26 15.34 15.39 15.263 11.031 12.897 7.54 0.002 0.964 wage (%) 1994 75 49 26 15.601 15.617 15.572 10.002 11.06 7.824 0 0.985 1996 83 54 29 15.368 14.389 17.192 10.107 10.309 9.63 1.459 0.231 16 IV. CONCLUSION In the paper we examined two groups of Slovenian firms that differ by the influence of their employees on decision-making. We assumed that the share of employee representatives on the supervisory board is a good proxy variable for the influence of employees on decision-making. The ownership structure of the firms examined changed in the period from 1996 to 1998. The ownership share of state funds has been falling, while the share of investment funds has been increasing. The ownership shares of other firms and managers have also been rising, while the share of employees has been falling. This could mean that the state funds and employees are losing while the investment funds, other firms and the managers are gaining in importance in corporate governance terms. The changes in the ownership structure are more important in the group of firms where employees have a majority on the supervisory board. This could be expected since it is harder to bring the different interests of the interest groups involved into line. Those firms in which the share of employee representatives on the supervisory board is below 50% have been more successful in their defensive restructuring. They had more success in adjusting the number of full-time employees, a bigger share of part-time employees and a higher share of contractually and seasonally employed workers. This shows that flexible employment is more often used in the group of firms with a lower share of employee representatives on the supervisory board. There is a similar tendency in favour of this group of firms regarding financial rehabilitation. However, differences in profitability, payment capacity and financing among the two groups of firms are on average becoming smaller. More importantly, we should be concerned about the fact that there are no major differences in the strategic restructuring of both groups of firms. The differences can be best seen in investments in management. Firms with a lower average share of employees on the supervisory board are quicker when it comes to replacing managers and tend to employ younger and higher-educated managers. On the other hand, there are no statistically significant differences between both groups of firms regarding investments in physical capital, marketing and purchases, research and development and human capital. It is of interest that it is the firms with a higher share of employees on the supervisory board that have greater marketing expenses on average, yet they are attracting fewer new buyers than the firms with a lower share of employees on the supervisory board. A small share of highly-educated employees, low education and qualification expenses per employee and the rising fixed part of employees’ wages point to the fact that both groups of firms are not paying enough attention to human capital investments. 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