Licensing activities of Japanese firms in the era of pro-patent system reform and open innovation WORK IN PROGRESS, PLEASE DO NOT CITE BUT COMMENTS ARE WELCOME Masayo Kania and Kazuyuki Motohashib Abstract This paper investigates the determinants of licensing activity of Japanese firms, by using the firm level dataset from a JPO survey called SIPA (Survey of Intellectual Property Activities), the IIP patent database, and the Licensing Activity Survey (LAS) conducted by University of Tokyo. Gambardella et al. (2007) addresses the issue of technology market imperfection by showing that many potential licenses are not actually licensing. In this paper, we use two step models of licensing activities; the first step is to estimate the determinants of potential licensors (willingness to license), and the second step is for identifying factors behind actual licensing out (licensing propensity). We have found that the strength of patent protection is important to the willingness to license out and licensing propensity. In addition, it is found that the factors of technology market imperfection such as the difficulty in arranging complex licensing contract prevents a firm from licensing out even it has a willingness to license. Lecturer, Faculty of Economics, Tezukayama University, 7-1-1 Tezukayama Nara 631-8501 Japan. E-mail address: [email protected], tel:+81-742-48-7148, fax: +81-742-48-9308 b Professor, Department of Technology Management for Innovation (TMI), University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-8656 Japan. E-mail address: [email protected], tel: +81-3-5841-1828, fax: +81-3-5841-1829 a 1 1. Introduction In 2003, the Intellectual Property Strategy Headquarter, headed by the prime minister, was created in the Japanese government, and annual reviewing process of IPR policy of various related ministries were introduced. This initiative is not only for strengthening patent right, but also for activating technology market to stimulate knowledge diffusion in a form of intellectual property right. “Development of Knowledge Based Nation by Intellectual Property” became a slogan of the Japanese government, and pro-patent policy reforms have been introduced. Alongside of this public policy initiative firms become aware of the importance of IP as a strategic tool of their competitive advantage. IP department at firm, which used to be a function of patent application and dealing with infringement cases, now is actively engaged in activities of strategic use of intellectual property rights, such as license or not decision. In addition, licensing becomes one of important variables in Japanese firm’s innovation strategy in these years. According to the R&D Collaboration Survey conducted by RIETI in February 2004, firms are treating external collaborations more positively compared with five years ago, regardless of industries and firm size (RIETI, 2004). Due to the globalization of the economy and innovation competition spurred by catching up of East Asia economies such as Korea and Taiwan, it becomes increasingly difficult for Japanese large corporations to sustain its in-house innovation model. The increasing importance of scientific knowledge in the R&D process of enterprises in certain industries, such as pharmaceuticals, is also a factor fostering external collaborations, particularly with universities and public research institutions (Motohashi, 2005). In this process of shift to open innovation era, management of intellectual property consists of key component of innovation strategy of high tech firms. (Chesbrough, 2006) This paper analyzes Japanese firms’ licensing activities in this era of pro-patent policy reform and open innovation, by using a novel dataset of licensing activities of Japanese firms. Licensing activities of firms are influenced by various kinds of factors. It depends on technology market conditions as well as product market conditions. For example, patent can be used more as a means of appropriating rents from technological innovation in pharmaceutical industry, as compared to in other industries (NISTEP, 1997; Cohen et al., 2002). It is found that the licensing propensity is relatively higher for this industry (Anand and Khanna, 2000). When a firm perceives patent as strong property right, it may rely more on technology market transactions, instead of appropriating rent from its invention as a trade secret. It is also found that the firm size 2 is an important determinant of licensing propensity (Gambardella et. al, 2007). Whether a firm licenses or not licenses depends on complementary assets to IPs, such as marketing and production resources (Arora and Fosfuri, 2003). Licensing of patents may induce “rent dissipation” of patent owner due to creating a potential competitor in product market. Therefore, a small company (likely to be a minor player in product market with small amount of complementary assets) tends to license out more, since “revenue effect” by licensing fees becomes larger than “rent dissipation effect”. It is also important to take into transaction costs in the market for technology. Gambardella et. al (2007) show that large number of firms do not