NUMBER: RR-2410 DATE: December 30, 2009 MAIL LOG NOS.: 120280, 119932 TO: Douglas R. M. Nazarian, Chairman Harold D. Williams, Commissioner Susanne Brogan, Commissioner Lawrence Brenner, Commissioner Therese M. Goldsmith, Commissioner FROM: Anthony Myers, Assistant Executive Director RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the EmPower Md. Charge. Description of Application: On November 16, 2009 Potomac Electric Power Company (“PEPCO” or “The Company”) filed to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the EmPower Md. Charge. The EmPower Maryland Charge is designed to recover costs from PEPCO’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation (“EE&C”) and Direct Load Control (“DLC”) programs. Parties which should receive a copy of Staff Recommendations: Jim Boone, Potomac Electric Power Company Paula Carmody, Office of People’s Council Recommended Action (Including Conditions): Staff recommends that the Commission direct the Company to file a tariff with EmPower Md. Charge rates based on EE&C costs amortized over five years and consistent with Staff’s Adjustments One and Two. Additionally Staff recommends that the Commission grant the waiver of the bill requirement that the RGGI Credit must be listed immediately below the EmPower Md. Charge. _____________________ ___________________ __________________ Phillip E. VanderHeyden Director, Electricity Division Commission Action on Crissy Godfrey Director, DSM Division _____________________________: Approved ___ Disapproved ___ Accept for Filing ____ cc: Heather H. Polzin, General Counsel Bryan G. Moorhouse, Special Counsel to the Chairman Terry J. Romine, Executive Secretary Joel M. Bright, Chief Hearing Examiner Obi Linton, Director of External Relations LaWanda Edwards, Press Secretary Ronald Decker Chief Staff Counsel Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 2 Summary of Filing On November 16, 2009 Potomac Electric Power Company (“PEPCO” or “The Company”) filed to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the EmPower Md. Charge. The EmPower Maryland Charge is designed to recover costs from PEPCO’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation (“EE&C”) and Direct Load Control (“DLC”) programs. Additionally PEPCO is requesting a waiver for a billing requirement under Order No. 82614 which would require them to place the RGGI Rate Credit immediately below the EmPower Md. Charge. Applicable Law Under Pub. Util. Cos. § 7-211, as amended by the EmPower Maryland Energy Efficiency Act of 2008, an electric company shall develop and implement programs to encourage and promote the efficient use and conservation of energy by consumers such that a targeted per capita electricity consumption reduction of at least 5% is achieved by 2011 and of at least 10% by 2015. The Commission approved the Pepco EmPower Maryland Plan in Order No. 82836 (Aug. 13, 2009) and directed the Company to file with alternative tariffs with cost recovery with 2009 program costs are expensed and with all costs amortized over five years. As directed by Order No. 82614 (Apr. 20, 2009) the charge will be shown on bills as the EmPower Md. Charge. Background On November 16, 2009 Potomac Electric Power Company filed to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the EmPower Md. Charge. The EmPower Maryland Charge is designed to recover costs from PEPCO’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation and Direct Load Control programs. PEPCO then re-filed its EmPower Md. Charge update on December 2, replacing its November 16th filing in order to correct errors and include a request to waive a billing requirement. The new EmPower MD charge will continue to recover costs for Pepco’s Residential Efficient Lighting program which was approved by Order No. 8168 in Case No. 9111. The current DSM charge this filing is replacing was designed to recover the costs from this program. The Commission ordered the costs of this program be recovered over a five year period with carrying costs recovered at the authorized rate of return. Pepco’s DLC program was approved by a Commission Letter Order dated April 18, 2008 and only affects residential customers. This Order specified a 15 year amortization for equipment costs, 5 year amortization for marketing and contract support costs with operation and maintenance costs expensed annually. Pepco’s EE&C programs were approved by Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 3 Commission Order No. 82836 in Case No. 9155 and affect both residential and nonresidential customers. In that Order the Commission directed Pepco to calculate rates under two cost recovery mechanisms, one where all costs are expensed on an annual basis and another in which all costs are amortized over five years. Additionally in Order No. 82614 in Case No. 9166 the Commission ordered Pepco to place the RGGI rate credit immediately below their EmPower Md. Charge on a customer’s bill. Pepco is requesting a waiver of this requirement in order to continue to group items subject to the gross receipts tax together on the bill. Analysis The Company has filed proposed tariff revisions with two alternative schedules. The two alternative schedules are the result of recovery of EE&C program expenses annually versus amortizing costs over five years. The Company has also renamed the DSM surcharge the “EmPower Md. Charge” pursuant to Commission Order No. 82614 in Case No. 9166 and combined it with the EE&C program charge. In addition to the two alternative tariff page riders, the Company provided a summary of their proposed 2010 rates for the DLC and EE&C programs in Attachment Three of their filing. 