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Book Description
In Coherent Stress Testing: A Bayesian
Approach, industry expert Riccardo Rebonato
presents a groundbreaking new approach to this
important but often undervalued part of the risk
management toolkit. Based on the author s
extensive work, research and presentations in
the area, the book fills a gap in quantitative risk
management by introducing a new and very
intuitively appealing approach to stress testing
based on expert judgement and Bayesian
networks. It constitutes a radical departure
from the traditional statistical methodologies
based on Economic Capital or Extreme-ValueTheory approaches. The book is split into four
parts. Part I looks at stress testing and at its
role in modern risk management. It discusses
the distinctions between risk and uncertainty,
the different types of probability that are used
in risk management today and for which tasks
they are best used. Stress testing is positioned
as a bridge between the statistical areas where
VaR can be effective and the domain