license even thought they are willing to do so. This finding suggests that the size of transaction cost also matters an ex-post licensing propensity. This paper investigates licensing activities in Japanese firms along the line of Gambardella et. al (2007). A major difference from this existing literature is that our datasets are based on firm level observations, while Gambardella et. al (2007) use patent level observations. In addition, our datasets have qualitative information on the factors hampering licensing activities, enabling us to further dig into the issues of technology market imperfection. The next section of this paper is devoted for literature survey of empirical analysis on licensing and technology market. This section is followed by data description and summary statistics. Then, quantitative analysis section follows. The determinants of firm’s IP strategy are analyzed with econometrics models. Finally, a section for conclusion with managerial and policy implications is provided. 2. Hypothesis of determinants of licensing propensity There are various types of incentive for a firm to own patent. A primary purpose is to prevent its invention from imitation and to gain monopoly rent from a product using its invention. For a start-up company which does not its own production facility, licensing its patent is important. Furthermore, all of patents owned by firm are not always used by in-house use or licensing. It is possible for them to keep patent right which may be used in future, and a firm may protect its technology by creating patent fence, in a sense of patenting substitute technologies as well as the one used for its product. All of these factors influence the licensing propensity of firm, measured by the number of licensing patents to the number of all patents. But the number of licensing patents can be decomposed into two parts, i.e., the number of patents which a firm is willing to license and the share of patents actually licensed to the number of willing to license patents. Figure 1 depicts this process, that is, all patents owned by a firm are classified 3 into three categories i.e., licensing patent, patent that the firm would be willing to license but could not actually license and patent that are not willing to license. There are numerous studies investigating the determinants of licensing propensity, but the novel feature of this study is to disentangle two steps, willingness to license (Step1) and coming up with actual licensing deal (Step2). Past literature suggest the following five types of determinants. Here, we provide our hypothesis on which step is relevant to each type of determinant. Complementary assets such as production and marketing facilities: A big firm has production and marketing functions as well as R&D function inside its company. In this case, a firm is less willing to license because they can appropriate economic rent from their invention by using their own assets. In contrast, a firm without complementary assets, such as a high tech start-up, has a great incentive to license its patent. Therefore, licensing willingness propensity (Step1) increases as the size of complementary assets decreases. Product and technology market competition : Product market competition is also an important determinant of licensing propensity. The decision of licensing is determined by a balance between revenue effect (from licensing fees) and rent dissipation effect (from increasing competition in product market) (Arora and Fosfuri, 2003). If product market is close to perfect competition, a firm does not have to worry about rent dissipation effect very much, because monopoly rent is already small. The firm facing such market competition environment is assumed to be higher. This is the case for technology market competition as well, since a fierce competition in technology market also leads to higher licensing propensity. On the other hand, when a firm dominates certain technology, it is better not license out and gain monopoly rent out of it. Therefore, license willingness propensity (Step1) increases as product or technology market is more competitive. Scientific nature of the technology: In a science based industry, where scientific contents are important for innovation such as bio pharmaceuticals, the contents of technology can be expressed more explicitly. This helps licensing deal making because potential licensor can understand technological contents more clearly. (Arora and Cambardella, 1994; Arora and Ceccagnoli, 2005). Therefore, scientific nature of technology increases the licensing propensity (Step2), given the same level of licensing potential propensity. Degree of patent right enforcement: Licensing is market transaction of patents so that a stronger patent may reduce transaction cost and induce more licensing activities. 