2010 EmPower Md. Charge Alternatives EE&C DLC Residential 5-Year Amortization Expensed Annually C&I Schedules 5-Year Amortization Expensed Annually Total $0.000777 $0.002873 $0.001249 $0.001249 $0.002026 $0.004122 $0.000166 $0.000720 - $0.000166 $0.000720 The proposed Pepco EmPower Md. Charge is a combination of two charges, the Energy Efficiency and Conservation program charge and the residential Direct Load Control program charge. The DLC program only applies to the residential class and costs for the program are only recovered from the residential class. EE&C program costs are recovered from all classes. In total Pepco calculated 5 rates in its filing, one rate for the DLC which only applies to residential customers, and four EE&C rates which reflect the rates for residential and non-residential customers under the two different cost recovery options. Pepco’s EE&C rates are based on cost estimates which are identical to those Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 4 filed on June 5th in Case No. 9155. The expected expenditures for the DLC program in 2009 and 2010 have been reduced substantially from $44,978,830 as estimated in the June 5th filing in Case No. 9155, to $23,355,222. There are three reasons for this reduction. First the DLC program has thus far had fewer installations than initially anticipated reducing actual costs. Additionally Pepco was able to sign a contract for its DLC work at a lower cost than expected. Finally Pepco has received a substantial federal grant for its DLC program which has offset costs1. Staff believes that EE&C Costs should be amortized over five years rather than expensed annually. Five year amortization would mitigate the initial rate increase to customers and allow costs to increase gradually over several years. Additionally the benefits from EE&C programs will occur over many years so amortization increases the likelihood that those who are benefiting from the program will pay the costs of the program. Rate Calculation The process of determining the rates for the DLC program and the 4 different rates for the EE&C program are essentially identical though somewhat simplified for the EE&C calculation without amortization. The first step in developing the EmPower MD Charge is to determine the revenue requirement for 2010. Based on actual expenses and projected costs Pepco determined its expected expenditures on a monthly basis for these programs. These expenditures are then placed into groups based on amortization schedule. For DLC there is a 15 year amortization period for equipment costs, 5 year amortization for marketing and contract support costs while operation and maintenance costs are expensed annually. The EE&C calculation includes costs associated with the CFL program which are amortized over five years and other costs which are amortized over 5 years or expensed annually depending on the version of the calculation. Even the EE&C program that expenses annually will have amortized costs due to expenditures made in 2007 and 2008 for the CFL program. In order to determine the revenue requirement for 2010 Pepco first determines its revenue requirements on a monthly basis. An initial unamortized balance is determined for January 2010 based on the appropriate amortization schedules and then the amount to be amortized that month is determined. This amortized amount is the first component of the monthly revenue requirement. Next program costs for that month which are subject to an amortization period are determined. Taking the previous month unamortized balance and subtracting the amount amortized 1 This federal grant is contingent on the approval of Pepco’s AMI program. Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 5 and adding the additional costs subject to amortization for that month will calculate the next month’s unamortized balance. The next step is to determine the monthly capital cost recovery. This is intended to compensate the company for the portion of its expenditures which have not yet been recovered due to the amortization schedules. However this calculation is complicated by taxation. For all programs Pepco is proposing to base this calculation on the allowed rate of return in its previous rate case which was 7.99%. Pepco than adjusted this rate to determine the rate required to collect the necessary revenue absent taxes, which is 6.69%. The process of amortization also allows Pepco to defer tax expenses, as a part of this calculation Pepco has determined its accumulated tax deferrals for each month. The monthly tax deferral amount is determined by subtracting amount amortized that month from that months costs which are subject to amortization and multiplying that by its income tax rate (which is approximately 40%). The amount of money subject to capital cost recovery each month is equal to the average of the accumulated end of month unamortized balance minus accumulated deferred taxes for that month and the prior month. This calculation approximates the average amount of money that should be subject to carrying costs that month. This amount is then multiplied by its assumed capital cost net of taxes which is 6.69%. That amount is then increased to account for taxation by dividing by 1 minus Pepco’s income tax rate which determines the needed capital cost recovery for that month. Ultimately Pepco collects carrying costs of 11.22% which allows it to earn its authorized rate of return after taxes. Pepco has also determined the monthly amount of costs that are expensed for each program