Research report Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile Martin Scott September 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 2 Contents Contents Slide no. 4. List of figures and tables 5. Document map – Executive summary 6. Executive summary 7. Document map – Introduction and scope 8. This report examines current and historical broadband, double- and triple-play pricing across Europe 9. Usage profiles model the difference between ‘light’, ‘typical’ and ‘heavy’ users 10. Document map – Service speed evolution 11. Median cable and VDSL downstream speeds converged, but the median speed of FTTH/B fell in 2Q 2011 12. Median advertised VDSL upstream speeds caught up with FTTH/B in 2Q 2011 13. Consumer broadband is available for less than EUR0.1 per Mbit/s per month in Romania, Sweden and Ukraine 14. Document map – Country-by-country pricing comparison 15. Residents of around half of European countries can buy fixed broadband for less than EUR20 per month 16. Incumbent operators are increasingly offering the cheapest double-play services 17. Fewer than half of European countries have reached the ‘gold standard’ EUR30 per month for triple-play services Slide no. 18. Document map – Incumbent versus altnet 19. Most incumbents maintain high premiums for standalone/ naked broadband services to cover the cost of the local loop 20. Broadband-plus-voice prices are higher among incumbents, because they benefit from customer inertia 21. Cablecos can offer triple-play bundles at competitive prices because they can recoup content costs elsewhere 22. Document map – Promotional pricing 23. Fixed broadband promotions tend to have the features of one or more of four basic types 24. Service providers must tailor price promotions to local preferences 25. The most-aggressive pricing promotions promise better-than-half-price broadband during a two-year period 26. Document map – Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services 27. The ultra-fast broadband premium fell to 14% in 2Q 2011 28. The price premium for voice and TV services varies significantly between countries 29. Document map – Introducing mobility to fixed bundles © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 3 Contents Contents Slide no. 30. Mobile broadband pricing undercuts comparable entry-level fixed broadband packages in most of Western Europe 31. From triple-play to multi-play: converged operators are finally bundling fixed and mobile services more tightly 32. The price premium for mobile broadband varies, but EUR10–15 per month is most common 33. Consumers save an average of 35% on mobile broadband when they buy it as part of a service bundle 34. Document map – How to use the pivot charts in the data annex 35. How to use the pivot charts in the data annex 36. Document map – About the author and Analysys Mason 37. About the author 38. Copyright and disclaimer 39. About Analysys Mason 40. Research from Analysys Mason 41. Consulting from Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 4 Contents List of tables and figures Slide no. 6. Figure 1: Unweighted mean price per megabit per second for residential fixed broadband access, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 9. Figure 2: Inputs into the voice usage profile 11. Figure 3: Unweighted median downstream broadband speed by access technology, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 12. Figure 4: Unweighted median upstream broadband speed by access technology, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 13. Figure 5: Unweighted mean price per megabit per second for residential fixed broadband access, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 13. Figure 6: Price per megabit per second of the ten least-expensive services in Europe, 2Q 2011 15. Figure 7: Price of the least-expensive broadband access service (without voice) for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 16. Figure 8: Price of the least-expensive DSL and voice combinations for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 17. Figure 9: Price of the least-expensive triple-play service for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 19. Figure 10: Price premium for the incumbent’s leastexpensive standalone broadband service in selected countries, 2Q 2011 20. Figure 11: Price premium for the incumbent’s leastexpensive broadband and voice services in selected countries, 2Q 2011 Slide no. 21. Figure 12: Price premium for the incumbent's leastexpensive triple-play service in selected countries, 2Q 2011 23. Table 1: Types of fixed broadband promotion 24. Figure 13: The relative attractiveness of broadband pricing promotions, by country 25. Figure 14: The top-ten fixed broadband price promotions, 2Q 2011 27. Figure 15: Comparison of the median price of different types of fixed broadband service bundle for a typical user, Europe and the USA, 4Q 2008– 2Q 2011 28. Figure 16: Relative pricing of the least-expensive single-, double- and triple-play packages by country, 2Q 2011 30. Figure 17: Comparison of the least-expensive fixed and mobile broadband services in selected European countries, 2Q 2011 32. Figure 18: Distribution of the incremental price of bundled mobile broadband on top of other fixed services in a bundle, Europe and the USA, 2Q 2011 33. Table 2: Strategies for pricing mobile broadband as part of a service bundle 35. Figure 19: How to use the pivot charts in the Tripleplay pricing study data annex © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 5 Document map: Executive summary Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 6 Executive summary Executive summary Superficially, 2011 has been ‘business as usual’ for fixed operators. The exponential decline in the price per megabit per second for fixed broadband in Europe and the USA continues – falling to an average of EUR4.1 per Mbit/s per month in the second quarter of 2011 (2Q 2011). Tariffs remained relatively static in the first half of the year. Nonetheless, several notable shifts in the service landscape may boost ARPU – namely ultra-fast broadband and fixed–mobile bundling. The price premium for ultra-fast broadband continued to decline – to 14% in 2Q 2011. More positively, VDSL services are proving to be solid competitors to cable in the short term – median downstream speeds for VDSL and cable modem stood at 24.0Mbit/s and 24.6Mbit/s respectively in 2Q 2011. The median upstream speed for VDSL has surged to 10Mbit/s. Fixed–mobile bundling is widespread enough that we can analyse the mobile element of these bundles and categorise approaches. Figure 1: Unweighted mean price per megabit per second for residential fixed broadband access, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] 80 Price per megabit per second (EUR per month) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 7 Document map: Introduction and scope Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 8 Introduction and scope This report examines current and historical broadband, double- and triple-play pricing across Europe The Triple-play pricing study tracks the details of 1600 mass-market, fixed-broadband-based service bundles, including fixed voice, mobile voice, mobile broadband and TV services. This tracker has grown out of work that Analysys Research carried out in 2000 for the UK regulator at the time, Oftel, which involved taking a snapshot of DSL prices and service levels in four countries. As prices and service levels have continued to evolve rapidly, Analysys Mason has extended this study to cover all major Western European countries, a number of Central and Eastern European countries as well as the USA. We have also added to the prices of DSL those of cable-modem and residential fibre-based broadband services. This report examines the results of the latest iteration of the Triple-play pricing study, for the second quarter of 2011, as well as data from previous versions, in order to benchmark trends in the pricing, bundling and technical capabilities of fixed-broadband-based services. It considers: the evolution of service speeds the evolution in the price per megabit per second for broadband access the relative pricing of broadband, double- and triple-play offers in countries benchmarked in the study the latest trends in the promotional pricing of services, including an examination of what quantifies typical promotional pricing and a list of the ‘top ten’ greatest savings for consumers the price premium for ultra-fast broadband services, and voice and TV services the difference in entry-level retail prices between incumbent and alternative operators the value of mobile broadband services included in service bundles and the potential savings compared with standalone mobile broadband. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 9 Introduction and scope Usage profiles model the difference between ‘light’, ‘typical’ and ‘heavy’ users Figure 2: Inputs into the voice usage profile [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Total country voice subscribers Voice usage profile Total country call volume Average call duration Line-rental tariff Flat-rate portion of service tariff Scalar for ‘light’, ‘typical’ and ‘heavy’ users Per-minute voice and data tariff Installation and set-up charges Monthly price for basket of usage Promotional discounts Bundled voice minutes Data usage profile Key: Actual input Modelled input To provide an accurate benchmark of the actual cost of services to consumers, usage profiles are applied to the pricing study’s raw data (such as line-rental charges and per-minute voice charges). These profiles model the price that consumers will see on their bill at the end of a month, and are derived as per the process outlined in Figure 2. Operators’ pricing strategies vary in different markets. For example, some service providers front-load consumer spend by applying ‘one-off’ charges for installation, set-up or CPE rather than incorporating those costs with monthly access charges. For this reason, we include and amortise all of these one-off charges within our usage profiles, over a 24-month period. (Note that we do not include contract or service cancellation charges.) Derived value © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 10 Document map: Service speed evolution Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 11 Service speed evolution Median cable and VDSL downstream speeds converged, but the median speed of FTTH/B fell in 2Q 2011 The median advertised speed of DSL and cable modem services were 8.0Mbit/s and 24.0Mbit/s respectively in 2Q 2011. Median DSL speeds have stagnated at 8.0Mbit/s, the upper limit for firstgeneration ADSL, because this technology continues to account for just over half of all DSL packages available from major service providers. In 2Q 2011, 32% of cable modem services on the market offered headline speeds of at least 50Mbit/s, compared with 22% in the fourth