4 A typical case can be found in pharmaceutical companies, where patent protection is relative effective and active licensing transactions can be found (Anand and Khanna, 2002). This factor is related to both licensing willingness propensity (Step1) and licensing propensity (Step2), because stronger patent is beneficial to licensor as well as licensing deal making (more clear in technology market). Transaction cost : There are substantial number of patents which a firm is willing to license out, but does not do. In fact, in a process of searching for possible licensees or making licensing agreement, the firm may have trouble finding licensing partners or negotiating contracts. Higher transaction cost associated with licensing deal making reduces the licensing propensity (Step2), even a firm have a great willingness to license. 3. Data Sources In order to test the hypothesis in the section above, we have constructed the database, by combining three types of datasets, the Survey of Intellectual Property Related Activities (SIPA), IIP Patent Database (IIP-PD) and the Licensing Activity Survey (LAS). As a results of data linkage, we get a cross section data for about 1,200 firms in 2006. The followings are description of these datasets. Survey on Intellectual Property Related Activities (SIPA) : The Survey on Intellectual Property Related Activities (SIPA) are annual statistical survey by JPO (Japanese Patent Office). JPO started this survey in 2002 for collecting data on various IP related activities including application, licensing and litigation of patent, utility, design and trademark. The survey is conducted for all applicants with over a certain threshold number applications in the previous year1 and randomly sampled ones for the rest of group(Motohashi, 2008). In this paper, we use the 2007 survey (for 2006 activities) data. After throwing out individual investors and public research organizations, we have about 4,500 samples to be linked with the other datasets. SIPA covers a broad range of survey items. The survey consists of four parts, (1) applications of IPR, (2) usage of IPR, (3) information on IPR section at firm and (4) IP related infringements. In this paper, we mainly use the data from section 2, delineating detail information on technology (patent) pool. This section covers data on the number of IPR by various type of status in terms of its usage, such as using by owner, licensed out and in by type of licensing contract. IIP Patent Database (IIP-PD): The IIP Patent Database (IIP-PD) is a database constructed, based The threshold point varies by the type of IPR, 3 for patent, 2 for utility, 4 for design and 3 for trademark. 1 5 on (Seiri Hyojunka Data) organized and standardized data by JPO to be prepared for innovation study researchers (Goto and Motohashi (2007)). It includes, for each patent, the data on the date of each stage from filing to the expiration of a right, data on applicants, right holders and inventors, and technology classification. In this paper, we use the index of technology market competition and the scientific nature of the patent, as is explained later in detail. Individual patent level information are aggregated into a firm level and linked with the other two firm level datasets. Licensing Activity Survey (LAS): The Licensing Activity Survey is conducted by the University of Tokyo in 2007. This survey is based on the international project coordinated by OECD and the common questionnaire was prepared for European and Japanese firms (OECD, 2008). It surveys three areas, (1) patent propensity, appropriability importance, (2) licensing activities, (3) changes in licensing activities and underlying factors. The survey was conducted on 5000 firms that were sampled from the 2006 patent applicant list of JPO, and 1640 firms responded. 4. Characteristics of license activities 4.1. Share of actual licensor and potential licensor As for the licensing activities, Gambardella et al. (2007) addresses the issue that many potential licenses are not licensed, suggesting that the market for technology could be larger. Therefore, we investigate the determinants of licensing propensity of Japanese firms considering the licensing out decision making process, regarding the willingness of firms to license out and how many patents firms license out. Firstly, we define the willingness to license out by a binary variable, named WILL. It takes the value 0 if a firm is not willing to license out, and 1 otherwise. We identify it by using the number of patents licensed and the following question in the LAS: ‘Share of your patent portfolio that you would be willing to license out but could not actually license, share in total patents is 0%, 0-2%, 2-6%, 6-15%, or 15-100%.’ The firms that answered 0% are not willing to license out, or have licensed out all patents which they are willing to license. Thus, WILL takes the value 0 if the share is 0% and the number of patents licensed is 0. Secondly, we denote the actual licensing activity by two variables of licensing propensity. One is the number of patents licensed out divided by the number of owned patents, named LICENSE. Another is the number of patents licensed out for license with positive royalty fee divided by the number of owned patents, named FEE. The difference between these two variables comes from licensing patents without royalty, mostly 6 associated with cross licensing. The information of these two variables is obtained from SIPA. We now consider the actual licensor and the potential licensor. Actual licensor means firms have patents of licensing out, LICENSE>0, and potential licensor means firms that have patents which they would be willing to license out, WILL=1. We define the following groups, corresponding to the Figure 1. Group A, where firms are actual licensors, or LICENSE>0. The firm actually license out, and there are 276 samples. Group B, where firms are potential licensors but not actual licensors, WILL=1 and LICENSE=0. The firm would be willing to license but in fact could not license out, and there are 124 samples. Group C, where firms are not potential and actual licensors, or WILL=0. Such a firm does not a have willingness to license out, and there are 178 samples. In Group C, firms do not intend to utilize a license market because they plan to use patent technologies only for own production exclusively. On the other hand, in Group B, they would be willing to license, but do not come to the stage of an actual deal, and have been in process of searching for possible licensees, or making licensing agreement. Although for firms in both Group B and Group C the number of patents licensed out is zero, firms in Group B and Group C have different licensing out policies. We find that the number of firms in Group B is unexpectedly larger, and the potential license market would be larger than the observed market size as is discussed by Gambardella et al. (2007). 4.2. Comparison of the determinants of licensing out We give explanations of data corresponding to the determinants of licensing out in Section 2. Table 1 shows the descriptive statistics by the samples classified by Group A to C explained in the previous section. Degree of patent right enforcement: PROTECTION The degree of patent right enforcement is assessed by the following question in the Licensing Activity Survey. ‘To bring the benefit to your company of the 4 methods below, which is the best way? 7 Could you tell us the rank of patent protection?’ The methods are patent protection, trade secret, complicated manufacturing or complicated products, and leading products in the market. Therefore, the lower index expresses the stronger enforcement of patent. In table 1, average rank is about 1.5, that is patent protection is the most powerful or second most powerful. The rank of Group C is a little lower, and this suggests that the firms which are not willing to license out tend to have a lower assessment of the importance of patent protection. Difficulty in making deals of licensing out The following question in the Licensing Activity Survey is supposed to capture the difficulty in making deals of licensing out: ‘What hampering factors have you been confronted with in your licensing activity?’ The survey asks about four factors: Identifying a partner is difficult: PARTNER, Drafting and negotiating contracts is too complex/costly: NEGOTIATE, Price offered too low: PRICE, Respondents are asked to rate the importance of each factor on a scale of 1 to 4 (‘4’ is very important). We define each factor as a dummy variable, which equals 1 if the factor is related to licensing (the rating is 2, 3 or 4) and 0 if not. PARTNER and NEGOTIATE represent high transaction costs in a license market. These factor cause the situation where the firm which would be willing to license out could not actually license out. The average in table 1 shows the proportion of firms that answered that there is a relation between the factors and licensing, and PARTNER shows the highest score among the three groups. Comparing the three groups, the averages in Group C are smaller, but not zero as expected, since the firms in Group C do not have the willingness to license out. Firm size: EMP As the firm size, we use the number of employee (logarithm) in the SIPA. It also 8 represents the complementary assets. In table 1, the firm size of actual licensors in Group A is three times larger than not actual licensors in Group B and C. Well-developed IP operation: EMP_IP The IP department in a large firm would be very well organized. Therefore, in order to control the ability of an organization we use the number of employee in the IP department. According to table 1, it is also clear that actual licensors would have a more developed IP operation. The IP department at a firm is not only dealing with patent applications and infringements, but also involved in licensing strategy. It is implied that knowledge accumulated in-house is advantageous for licensing activities. Firm’s age : AGE We use the age of a firm in the SIPA. The averages of age among the three groups are about 50 in table 1. Technology market competition: TECH COMPE We measure the technology market competition as the Herfindahl index of technology using patent technology classification data (based on IPC main group) in IIP-DB. As for the average of index on technology market competition, three groups have almost same averages. Scientific nature of the technology: SCIENCE The proxy of scientific nature of the technology is average paper citation by firm. In table 1, the average of actual licensors in Group A is larger than others. Specialized R&D: RD We employ the dummy variable that the firms makes a special business of R&D if the propensity of R&D denoted by the share of R&D cost in sales is larger than 30%. Affiliate dealing: AFFILIATE To identify the type of firm, we use the share of licensing out with affiliated partners in the LAS. The dummy variable takes the value 1 if the share of licensing out with affiliated partner is more than 20% and 0 if not. In table 1, the proportion of firms for which AFFILIATE equals 1 is 50%, such firms could not utilize a licensing market. Therefore, we control the affiliate dealing factor in our empirical models. 