as well as monthly revenues associated with the program. Adding the expensed monthly costs to the monthly amortization and monthly capital cost recovery and then subtracting monthly revenues will determine the expected monthly revenue requirement. Adding this up for all 12 months of the year determines the annual expected revenue requirement. This is the amount of revenue Pepco estimates it needs to collect to account for projected expenditures in 2010. The next step is to determine the annual true up amount. There will be a true up amount for the DLC program due to unamortized expenses and revenues which occurred prior to 2010. Additionally there will be a similar true-up for the EE&C related to the CFL program. In general the process for determining the true up amount involves the process described above for calculating the expected annual revenue requirement except actual expenses and revenues are used instead of projections. Once the actual amount of revenue which was needed to be collected in the prior year is determined the amount of money actually collected from the surcharge is subtracted from it in order to determine the true up amount. Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 6 This true up amount is than added to the annual expected revenue requirement to determine the amount of money needed to be collected in the coming year. This amount is then divided by the projected electricity usage to determine the rate for the year. Pepco describes this rate calculation process in detail in Attachment Four of its filing. Attachments Five through Nine of the Company’s filing show the details of the company’s calculations. In general Pepco’s proposed rates are determined in six steps: Step One: Based on a mix of actual and estimated costs and revenues for 2009 and 2010 monthly unamortized balances and amortized amounts are determined. When applicable, costs are classified by amortization schedule. Step Two: Monthly deferred tax activity and accumulated deferred tax activity are calculated. Monthly deferred taxes are equal the amount of additional program costs in the month minus the amount amortized that month multiplied by Pepco’s tax rate. Step Three: Carrying costs are calculated on the unamortized ending balance for the month minus the accumulated deferred tax activity. This amount is then multiplied by the monthly return adjusted for taxes to determine the carrying costs for that month. Step Four: The monthly revenue requirement can now be determined by adding, the amount to be amortized that month, carrying costs, and expensed costs and subtracting any revenue. Step Five: A true up amount is calculated for the previous year using actual data instead of estimates. Steps One through Four are repeated using the previous years actual data to determine the amount that should have been collected in the prior year. The actual amount collected in the previous year is subtracted from this amount to determine the true up amount. Step Six: Based on the estimated revenue requirements for 2010 and the true up amount for 2009 the amount of revenue needed to be collected in 2010 has been determined. This amount is then divided by the expected electricity usage for the respective customer class to determine the rate. Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 7 Staff has reviewed the Company’s proposed rates and determined that they are in general accurately calculated as described above. Staff found minor errors in the Company’s trueup calculations which the Staff has corrected. Correct rates using Pepco’s proposed methodology are included in the tables at the end of the analysis section. Pepco has acknowledged that Staff’s corrections are appropriate. Bill Impacts Based on Pepco’s Calculations with EE&C costs amortized over five years a typical residential customer using 1000 kWh a month would pay $2.03 per month or $24.31 a year for the EmPower Md. Charge. If EE&C costs are expenses annually the monthly bill impact would be $4.12 and $49.46 annually. With the 5 year amortization schedule for EE&C the EmPower Md. Charge is expected to collect $11,615,814 from residential customers in 2010. If the EE&C program costs are expensed annually the EmPower Md. Charge is expected to collect $ 23,632,326 from residential customers in 2010. With EE&C costs amortized over 5 years the EmPower MD Charge is expected to collect $1,562,041 from non-residential customers and $6,769,185 if expensed annually. Staff Adjustment One While Staff generally agrees with Pepco’s methodology for determining its EmPower Md. Charge, we disagree that the Company’s weighted average costs of capital should determine its capital cost recovery factor for all amortized costs. Staff agrees that the weighted average cost of capital is appropriate for costs amortized over fifteen years, however it does not accurately reflect the company’s cost of capital for items amortized over a five year period. Costs amortized over five years are essentially short-term in nature and would not require equity investment and therefore should be recovered at the cost of five-year debt. Additionally the Company pays carrying costs to its DLC Contractor at a rate substantially lower than its authorized rate of return. Staff recognizes that the Commission has previously ordered that, in general carrying costs associated with demand side management programs should be calculated using the company’s authorized rate of return.2 In order to estimate Pepco’s cost of debt for five years, Staff calculated the estimated credit spread in 2010 between long-term Public Utility Bonds and long-term Treasury Bonds from the November issue of Global Insight’s U.S. Economic Outlook. This spread, 101 basis points was then added to Global Insights estimate of 5-year Treasury Bond yields for 2010, which resulted in an estimated 5-year capital cost for Pepco of 3.52%. This is substantially lower than the 11.22% rate that 2 See Order 81637 in Case 9111. Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 8 must be recovered in order provide Pepco with its weighted average cost of capital after taxes. This adjustment resulted in rates as described in the table below. 2010 EmPower Md. Charge Alternatives With Staff Adjustment EE&C DLC Total Residential 5-Year Amortization Expensed Annually C&I Schedules 5-Year Amortization Expensed Annually $0.000705 $0.002873 $0.001211 $0.001211 $0.001916 $0.004084 $0.000151 $0.000720 - $0.000151 $0.000720 If EE&C costs are amortized over 5 years this adjustment would reduce the amount to be collected from residential customers in 2010 by approximately $650,000 or $400,000 if EE&C is expensed annually. This adjustment would reduce amount of money collected in 2010 from non-residential customers by about $140,000 if EE&C costs are amortized over five years and would have no effect if EE&C costs are expensed. Staff Adjustment Two In the process of analyzing this tariff filing Staff has reviewed numerous invoices provided by the Company and examined the Company’s contract with Comverge, which is the Company’s main contractor for the DLC program. Staff is satisfied that the actual costs provided by the Company to calculate this rate are consistent with the invoices provided to Staff. However Staff is concerned that DLC program actual costs thus far are significantly lower than projected costs. The Company in its December 2nd filing calculated rates based on actual costs through September 2009 and relied on its projections through the end of 2010. Actual equipment and installation costs in September 2009 for the DLC program were $54,160 and Pepco projected that October 2009 costs would be $590,536 more than ten times September’s actual expenditures. The Company is projecting that equipment and installation costs will remain around $590,000 dollars through 2010. When asked about the disparity between actual costs and projected costs the Company cited problems with licensing requirements needed for workers to install switches. The Company then provided Staff with the actual expenditures for the DLC program in October and November, which were well under the $590,000 estimate. Staff then determined new rates based on actual October and November expenditures. Staff then used the average of October and November Expenditures as an estimate for December, January and February expenditures and increased expenditures from that level in March and April so that the May expenditures matched The Company’s estimate. Staff Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 9 believes this is a reasonable adjustment as there it is likely that expenditures will not increase over the next few months. Staff assumes that expenditures will gradually increase beginning in March and Pepco will be at its projected expenditure level beginning in May. Staff has been informed that there is currently a significant backlog of customers enrolled in the DLC program waiting for installation so that once the licensing issues are resolved Pepco should be able to rapidly increase installations. The tables below summarize the EmPower Md. rates with Staff’s adjustments and also include annual and monthly bill impacts for a residential customer with electricity usage of 1000 kWh a month. The first table includes rates with EE&C costs amortized over five years, while the second table’s rates assume EE&C costs are expensed annually. EmPower MD Rates with EE&C Costs Amortized DLC Rate Residential EE&C Rate Total Residential Rate Non-Residential Rate 1000 KW per Month Annual Residential Bill Impact 1000 KW per Month Monthly Residential Bill Impact Pepco With Staff Correction $0.001259 $0.000777 $0.002036 $0.000167 Staff Adjustment 1 $0.001211 $0.000705 $0.001916 $0.000151 Staff Staff Adjustment Adjustments 2 1 and 2 $0.001093 $0.001061 $0.000777 $0.000705 $0.001870 $0.001766 $0.000167 $0.000151 $24.43 $22.99 $22.44 $21.19 $2.04 $1.92 $1.87 $1.77 Comments of the Electricity Division (RR-2410) RE: Potomac Electric Power Company proposes to update its Demand Side Management Surcharge, renaming it the Empower Md. Charge. Mail Log Nos. 120280, 119932 December 30, 2009 Page No. 10 EmPower MD Rates with EE&C Costs Expensed DLC Rate Residential EE&C Rate Total Residential Rate Non-Residential Rate 1000 KW per Month Annual Residential Bill Impact 1000 KW per Month Monthly Residential Bill Impact Pepco With Staff Correction $0.001259 $0.002873 $0.004132 $0.007200 Staff Adjustment 1 $0.001211 $0.002873 $0.004084 $0.007200 Staff Staff Adjustment Adjustments 2 1 and 2 $0.001093 $0.001061 $0.002873 $0.002873 $0.003966 $0.003932 $0.007200 $0.007200 $49.58 $49.01 $47.59 $47.18 $4.13 $4.08 $3.97 $3.93 Staff Recommendations Staff recommends that the Commission direct the Company to file a tariff with EmPower Md. Charge rates based on EE&C costs amortized over five years and consistent with Staff’s Adjustments One and Two. Additionally Staff recommends that the Commission grant the waiver of the bill requirement that the RGGI Credit must be listed immediately below the EmPower Md. Charge. ________________________ Matthew Schultz Regulatory Economist Electricity Division
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