quarter of 2010. Even if older generations of DSL no longer effectively compete with cable modem in terms of speed, VDSL continues to be a credible contender: the median downstream speed of VDSL increased to 24.6Mbit/s in 2Q 2011, staying just ahead of the cable modem average. Figure 3: Unweighted median downstream broadband speed by access technology, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Downstream speed (Mbit/s) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 All 2004 2005 DSL 2006 VDSL 2007 2008 2009 Cable modem 2010 2011 FTTH/B The median downstream speed of FTTH/B and apartment LAN services fell to 40Mbit/s in 2Q 2011. Some service providers have struggled to increase the percentage of homes passed that take a service. This may account for the increasing number of lower-bandwidth services available at cheaper prices. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 12 Service speed evolution Median advertised VDSL upstream speeds caught up with FTTH/B in 2Q 2011 The median advertised upstream speed of DSL services slowly moved towards the theoretical maximum of the ADSL and ADSL2+ standards in 2Q 2011, reaching 0.88Mbit/s (the maximum is 1Mbit/s). Figure 4: Unweighted median upstream broadband speed by access technology, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] 10 Upstream speed (Mbit/s) (Logarithmic scale) By contrast, the upstream speeds of cable modem continued to increase quickly, from 1.5Mbit/s in 4Q 2010 to 2.0Mbit/s in 2Q 2011. The difference between the upstream speeds of VDSL and cable modem is becoming more pronounced – the median upstream speed of VDSL services increased to 10Mbit/s in 2Q 2011, up from 2Mbit/s in 4Q 2010. The upstream speeds achievable with VDSL are an important differentiator for these services relative to cable modem. The majority of DOCSIS3.0 cable upgrades to date have not implemented channel bonding in upstream channels, meaning that the services have more-limited capacity than VDSL. 1 0.1 2003 All 2004 2005 DSL 2006 VDSL 2007 2008 2009 Cable modem 2010 2011 FTTH/B The median speed of upstream fibre and A-LAN services maintained its historical level of 10Mbit/s. This speed continues to be sufficient for almost all current applications, although symmetric 100Mbit/s services are available: 14% of the fibre/A-LAN services offered upstream bandwidths of 100Mbit/s or higher in 2Q 2011 – as was the case in 2010. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 13 Service speed evolution Consumer broadband is available for less than EUR0.1 per Mbit/s per month in Romania, Sweden and Ukraine The price per megabit per second for residential fixed broadband access continues to decline exponentially. It fell from EUR7.5 in 4Q 2009 to EUR4.9 in 4Q 2010 and then to EUR4.1 in 2Q 2011. Western European countries are generally expensive in terms of price per Mbit/s. The exception is Tele2 in Sweden, which offers a 1Gbit/s residential service for EUR88.8 per month. This makes Sweden the only Western European country where one of the ten least-expensive services is available on a per Mbit/s basis. Romanian incumbent Romtelecom has previously offered the cheapest service by this measure; a 100Mbit/s broadband service from the operator costs EUR9.3 per month, but currency fluctuations made the Tele2 deal better value in 2Q 2011. Figure 5: Unweighted mean price per megabit per second for residential fixed broadband access, Europe and the USA, 2003–2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Price per megabit per second (EUR per month) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 6: Price per megabit per second of the ten leastexpensive services in Europe, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Tele2 (Sweden) Romtelecom (Romania) RCS & RDS (Romania) Vega (Ukraine) Volia (Ukraine) Balticum (Lithuania) Baltkom (Latvia) Lattelecom (Latvia) TEO LT (Lithuania) UPC (Romania) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 Price per Mbit/s (EUR) 0.20 © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 14 Document map: Country-by-country pricing comparison Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 15 Country-by-country pricing comparison Residents of around half of European countries can buy fixed broadband for less than EUR20 per month 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Percentage of sites 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Ukraine Romania Lithuania Latvia Estonia Slovakia France Turkey Poland USA Belgium Bulgaria Austria Croatia Sweden Norway Netherlands UK Finland Italy Slovenia Greece Czech Republic Ireland Denmark Switzerland Spain Price (EUR PPP per month) Figure 7: Price of the least-expensive broadband access service (without voice) for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011]1 This metric compares the least-expensive fixed broadband services by country. Some consumers have to pay the incumbent for line rental in order to receive fixed broadband services. In these cases, we include this charge in the calculation, but assume that no call charges are incurred. Allowing for purchasing power parity (PPP), the price of the least-expensive broadband service varies significantly between countries. Entry-level broadband in Spain is around six times more expensive than in Ukraine. There is little correlation between fixed broadband penetration and the relative price of entry-level services. Factors other than price have a significant impact on fixed broadband penetration, including infrastructure coverage, operator choice and the time since services were launched in the country. Double-play services are actually cheaper than entry-level broadband prices in countries such as Germany and the UK. Line rental Broadband subscription charge Fixed broadband site penetration 1 Purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rates are used to compare the relative affordability of services in different countries. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 16 Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent operators are increasingly offering the cheapest double-play services Figure 8: Price of the least-expensive DSL and voice combinations for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Double-play service prices provide the ‘truest’ indication of the cost of broadband services because most consumers subscribe to both fixed broadband and fixed voice services. 40 Double-play packages, in which fixed broadband and voice services are explicitly sold together, increasingly offer a better deal for consumers than purchasing the two services separately, because they often include bundles of ‘free’ minutes, unlike many standard incumbent line rental services. DSL-based players continue to offer the cheapest double-play packages in 20 of the 26 countries where we observed double-play bundles. This is partly because cablecos often include cable TV in service bundles. The number of incumbents offering the cheapest double-play service in the market has increased – we observed incumbents that had undercut all major altnet competition in eight countries, compared to six countries in 4Q 2010. 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Latvia Romania Denmark Estonia Austria Sweden Ukraine UK Ireland Germany Slovakia Switzerland France Poland Netherlands Italy Slovenia Croatia Belgium Bulgaria USA Norway Greece Turkey Spain Price (EUR PPP per month) 45 Extra line rental charge (EUR/month) Broadband subscription charge (EUR/month) © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 17 Country-by-country pricing comparison Fewer than half of European countries have reached the ‘gold standard’ EUR30 per month for triple-play services 50 40 30 20 10 Broadband subscription charge (EUR/month) Greece Spain Slovakia USA Switzerland Belgium Ireland Croatia Netherlands Czech Republic Italy Slovenia Norway Poland UK Bulgaria Germany France Austria Latvia Romania Denmark Estonia 0 Sweden Price (EUR PPP per month) Figure 9: Price of the least-expensive triple-play service for a typical user by country, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Extra line rental charge (EUR/month) © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 18 Document map: Incumbent versus altnet Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 19 Incumbent versus altnet Most incumbents maintain high premiums for standalone/ naked broadband services to cover the cost of the local loop Figure 10: Price premium for the incumbent’s least-expensive standalone broadband service in selected countries, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] For standalone broadband (that is, a broadband connection with no voice connection, such as naked DSL (NDSL)), cable operators are frequently cheaper than DSL providers. In the 12 countries where the incumbent offers standalone broadband, it is cheapest in just 2 and both are based on FTTH rather than NDSL. Incumbent operators frequently price NDSL services only a fraction below DSL+PSTN services to cover the cost of the PSTN line and to encourage customers to keep voice services. Take-up of NDSL services is therefore relatively limited in many countries. A reduction in retail NDSL prices is not in the interests of most incumbent operators. Instead, these operators are concentrating on retaining PSTN customers, which should minimise overall revenue loss. 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% –20% –40% Slovakia Romania Finland Sweden Switzerland Slovenia USA Austria Czech Republic Lithuania Poland Belgium Latvia –60% Norway Incumbent price premium for entry-level broadband-only subscription 100% © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 20 Incumbent versus altnet Broadband-plus-voice prices are higher among incumbents, because they benefit from customer inertia Figure 11: Price premium for the incumbent’s least-expensive broadband and voice services in selected countries, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% –20% USA Greece Belgium Norway Italy France Spain Turkey Germany UK Switzerland Croatia Romania Ukraine Slovenia Poland Sweden Denmark Ireland –40% Austria Incumbent price premium for entry-level DSL plus voice subscription 100% Note: The chart compares all service bundles that are sold as a double-play package as well as cases where the consumer must purchase a separate fixed voice service in order to receive the broadband service. In the latter case, the additional charge for the voice service is included in the price premium calculation. