Problem 3.5 I ER = 52.5

3.5 MBPF. A triage system has been proposed for the ER described in
Exercise 3.4. As mentioned earlier, 55 patients per hour arrive at the ER. Under
the proposed triage plan, entering patients will classify them as Simple
Prescriptions or Potential Admits. While Simple Prescriptions will move on to an
area staffed for regular care, Potential Admits will be taken to the emergency
area. Planners anticipate that the initial examination will take 3 minutes. They
expect that, on average, 20 patients will be waiting to register and 5 will be
waiting to be seen by the triage nurse. Recall that registration takes an average
of 2 minutes per patient. Planners expect eh Simple Prescriptions area to have,
on average, 15 patients waiting to be seen. As before, once a patient’s turn
come, each will take 5 minutes of a doctor’s time. The hospital anticipates that,
on average, the emergency area will have only 1 patient waiting to be seen . As
before, once that patient’s turn comes, he or she will take 30 minutes of a
doctor’s time. Assume that, as before, 90% of all patients are Simple
Prescriptions, assume, too, that the triage nurse is 100% accurate in making
classifications. Under the proposed plan, how long on average, will a patient
spend in the ER? On average, how long will a Potential Admit spend in the ER?
On average, how many patients will be in the ER? Assume the process to be
stable; that is, average inflow rate equals average outflow rate.
Directions
•
•
•
•
•
•
o) Draw the flow process chart
a) On average how many patients are in ER?
b) On average, how long a patient spend in ER?
Hints:
Average flow rate is still 55 per hour (50 is typo)
Planners estimate that initial examination takes 3 minutes. It
is the flow time in triage activity. It is 3 it is not 1. One, as we
will see in the future chapters is an estimate for the theoretical
flow time.
• Compute average flow rate in buffer 3 and buffer 4.
• Compute average flow time in all buffers.
• Compute average number of patients in all activities.
Problem 3.5
Buffer 3
Potential admits
5.5/hr
Buffer 1
Registration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
55/hr
49.5/h
r
Buffer 4
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
49.5
49.5
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.825
0.825
I
20
Simple Prescription
T
2
5
3
1
30
15
5
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
49.5
49.5
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.825
0.825
I
20
1.8
5
2.8
1
2.8
15
4.1
T
21.8
2
5.5
3
10.9
30
18.2
5
IER= 52.5
a) On average, how many patients are in ER?
b) On average, how long will a patient spend in ER?
Method 1: Macro Method, a single flow unit
RER= 55/60 flow units per minute
IER= 52.5
TER = 52.5/(55/60) = 57.2 minutes
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
49.5
49.5
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.825
0.825
I
20
1.8
5
2.8
1
2.8
15
4.1
T
21.8
2.0
5.5
3.0
10.9
30.0
18.2
5.0
b) On average, how long will a patient spend in ER?
Method 2: Micro Method, two flow units, Potential Admission and Simple Prescription
TPA= 21.8+2+5.5+3+10.9 +30 = 73.2
TSP= 21.8+2+5.5+3+18.2 +5 = 55.5
TER= .1(73.2)+.9(55.5) = 57.3
c) On average, how long will a potental admission patient spend in ER? 73.2
3.6 MBPF. Refer again to Exercise 3.5. Once the triage system is
put in place, it performs quite close to expectations. All data
conform to planners’ expectations except for one set-the
classifications made by the nurse practitioner. Assume that the
triage nurse has been sending 91% of all patients to the Simple
Prescription area when in fact only 90% should have been so
classified. The remaining 1% is discovered when transferred to
the emergency area by a doctor. Assume all other information
from Exercise 3.5 to be valid. On average, how long does a
patient spend in the ER? On average, how long does a Potential
Admit spend in the ER? On average, how many patients are in the
ER? Assume the process to be stable; that is, average inflow rate
equals average outflow rate.
Directions
•
•
•
•
•
•
o) Draw the flow process chart
b) On average how many patients are in this process?
c) On average, how long a patient spend in this process?
Hints:
Compute flow rates at Buffer 3
Compute flow rates at Buffer 4
Problem 3.6
Buffer 3
Potential admits
4.95/hr
Buffer 1
Registration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
55/hr
0.55/hr
50.05/h
r
Buffer 4
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
50.05
50.05
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.834167
0.834167
I
20
Simple Prescription
T
2
5
3
1
30
15
5
Problem 3.6
Buffer 3
Potential admits
4.95/hr
Buffer 1
Registration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
55/hr
0.55/hr
50.05/h
r
Buffer 4
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
50.05
50.05
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.834167
0.834167
I
20
Simple Prescription
T
2
5
3
1
30
15
5
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
50.05
50.05
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.834167
0.834167
I
20
1.8
5
2.8
1
2.8
15
4.2
T
21.8
2
5.5
3
10.9
30
18.0
5
Macro: Average number of patients in the system = 20+1.8+5+2.8+1+2.8+15+4.2 = 52.6
Average flow time = 52.6/(55/60) = 57.3
Re-Check
Micro Method
Common =
21.8 +2+5.5+3 = 32.3
TSP= 32.3+18+5 = 55.3
Buffer 1
Registeration
Buffer 2
Triage Nurse
Buffer 3
Potential Admission
Buffer 4
Simple Prescription
R
55
55
55
55
5.5
5.5
50.05
50.05
R/min
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.916667
0.091667
0.091667
0.834167
0.834167
I
20
1.8
5
2.8
1
2.8
15
4.2
TPA1= 32.3 +10.9+30 = 73.2 ……(4.95 PA patients out of 5.5 PA patient: 90%)
TPA2= 73.2+18+5 =96.2 (0.55 PA patients out of 5.5 PA patient: 10%)
TPA = 73.2(.9) + 96.2(.1) =75.5
TSP= 55.3 is 90% of flow units, and TPA =75.5 is for 10% of flow units
T = 55.3 (.9) + 75.5(.1) = 57.32
Re-Check again
T= 55.3 (49.5/55) + 73.2 (4.95/55) + 96.2 (.55/55)
T= 57.32 (re-check)
T
21.8
2
5.5
3
10.9
30
18
5