The Effect of Product Characteristics on Perceptions of E-cigarettes among Canadians Christine Czoli, PhD Student May 28, 2014 Background Source: Alderman L. (2013). E-Cigarettes are in vogue and at a crossroads. Retrieved from: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/13/business/e-cigarettes-are-in-vogue-and-at-acrossroads.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0 Background • Debate: public health benefit or harm? • Limited research evidence Background • E-cigarette regulatory frameworks • Targets for regulation? Research Objective 1. To examine the relative importance of flavour, nicotine content, health warnings, and price among Canadians’: a) Perceptions of product taste b) Perceptions of product harm c) Perceptions of product efficacy in smoking cessation 2. To examine the extent to which outcomes a-d are moderated by smoking status, gender, and age. Methods Study Design & Protocol • Online survey + discrete choice experiment • November 2013 • 1,188 Canadians, aged 16+ Methods Discrete Choice Experiment • Random utility theory • Tested 4 product attributes Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Nicotine content None (0 mg) Low (6-8 mg) Medium (10-12 mg) High (16 mg) Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Health warning None “Health Canada has not approved this product for quitting smoking.” [HC] “This product is intended for use by existing smokers. It contains nicotine which is a highly addictive substance.” [EC1] “This product is intended for use by existing smokers aged 18 or over as an alternative to tobacco cigarettes. It contains nicotine which is a highly addictive substance. Consult your doctor if you are pregnant, breast feeding, allergic to nicotine or propylene glycol, or have high blood pressure.” [EC2] Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Price Low ($ 7.99) High ($ 9.99) Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry Nicotine content None Low Medium High Health warning None HC EC1 EC2 Price Low ($ 7.99) High ($ 9.99) Methods Product Attributes Product Attribute Levels Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry Nicotine content None Low Medium High Health warning None HC EC1 EC2 Price Low ($ 7.99) High ($ 9.99) $ 9.99 Methods Discrete Choice Experiment – Design Fractional factorial main effects design • 16 pack profiles • Arranged into 20 choice sets • Each set containing 4 pack profiles + “none” Source: Kuhfeld, W. (2010). Marketing research methods in SAS. Methods Choice Set #1 $ 9.99 $ 7.99 $ 7.99 None of the above $ 7.99 Methods Which one of these products do you think would taste better? $ 9.99 $ 7.99 $ 7.99 None of the above $ 7.99 Methods Which one of these products do you think would be less harmful? $ 9.99 $ 7.99 $ 7.99 None of the above $ 7.99 Methods Which one of these products do you think would help someone quit smoking? $ 9.99 $ 7.99 $ 7.99 None of the above $ 7.99 Methods Analyses Multinomial logit models 1. Attribute-level importance 2. Attribute importance Results Results Sample Characteristics (n = 1,188) Characteristic % (n) Age (years) Mean (SD) 32.8 (SD = 16.0) Gender Male 42.4% (504) Female 57.6% (684) Perceptions of product taste Attribute-Level Importance Parameter Estimate Significance Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry - 0.30 - 0.16 0.02 0.44 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 p = 0.1546 p < 0.0001 None Low Medium High - 0.02 0.10 - 0.02 - 0.07 p = 0.2249 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 None HC EC1 EC2 0.13 - 0.24 - 0.05 0.16 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 p = 0.0010 p < 0.0001 Low High 0.11 - 0.11 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 Flavour Nicotine content Health warning Price Perceptions of product taste Attribute-Level Importance E-cigarettes with the following characteristics were perceived as better-tasting: • Cherry flavour (p < 0.0001); • Low nicotine (p < 0.0001); • No health warning (p < 0.0001) and the EC2 health warning (p < 0.0001); • Lower price (p < 0.0001) Perceptions of product taste Attribute Importance Parameter Estimate Utility Range Relative Importance - 0.30 - 0.16 0.02 0.44 0.74 48% - 0.02 0.10 - 0.02 - 0.07 0.17 11% None HC EC1 EC2 0.13 - 0.24 - 0.05 0.16 0.40 26% Low High 0.11 - 0.11 0.22 15% Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry Nicotine content None Low Medium High Health warning Price Perceptions of product taste Attribute Importance Parameter Estimate Utility Range Relative Importance - 0.30 - 0.16 0.02 0.44 0.74 48% - 0.02 0.10 - 0.02 - 0.07 0.17 11% None HC EC1 EC2 0.13 - 0.24 - 0.05 0.16 0.40 26% Low High 0.11 - 0.11 0.22 15% Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry Nicotine content None Low Medium High Health warning Price Perceptions of product taste Attribute Importance 48% 26% 15% Health warning Flavour Price 11% Nicotine content Perceptions of product harm Attribute-Level Importance E-cigarettes with the following characteristics were perceived as less harmful: • Menthol (p < 0.0001) and coffee (p < 0.0001) flavours; • Low nicotine (p < 0.0001); • No health warning (p < 0.0001) and the EC2 health warning (p < 0.0001); • Lower price (p < 0.0001) Perceptions of product harm Attribute Importance 35% 36% 14% Health warning Flavour Price 15% Nicotine content Perceptions of product quit efficacy Attribute-Level Importance E-cigarettes with the following characteristics were believed to help someone quit smoking: • Menthol (p < 0.0001) and coffee (p < 0.0001) flavours; • Low nicotine (p < 0.0001); • No health warning (p < 0.0001) and the EC2 health warning (p < 0.0001); • Lower price (p < 0.0001) Perceptions of product quit efficacy Attribute Importance 39% 26% 25% 10% Health warning Flavour Price Nicotine content Summary • Health warnings were the most influential drivers of participants’ perceptions of product quit efficacy • Flavour was the strongest predictor of perceptions of taste • Flavour and health warnings significantly predicted perceptions of product harm Strengths & Limitations Strengths • DCE design Limitations • Design did not include all attribute-level combinations • Testing of a subset of attributes • Use of a non-probability-based sample Implications Regulatory Framework for E-cigarettes • Potential targets for regulation • Flavour and health warnings Acknowledgements Research Team • David Hammond, Maciej Goniewicz, Towhidul Islam, Kathy Kotnowski Funding Sources Thank you Christine D Czoli, PhD Student School of Public Health & Health Systems [email protected] Perceptions of product taste Pack Utility Which one of these products do you think would taste better? Parameter Estimate Flavour Tobacco Menthol Coffee Cherry - 0.30 - 0.16 0.02 0.44 None Low Medium High - 0.02 0.10 - 0.02 - 0.07 None HC EC1 EC2 0.13 - 0.24 - 0.05 0.16 Low High 0.11 - 0.11 Nicotine content Health warning Price $ 9.99 Utility = 0.38 Perceptions of product taste Pack Utility Perceptions of product taste Pack Utility Perceptions of product taste Pack Utility Perceptions of product harm Pack Utility Perceptions of product harm Pack Utility Perceptions of product harm Pack Utility Perceptions of product quit efficacy Pack Utility Perceptions of product quit efficacy Pack Utility
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