Answers to practice problems, chapter 11, repeated games. Related to Figure 11.14 (p. 432). Three Questions Chapter 11: Using Figure 11.4 on p. 432 as your stage game, determine the values of δ for which the following strategy pairs are in equilibrium in infinite play. 1. (GT, GT) 2. (TFT, Alt), where “Alt” alternates D,C,D,C,… infinitely. 3. (TFTD,TFT), where “TFTD” is TFT using D in the first round. Question 1 Grim Trigger (GT, GT) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 Both Strategies: C in first period. C as long as other plays C. D forever if other plays D in any round. • Step 1 – – – – Player 1: Player 2: Payoffs 1: Payoffs 2; C, C, C, … C, C, C, … -1, -1δ, -1δ2, … -1, -1δ, -1δ2, … • Step 2 – Sum of payoffs: c / (1 - δ) = -1 / (1 - δ). 3 Question 1 Stage game Grim Trigger (GT, GT) C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 Both Strategies: C in first period. C as long as other plays C. D forever if other plays D in any round. • Step 3 – If player 1 deviates to “always D” (or identically grim trigger with D in the first round), then the two will get: • Player 1: D, D, D, … • Player 2: C, D, D, … 4 Question 1 Stage game Grim Trigger (GT, GT) C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 Both Strategies: C in first period. C as long as other plays C. D forever if other plays D in any round. • Step 4: It is rational for player 1 to deviate to “always D” iff: EU1(always D, GT) > EU1(GT, GT) Conclude: If δ < 1/12, then this deviation is rational. If δ ≥ 1/12, then (GT, GT) is a Nash Equilibrium, generating the outcome (C,C) in every period. Why? Because deviating to “always defect,” in a later period produces the same condition, as argued in class. 5 Question 2 (TFT, Alt) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 Alt: D,C,D,C... • Step 1 – – – – Player 1: Player 2: Payoffs 1: Payoffs 2: C, D, C, D… D, C, D, C… -20, 0δ, -20δ2, 0δ3 … 0, -20δ, 0δ2, -20δ3 … • Step 2 – Payoff for player 1: -20 / (1 - δ2) – Payoff for player 2: -20δ / (1 - δ2) 6 Question 2 (TFT, Alt) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 • Step 3 – If player 1 deviates to “always D”, then the two will get: • Player 1: D, D, D, … • Player 2: D, C, D, … – Player 1’s payoff from deviating: 7 Question 2 (TFT, Alt) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 • Step 4: It is rational for player 1 to deviate to “always D” iff: EU1(always D, Alt) > EU1(TFT, Alt) Conclude: It is always rational for player 1 to deviate to “always D” for all values of δ. Hence, (TFT, Alt) is never in equilibrium – regardless of the interests of player 2. 8 Question 3 (TFTD, TFT) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 TFTD: start with D. play C if opponent played C in previous round. play D if opponent played D in previous round. • Step 1 – – – – Player 1: Player 2: Payoffs 1: Payoffs 2: D, C, D, C… C, D, C, D… 0, -20δ, 0δ2, -20δ3 … -20, 0δ, -20δ2, 0δ3 … • Step 2 – Payoff for player 1: -20δ / (1 - δ2) – Payoff for player 2: -20 / (1 - δ2) 9 Question 3 (TFTD, TFT) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 • Step 3 – If player 1 deviates to “TFT”, then the two will get: • Player 1: C, C, C, … • Player 2: C, C, C, … – Player 1’s payoff from deviating: 10 Question 3 (TFTD, TFT) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 • Step 4: It is rational for player 1 to deviate to “TFT” iff: EU1(TFT, TFT) > EU1(TFTD, TFT) Using the quadratic formula … δ > .0525 Note: It is rational for player 1 to deviate to “always D” for larger values of δ (which is worth checking). Hence, (TFTD, TFT) appears only to be in equilibrium for very small values of δ, namely δ ≤ .0525. 11 Question 3 (TFTD, TFT) Stage game C D C ‒1, ‒1 ‒20, 0 D 0, ‒20 ‒12, ‒12 • Note: We should also check whether it is rational for player 2 to deviate from (TFTD,TFT) to (TFTD,Always D). This is true iff: EU2(TFTD, Always D) > EU2(TFTD, TFT) Solving and using the quadratic formula … δ > 2/3 Note: It is rational for player 2 to deviate to “always D” for larger values of δ than the values for player 1. Hence, if we use a common δ, then (TFTD, TFT) is only in equilibrium for very small values of δ, namely δ ≤ .0525 – the condition on the previous slide. 12
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