9 Although the length of the R&D process and product market competition are not included, competition is controlled by industry dummy variables(only manufacturing industry). In addition, we employ the logarithms of EMP, IP_EMP and AGE in the econometric model, named log(EMP), log(IP_EMP) and log(AGE). 5. Econometric analysis and discussion 5.1 Determinants of the willingness to license out by the Probit model First of all, to investigate whether a firm becomes a potential licensor or not, we estimate a Probit model for having the willingness of licensing out. The dependent variable is the binary variable of the willingness to license out (WILL), which is 1 if the firm is willing to license out, and is 0 otherwise. The factors are everything that does not include “Difficulty in making deals of licensing out (PARTNER, PRICE and NEGOTIATE)” and “Affiliate dealing (AFFILIATE)”. As for “Difficulty in making deals of licensing out”, we consider that they are problems for firms that come to an actual deal stage and not related to having the willingness to license out. Moreover, “Affiliate dealing” is not related to willingness to license out because it is information about license partners. Therefore, such factors affect licensing propensity but not the willingness to license out. Table 2 shows the estimation results, and the values are the marginal effects of changes in the covariates on the probability of willingness evaluated at the mean of the covariates. The degree of patent right enforcement (PROTECT) is statistically significant for the willingness of licensing, and the sign is expectedly negative because PROTECT is the ranking of appropriability and the lower index expresses the stronger enforcement of patent. The strength of patent protection is important role when a firm plans to license out. Both of the firm size (log(EMP)) and well-developed IP operation (log(IP_EMP)) are significantly positive. 5.2 Determinants of licensing by the Tobit model We then estimate determinants of licensing propensity in order to analyze what factors determine the licensing activity in the actual dealing stage. We present it by the tobit model, and compare the results of the estimation using two dependent variables, that is the number of patents licensed out divided by the number of owned patents (LICENSE), and the number of patents licensed out for license revenue divided by the number of owned patents (FEE). The number of patents licensed includes three type of license 10 contracts; a license for license revenue, a cross license, and a license pool. Unlike the license for license revenue, a cross license and license pool are for coordination with other firms2. Therefore, we consider that these could have a different structure of a licensing activity. We report the estimation results in the tale 2. Firstly, the inference (2) and (3) in table 2 show the results using our full sample. In inference (2) we employ LICENSE as a dependent variable, and inference (3) is FEE. Both (2) and (3) are almost same in spite of the statistical significances. We find that stronger patent protection promotes licensing activity because PROTECT has a negative sign, and this effect is the same as willingness to license out. And also, the effect of log(IP_EMP) is the same as the empirical result of willingness. However, log(EMP) representing the firm size has a negative sign which is different to willingness. The important determinants of licensing in this paper is the difficulty in making deals of licensing out (PARTNER, PRICE and NEGOTIATE). Since these factors hamper licensing out, they cause the situation where the firm which would be willing to license out could not actually license out. Our result shows that the complexity of contracts (NEGOTIATE) decreases licensing propensity, and could be a distortion of licensing activity. On the other hand, PRICE unexpectedly has a positive sign, and firms that are dissatisfied with the licensing price increase licensing propensity. Although technology market competition is not statistically significant in the inference of willingness to licensing, the inference of licensing propensity shows that a high competition in technology market leads to higher licensing propensity. As for the difference with the inference of LICENSE and FEE, in the inference of FEE, or (3), AGE has a negative effect on licensing propensity. Secondly, we estimate a tobit model for license activities using the sample of having the willingness to license out (WILL=1), and the results are shown in inference (4) and (5) in table 2. Although