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 21 Incumbent versus altnet Cablecos can offer triple-play bundles at competitive prices because they can recoup content costs elsewhere Figure 12: Price premium for the incumbent's least-expensive triple-play service in selected countries, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Cablecos typically have the advantage of scale when it comes to offering TV services as part of a bundle – they generate further TV revenue from non-broadband subscribers. On the other hand, most DSL-based players offer TV services solely through IPTV and hence all costs are attributed to a subset of their broadband subscriber base. Consequently, it is harder for DSL-based players to reduce the price of TV within a triple-play bundle – and therefore the overall price of a triple-play bundle – because they cannot recoup revenue from non-broadband TV subscribers. Incumbents frequently charge at least 50% more than competitors for triple-play services. Service providers with IPTV assets must maintain a premium image, with a strong content proposition, in order to justify their price premium. 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% –20% Denmark Sweden Romania Slovenia Italy Spain Estonia Germany Austria Poland Switzerland Latvia France Belgium Netherlands UK Slovakia USA Incumbent price premium for entry-level triple-play subscription 120% © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 22 Document map: Promotional pricing Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 23 Promotional pricing Fixed broadband promotions tend to have the features of one or more of four basic types Table 1: Types of fixed broadband promotion [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Typical Attractiveness saving1 to consumers2 Type Description Rebate or credit In our 2010 Connected Consumer survey, the promotion type that consumers voted the most attractive was that of receiving a rebate (or ‘cash back’) after subscribing to a service for a number of months. While relatively unpopular in Spain, the UK and the USA, it was very popular in France, Germany and Poland. ~3% ●●●●○ Equipment Rebates on CPE reduce a key barrier to subscriber adoption and can act as a positive differentiator if the equipment includes additional features, such as Wi-Fi, DECT or TV services. The magnitude of the savings that these promotions promise varies – from 10% of the total cost of 24 months of service in 2Q 2010 down to 8% in 4Q 2010. It remained at 8% in 2Q 2011. ~8% ●●●○○ Access Service providers that offer a reduction to monthly access charges tend to do so by providing the first few months of service free of charge, or at a reduced rate, in order to increase net subscriber additions. For example, UPC Slovakia offers the first six months of its ENTRY EXTRA +100MB package at EUR35 per month before reverting to the standard EUR90 per month. ~9% ●●○○○ Activation The activation and installation fees are another potential barrier to entry that service providers can reduce or eradicate through promotional pricing. ~6% ●●○○○ 1 Calculated as a proportion of all costs required to set up and maintain a residential fixed broadband service for 24 months. 2 Key to attractiveness ratings: ●●●●● very attractive ○○○○○ not attractive. Values are based on feedback from our Connected Consumer survey. Note: For the purposes of this report, offers of bundled voice or data minutes are not considered as promotions. Some price promotions may only be available online – these are part of service provider initiatives to reduce customer service and provisioning costs. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 24 Promotional pricing Service providers must tailor price promotions to local preferences Figure 13: The relative attractiveness of broadband pricing promotions, by country1 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Short-term price promotions are one of the most commonly used forms of marketing strategy. Promotions that removed financial barriers to adoption (such as free equipment and free activation) were the most appealing to consumers in 2009. However, consumers in different countries were less consistent about this in 2010, suggesting that operators with a multinational footprint should not apply the same strategy in all countries. Equally, operators looking to emulate promotions from another country may find that the results differ considerably in their domestic markets. Consumers in the UK and USA appear to be similar – they prefer promotions that reduce the financial barrier to entry and are attracted to ‘x months free’ offers. French, German and Polish consumers prefer ‘cash-back’ offers. Spanish respondents are attracted to reduced monthly fees and rebates. Country Low 1 Free equipment Reduced monthly fee Reduced upfront charges Free extra services Reward card points Rebate Price promotion Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 UK 4 3 2 1 5 6 France 1 2 5 3 6 4 Germany 1 3 4 2 5 6 Poland 1 3 2 4 5 6 Spain 2 3 1 5 4 6 USA 4 3 1 2 5 6 High Rank of respondents’ preference (1 = most attractive; 6 = least attractive) Question: “Please place in order the relative attractiveness of the following broadband pricing promotions, where ‘Top 1’ is the most attractive offer and ‘Top 6’ is the least attractive.”; all respondents with fixed broadband; n = 4918. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 25 Promotional pricing The most-aggressive pricing promotions promise betterthan-half-price broadband during a two-year period Since we began tracking bundled price promotions in early 2009, the most-aggressive promotional savings in the fixed broadband market remained stable at around 20–40%. However, operators in some Eastern and Western European countries offered more-aggressive savings of 40–50% in 2011. 