Principles of Corporate Finance Chapter 16 Eighth Edition Payout Policy Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 2 Topics Covered The Choice of Payout Policy Dividend Payments and Stock Repurchases How Do Companies Decide on The Payout? Information in Dividends and Stock Repurchases The Payout Controversy The Rightists Taxes and the Radical Left The Middle of the Roaders McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 3 Payout Policies McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 4 Dividend & Stock Repurchases U.S. Data 1980 - 2002 600 Earnings less repurchases & dividends Repurchases 500 $ Billions Dividends 400 300 200 100 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 0 Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 5 Types of Dividends Cash Div Regular Cash Div Special Cash Div Stock Div Stock Repurchase (4 methods) 1. Buy shares on the market 2. Tender Offer to Shareholders 3. Dutch Auction 4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail) McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 6 Dividend Payments Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders. Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend. Record Date - Person who owns stock on this date received the dividend. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 7 Dividend Payments Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders. Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders. Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock from its shareholders. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 8 The Dividend Decision Lintner’s “Stylized Facts” (How Dividends are Determined) 1. Firms have longer term target dividend payout ratios. 2. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels. 3. Dividends changes follow shifts in long-run, sustainable levels of earnings rather than short-run changes in earnings. 4. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that might have to be reversed. 5. Firms repurchase stock when they have accumulated a large amount of unwanted cash or wish to change their capital structure by replacing equity with debt. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 9 The Dividend Decision Attitudes concerning dividend targets vary DIV1 target dividend target ratio EPS1 Dividend Change DIV1 - DIV0 target change target ratio EPS1 - DIV0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 10 The Dividend Decision Dividend changes confirm the following DIV1 - DIV0 adjustment rate target change adjustment rate target ratio EPS1 - DIV0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 11 Dividend Policy Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as % 15 10 5 0 -5 Div Rise Div Cut -10 -15 Year Source: Healy & Palepu (1988) McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 12 Dividend Policy Before Dividend After Dividend Total value of firm New stockholders Each share worth this before … Total number of shares … and worth this after Old stockholders Total number of shares Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via new shares McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 13 Dividend Policy Shares Dividend financed by stock issue No dividend, no stock issue New stockholders New stockholders Cash Firm Cash Shares Cash Old stockholders McGraw-Hill/Irwin Old stockholders Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 14 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash they will not pay higher prices for firms with higher dividend payouts. In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 15 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Cash 1,000 Asset Value 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + New Proj NPV 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 price/share $12 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 16 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Cash 1,000 Asset Value 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + New Proj NPV 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 price/share $12 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Pmt Date 0 9,000 9,000 2,000 1,000 $11 Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 17 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Cash 1,000 Asset Value 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + New Proj NPV 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 price/share $12 Pmt Date 0 9,000 9,000 2,000 1,000 $11 Post Pmt 1,000 (91 sh @ $11) 9,000 10,000 2,000 1,091 $11 NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 18 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Stock Cash Record 12,000 0 Total Value 12,000 Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 19 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Stock Cash Record 12,000 0 Pmt 11,000 1,000 Total Value 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 20 Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Stock Cash Record 12,000 0 Pmt 11,000 1,000 Post 12,000 0 Total Value 12,000 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000 Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the cash dividend proceeds. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 21 Dividends Increase Value Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect There are natural clients for high-payout stocks, but it does not follow that any particular firm can benefit by increasing its dividends. The high dividend clientele already have plenty of high dividend stock to choose from. These clients increase the price of the stock through their demand for a dividend paying stock. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 22 Dividends Increase Value Dividends as Signals Dividend increases send good news about cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send bad news. Because a high dividend payout policy will be costly to firms that do not have the cash flow to support it, dividend increases signal a company’s good fortune and its manager’s confidence in future cash flows. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 23 Dividends Decrease Value Tax Consequences Companies can convert dividends into capital gains by shifting their dividend policies. If dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains, taxpaying investors should welcome such a move and value the firm more favorably. In such a tax environment, the total cash flow retained by the firm and/or held by shareholders will be higher than if dividends are paid. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 24 Taxes and Dividend Policy Since capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividend income, companies should pay the lowest dividend possible. Dividend policy should adjust to changes in the tax code. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 25 Taxes and Dividend Policy Firm A Firm B Next year' s price (no dividend) 112.50 (high dividend) 102.50 Dividend 0 10 Total pretax payoff 112.50 112.50 Today' s stock price 100 97.78 Capital gain 12.50 4.72 Pretax rate of return (%) 12.5 100 Tax on div @ 50% Tax on Cap Gain @ 20% Total After Tax income (div cap gain - taxes) After tax rate of return (%) McGraw-Hill/Irwin 100 12.5 0 .20 12.50 2.50 (0 12.50) 2.50 10 10 100 100 10.0 14.72 97.78 100 15.05 .40 10 4.00 .20 4.72 0.94 (10 4.72) (4 0.94) 9.78 9.78 97.78 100 10.0 Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 26 Taxes and Dividend Policy In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars) Cash Flow Operating Income Corporate tax at 35% After Tax income (paid as div) Income tax paid by investors at 15.0% Cash to Shareholder McGraw-Hill/Irwin 100.00 35.00 65.00 9.75 55.25 Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 27 Taxes and Dividend Policy Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia, Shareholders receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm pays (figures in Australian dollars) Rate of Income tax 15% Operating Income Corporate tax (Tc=.30) After Tax income 100 30 70 30% 100 30 70 Grossed up Dividend Income tax Tax credit for Corp Pmt Tax due from shareholder Cash to Shareholder 100 15 -30 -15 85 100 30 -30 0 70 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 47% 100 30 70 100 47 -30 17 53 Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 16- 28 Web Resources Click to access web sites Internet connection required www.taxsites.com. www.fulldisclosure.com www.ex-dividend.com McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved
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