almost significant variables are the same as inference (2) and (3), technology market competition is statistically insignificant. However, the estimation by only selected samples could mislead, and then in the following section we modify the A typical case of substantial cross licensing can be found in semiconductor industry, where it becomes difficult to make a product by only in-house technology, so that all firms need in licensing technology. A working solution in this case is to make cross licensing agreements between big players (Grindley and Teece, 1997). In order to prepare for future cross licensing agreements, there is some incentive for a firm to build up strong patent portfolio. Therefore, the share of unused patent for future cross licensing deal tends to be large. On the other hand, since cross licensing involves substantial number of patents, a licensing propensity may become large for cross licensing firms. 2 11 empirical model which generalizes the Tobit model. 5.3 Determinants of licensing by the double hurdle model As in the previous section 4.1, we classify firms to three groups according to the number of patent licensed and the willingness to license out, which consist of the actual licensors (Group A), the potential but not actual licensors (Group B), and not potential licensors (Group C). In the econometric model where we analyze the determinants of licensing propensity, the firms in Group B or Group C are observed zero as the licensing propensity. That is, an observed zero for the dependent variable represents a corner solution (i.e., due to the intended choice as Group C) or a negative value for the underlying latent dependent variable (i.e., due to the unintended choice as Group B). However, in the Tobit model all zero values taken by the dependent variable would correspond to a corner solution, and this assumption is too restrictive in our study. And then, we employ the double hurdle model which is overcome the restrictive assumption by Cragg (1971). Blundell and Meghir (1987) labels the double hurdle model as a bivariate model against the standard univariate tobit model because ‘bivariate’ is the definition of a separate process determining the zero-one discrete behavior from that determining the continuous observation. When we apply the double hurdle model to our data, the willingness to license and actual licensing are classified. That is, two hurdles must be crossed in order to observe the non-zero licensing propensity, first hurdle is whether a firm is willing to license out, and second hurdle is whether the firm can make deals of licensing out. Table 4 shows the results of the double hurdle model with independent, homoskedastic and normally distributed error term3. Note that, in the selection equation we employ the same determinants as the estimation of willingness described in section 5.1. Compared with table 3, although almost significant variable do not change, UNDEVELP is significantly positive. To summarize, our findings on determinants of licensing activities are shown. First, we find that the degree of patent protection is an important determinant against the willingness to license out and licensing propensity. Second, we show the different effect of complementary assets and well-developed IP operation on licensing propensity. A large firm has a production and marketing functions as well as a R&D function inside The estimation program of the double hurdle model has not incorporated in the standard statistical software, and the user-written programs are used. We use the program written for STATA by Julian Fennema, http://www.sml.hw.ac.uk/somjaf/Stata/. 3 12 its company. In-house use of patent is possible only if the firm has such complementary assets, and then licensing propensity could be lower. However, the firm has superiority on licensing activity if the firm would have a well-developed IP operation and experienced know-how. We find that complementary assets have a negative effect on licensing propensity considering the IP operation. Note that, the number of employees in the IP department would be an endogenous variable. Third, the observed number of licensing is smaller than the potential number of licensing, and a potential licensing market would be larger because the potential licensors do not always make deals of licensing. Our empirical result shows that the complexity of a negotiation prevents a firm from licensing out. 6. Conclusion We have estimated econometric models for firm’s licensing activities in the era of pro-patent reform and open innovation. According to the results of empirical analyses, the strength of patent protection is important when a firm plans to utilize own patents. In the firms where patent protection is a powerful method, licensing out is promoted. Therefore, it is suggested that pro-patent reform would encourage licensing out. However, there would be hampering factors of licensing out in the actual stage of licensing. Our empirical result shows that the complexity of a negotiation prevents a firm from licensing out. Even now, in the era of open innovation, the environment of licensing may not be enough to license out effectively, and potential licensors would exist. It is considered that developing human resources related to intellectual property would be an effective policy. Moreover, expansion of licensees is also important. They would react to the development of licensing markets and declining costs of dealing. So, the arrangement of markets would eliminate the potential licensor’s problem. 