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Rebate/credit Activation UPC (Hungary) adsl start solo Orange (Spain) ADSL con Television de Orange Telia (Sweden) Telia Bredband 10+ ZON Multimedia (Portugal) ZON Net Cabo 30Mb + TV FASTWEB (Italy) FASTWEB JOY (DSL) + Internet Mobile Maxiflat TeliaSonera (Finland) Entertainment Package Canal Digital (Telenor) (Norway) Bredbåndspakken Mini Vodafone (Germany) Vodafone DSL Classic Paket + TV blizoo (CableTEL) (Bulgaria) Blizoo.Net 15 mbps 0% UPC (Slovakia) ENTRY EXTRA + 100MB Saving as a proportion of total price of 24 months of service Figure 14: The top-ten fixed broadband price promotions, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Equipment Access © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 26 Document map: Price premium for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 27 Price premium for higher speeds, and voice and TV services The ultra-fast broadband premium fell to 14% in 2Q 2011 60 30% 50 25% 40 20% 30 15% 20 10% 10 5% 0 0% 4Q 2009 2Q 2010 4Q 2010 2Q 2011 Entry-level broadband All fixed broadband Ultra-fast broadband Ultra-fast broadband price premium 1 Please note that this series was previously dependent on estimated EUR PPP exchange rates. Because we have revised these exchange rates historically to reflect the availability of 2010 PPP factors, the results published in this study are not comparable with, and are an improvement on, those from previous versions of the study. Ultra-fast broadband price premium Price (EUR PPP per month) Figure 15: Comparison of the median price of different types of fixed broadband service bundle for a typical user, Europe and the USA, 4Q 2008–2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011]1 The median price of broadband access increased by EUR1.2 in the first half of 2011, to EUR47.4 in 2Q 2011. Entry-level prices also increased marginally, by EUR30.0 to EUR31.6 per month in 2Q 2011. On the other hand, the price of ultra-fast broadband services has continued its gentle descent, declining in the first six months of 2011 – from EUR55.8 per month to EUR54.1 per month and the price premium for ultra-fast broadband has dropped to just 14%. Results from our Connected Consumer survey indicate that many consumers are unsure of the benefit of ultra-fast broadband services. Nonetheless, 25% of the European broadband packages tracked in the pricing study offered access speeds of 30Mbit/s or more in 2Q 2011. Service providers must articulate the benefits of ultra-fast broadband more clearly to consumers if they are to stimulate significant take-up of the services at a price premium. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 28 Price premium for higher speeds, and voice and TV services The price premium for voice and TV services varies significantly between countries 400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% Broadband Double-play Slovakia Romania USA Turkey Belgium Ukraine Poland Latvia Croatia France Greece Ireland Switzerland Bulgaria Netherlands UK Norway Austria Italy Slovenia Denmark Spain Czech Republic Germany Estonia Sweden Lithuania 0% Finland Price of cheapest service bundle as a percentage of the cheapest price of broadband Figure 16: Relative pricing of the least-expensive single-, double- and triple-play packages by country, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Triple-play Note: In countries where a double-play package is available at a lower cost than the least-expensive standalone broadband service, or where a triple-play bundle is available at a lower cost than the least-expensive double-play package, only the service with the most elements is shown. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 29 Document map: Introducing mobility to fixed bundles Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 30 Introducing mobility to fixed bundles Mobile broadband pricing undercuts comparable entry-level fixed broadband packages in most of Western Europe Cheapest mobile broadband tariff (EUR PPP per month) Figure 17: Comparison of the least-expensive fixed and mobile broadband services in selected European countries, 2Q 20111 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] In Central and Eastern Europe, use of mobile broadband as a primary Internet access technology is common. Relatively poor fixed broadband coverage allows operators to charge a premium for mobile broadband while maintaining demand. In Western Europe, broadband is often positioned as a competitor to fixed broadband (particularly in countries such as Austria), but is also frequently used as a complementary service. Mobile broadband tariffs in this region often significantly undercut those for fixed broadband in order to simultaneously encourage substitution and make the service attractive as a complement to fixed. The Netherlands and France are notable exceptions – the least-expensive contract mobile broadband services with a usage cap greater than or equal to 3GB are almost twice as expensive as the least-expensive fixed broadband services, in line with the premium for mobile voice services in these countries. 45 Netherlands 40 35 Bulgaria Slovakia, Turkey and Croatia 30 France 25 Greece Czech Rep. Spain Switzerland 20 Poland The Baltics 15 Sweden Romania Ukraine 10 UK and Ireland Norway Austria 5 Germany, Italy and Slovenia Finland Denmark 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Cheapest fixed broadband tariff (EUR PPP per month) 1 Mobile broadband data collected in 1Q 2011; this chart compares the least-expensive contract tariff with a usage cap equal to or greater than 3GB per month for both fixed and mobile broadband. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 31 Introducing mobility to fixed bundles From triple-play to multi-play: converged operators are finally bundling fixed and mobile services more tightly A1 Telekom Austria and Latvian operator Baltcom launched the first fixed–mobile service bundles in the first half of 2008. Since then, a number of converged operators, primarily MNOs rather than MVNOs, have begun to bundle fixed and mobile services more tightly. As part of the Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011, we have observed that the following operators are offering fixed–mobile bundles: Operators bundling mobile broadband into fixed service bundles Austria – A1 Telekom Austria Belgium – Belgacom Czech Republic – Telefónica O2 Finland – TeliaSonera France – France Telecom Orange Germany – Vodafone, Alice Hungary – T-Online, Invitel Ireland – Vodafone Italy – FASTWEB Operators bundling mobile voice into fixed service bundles Norway – NextGenTel Austria – A1 Telekom Austria Poland – Netia, Multimedia Polska Belgium – Belgacom Belgium – Scarlet Bulgaria – VIVACOM Germany – Alice Hungary – T-Online Latvia – Baltcom Romania – RCS & RDS Sweden – Telia, Com Hem, Bredbandsbolaget Slovenia – T-2 Sweden – Telia UK – Virgin Media Switzerland – Swisscom UK – Virgin Media Portugal – PT, ZON Multimedia, Optimus Clix Romania – Romtelecom, RCS & RDS Spain – Telefónica (Movistar), Orange © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 32 Introducing mobility to fixed bundles The price premium for mobile broadband varies, but EUR10–15 per month is most common Figure 18: Distribution of the incremental price of bundled mobile broadband on top of other fixed services in a bundle, Europe and the USA, 2Q 2011 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] 1 EUR0 EUR0.01–2.5 EUR2.5–5 EUR5–7.5 EUR7.5–10 EUR10–15 EUR15–20 EUR20–25 >EUR25 The free or nearly free services are either prepaid services or include smaller usage caps (sometimes as low as a few hundred megabytes). Services charged at EUR25 or more may include usage caps of 10GB or more, but are sometimes as low as 3GB. As part of the Triple-play pricing study, we identified 131 fixed service bundles that included mobile broadband. Of these, 82 bundles had equivalents that did not include mobile broadband, allowing us to isolate the value of mobile broadband as part of the bundle. The distribution of the value of mobile broadband as part of a bundle is, for the most part, very even – we identified approximately as many free or nearly free mobile broadband services added to fixed bundles as we did mobile broadband services priced over EUR25 per month.1 However, the most frequent premium charged for adding mobile broadband into a bundle was between EUR10 and EUR15 per month. This is understandably lower than standalone mobile broadband services as a result of: consumer expectation of lower prices for bundled services the mobile broadband service being sold as a complementary service. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 33 Introducing mobility to fixed bundles Consumers save an average of 35% on mobile broadband when they buy it as part of a service bundle Table 2: Strategies for pricing mobile broadband as part of a service bundle [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] Service providers taking this approach Tariff type Description Discounted contract mobile broadband The most popular approach to bundling mobile broadband services with fixed services is to discount the value of the standalone mobile broadband service – typically by around 35% – although some operators, such as TeliaSonera in Finland and RCS & RDS in Romania offer the service for free with their high-end fixed broadband services. FASTWEB, NextGenTel, Magyar Telekom (T-Home) and Virgin Media offer a bundle that is cheaper when mobile broadband is included. • Bespoke lowusage contract mobile broadband Some operators offer low-usage contract tariffs (from 100MB upwards) to cater for users who want mobile broadband as a complement to fixed broadband. • Bundling of prepaid mobile broadband tariffs Several operators offer prepaid mobile broadband tariffs alongside fixed broadband. This can be used either to offer a ‘quick start’ service (the USB modem arrives by post the next day, before the fixed broadband service is connected) or may be an unwanted (and possibly unused) addition to the fixed bundle. Telia in Sweden offers three months of free usage before the mobile broadband SIM returns to a standard prepaid tariff. • Alternative operators (and MVNOs) FASTWEB and Com Hem offer contract mobile broadband services to existing fixed bundle subscribers at the same price as for non-fixed subscribers – mobile broadband is not a core market for these operators. • Full price for contract mobile broadband • • • • • • • • • • • • • Belgacom (Belgium) O2 Telefónica (Czech Republic) TeliaSonera (Finland) T-Home (Hungary) Romtelecom (Romania) RCS & RDS (Romania) Telefónica (Spain) A1 Telekom Austria France Telecom - Orange (France) Vodafone (Ireland) A1 Telekom Austria Belgacom (Belgium) Vodafone (Germany) Bredbandsbolaget (Sweden) Telia (Sweden) FASTWEB (Italy) Com Hem (Sweden) © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 