13 References: Anand, B. and T. Khanna (2002), The Structure of Licensing Contracts, Journal of Industrial Economics, March 2000, vol. 48, pp. 103-135 Arora A. and M. Ceccagnoli (2005), Patent Protection, Complementary Assets and Firm’s Incentive for Technology Licensing, forthcoming Management Science Arora A. and A. Fosfuri (2003), Licensing the market for technology, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, vol. 52, pp. 277-295 Arora A. and A. Gambardella (1994), The changing technology of technical change: General and abstract knowledge and the division of innovative labor, Research Policy, vol. 23, pp. 523-532. Arora, A., Fosfuri, A and A. Gambardella (2001), Markets for Technology, The Economics of Innovation and Corporate Strategy, MIT Press Blundell, R. and Meghir, C. 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(2004), Japan’s patent system and business innovation: eassessing pro-patent policies, in Patents, Innovation and Economic Performance OECD Conference Proceedings, OECD Paris NISTEP (National Institute of Science and Technology Policy) (1997), Appropriability and Technological Opportunity in Innovation: A Japan-U.S. Comparative study using survey data, (in Japanese) NISTEP REPORT No. 48 Reitzig, M. (2004), The Private Values of ‘Thickets’ and ‘Fences’: Towards and Updated Picture of the Use of Patents Across Industries, Economics of Technology and New Innovation, 13(5), pp. 457-476 RIETI (Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry) (2004), Report on RIETI’s Survey on External Collaboration in R&D for Japanese Firms (in Japanese), Research Institute of Economy Trade and Industry, March 2004 Shane, S. (2001), Technology Regimes and New Firms Formation, Management Science, vol. 47, pp. 1173-1190 15 Figure 1. Firm’s patent portfolio strategy from the licensing activity viewpoint Patent Portfolio Willing to license License Not willing to license Not license C A B 16 Table 1. Descriptive statistics A(278) B(125) C(178) WILL SIPA&LAS 1 1 0 LICENSE SIPA 0.125 0 0 FEE SIPA 0.072 0 0 PROTECT LAS 1.540 1.600 1.742 PARTNER LAS 0.781 0.784 0.562 NEGOTIATE LAS 0.432 0.488 0.399 PRICE LAS 0.543 0.416 0.303 EMP SIPA 2225 630 639 IP_EMP SIPA 8.2 2.4 1.7 TECH COMPE IIPDB 0.053 0.049 0.055 SCIENCE IIPDB 0.244 0.137 0.123 RD SIPA 0.025 0 0.011 AFFILIATE LAS 0.504 0 0 17 Table 2 Determinants of the willingness: the Probit model Dependent var. PROTECT log(EMP) log(IP_EMP) TECH COMPE SCIENCE RD Dummy of industry Chi2 No. samples WILL -0.143 (0.074) 0.115 (0.06) 0.388 (0.063)*** -1.888 (1.796) 0.019 (0.153) 0.415 (0.496) Yes 106.07 581 Note: *, **, *** denote significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. We report the marginal effects, and as for Values in parentheses robust standard errors. 18 Table 3 Estimation of licensing propensity model: the Tobit model Dependent var. PROTECT PARTNER NEGOTIATE PRICE log(EMP) log(IP_EMP) TECH COMPE SCIENCE RD AFFILIATE Dummy of industry Chi2 No. samples (2) LICENSE -0.037 (0.014)** 0.013 (0.03) -0.049 (0.029) 0.090 (0.03)*** -0.031 (0.013)** 0.062 (0.015)*** -0.663 (0.28)** 0.014 (0.03) 0.203 (0.138) 0.197 (0.031)*** Yes 139.67 581 (3) FEE -0.030 (0.012)** 0.020 (0.024) -0.058 (0.023)** 0.081 (0.024)*** -0.022 (0.011)** 0.056 (0.014)*** -0.458 (0.217)** 0.008 (0.021) 0.196 (0.142) 0.094 (0.018)*** Yes 133.71 581 (4) LICENSE -0.029 (0.014)** -0.029 (0.03) -0.055 (0.029) 0.083 (0.03)*** -0.039 (0.013)*** 0.042 (0.014)*** -0.428 (0.257) 0.011 (0.028) 0.208 (0.138) 0.112 (0.026)*** Yes 55.01 403 (5) FEE -0.026 (0.012)** -0.009 (0.023) -0.066 (0.022)*** 0.080 (0.024)*** -0.028 (0.011)** 0.043 (0.013)*** -0.243 (0.184) 0.005 (0.019) 0.214 (0.15) 0.038 (0.016)** Yes 58.24 403 Note: *, **, *** denote significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. Values in parentheses are robust standard errors. A selection probit (1st stage) is dropped. (2) and (3) are the inferences by using all samples, and (4) and (5) are by samples that have willingness to license out, that is WILL=1. 19 Table 4 Estimation of licensing propensity model: the Double hurdle model Dependent var. PROTECT PARTNER NEGOTIATE PRICE log(EMP) log(IP_EMP) TECH COMPE SCIENCE RD AFFILIATE Dummy of industry Log Likelihood No. samples (6) LICENSE -0.023 (0.01)** 0.024 (0.022) -0.029 (0.02) 0.062 (0.02)*** -0.030 (0.012)** 0.027 (0.011)** -0.445 (0.182)** 0.004 (0.023) 0.181 (0.128) 0.099 (0.029)*** Yes 38.512 581 (7) FEE -0.013 (0.006)** 0.021 (0.013) -0.029 (0.012)** 0.049 (0.014)*** -0.020 (0.008)** 0.026 (0.008)*** -0.238 (0.109)** 0.001 (0.016) 0.196 (0.128) 0.035 (0.011)*** Yes 214.567 581 Note: *, **, *** denote significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. Values in parentheses are robust standard errors. 20
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