34 Document map: How to use the pivot charts in the data annex Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 35 How to use the pivot charts in the data annex How to use the pivot charts in the data annex The Triple-play pricing study’s data annex includes a selection of pivot charts that enable you to quickly benchmark services in a particular market. See below for a basic guide as to how to use these sheets. Figure 19: How to use the pivot charts in the Triple-play pricing study data annex [Source: Analysys Mason, 2011] The y axis displays the price per month in euros of the benchmarked services. For ‘baskets of usage’, the price includes promotional pricing and amortises one-off charges. For benchmarking simple access prices, these additional charges are not included. The x axis displays the name of the operator and service that is benchmarked. Changing these options allows you to select the types of service (for example, triple-play services by setting ‘Fixed broadband’, ‘Fixed voice’ and ‘TV’ to ‘Y’) and the country in which you wish to benchmark service prices. Checking or un-checking data series in these boxes allows you to specify the access technologies or service speeds you wish to display – for example, you could limit your search to just DSL-based services. To temporarily hide the field buttons (for example, if you wish to copy the chart to a PowerPoint presentation), in Excel 2010, go to PivotChart Tools > Analyze and uncheck the ‘Field Buttons’ button. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 36 Document map: About the author and Analysys Mason Document map Executive summary Introduction and scope Service speed evolution Country-by-country pricing comparison Incumbent versus altnet Promotional pricing Price premiums for higher speeds, and voice and TV services Introducing mobility to fixed bundles How to use the pivot charts in the data annex About the author and Analysys Mason © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 37 About the author and Analysys Mason Author Martin Scott (Principal Analyst) leads Analysys Mason’s Fixed Broadband research programme. His primary areas of specialisation include fixed broadband retail pricing and bundling, and customer satisfaction and consumer-facing marketing strategy. Martin also specialises in statistics, surveys and the analysis of primary research, and he co-ordinates Analysys Mason’s Connected Consumer series. He has produced research for Analysys Mason on different aspects of broadband (next-generation) access, consumer demand for present and next-generation services, and the business case for value-added services, such as videotelephony and three-screen advertising. Martin has a Master’s degree in Mathematics from Oxford University. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 38 About the author and Analysys Mason Copyright Published by Analysys Mason Limited, Bush House, North West Wing, Aldwych, London WC2B 4PJ, UK Tel: +44 (0)845 600 5244; Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001; Email: [email protected]; Web: www.analysysmason.com/research Registered in England No. 5177472 © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means – electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise – without the prior written permission of the publisher. ISBN 978 1 906881 90 0. Disclaimer Analysys Mason Limited maintains that all reasonable care and skill have been used in the compilation of this publication. However, Analysys Mason Limited shall not be under any liability for loss or damage (including consequential loss) whatsoever or howsoever arising as a result of the use of this publication by the customer, his servants, agents or any third party. Analysys Mason Limited recognises that many terms appearing in this report are proprietary; all such trademarks are acknowledged and every effort has been made to indicate them by the normal UK publishing practice of capitalisation. However, the presence of a term, in whatever form, does not affect its legal status as a trademark. The opinions expressed are those of the stated author only. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 39 About the author and Analysys Mason About Analysys Mason We’re experts in telecoms, media and technology (TMT). This know-how underpins everything we do and helps our clients change their businesses for the better. 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For more information about our research programmes and custom research services, please visit www.analysysmason.com/research. © Analysys Mason Limited 2011 Triple-play pricing study 2Q 2011: pricing options for bundling mobile 41 About the author and Analysys Mason Consulting from Analysys Mason For more than 25 years, our consultants have been bringing the benefits of applied intelligence to enable clients around the world to make the most of their opportunities Unlike some consultancies, our focus is exclusively on TMT. We advise clients on regulatory matters, support multi-billion dollar investments, advise on network performance and recommend commercial partnering options and new business strategies. Such projects result in a depth of knowledge and a range of expertise that sets us apart. We look beyond the obvious to understand a situation from a client’s perspective. We blend our range of skills each day, every day, to solve our clients’ most-complex challenges. 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